Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
10ASTANA72
2010-01-25 08:14:00
SECRET
Embassy Astana
Cable title:  

KAZAKHSTAN: MONEY AND POWER

Tags:  PGOV PINR EPET EINV KCOR RS CH KZ 
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S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 03 ASTANA 000072 

SIPDIS

STATE FOR SCA/CEN, EEB

E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/25/2030
TAGS: PGOV, PINR, EPET, EINV, KCOR, RS, CH, KZ
SUBJECT: KAZAKHSTAN: MONEY AND POWER

REF: ASTANA 0061

Classified By: Ambassador Richard E. Hoagland: 1.4 (b),(d)

S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 03 ASTANA 000072



SIPDIS



STATE FOR SCA/CEN, EEB



E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/25/2030

TAGS: PGOV, PINR, EPET, EINV, KCOR, RS, CH, KZ

SUBJECT: KAZAKHSTAN: MONEY AND POWER



REF: ASTANA 0061



Classified By: Ambassador Richard E. Hoagland: 1.4 (b),(d)



1. (S) SUMMARY: During a private dinner, KazMunaiGaz First

Vice President Maksat Idenov named, in his view, the four

most powerful gate-keepers around President Nursultan

Nazarbayev: Chief of Administration and General Services of

the President's Office Sarybai Kalmurzayev, the President's

Chief of Staff Aslan Musin, State Secretary-Foreign Minister

Kanat Saudabayev, and the tandem of Prime Minister Karim

Masimov and Nazarbayev's billionaire son-in-law Timur

Kulibayev. According to Idenov, in Kazakhstan, market

economy means capitalism, which means big money, which means

large bribes for the best connected. The following details

are a single snapshot of one version of current reality. The

significant point is that Nazarbayev is standing with Idenov,

not Kulibayev, to maintain international standards to develop

the massive Kashagan and Karachaganak hydrocarbon projects.

END SUMMARY.



2. (S) On January 21, KazMunaiGaz First Vice President

Maksat Idenov and the Ambassador had a one-on-one dinner in a

nearly empty restaurant (times are still hard!) at the

Radisson hotel in Astana. When the Ambassador arrived,

Idenov was barking into his cell phone, "Mark, Mark, stop the

excuses! Mark, listen to me! Mark, shut up right now and do

as I say! Bring the letter to my office at 10:00 pm, and we

will go together to take it to (Minister of Energy and

Mineral Resources, MEMR) Mynbayev at his house." On ending

the call, Idenov explained he was talking to British Gas (BG)

Country Director for Kazakhstan Mark Rawlings who had missed

the deadline to deliver a letter about arbitration on the

Karachaganak super-giant oil-field project (reftel). Still

clearly steamed, Idenov alleged, "He's still playing games

with Mercator's James Giffin," the notorious AmCit fixer

indicted for large-scale bribery on oil deals in the 1990s,

whose case drags on in the Southern District Court of New

York. "I tell him, 'Mark, stop being an idiot! Stop

tempting fate! Stop communicating with an indicted

criminal!'" Idenov asked, "Do y
ou know how much he

(Rawlings) makes? $72,000 a month! A month!! Plus

benefits! Plus bonuses! Lives in Switzerland but supposedly

works in London. Comes here once a month to check in. Nice

life, huh?"



3. (S) Idenov calmed down and said, "Let's look at the

menus." Then he immediately started typing on his PDA and

turned the screen toward the Ambassador, saying, "Let's look

at the 'four courses.'" On the screen were four names:

Kalmurzayev, Musin, Saudabayev, and Masimov-Kulibayev."

Idenov said, "The Big Four around Number One." (NOTE:

Sarybai Kalmurzayev, currently the head of Administration and

General Services in the Presidential Administration, was,

among other jobs, a former head of the Financial Police and,

before that, in the 1990s, in charge of privatization. Aslan

Musin is the current Chief of Staff for Nazarbayev. Kanat

Saudabayev, a personal friend of Nazarbayev for nearly 40

years, is Minister of State and Foreign Minister. Karim

Masimov is Prime Minister, and Timur Kulibayev is currently

the favored presidential son-in-law, on the Forbes 500 list

of billionaires (as is his wife separately),and the ultimate

controller of 90% of the economy of Kazakhstan. END NOTE.)

In response to a question, Idenov said that Masimov has a

degree of freedom, but never acts without permission from

"the hyphen" (Kulibayev). Then Idenov stood up abruptly and

carried his PDA to a ledge about 20 feet from the table and

asked the Ambassador to turn off his cell phone.



4. (S) Idenov said he wanted to explain why he has been less

visible for at least the last half year. Starting last

spring, all the "Big Four" (on the menu) began blocking him

from seeing President Nazarbayev. In October, KMG President



ASTANA 00000072 002 OF 003





Kairgeldy Kabyldin told Idenov, "Kulibayev doesn't want to

work with you any more." Idenov said he replied, "Fine,"

immediately returned to his office, wrote his letter of

resignation, and packed up his personal files and photos of

his family." He said Mynbayev immediately called and asked,

"My dear friend, what are you doing?!" Idenov said he was

fed up and was going to the Middle East to work -- "I want

out of here!" PM Masimov called and said, "Nazarbayev wants

to know how you're doing. He'd really like to see you when

you have time." Idenov, who said he'd been trying to see the

President for months but had been blocked by the "Big Four,"

went to see the President and told him, "Kabyldin says

Kulibayev doesn't want to work with me any more." Idenov

said the President told him to calm down: "It's probably

just evil gossip. I'll have Karim (Masimov) talk to Timur

(Kulibayev). Then Idenov went to Masimov and told him, "OK,

I'll stay, but how do I deal with this?" Masimov said he'd

talk to both Kabyldin and Kulibayev.



5. (S) Soon, intermediaries arranged an Idenov-Kulibayev

meeting. Idenov said they both pretended to ignore the core

problem -- Kulibayev's, he alleged, avarice for large bribes.

Idenov averred he told Kulibayev, "Please watch your image

and reputation. You have a real opportunity to improve your

own image and the image of the nation." Idenov said

Kulibayev was "like a Buddha with a Paris manicure," and both

understood life would continue. Idenov said he believes he

has, so far, the president's protection. "But the games

continue," he said. Idenov alleged that both BG and Italy's

ENI are corrupt -- and Kulibayev is salivating to profit from

them -- but, so far, Idenov stands in the way. "So long as

Nazarbayev says he wants Kashagan and Karachaganak developed

according to international standards, that's what I'll do."



6. (SBU) (NOTE: Fugitive former CEO of BTA bank, Mukhtar

Ablyazov, accused of embezzling over $1 billion, recently

leaked "documentary evidence" to the international media that

China's state companies have bribed Kulibayev over $100

million in recent months for oil deals. END NOTE.)



7. (S) The Ambassador asked if the corruption and infighting

are worse now than before. Idenov paused, thought, and then

replied, "No, not really. It's business as usual." Idenov

brushed off a question if the current maneuverings are part

of a succession struggle. "Of course not. It's too early

for that. As it's always been, it's about big money.

Capitalism -- you call it market economy -- means huge money.

Listen, almost everyone at the top is confused. They're

confused by their Soviet mentality. They're confused by the

corrupt excesses of capitalism. 'If Goldman Sachs executives

can make $50 million a year and then run America's economy in

Washington, what's so different about what we do?' they ask."



OTHER TIDBITS



8. (S) MODEST WEALTH. Idenov alleged that MEMR's Mynbayev

is among the richest in Kazakhstan but "flies under the

radar" because he is a relatively modest and very

hard-working technocrat. His great wealth derives, in part,

from his former ownership of KazKommerzBank -- "But he never

flaunts it."



9. (S) VULTURES. Idenov alleged that GazProm and China

National Petroleum Company "continue to circle like

vultures," hoping that the Kashagan and Karachaganak

consortia will implode, and then they can pick up the pieces.

"Won't happen on my watch!" Idenov vowed.



10. (C) HOW TO ORDER LAMB. Idenov insisted the Ambassador

order a bottle of wine for their dinner but then never

touched his first glass. Instead, he gulped three cans of

Coca-Cola while inhaling his food. When both he and the

Ambassador ordered lamb chops, Idenov advised, "Well done,



ASTANA 00000072 003 OF 003





never rare -- this is Astana, not London!"



11. (S) COMMENT: Idenov is effusive, even theatrical, by

nature. When he trusts, he spills his heart. Of course,

there's no doubt he also spins his own narrative, as we all

do. And so, this dinner is simply a snapshot -- but, we

would judge, a relatively accurate glimpse of one version of

current reality. The significant point is that Nazarbayev is

standing with Idenov, not Kulibayev, to maintain

international standards to develop the massive Kashagan and

Karachaganak hydrocarbon projects. END COMMENT.

HOAGLAND

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