Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
10ANKARA142
2010-01-27 17:13:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Ankara
Cable title:
CONSTITUTIONAL REFERENDUM: AKP MAY NOT HAVE ENOUGH
how-toVZCZCXRO9617 OO RUEHDBU RUEHFL RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHNP RUEHROV RUEHSL RUEHSR DE RUEHAK #0142 0271713 ZNY CCCCC ZZH O 271713Z JAN 10 FM AMEMBASSY ANKARA TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1904 INFO RUEHIT/AMCONSUL ISTANBUL IMMEDIATE 6850 RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J-3/J-5// RHEHAAA/NSC WASHDC RUETIAA/NSACSS FT GEORGE G MEADE MD RUEHAK/TSR ANKARA TU
C O N F I D E N T I A L ANKARA 000142
SIPDIS
DEPARTMENT ALSO FOR EUR/SE
E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/26/2020
TAGS: PGOV PINR TU
SUBJECT: CONSTITUTIONAL REFERENDUM: AKP MAY NOT HAVE ENOUGH
VOTES WITHIN THE PARTY
REF: ANKARA 33
Classified By: POL Counselor Daniel O'Grady, for reasons 1.4(b,d)
C O N F I D E N T I A L ANKARA 000142
SIPDIS
DEPARTMENT ALSO FOR EUR/SE
E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/26/2020
TAGS: PGOV PINR TU
SUBJECT: CONSTITUTIONAL REFERENDUM: AKP MAY NOT HAVE ENOUGH
VOTES WITHIN THE PARTY
REF: ANKARA 33
Classified By: POL Counselor Daniel O'Grady, for reasons 1.4(b,d)
1. (C) Huseyin Celik, the ruling Justice and Development
Party (AKP) Vice Chairman in charge of promotion and the
media, elected deputy, close confidant of PM Erdogan, a.:QQ^se a
constitutional amendment in the current environment, that it
would pass to a referendum. There are 337 voting members in
AKP (Note: The parliament speaker, an AKP deputy, cannot
vote. End Note) Celik indicated that there are at least
eight deputies in the party who disagree with the idea of
changing the constitution.
2. (C) In a press interview which Celik invited us to attend
before our meeting began, he said the Republican People's
Party (CHP),Nationalist Action Party (MHP),and Peace and
Democracy Party (BDP) have all said they oppose reform, yet
certain fundamental changes are needed because the current
constitution is out of date, much like a "tailored jacket
that no longer fits its wearer." But he told us afterwards
in private that the AKP is examining the question of
constitutional reforms in depth, and considering reaching out
to the MHP to get its support for certain consensus
objectives.
3. (C) Comment: Celik's admission that there is dissension
inside the party over reforming the constitution is not
surprising, but it is somewhat startling to hear that Celik
believes deputies would vote against PM Erdogan's wishes
(albeit in secret); that is, that engaging party discipline
would not be enough to achieve the desired outcome. Equally
surprising is the admission that the AKP would try to work
with the MHP to try to find common ground. Although the two
parties were able to cooperate to pass a (now defunct) law to
allow university students to wear headscarves, relations
between PM Erdogan and MHP leader Devlet Bahceli have been
famously acerbic, and MHP has been vocal in its opposition to
constitutional reform of any sort. AKP would have to choose
carefully the reforms it intends to implement in order to
curry MHP's favor, which would almost certainly rule out
restructuring the judiciary or accommodating the Kurds.
Jeffrey
"Visit Ankara's Classified Web Site at http://www.intelink.s
gov.gov/wiki/Portal:Turkey"
SIPDIS
DEPARTMENT ALSO FOR EUR/SE
E.O. 12958: DECL: 01/26/2020
TAGS: PGOV PINR TU
SUBJECT: CONSTITUTIONAL REFERENDUM: AKP MAY NOT HAVE ENOUGH
VOTES WITHIN THE PARTY
REF: ANKARA 33
Classified By: POL Counselor Daniel O'Grady, for reasons 1.4(b,d)
1. (C) Huseyin Celik, the ruling Justice and Development
Party (AKP) Vice Chairman in charge of promotion and the
media, elected deputy, close confidant of PM Erdogan, a.:QQ^se a
constitutional amendment in the current environment, that it
would pass to a referendum. There are 337 voting members in
AKP (Note: The parliament speaker, an AKP deputy, cannot
vote. End Note) Celik indicated that there are at least
eight deputies in the party who disagree with the idea of
changing the constitution.
2. (C) In a press interview which Celik invited us to attend
before our meeting began, he said the Republican People's
Party (CHP),Nationalist Action Party (MHP),and Peace and
Democracy Party (BDP) have all said they oppose reform, yet
certain fundamental changes are needed because the current
constitution is out of date, much like a "tailored jacket
that no longer fits its wearer." But he told us afterwards
in private that the AKP is examining the question of
constitutional reforms in depth, and considering reaching out
to the MHP to get its support for certain consensus
objectives.
3. (C) Comment: Celik's admission that there is dissension
inside the party over reforming the constitution is not
surprising, but it is somewhat startling to hear that Celik
believes deputies would vote against PM Erdogan's wishes
(albeit in secret); that is, that engaging party discipline
would not be enough to achieve the desired outcome. Equally
surprising is the admission that the AKP would try to work
with the MHP to try to find common ground. Although the two
parties were able to cooperate to pass a (now defunct) law to
allow university students to wear headscarves, relations
between PM Erdogan and MHP leader Devlet Bahceli have been
famously acerbic, and MHP has been vocal in its opposition to
constitutional reform of any sort. AKP would have to choose
carefully the reforms it intends to implement in order to
curry MHP's favor, which would almost certainly rule out
restructuring the judiciary or accommodating the Kurds.
Jeffrey
"Visit Ankara's Classified Web Site at http://www.intelink.s
gov.gov/wiki/Portal:Turkey"