UK CABINET SECRETARIES AND PROMINENT BUSINESS

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 LONDON 000164 SIPDIS SENSITIVE E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: ECON PGOV EU UK SUBJECT: UK CABINET SECRETARIES AND PROMINENT BUSINESS LEADERS TALK ABOUT THE EU POST-LISBON LONDON 00000164 001.2 OF 002 ¶1. (SBU) Summary. The United Kingdom cannot risk disengaging or distancing itself from Brussels. The enhanced powers of the EU post-Lisbon treaty, the size of the market, the shifting economic power from developed to developing countries, all underscore the need for an engaged, committed UK in the EU, stated all the speakers at a January 14th conference, sponsored by Business for a New Europe and the Center for European Reform. Foreign Secretary Miliband and Business Secretary Mandelson also stressed the importance of concluding the Doha trade round, preventing protectionist measures - though Mandelson gave a mixed message on "state aid." They also called for a climate change strategy in the wake of what they said was a "failed" conference in Copenhagen. Business leaders, including Richard Branson, Founder and Chairman of Virgin, John Kerr, Deputy Chairman of Royal Dutch Shell, Michael Rake, Chairman of British Telecom, urged the EU to adapt policies to promote green and innovative technologies, be more pro-business, continue service sector liberalization, and internally police governments that adopt anti-competitiveness policies. Several speakers cautioned the UK Conservative Party from allowing its euro-skeptic wing dictate its approach to Brussels. End Summary. The Government View -------------- ¶2. (SBU) All member governments of the European Union need to wake up to a new realty: the power of the emerging economies, which is as historically significant as the industrial revolution, argued Foreign Secretary Miliband. The iconic image of U.S President Obama and Chinese President Hu huddled together, tackling global issues, at the G-20 in London and at the climate change conference in Copenhagen, is the new reality of shifting global power. Europe needs to ask itself what is its role? Europe's external power rests on its internal strength, and Europe as a continent needs to put its fiscal house in order and to concentrate on economic growth, in particular, by focusing less on EU institutional reform and more on the broader economic reform agenda - liberalizing services, including health care and legal, pursuing green and innovative technologies, and resisting calls for protectionism. The UK must be fully engaged with Brussels and with other member states on EU reform, otherwise the UK risks being sidelined and disadvantaged, argued Miliband. ¶3. (SBU) Business Secretary Mandelson argued against regulatory grand-standing or heavy-handedness by Brussels. The need was for better, not more regulation, he stated. He viewed new EU Commissioner for Internal Markets, Michel Barnier, as sensible and not out to undermine London as Europe's financial center. He joked, however, that he had seen Barnier differently when the latter was France's agriculture minister, defending French farming interests. "I worked very closely indeed with him," he said wryly. "In fact, I never took my eyes off him." Mandelson stated that the previous EU Commission was anti-London. The Alternative Investment Fund Management Directive (AIFM) reflected a long-standing grudge against UK hedge funds rather than an earnest attempt at regulation, he claimed. He said, however, he was encouraged by recent changes proposed to the AIFM, and hoped the new Commission would recognize the City of London's key role in promoting growth throughout Europe. ¶4. (SBU) Mandelson also called for increased flexibility in EU state aid rules to allow public financing of high tech and innovative companies, and praised the industrial policy of France as a good model to follow. (Comment: Mandelson was vociferous in his opposition to the Kraft bid for Cadbury, and on January 14, called together representatives from some major UK companies to encourage company shareholders to take a more active role in considering take-over bids. Responding to an inquiry from the audience, Mandelson said that government should be able to comment on such hostile take-overs, but side-stepped the question about government intervention. End Comment.) Contradictorily, at the same time, he also argued that Europe should end this year the temporary flexibility introduced into EU state aid rules following the financial crisis. ¶5. (SBU) Both Miliband and Mandelson criticized the slow pace of progress in the Doha trade round, with Miliband calling negotiations "lifeless" and pointing to the resistance of some "major economies" to engage in serious talks. Mandelson described the Doha round as a source of immense personal grief, and said that failure would deal a crippling blow to the multilateral trade regime. Many countries already have given up on this process and are striking bilateral deals that actually could impede global trade, Mandelson argued. LONDON 00000164 002.2 OF 002 The Business View -------------- ¶6. (SBU) The EU should follow the Hippocratic Oath: Do no harm with its regulations, said Lord John Kerr, Deputy Chairman of Royal Dutch Shell. He expressed concern that the EU is not spending enough on infrastructure, innovation and research. Percentages spent on these lagged the U.S., China, and many other countries. He called the concept of binding emissions targets nonsense, arguing that in the absence of punitive measures against those who fall short, the targets are meaningless. Germany is the biggest obstacle to pursuing an EU energy security policy that lessens dependence on Russian oil and gas. The EU has managed its relations with Russia in general very badly, with too many individual states pursuing their own agenda. The Germans also are dragging their feet in allowing the EU to pursue nuclear energy, he said. ¶7. (SBU) Helen Alexander, president of the Confederation of British Industries, also criticized the EU for its failure to police governments that do not completely fulfill regulatory requirements. Too many governments get just a slap on the wrist when adopting protectionists measures. Richard Branson of Virgin and Michael Rake of British Telecom also called for greater expenditures on research and development, especially in the innovative and green technology industries. Advice for the Conservatives -------------- ¶8. (SBU) There is genuine concern in Brussels how the Conservatives, if they win the general election, will engage with the Commission and Parliament, said George Parker, Political Editor, Financial Times. The Tories need to understand how influential the European Parliament is and will be, and how ill-advised it would be to disengage from Brussels. The Tories also need to understand and use wisely Britain's soft power and influence in Brussels, which Parker noted, has been too often downplayed by the British press and commentators. Without the UK's active engagement, the EU would have been more anti-business and less competitive, and would have less flexible labor markets and liberalization of services. These same pressures are back, and without the UK's involvement, the EU market could reflect the worst tendencies of individual member states. Visit London's Classified Website: http://www.intelink.sgov.gov/wiki/Portal:Unit ed_Kingdom SUSMAN