Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08KATHMANDU428
2008-04-16 09:00:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Kathmandu
Cable title:
NEPAL'S CA ELECTION: MAOISTS PROJECTED TO WIN 40
how-toVZCZCXRO9242 OO RUEHCI DE RUEHKT #0428 1070900 ZNR UUUUU ZZH O 160900Z APR 08 FM AMEMBASSY KATHMANDU TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8337 INFO RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING PRIORITY 6433 RUEHLM/AMEMBASSY COLOMBO PRIORITY 6750 RUEHKA/AMEMBASSY DHAKA PRIORITY 2039 RUEHIL/AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD PRIORITY 4786 RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON PRIORITY 6000 RUEHNE/AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI PRIORITY 2365 RUEHCI/AMCONSUL KOLKATA PRIORITY 4131 RHMFIUU/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI PRIORITY RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC PRIORITY RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK PRIORITY 3163
UNCLAS KATHMANDU 000428
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PTER KDEM NP
SUBJECT: NEPAL'S CA ELECTION: MAOISTS PROJECTED TO WIN 40
PERCENT OF ELECTED SEATS
REF: A. KATHMANDU 422
B. KATHMANDU 416
First-Past-the-Post Election Results: Update
--------------------------------------------
UNCLAS KATHMANDU 000428
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PTER KDEM NP
SUBJECT: NEPAL'S CA ELECTION: MAOISTS PROJECTED TO WIN 40
PERCENT OF ELECTED SEATS
REF: A. KATHMANDU 422
B. KATHMANDU 416
First-Past-the-Post Election Results: Update
--------------
1. (U) As of noon local time on April 16, Nepal's Election
Commission has announced the results from 216 out of 240 (90
percent) of the first-past-the-post (FPTP) races from the
April 10 Constituent Assembly (CA) election. The Communist
Party of Nepal - Maoist has won three of the eight contests
in which winners were declared over the past 24 hours. The
current standings are as follows, with numbers in parentheses
noting additional wins since Ref A:
Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) - 116 seats, 54 percent of
declared total (3)
Nepali Congress (NC) - 32 seats, 15 percent (0)
Communist Party of Nepal - United Marxist Leninist (UML) - 30
seats, 14 percent (1)
Madhesi People's Rights Forum (MPRF) - 23 seats, 11 percent
(2)
Other Madhesi parties - 10 seats, 5 percent (1)
Minor left parties - 3 seats, 1 percent (0)
Independent - 2 seats, 1 percent (1)
PR Results Likely Lower for Maoists
--------------
2, (SBU) International election experts told the Ambassador
on April 16 that the results of the 25 percent of
proportional representation (PR) ballots the Election
Commission has counted track with their projections (Ref B).
The parties have the following percentages of the current PR
vote:
Maoists - 30 percent
UML - 23 percent
NC - 22 percent
MPRF - 4 percent
Projections for the CA
--------------
3. (SBU) The same experts estimate that if this trend
continues, the 575 combined FPTP and PR seats in the
601-member CA would have the following distribution:
Maoists - 40 percent
NC - 20 percent
UML - 19 percent
MPRF - 6 percent
Other parties (including the so-called "royalist" parties
that have not won any FPTP constituencies) - 15 percent
(Note: The new cabinet will appoint the remaining 26 CA
members. End note.)
POWELL
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PTER KDEM NP
SUBJECT: NEPAL'S CA ELECTION: MAOISTS PROJECTED TO WIN 40
PERCENT OF ELECTED SEATS
REF: A. KATHMANDU 422
B. KATHMANDU 416
First-Past-the-Post Election Results: Update
--------------
1. (U) As of noon local time on April 16, Nepal's Election
Commission has announced the results from 216 out of 240 (90
percent) of the first-past-the-post (FPTP) races from the
April 10 Constituent Assembly (CA) election. The Communist
Party of Nepal - Maoist has won three of the eight contests
in which winners were declared over the past 24 hours. The
current standings are as follows, with numbers in parentheses
noting additional wins since Ref A:
Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) - 116 seats, 54 percent of
declared total (3)
Nepali Congress (NC) - 32 seats, 15 percent (0)
Communist Party of Nepal - United Marxist Leninist (UML) - 30
seats, 14 percent (1)
Madhesi People's Rights Forum (MPRF) - 23 seats, 11 percent
(2)
Other Madhesi parties - 10 seats, 5 percent (1)
Minor left parties - 3 seats, 1 percent (0)
Independent - 2 seats, 1 percent (1)
PR Results Likely Lower for Maoists
--------------
2, (SBU) International election experts told the Ambassador
on April 16 that the results of the 25 percent of
proportional representation (PR) ballots the Election
Commission has counted track with their projections (Ref B).
The parties have the following percentages of the current PR
vote:
Maoists - 30 percent
UML - 23 percent
NC - 22 percent
MPRF - 4 percent
Projections for the CA
--------------
3. (SBU) The same experts estimate that if this trend
continues, the 575 combined FPTP and PR seats in the
601-member CA would have the following distribution:
Maoists - 40 percent
NC - 20 percent
UML - 19 percent
MPRF - 6 percent
Other parties (including the so-called "royalist" parties
that have not won any FPTP constituencies) - 15 percent
(Note: The new cabinet will appoint the remaining 26 CA
members. End note.)
POWELL