ABOUT FACE: PM HARPER STACKS SENATE

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 OTTAWA 001577



SIPDIS



SENSITIVE



E.O. 12958: N/A

TAGS: PGOV, PINR, CA

SUBJ: ABOUT FACE: PM HARPER STACKS SENATE



1. (SBU) Summary: Prime Minister Harper named 18 new Senators on

December 22, the largest one-time appointment of senators in

Canadian history. The appointments are a major about-face for the

Prime Minister and the Conservatives, who had long pledged to

transform the Senate into an elected body instead of appointing new

members as vacancies occurred. The holiday season will ensure that

the unexpected move receives only modest public attention (or

criticism),but the timing reinforces perceptions that the Prime

Minister fears that the present parliament may not last long. End

summary.



Merry Christmas!

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2. (U) The government on December 22 released the names of eighteen

individuals whom the Prime Minister has named as Senators. (See

full list in para 7.) Instead of the Prime Minister himself,

Minister of State for Democratic Reform Steven Fletcher offered

comments to the media. Fletcher emphasized that the Conservatives

had been seeking Senate reform for years, and argued that the

"Liberal-dominated, unaccountable" Senate had blocked legislation

(including the democratic reform bills),and if a proposed

Liberal-NDP coalition replaced the current Conservative government,

it could fill the seats. He further claimed that "something had to

be done" now since the numbers in the upper chamber had fallen so

low that it was no longer functioning effectively. He insisted that

the government remains committed to Senate reform and will

re-introduce reform legislation limiting senatorial terms to eight

years when Parliament resumes on January 26. Fletcher noted that

the government will expect the new Senators to step aside if

Parliament passes bills to reform the Senate in the future.

Currently, all Senators may remain until they reach 75 years old.



3. (U) In a subsequent statement on his website, PM Harper stated

that "the incoming Senators have all pledged to support eight-year

term limits and other Senate reform legislation . . . [and] also

declared his or her unwavering commitment to support Canadian unity

and oppose the coalition." He insisted that Senate vacancies

"should be filled by the government that Canadians elected rather

than by a coalition that no one voted for."



4. (U) Since becoming Prime Minister in 2006, Harper had

previously named only two individuals to the Senate; one for Alberta

(which had implemented a form of provincial selection for Senate

candidates) and one (Michael Fortier) for Quebec to represent

Montreal in his cabinet after the Conservatives won no seats there

in 2006. The new appointments have now filled seven vacant seats in

Atlantic Canada, four in Quebec, two in Ontario, one each in

Saskatchewan and Yukon, and three in British Columbia. A further 12

seats will come vacant in 2009.



CONSERVATIVES STILL A MINORITY

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5. (U) The appointments will not notably change the balance of power

in the upper chamber. Assuming all eighteen new appointments vote

Conservative, the new party standings in the 105 seat upper house

will be:

-- Liberals: 58;

-- Conservatives: 38;

-- Progressive Conservatives: 3, and

-- Independents: 6.

If the Conservatives remain in office and continue to name new

Senators as the incumbents retire upon reaching the upper age limit,

the Liberals will retain a majority in the Senate until at least

2010.



Opposition howls

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6. (U) Opposition parties have claimed that the appointments are

unseemly at a time when Parliament is prorogued, the Prime Minister

does not have the confidence of the Commons, and Canadians are

distracted by the holidays. However, the Governor General imposed

Qdistracted by the holidays. However, the Governor General imposed

no restrictions on December's prorogation, and PM Harper has every

legal right to make the appointments. The Canadian Taxpayers

Federation has calculated the total annual cost of each senator at

$860,215 (including $130,400 in salary, $90,000 in travel, and

expenses for an office and staff).



Who they are

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7. (U) The appointees come from a range of backgrounds, with most,

but not all, long associated with the Conservative Party:

PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND

-- Mike Duffy, CTV long-time political commentator;

NEWFOUNDLAND

-- Fabian Manning, former Conservative MP;

NOVA SCOTIA

-- Fred Dickson, lawyer, friend of former PM Mulroney, and a legal



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expert on offshore resource development;

-- Stephen Greene, former deputy chief of staff to Nova Scotia

Premier Rodney MacDonald and a former Vice Consul in Boston; and,

-- Michael MacDonald, local businessman and former executive

assistant to two federal cabinet ministers;

NEW BRUNSWICK

-- Percy Mockler, long-time member of the NB legislature and former

provincial minister; and,

-- John Wallace, lawyer;

QUEBEC

-- Patrick Brazeau, National Chief of the Congress of Aboriginal

Peoples;

-- Suzanne Fortin-Duplessis, former Quebec MP;

-- Leo Housakos, Montreal businessman; and,

-- Michel Rivard, former mayor of Beauport and member of the Quebec

National Assembly;

ONTARIO

-- Irving Gerstein, Conservative Party fundraiser and Member of the

Order of Canada;

-- Nicole Eaton, charity fundraiser and columnist;

SASKATCHEWAN:

-- Pamela Wallin, former broadcaster, Consul General in New York

City, and member of the Manley Panel on Afghanistan;

BRITISH COLUMBIA

-- Yonah Martin, cultural activist;

-- Richard Neufeld, former provincial minister of energy mines and

petroleum;

-- Nancy Greene Raine, Olympic champion alpine skier and "Canada's

Female Athlete of the 20th century;"

YUKON

-- Hector Daniel Lang, former member of the Yukon Legislative

Assembly.





8. (SBU) Comment: Appointing senators is a major about-face for a

PM and a party that long campaigned for an elected upper chamber.

The cost of the eighteen new senators also conflicts with political

messaging about the need for official belt-tightening. However, PM

Harper will not pay a real political price. The staunchest

advocates of Senate reform are Conservatives in western Canada, who

will swallow the expedient in order to forestall any opposition

appointments should the Harper government lose any upcoming vote of

confidence. The tenor of the Prime Minister's comments about a

possible Liberal/New Democratic Party coalition and the timing of

the appointments, however, underscore that the PM may fear that the

present parliament will not last long.

BREESE