Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09SANTIAGO831
2009-09-04 20:36:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Santiago
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C O N F I D E N T I A L SANTIAGO 000831
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 2019/09/04
TAGS: PREL CI
SUBJECT: Lagos on Honduras, Chilean elections
CLASSIFIED BY: Paul E. Simons, Ambassador; REASON: 1.4(B),(D)
C O N F I D E N T I A L SANTIAGO 000831
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 2019/09/04
TAGS: PREL CI
SUBJECT: Lagos on Honduras, Chilean elections
CLASSIFIED BY: Paul E. Simons, Ambassador; REASON: 1.4(B),(D)
1. (C) Former President Lagos met with the Ambassador on
September 4 for a brief tour d'horizon of the regional situation
and the Chilean elections.
2. (C) On Honduras, Lagos was pessimistic that it would be
possible to restore Zelaya to power before the scheduled elections.
He saluted the steps taken by the U.S. yesterday, saying that visa
revocations were our most valuable tool. That said, Zelaya remains
too close to Chavez and his rhetoric continues to frighten the de
facto leaders. In Lagos' view, regardless of the current public
positions staked out by OAS members, it will be difficult to reject
the outcome of the upcoming elections if they command broad public
support within Honduras.
3. (C) On the Chilean elections, Lagos believes that center
right front runner Sebastian Pinera is "Chavez' preferred
candidate." Chile will have far less regional influence in a
Pinera government, as Chavez will lump Chile together with Colombia
as "countries ruling from the right." Lagos believes the race
between Pinera and Frei remains wide open, and he will return from
a trip to the U.S. in early October to assist the Frei campaign.
4. (C) With respect to the region, Lagos' principal worry is
Peru. Argentina will muddle through, Brazil will demonstrate
policy continuity no matter who is elected, but Peru could go
dangerously adrift if Humala prevails in the elections. Lagos is
concerned about Venezuelan funding and Morales' rhetoric which
together could inflame the large indigenous population in the
southern part of Peru. Lagos saluted Garcia's superb economic
management but lamented his failure to translate that achievement
(like that of his predecessor Toledo) into broader public support.
SIMONS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 2019/09/04
TAGS: PREL CI
SUBJECT: Lagos on Honduras, Chilean elections
CLASSIFIED BY: Paul E. Simons, Ambassador; REASON: 1.4(B),(D)
1. (C) Former President Lagos met with the Ambassador on
September 4 for a brief tour d'horizon of the regional situation
and the Chilean elections.
2. (C) On Honduras, Lagos was pessimistic that it would be
possible to restore Zelaya to power before the scheduled elections.
He saluted the steps taken by the U.S. yesterday, saying that visa
revocations were our most valuable tool. That said, Zelaya remains
too close to Chavez and his rhetoric continues to frighten the de
facto leaders. In Lagos' view, regardless of the current public
positions staked out by OAS members, it will be difficult to reject
the outcome of the upcoming elections if they command broad public
support within Honduras.
3. (C) On the Chilean elections, Lagos believes that center
right front runner Sebastian Pinera is "Chavez' preferred
candidate." Chile will have far less regional influence in a
Pinera government, as Chavez will lump Chile together with Colombia
as "countries ruling from the right." Lagos believes the race
between Pinera and Frei remains wide open, and he will return from
a trip to the U.S. in early October to assist the Frei campaign.
4. (C) With respect to the region, Lagos' principal worry is
Peru. Argentina will muddle through, Brazil will demonstrate
policy continuity no matter who is elected, but Peru could go
dangerously adrift if Humala prevails in the elections. Lagos is
concerned about Venezuelan funding and Morales' rhetoric which
together could inflame the large indigenous population in the
southern part of Peru. Lagos saluted Garcia's superb economic
management but lamented his failure to translate that achievement
(like that of his predecessor Toledo) into broader public support.
SIMONS