Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09BAKU972
2009-12-17 14:02:00
SECRET//NOFORN
Embassy Baku
Cable title:
IRANIAN SNSC ON AFGHANISTAN, OPPOSITION ARRESTS
how-toVZCZCXRO9188 RR RUEHBC RUEHDE RUEHDIR RUEHKUK RUEHTRO DE RUEHKB #0972 3511402 ZNY SSSSS ZZH R 171402Z DEC 09 FM AMEMBASSY BAKU TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 2173 INFO RUCNIRA/IRAN COLLECTIVE RUEHDM/AMEMBASSY DAMASCUS 0002 RUEHRH/AMEMBASSY RIYADH 0042 RUEHIT/AMCONSUL ISTANBUL 0184 RHMFISS/CDR USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE RHMFISS/CDR USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC RUEKDIA/DIA WASHDC
S E C R E T BAKU 000972
NOFORN
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/18/2019
TAGS: PREL PGOV SA AJ SY IR
SUBJECT: IRANIAN SNSC ON AFGHANISTAN, OPPOSITION ARRESTS
REF: A. A) BAKU 909
B. B) BAKU 921
C. C) BAKU 920 (NOTAL)
Classified By: POL/Econ Chief Rob Garverick, for Reasons 1.4 (b and d).
S E C R E T BAKU 000972
NOFORN
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/18/2019
TAGS: PREL PGOV SA AJ SY IR
SUBJECT: IRANIAN SNSC ON AFGHANISTAN, OPPOSITION ARRESTS
REF: A. A) BAKU 909
B. B) BAKU 921
C. C) BAKU 920 (NOTAL)
Classified By: POL/Econ Chief Rob Garverick, for Reasons 1.4 (b and d).
1. (S/NOFORN) Baku Iran watcher met again with an
Iranian-Azerbaijani journalist/magazine editor who previously
reported on recent deliberations of the Supreme National
Security Council (Shuraye Aliye Amniate Melli),and other
issues (reftels). Baku contact has been known to Iran
watcher for over a year and has reported reliably in the
past. The purported original source of the SNSC information,
if real, has credible access to knowledge of these
discussions (ref c).
U.S.-Taliban Alliance Against Iran?
--------------
2. (S/NOFORN) According to the Baku Source, an SNSC meeting
that allegedly occurred approximately two and a half weeks
ago included discussion of President Obama's Afghan policy
and troop surge plan. The source alleged that several SNSC
members asserted that the USG is seeking an accommodation
with the Taliban in order to undertake a joint attack on
Iran, and that the upcoming U.S. troop surge should be
understood in this context. Note: It was implied that this
was the SNSC's consensus, but this was not clear. End Note).
The Baku source provided no other information on this
alleged discussion, but claimed that SNSC Secretary Saeed
Jalili subsequently went to Syria to meet with Hamas and
Hezbollah leaders in order to line up their support for
military actions against American and/or Israeli targets in
the event of a military strike against Iran by either party.
Opposition Leadership Arrest Proposal
--------------
3. (S/NOFORN) Baku source also related claims that the SNSC
recently received a proposal and an associated option plan
from the Revolutionary Guard leadership concerning the
possible the arrest of top opposition and "Green Movement"
leaders during either before or immediately after the
upcoming religious holiday of Ashura (January 7, 2010). It
is unclear if this alleged proposal was actually adopted, or
merely provided as a basis for discussion. Baku Iran watcher
asked that, if possible, more details be obtained about this
alleged Revolutionary Guard "proposal."
Saudis Deport Iranian Detainees
--------------
4. (C) Citing sources in the Tehran Office for the Haj, the
Baku source claimed that approximately 80 Iranian pilgrims
who were allegedly detained by Saudi authorities while en
route to Mecca were deported back to Iran about two weeks ago
(see ref a).
LU
NOFORN
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/18/2019
TAGS: PREL PGOV SA AJ SY IR
SUBJECT: IRANIAN SNSC ON AFGHANISTAN, OPPOSITION ARRESTS
REF: A. A) BAKU 909
B. B) BAKU 921
C. C) BAKU 920 (NOTAL)
Classified By: POL/Econ Chief Rob Garverick, for Reasons 1.4 (b and d).
1. (S/NOFORN) Baku Iran watcher met again with an
Iranian-Azerbaijani journalist/magazine editor who previously
reported on recent deliberations of the Supreme National
Security Council (Shuraye Aliye Amniate Melli),and other
issues (reftels). Baku contact has been known to Iran
watcher for over a year and has reported reliably in the
past. The purported original source of the SNSC information,
if real, has credible access to knowledge of these
discussions (ref c).
U.S.-Taliban Alliance Against Iran?
--------------
2. (S/NOFORN) According to the Baku Source, an SNSC meeting
that allegedly occurred approximately two and a half weeks
ago included discussion of President Obama's Afghan policy
and troop surge plan. The source alleged that several SNSC
members asserted that the USG is seeking an accommodation
with the Taliban in order to undertake a joint attack on
Iran, and that the upcoming U.S. troop surge should be
understood in this context. Note: It was implied that this
was the SNSC's consensus, but this was not clear. End Note).
The Baku source provided no other information on this
alleged discussion, but claimed that SNSC Secretary Saeed
Jalili subsequently went to Syria to meet with Hamas and
Hezbollah leaders in order to line up their support for
military actions against American and/or Israeli targets in
the event of a military strike against Iran by either party.
Opposition Leadership Arrest Proposal
--------------
3. (S/NOFORN) Baku source also related claims that the SNSC
recently received a proposal and an associated option plan
from the Revolutionary Guard leadership concerning the
possible the arrest of top opposition and "Green Movement"
leaders during either before or immediately after the
upcoming religious holiday of Ashura (January 7, 2010). It
is unclear if this alleged proposal was actually adopted, or
merely provided as a basis for discussion. Baku Iran watcher
asked that, if possible, more details be obtained about this
alleged Revolutionary Guard "proposal."
Saudis Deport Iranian Detainees
--------------
4. (C) Citing sources in the Tehran Office for the Haj, the
Baku source claimed that approximately 80 Iranian pilgrims
who were allegedly detained by Saudi authorities while en
route to Mecca were deported back to Iran about two weeks ago
(see ref a).
LU