Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08KATHMANDU438
2008-04-18 07:52:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Kathmandu
Cable title:  

NEPAL'S CA ELECTION: DECLARED RESULTS INCLUDE

Tags:  PGOV PTER KDEM NP 
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VZCZCXRO1252
OO RUEHCI
DE RUEHKT #0438 1090752
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 180752Z APR 08
FM AMEMBASSY KATHMANDU
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8355
INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING PRIORITY 6437
RUEHLM/AMEMBASSY COLOMBO PRIORITY 6752
RUEHKA/AMEMBASSY DHAKA PRIORITY 2041
RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD PRIORITY 4788
RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON PRIORITY 6002
RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI PRIORITY 2367
RUEHCI/AMCONSUL KOLKATA PRIORITY 4133
RHMFIUU/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI PRIORITY
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK PRIORITY 3165
UNCLAS KATHMANDU 000438 

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PTER KDEM NP
SUBJECT: NEPAL'S CA ELECTION: DECLARED RESULTS INCLUDE
DOUBLE WINS

REF: A. KATHMANDU 432

B. KATHMANDU 428

One More First-Past-the-Post Contest Decided
--------------------------------------------

UNCLAS KATHMANDU 000438

SIPDIS

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PTER KDEM NP
SUBJECT: NEPAL'S CA ELECTION: DECLARED RESULTS INCLUDE
DOUBLE WINS

REF: A. KATHMANDU 432

B. KATHMANDU 428

One More First-Past-the-Post Contest Decided
--------------


1. (SBU) In the 24 hours ending at noon local time on April
18, the Election Commission has declared the Nepali Congress
the winner of one first-past-the-post (FPTP) contest,
increasing the number of declared races from the April 10
Constituent Assembly (CA) election to 221 out of 240. (Note:
These results include only those the Election Commission has
officially released and thus trails media announcements. End
note.)

Communist Party of Nepal - Maoist - 116 constituencies; 52.5
percent

Nepali Congress (NC) - 34 constituencies; 14.5 percent

Communist Party of Nepal - United Marxist Leninist (UML) - 31
constituencies; 14 percent

Madhesi People's Rights Forum (MPRF) - 24 constituencies; 11
percent

Other Madhesi parties - 10 constituencies; 4.5 percent

Minor left parties - 4 constituencies; 2 percent

Independents - 2 constituencies; 1 percent


By-Elections May Affect Final FPTP Results
--------------


2. (SBU) By-elections in five constituencies -- in which the
winning candidate also won in another constituency --
probably will not be held for several months. The
by-elections will not delay the sitting of the CA, but they
may affect the final number of FPTP seats a party wins.

Maoists - 2 declared constituencies to hold by-elections

NC - 1 declared constituency to hold by-election

MPRF - 2 declared constituencies to hold by-elections


PR Votes Consistent with Projected Wins
--------------


3. (SBU) International election experts told the Deputy
Chief of Mission on the morning of April 18 that with 64
percent of the proportional representation ballots counted,
their projection of the total share of the 575 elected seats
each party will have in the 601-member CA remains essentially
the same (Ref B). The distribution of current PR votes is as
follows:

Maoists - 31.9 percent (projected to win 41.2 percent of
combined CA seats)

NC - 21.8 percent (projected to win 19.5 percent of combined
CA seats)

UML - 20.8 percent (projected to win 18.6 percent of combined
CA seats)

MPRF - 4.3 percent (projected to win 6.5 percent of combined
CA seats)
POWELL

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