Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09SEOUL633
2009-04-17 07:35:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Seoul
Cable title:  

SEOUL - PRESS BULLETIN; April 17, 2009

Tags:  PREL PGOV MARR ECON KPAO KS US 
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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 07 SEOUL 000633

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PGOV MARR ECON KPAO KS US
SUBJECT: SEOUL - PRESS BULLETIN; April 17, 2009

TOP HEADLINES
--------------


Chosun Ilbo
Prosecution Seeks Summons
against Former President Roh Next Week

JoongAng Ilbo
Blue House Keeps Eye on 46 High-ranking Officials 24/7
for Possible Corruption

Dong-a Ilbo, Segye Ilbo, All TVs
Supreme Court: "Web Portals Responsible for Libel"

Hankook Ilbo
National Assembly to Publicly Debate
Constitutional Amendment in July

Hankyoreh Shinmun
Some of the $5 Million, Which Taekwang Industrial Chairman Park
Handed to Former President Roh's Nephew-in-law, Found to Have Flown
into Company of Roh's Brother-in-law

Seoul Shinmun
ROKG Sets Goal of Joining World's Top Ten Exporters
This Year


DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS
--------------

According to a survey by the National Veterinary Research and
Quarantine Service, U.S. beef imports this year were two-thirds of
Australian beef imports, with 33 percent market share in the ROK as
of April 10. (JoongAng) One year after the ROK and the U.S. reached
the beef deal, U.S. beef has successfully reentered the ROK market.
(Chosun)

President Lee Myung-bak, in an April 16 meeting with U.S. Special
Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan Holbrooke, said that the
ROKG will look for ways to extend practical assistance to
Afghanistan. (Dong-a, Seoul) An ROK diplomatic source said, "At a
time when the ROK desperately needs cooperation from the U.S. to
deal with North Korea's threats, it is very meaningful that
Ambassador Holbrooke, not U.S. Special Representative for North
Korea Policy Bosworth, visited Seoul. The ROKG first needs to show
its good faith on the Afghanistan issue before asking for strong
cooperation from the U.S. on the North Korean issue." (Chosun) Blue
House and foreign ministry officials said there was no request for
troop deployment to Afghanistan. A foreign ministry official, who
attended Ambassador Holbrooke's meeting with Foreign Minister Yu
Myung-hwan, said, however, that there was a request for police
trainers. (Hankyoreh)

The ROK and the U.S. will hold their first high-level talks on April
23 to reach a final agreement on the relocation of USFK bases.
(Dong-a)

Minister for Food, Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Chang
Tae-pyong said in an interview with Dong-a Ilbo that this is the
right time to open the ROK rice market; amid high international rice
prices, if we now impose tariffs on imports of rice, rice imports
will lose their competitiveness, thereby working in favor of ROK
farmers. (Dong-a)


INTERNATIONAL NEWS
--------------

The U.S. and Japan yesterday submitted lists of North Korean

entities targeted for sanctions to a UN panel in response to
Pyongyang's recent rocket launch. (JoongAng, Seoul, Segye)

SEOUL 00000633 002 OF 007



In a rare move, North Korea's Rodong Shinmun released the photos of
all 13 members of the National Defense Commission on April 10.
(Dong-a, Chosun, Hankook)

IAEA inspectors, who were monitoring the disablement of the Yongbyon
nuclear facility in North Korea, have left the country following
demands from Pyongyang. (JoongAng, Hankyoreh, Segye)

State Department Spokesman Robert Wood said that the expulsion is a
"step backward" and further isolates North Korea from the outside
world, adding, "The North is going to have to deal with the
consequences of such decisions." (Hankook)

According to InsideDefense.com, the Department of Defense will
review the scenario of North Korea's collapse in the process of
preparing the Quadrennial Defense Review, the Pentagon's four-year
strategy planning exercise to be reported to Congress early next
year. (Hankyoreh)


MEDIA ANALYSIS
--------------

-North Korea
--------------
Major newspapers reported that IAEA inspectors, who were monitoring
the disablement of the Yongbyon nuclear facility in North Korea,
have left the country and turned off all surveillance cameras
following demands from Pyongyang.

JoongAng Ilbo, Seoul Shinmun and Segye Ilbo reported that the U.S.
and Japan yesterday submitted lists of North Korean entities
targeted for sanctions to a UN panel in response to Pyongyang's
recent rocket launch. The U.S. submitted a list of 11 North Korean
entities involved in prohibited missile-related activities, and
Japan put forward a list of at least 15 violators. Right-of-center
JoongAng Ilbo questioned whether the sanctions will be effective
because these entities can easily change their names, thereby
rendering any sanctions meaningless.

Moderate Hankook Ilbo referenced State Department Spokesman Robert
Wood's statements that the expulsion of U.S. inspectors is "a step
backward" and further isolates North Korea from the outside world
and that "the North is going to have to deal with the consequences
of such decisions." White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs was
also quoted as saying that the administration is "anxious for the
North Koreans to come back to the table."

Left-leaning Hankyoreh Shinmun cited experts saying that North Korea
will completely restore all of its nuclear facilities to their
original state within a year and reproduce plutonium within three
months. This means that the Six-Party nations have three months to
resolve the nuclear issue diplomatically. The newspaper noted that
it is necessary to have dialogue before the situation becomes
worse.

In a related story headlined, "Will North Korea's Brinkmanship
Tactic Work Again?" conservative Segye Ilbo quoted an expert as
saying that if the U.S. accepts North Korea's request for bilateral
talks under these circumstances, it will give the impression that
the U.S. is bowing before North Korea's threats. The newspaper also
noted that China has kept silent about the North Korean nuclear
issue for fear that pressuring the North may shake up the existing
regime, which could destabilize NortheastChina.

Chosun Ilbo, Hankook Ilbo and Hankyoreh Shinmun carried editorials
about the ROKG's delay in announcing its decision to join the
Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI).

Chosun Ilbo editorialized: "The ROKG should not make a hasty
decision on the PSI participation issue. It should take enough time
to calculate the pluses and minuses of full participation and
adequately prepare for various scenarios."

SEOUL 00000633 003 OF 007



Hankook Ilbo editorialized: "It would be too simple to construe the
ROK's full participation in the PSI, which the previous Roh Moo-hyun
Administration avoided, as a 'complete departure' from the Sunshine
Policy. ... Furthermore, the ROKG should understand that China,
which has as much influence on the Korean Peninsula issue as the
U.S., is sensitive to the PSI. It would be desirable, rather than
reproachable, for the ROKG to deeply consider this delicate issue."

Hankyoreh Shinmun editorialized: "The ROKG should immediately
retract its decision to join the PSI, which is neither justifiable
nor beneficial."

-President Obama's Visit to Central and South
-------------- AMERICA
--------------

Carrying the headline, ""Obama's Visit to Central and South AMERICA
Is Aimed at Winning Favor of the Region... 'Smart Diplomacy' Will Be
Accelerated," conservative Dong-a Ilbo reported that Obama will
attend the Summit of the Americas today and that he has earnestly
begun restoring relations with Central and South American nations.


Under the headline, "Will Obama Win the Heart of South AMERICA from
China?" Chosun Ilbo reported that President Obama is trying to
regain clout over South America, but China has already won the heart
of the region through swift economic cooperation.


OPINIONS/EDITORIALS
--------------

NO BENEFITS FROM FULL PARTICIPATION IN PSI
(Hankyoreh Shinmun, April 17, 2009, Page 23)

The Lee Myung-bak Administration said it was going to make Korea a
full participant in the U.S.-led Proliferation Security Initiative
(PSI) if North Korea launched a rocket, but it has postponed the
official announcement three times.

First, (the Administration) said that an official announcement would
come immediately following the launch, which occurred on April 5,
and then postponed (the official announcement) to follow the outcome
of the United Nations Security Council discussion, which issued a
presidential statement on April 14. Yesterday, we were told the
announcement would come by or around the weekend. Everyone and
every agency seems to have a different interpretation as to the
reason why.

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade says it could influence
matters with North Korea and that it has not finished coordinating
with other concerned countries, however, the Ministry of Unification
refutes this explanation by saying that nothing has changed
pertaining to issues between Seoul and Pyongyang. Cheong Wa Dae
(the presidential office in South Korea, or "Blue House") officials
have a different story. It is becoming difficult to think of these
officials as people who are working in the same administration.

The argument in favor of fully participating in PSI is also running
in several directions at once. When President Lee met with ruling
and opposition party leaders on April 6, he said, "The question of
participating in the Proliferation Security Initiative is being
actively considered in the context of international cooperation on
the prevention of the spread of weapons of mass destruction (WMD),
(and we are pursuing full participation based on our own (internal)
decision-making." He added that it was not intended to serve as a
response to North Korea's rocket launch.) A high-ranking member of
his administration has since said the participating in PSI "would
not look good immediately following North Korea's response to the UN
Security Council Presidential Statement while admitting, "The
decision to participate in PSI is one of a few measures to apply
pressure on Pyongyang."


SEOUL 00000633 004 OF 007


Participating in PSI does not seem promising as an effective policy.
The administration says that it only applies to territorial waters
and not to the open sea. It appears therefore that the standing
"Agreement on Inter-Korean Maritime Shipping" could be applied
without the danger of angering North Korea or the potential of an
armed clash.

The administration, then, has itself essentially admitted that there
are no practical benefits to be had from participating in the
program. Nevertheless the administration says that with 94
countries participating in PSI that participating is the
international norm and South Korea needs to participate. The Obama
Administration, however, is in the process of adjusting the tone of
U.S. policies towards so-called rogue states like Iran and Cuba from
one of "pressure and sanctions" to one of "dialogue and working
together." It is not placing the same weight on PSI as did the Bush
Administration, and is not even strongly recommending we
participate.

The confusion over PSI is a policy disaster that has occurred in the
course of moving forward on a hard-line policy that fails to have a
precise strategy or ample preparation. The administration should
immediately retract its decision to join the PSI, which is neither
justifiable nor beneficial. If it allows itself to continue to be
carried away by calls for a hard-line approach it will only give
North Korea one more thing to react to and thereby further hurt
inter-Korean relations. It is time for President Lee to make a wise
decision.

(This is a translation provided by the newspaper, and it is
identical to the Korean version, except that the bracketed language
is in the English version provided by the newspaper but not in the
Korean version.)



SHOULD WE REALLY RUSH INTO WMD INITIATIVE?
(Chosun Ilbo, April 17, 2009, Page 31)

After witnessing the government's confusion and feuding between
ministries regarding South Korea's full participation in the
Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI),it makes one wonder whether
we can truly entrust this government with the security of the
nation. The government convened a foreign policy and security
meeting on Tuesday and tentatively agreed to participate in the PSI.
The weekly meeting involves the Ministers of Foreign Affairs and
Trade, Unification and Defense, as well as the head of the National
Intelligence Agency, the chief presidential secretary for foreign
affairs and national security and the head of the Prime Minister's
office.

Blue House Spokesman Lee Dong-kwan said after the meeting that an
announcement declaring Seoul's full participation in the PSI would
be made "either today or tomorrow." But on Wednesday, President Lee
Myung-bak questioned whether this was the right time to make the
announcement. The announcement was subsequently postponed until
this weekend. At the end of March, the government said it would
immediately declare its participation if North Korea fired a rocket.
But when North Korean did so on April 5, South Korea said the PSI
was not something that can be used as a direct countermeasure
against the launch. The government said it would wait a few days,
during which the Foreign Ministry, which favored "immediate
participation," is said to have conflicted with the Unification
Ministry, which favored a "cautious decision."

Just what is the role of the weekly foreign policy and national
security meeting? Ministries and officials are fanning confusion by
making conflicting statements regarding such an important foreign
policy and national security issue as participation in the PSI. It
is now difficult for the President to avoid being criticized for
doing little to prevent the confusion.

Consequently, the issue of Seoul's participation in the PSI has now
encountered a dilemma. The U.S. government issued an unofficial

SEOUL 00000633 005 OF 007


"welcome" message to South Korean correspondents in Washington D.C.
on Tuesday, amid news that Seoul's announcement was imminent. U.S.
President Barack Obama plans to make the PSI, presently including 94
countries, the framework of a global initiative to prevent the
spread of nuclear weapons, and establish necessary global
regulations. In contrast, North Korea has been saying that South
Korea's participation would be "an act of war."

There is also a considerable amount of opposition to South Korea's
participation in the PSI within the country on the grounds that it
would not be an effective measure to sanction North Korea for
launching the rocket, and would only serve to increase tensions on
the Korean peninsula. This opposition is valid to some degree,
although claims that the PSI could trigger a war are groundless.
Seoul's participation in the PSI may certainly escalate tensions,
which are already high after the North's decision to restart its
nuclear facilities, even further, as North Korea has vowed
retaliation. Yet it would be difficult for South Korea to ignore
the PSI, after having been so vocal about the need for international
cooperation in dealing with North Korea's nuclear threat.

Now that the situation has deteriorated, the South Korean government
should not make a hasty decision on the PSI participation issue. It
should take enough time to calculate the pluses and minuses of full
participation and adequately prepare for various scenarios. Rather
than causing more serious damage by racing to decide, it would be
wise to consider a strategic point of view that takes into account
the overall security situation in Korea. And the President himself
must take the initiative.


IT IS NOT EASY TO CALCULATE PLUSES AND MINUSES OF PSI PARTICIPATION

(Hankook Ilbo, April 17, 2009, Page 35)

Some people construe the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI) as
a scheme by the U.S. to indirectly 'contain' its strategic rivals
including China. Participation by 90 countries including the U.S.
and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) does not give
further justification to the PSI.

It would be too simple to construe the ROK's full participation in
the PSI, which the previous Roh Moo-hyun Administration avoided, as
a 'complete departure' from the Sunshine Policy. Of course, the Roh
Administration put inter-Korean relations before the U.S.-ROK
alliance. However, the Lee Myung-bak Government should not provoke
North Korea to aggravate the issues over the Kaesong Industrial
Complex and a detained ROK civilian. Also, there is a concern that
(ships from the two Koreas) could clash at sea.

Furthermore, the ROKG should understand that China, which has as
much influence on the Korean Peninsula issue as the U.S., is
sensitive to the PSI. It would be desirable, rather than
reproachable, for the ROKG to deeply consider this delicate issue.



FEATURES
--------------
WHY HOLBROOKE, NOT BOSWORTH
(Chosun Ilbo, April 17, 2009, Page 5)

By Reporter Lim Min-hyeok

Holbrooke asks for the ROK's commitment to Afghanistan and President
Lee promises to provide "practical help."

Special Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan Richard
Holbrooke met President Lee Myung-bak and Foreign Minister Yu
Myung-hwan in Seoul on April 16. During the meeting, President Lee
promised to provide "practical support" to Afghanistan.

The ROKG said Holbrooke was in Seoul to pay his respects on his way
to a Pakistan donors conference which will take place in Japan on

SEOUL 00000633 006 OF 007


Friday. His visit comes at a delicate time when South Korea feels
the need to strengthen cooperation with the U.S. more urgently than
ever before since North Korea is again boycotting the Six-Party
Talks aimed at ending its nuclear program.

A diplomatic source said, "The fact that Special Representative for
Afghanistan and Pakistan Richard Holbrooke, not Special
Representative for North Korea Policy Stephen Bosworth, is visiting
Seoul at this time is highly symbolic. It means we have to show
sincerity in the Afghan issue before we can expect solid cooperation
from the U.S. in order to resolve the North Korean nuclear issue."

Timing of Holbrooke's visit

Special Representative Richard Holbrooke did not explicitly ask for
the ROK's increased support including troop deployment. He
expressed appreciation to the ROK for contributing considerably to
the reconstruction efforts in Afghanistan. The Obama
Administration's diplomacy is different from the one-sided diplomacy
of the Bush Administration. An ROK official said that the Obama
Administration asks for help from its allies by seeking their
voluntary participation.

Early last month, extraordinarily, an official from the U.S.
Department of Defense specializing in Afghanistan affairs, attended
the Security Policy Initiative (SPI) meeting. Also, during the
recent ROK-U.S. summit held in London, President Obama told
President Lee that the U.S. needs considerable support in
Afghanistan. Holbrooke's visit to the ROK could be interpreted to
mean that the U.S. is implicitly asking for the ROK's support.

In particular, Holbrooke's visit came when the ROK may need to ask a
favor of the U.S. Professor Kim Sung-han at Korea University said
that now that North Korea intends to derail the Six-Party Talks and
pursue direct talks with the U.S., the ROK's only leverage could be
a stronger alliance between the ROK-U.S. The ROKG remembers the
nightmare during the first North Korean nuclear crisis in 1994 when
the ROK was excluded from U.S.-North Korea talks and had to remain
an outsider. In order that this not happen again, the ROK should
pay attention to relations with the U.S.

Observers say that the current situation is similar to 2003 when the
ROK decided to send its troops to Iraq. A diplomatic source said
that, at that time, the Roh Moo-hyun Administration agreed to send
troops, at the risk of losing its core supporters, in order to steer
President Bush's hard-line North Korea policy toward a direction it
wanted.

Was the ROK's military commitment discussed?

The ROKG proposed to the U.S. its plans to provide 30 million
dollars of additional aid and increase the number of the Provincial
Reconstruction Team (PRT) personnel from 24 to 90. It appears that
this is a preemptive reaction by the ROKG to block any request by
the U.S. for (the ROK to) deploy troops which is a politically
sensitive issue. However, an ROKG official said that the ROK's
proportional share of the international support for Afghanistan is
less than 1 percent. This indicates that the ROKG might consider
offering additional support.

Recently, President Obama unveiled a new Afghan strategy outlining
an increase in troops by 21,000. However, allies did not show an
active interest (in participating),making the U.S. anxious.
Therefore, some observers say that President Lee's remarks on
practical support may hint at the possibility of the ROK's troop
deployment to Afghanistan. Some people in the ruling party are
expressing the opinion that, in the end, a military contribution by
the ROK would be inevitable. However, a senior ROKG official said
that "practical support" chiefly means economic aid. He added that
currently there is no discussion on dispatching troops to
Afghanistan.


PRESIDENT LEE: THE ROK WILL LOOK FOR WAYS TO HELP AFGHANISTAN

SEOUL 00000633 007 OF 007


(Seoul Shinmun, April 17, 2009, Page 2)

By reporter Lee Jong-lac

President Lee Myung-bak said on April 16 that he will look for ways
to provide "practical support" to Afghanistan. He made this comment
to Special Representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan Richard
Holbrooke, who is on a visit to the ROK. This is noteworthy since
it is President Lee's first (official) remark on the Afghan issue.
The issue over ROK's troop deployment to Afghanistan has been
emerging. President Lee Myung-bak said that the ROK sees the U.S.'
review of its Afghanistan and Pakistan strategy as a comprehensive
and realistic approach. President Lee added that he believes that
since President Obama is taking united action together with the
international community, (President Obama) will address this issue
successfully.


WHAT'S THE PURPOSE OF HOLBROOKE'S VISIT?
(Hankyoreh Shinmun, April 17, 2009, Page 4)

By Reporter Lee Je-hoon, Hwang Joon-bum and Lee Yong-in

Presidential Vice Spokesperson Kim Eun-hye said on April 16 that
President Lee Myung-bak met Special Representative for Afghanistan
and Pakistan Richard Holbrooke. She added that President Lee was
briefed on the U.S. government's review of its Pakistan and
Afghanistan policies and current developments in the regions.

Holbrooke met separately with Kim Sung-hwan, Senior Presidential
Secretary for Diplomacy and National Security, Lee Yong-joon, Deputy
Minister for Foreign Affairs and Trade, and Kim Tae-hyo,
Presidential Secretary for National Security Strategy.

Earlier, Foreign Minister Yu Myung-hwan exchanged opinions with
Holbrooke for about 30 minutes. An ROK diplomatic official who also
attended this meeting said that Holbrooke asked the ROK to provide
police training personnel in order to bolster reconstruction efforts
in Afghanistan.


STEPHENS

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