MEDIA REACTION: POTUS VISIT, G20, U.S.-RUSSIA, AFGHANISTAN,

UNCLAS BERLIN 000384 STATE FOR INR/R/MR, EUR/PAPD, EUR/PPA, EUR/AGS, INR/EUC, INR/P, SECDEF FOR USDP/ISA/DSAA, DIA FOR DC-4A VIENNA FOR CSBM, CSCE, PAA "PERISHABLE INFORMATION -- DO NOT SERVICE" E.0. 12958: N/A TAGS: OPRC KMDR KPAO GM US RS AF IR IS QA XG SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION: POTUS VISIT, G20, U.S.-RUSSIA, AFGHANISTAN, ISRAEL, ARAB LEAGUE, CHODORKOVSKY ¶1. Lead Stories Summary ¶2. POTUS Visit to Europe ¶3. G20 Summit ¶4. Obama-Medvedev Meeting ¶5. The Hague Conference on Afghanistan ¶6. New Israeli Government ¶7. Arab League Summit ¶8. Chodorkovsky Trial ¶1. Lead Stories Summary Editorials focused on the most recent unemployment rates and on Chancellor Merkel's promise to Opel workers to support a private investor of the company. Headlines in the press primarily centered on the drowning of hundreds of refugees off the Libyan coast, and on the most recent unemployment figures. ZDF-TV's early evening newscast Heute and ARD-TV's early evening newscast Tagesschau opened with reports on Chancellor Merkel's visit to Opel. ¶2. POTUS Visit to Europe FT Deutschland's front-page editorial commented: "Obama might no longer be seen as a messiah at home, but the excitement in Europe is unbroken. When he tours Europe for the first time, he can be sure that his fans will celebrate him... It is not a surprise that the Europeans see the refreshed friendship as a one-way street. They believe they had the right position under Obama's predecessor and it is now up to America to reach out. Obama has done so.... However, Europe hardly moves and acts like there still is a president in the White House who is not interested in cooperation. Those who are interested in a new beginning with Washington must share the burden fairly." Bild editorialized: "The U.S. President has finally arrived. Looking at him from a distance, he was a giant.... But reality has caught up with him: the tough fight against the economic crisis, for peace in Afghanistan and for disarmament. After having reached the top of the mountain in no time, he has come down to earth again. Europe will get to know the real Obama in London, a man who has tough interests and knows how to push them through. There is no doubt that he is the global player number one. When Air Force One returns to Washington after the weekend, we will all be a bit disappointed because the messiah and pop star will have turned into a normal politician who knows what he wants. This is exactly what the world needs!" Handelsblatt's front-page editorial remarked: "Barack Obama might have been Bush's opponent, but he is certainly not a European. If something has become clear during the first weeks of his presidency it is that Obama pursues an American policy for America. If this coincides with European ideas it makes things easier and more pleasant. However, those who believe that the 44th President of the U.S. is looking to Europe for guidance are wrong. Obama wants to exploit the crisis to lead America back to new grandeur. If he succeeds Europe, will be dealing with an ally in a few years who does not lack self-confidence." ¶3. G20 Summit Financial Times Deutschland opined: "It is certainly no surprise that it is now becoming clear that the change of power in Washington has not resolved all transatlantic conflicts of interest. But it is surprising to see that the dissonances did not affect Afghanistan...but instead the question of whether all industrialized countries are doing enough to fight the economic crisis. Those who want a new beginning in relations with Washington must also be willing to accept fair burden-sharing. This is true of Afghanistan but even more so of economic policy. It does not fit together when the Europeans cheer at Obama but reject his request for more state investment against the global crises and describe it as a 'path to hell' without seriously discussing it. During Obama's trip to Europe it will become clear who is only a claqueur basking in [Obama's] reputation and who is serious about a new beginning in transatlantic cooperation. Those who consider themselves members of the latter group should not meet Obama empty-handed." Frankfurter Allgemeine deals with the French position in London and opined: "President Sarkozy likes vigorous words, but it is likely that he will not realize his threat to leave the summit if it does not agree on concrete results. He is much too interested in good relations with the United States and President Obama. The real message is that his advisors emphasize the special relationship with Chancellor Merkel in the preparatory stages of the summit. A few weeks ago, the situation was different when Sarkozy discovered Premier Brown as a close ally and when relations with Chancellor Merkel were considered strained. Whatever the personal relations between the powers-that-be, in questions of social and economic policies, the continental Europeans always had a certain distance to the Anglo-American economists. Now the project of a global economic charter seems to unify the Franco-German couple - pourvu que ga dure." Regional Dresdner Neueste Nachrichten opined: "No one should expect miracles from the G-20 summit in London but a clear agreement on control of highly speculative financial products. But the summiteers should not throw the baby out with the bathwater. Insane speculative orgies must be banned in the future without stopping reasonable financial deals. A new financial architecture should not turn into a dungeon for banks. We hope that Chancellor Merkel with her moderate economic stimulus programs will assert here view towards President Obama, who is provoking a high inflation rate with sprawling debt, thus burdening future generations. Debt or reason, this is the question in London." According to Berliner Morgenpost, "we should not have excessive expectations in the global financial summit. The government leaders will not really be able to agree on a common and vigorous recipe to fight the crisis. If everything works out fine, they will agree at least on a common analysis of the status quo, probably also on the first steps. But this would be it the signal of cohesiveness that Chancellor Merkel expects from the London summit. In view of the delicate matter, this would be no more than a minimum goal." Regional daily Lausitzer Rundschau of Cottbus argued: "The G-20 members must define something like the principles of sustainable economic development and fair global trade and commit themselves to implementing them. This also includes the goal of energy supply and production methods that reduce the burden on the climate. President Obama has demonstrated the willingness for such international cooperation. And this is the great hope. The Europeans should follow him, including Angela Merkel, who has thus far been skeptical towards the outcome of the London summit. Beyond the concrete results, the summit can turn into a milestone if the spirit of competition is put back into the bottle and the spirit of global responsibility is released again." ¶4. Obama-Medvedev Meeting Under the headline "Improve relations to the U.S.," Spiegel Online reprinted Russian President Medvedev's op-ed that was first published in the Washington Post on March 31. The webzine wrote: "Satisfaction at the new course in Washington, much praise about Obama - and a clear enforcement of Russian interests. Russian President Medvedev writes about a restart of the relations to the U.S., exits from the financial crisis and pleads for new rounds of disarmament." Sueddeutsche commented: "There was hardly anything Russia so feverishly awaited as the meeting with Obama. This first contact between Medvedev and Obama is, like anything else America does, a seismograph of Russia's power in the world.... In the late period of the Bush presidency, relations had reached an historic low and the war in Georgia reminded us of the proxy wars of colder times. Now, both sides implore pragmatism and first options are becoming visible. America could give up MD if Russia shows more determination towards Iran. Obama might quietly accept Russia's claims in Afghanistan's central Asian neighboring countries. In return, Moscow might pave the way for Washington's supplies for the war against the Taliban.... Both asymmetrical superpowers share common interests, but also mistrust each other and have contradictory interests. The world could be safer if both sides could get on better." ¶5. The Hague Conference on Afghanistan Sueddeutsche Zeitung opined: "Since Barack Obama has been governing in the U.S. an end to the frosty times in relations seems to be in the offing. And the fact that Tehran sent Deputy Foreign Minister Mehdi Achundsadeh to the Afghanistan Conference in The Hague is a double signal. On the one hand, the Iranians do not want to miss the opportunity to build bridges, and, on the other hand, Achundsadeh is an experienced diplomat since he was the former Iranian ambassador to Germany, Pakistan and the IAEA, but he does not have the same rank than Secretary Clinton. For the Shiite regime in Tehran, the joint enmity to the fundamentalist Sunni Taliban is a possible basis of understanding with America. In Moscow and at NATO, U.S. and Iranian officials shook hands over the past few days. But no one expects a quick agreement after such a long ice-age. If at all, there will be slow progress, step by step along a bumpy road, such as the one between the U.S. and Libya." According to die tageszeitung, "it is true that Iran considers the presence of U.S. forces in Afghanistan to be a threat and that it wants to end this presence as soon as possible. But for Iran, a return of the Taliban to power would be even more threatening. It is also well known that the Sunni terror groups around al-Qaida consider the Shiites in Iran to be their arch enemies. Iran is one of the most important trading and economic partners of Afghanistan and is interested in stability and security in its neighboring country. Does this also mean that the powers-that-be in Iran are sitting in the same boat with 'great Satan?' No one in Tehran dares to say this aloud, but may be in The Hague behind closed doors." ¶6. New Israel Government Berliner Zeitung commented: "The comfortable majority Netanyahu enjoys in the Knesset is deceptive. Israel's government is weak because it is too heterogeneous.... The coalition partners are not united by a persuasive government program.... If the international community is really interested in a two-state solution it would have to exert massive pressure on Netanyahu, who has not been saying much on the issue." Frankfurter Rundschau editorialized: "Prime Minister Netanyahu hammered together his coalition. The result is simple: to satisfy his coalition partners he appointed so many ministers that a new cabinet table must be made. What for? Netanyahu prefers security over peace.... The U.S. no longer talks about the war on terror and is searching with Europe for a political solution of the conflicts. Israel is going into a different direction." Tagesspiegel editorialized: "Israel's new government has different foreign and security policy priorities than the previous government. The ones who will now suffer the most will be the Palestinians. It is not striving for new talks and not for the goals that were the focus of previous talks. That is why such negotiations seem to be senseless and are about to fail even before they have begun. A Palestinian state has again been a goal for the distant future. There would be only one possibility: the U.S., the EU, and the Middle East Quartet would have to exert massive pressure on Israel. For the first time in decades, the Israel-Palestinian conflict does not have a political priority. Netanyahu and Lieberman consider Iran's nuclear program to be the greatest existential threat to Israel. The Middle and Near East is faced with highly uneasy times. The Palestinians are likely not to simply accept their downgrading, Hamas would really be strengthened, and Tehran's possible reaction suggests we should be prepared for the worst." ¶7. Arab League Summit Handelsblatt noted under the headline: "Fragile Cement" that "by demonstrating solidarity with Sudan's President al-Bashir, the Arab leaders did themselves a great disservice Those who court al-Bashir, who is wanted because of the war crimes in Darfur, and, at the same time, condemn the Israeli military offensive in the Gaza Strip, are using double standards. This blatant case of double standards will undermine the credibility of the Arab position. There are three reasons behind this Arab move, and they are hard to understand in the West. First, the Arab leaders gather around al-Bashir because they are afraid of a dangerous precedent. If the Sudanese president is put on trial before the ICC, then it could soon be one of them. Second, the Arabs want to make clear to the public that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is not on top of the agenda, and third, they are driven by the concern that regime change in Sudan could plunge the entire region into chaos. The Arab press described the Doha meeting as a summit of unity, but, in reality, the old front-lines remain in place." ¶8. Chodorkovsky Trial According to Die Welt, "Russian justice authorities are now focusing in an exemplary way on the former oligarch Mikhail Chodorkovsky. He attracted their unbridled hatred, and it is probably not wrong to see this form of prosecution as a part of Putin's spirit. Without showing any consideration for the public effect [of this trial], an example is set which will certainly have a deterring effect. When Dmitri Medvedev became president, there were a few hesitant signals that a more peaceful chapter could be opened in the case 'Russia vs. Chodorkosky.' But nothing has remained of this. This Russian justice has something destructive about it. The fact that such a demonstration of power is possible does not bode well." KOENIG