EAC CONVENED TO UPDATE REVERSE TREIPWIRES

S E C R E T ANTANANARIVO 000492 NOFORN SIPDIS DEPT FOR DS, D, P, M, S/CT, CA, AF, AND INR E.O. 12958: DECL: 06/30/2029 TAGS: ASEC CASC MA MP PGOV PREL PTER SUBJECT: EAC CONVENED TO UPDATE REVERSE TREIPWIRES REF: ANTANANARIVO 245 Classified By: RSO R.J. BENT FOR REASONS 1.4 B AND D ¶1. (C) SUMMARY: Based on a suggestion/request from Washington, the mission's Emergency Action Committee (EAC) met again today to propose revisions to our exisiting reverse tripwires. This cable updates our previous set of reverse tripwires (reftel),which post agrees were too rigid and no longer correspond usefully to current reality. Proposed revised reverse tripwires as agreed today by the EAC follow. END SUMMARY ¶2. (S) a) Dialogue has replaced violence as the means to enact change. b) Host government operations continue at working levels. c) General restoration of civic law and order both in the capital and relevant areas of the country. d) Political violence is contained and incidents and/or perceived credible threats against relevant foreign targets or interests diminish to pre-crisis levels, returning foreign missions and international organizations to pre-crisis staffing and threat levels. e) Host government police support to the Mission is sufficient and reliable, including their response to periodic requests for additional assets. Generally, security forces continue to serve and protect, and Mission working relationships with law enforcement are satisfactory. f) General cessation of large-scale demonstrations beyond the ability of host country security forces to manage; political demonstrations that continue pose no threat to American security. g) No credible threats against Americans or U.S. interests. h) The Mission can sustain normal daily operations; Mission personnel can move about freely. i) Opposition seizure of power by force has become unlikely, and neighboring foreign nations oppose or decline to support opposition,s return by force. j) International flights remain readily available and airports are open. Businesses, utilities, ports, international schools, restaurants, stores, hotels, grocery stores, local markets and public works continue to function normally, with adequate supplies of food and fuel available. k) Potential significant flashpoints (e.g. Labor Day, Independence Day, 13 Mai) pass without incident. MARQUARDT