Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08HARARE651
2008-08-01 11:17:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Harare
how-toVZCZCXRO1165 OO RUEHDU RUEHMR RUEHRN DE RUEHSB #0651 2141117 ZNY CCCCC ZZH O 011117Z AUG 08 FM AMEMBASSY HARARE TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 3241 INFO RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AF DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY COLLECTIVE RUEHAR/AMEMBASSY ACCRA 2189 RUEHDS/AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA 2308 RUEHRL/AMEMBASSY BERLIN 0840 RUEHBY/AMEMBASSY CANBERRA 1585 RUEHDK/AMEMBASSY DAKAR 1943 RUEHKM/AMEMBASSY KAMPALA 2364 RUEHNR/AMEMBASSY NAIROBI 4795 RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC RUZEJAA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK RHMFISS/EUCOM POLAD VAIHINGEN GE RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC RUEHGV/USMISSION GENEVA 1454 RHEHAAA/NSC WASHDC
C O N F I D E N T I A L HARARE 000651
SIPDIS
AF/S FOR G. GARLAND
ADDIS ABABA FOR USAU
ADDIS ABABA FOR ACSS
STATE PASS TO USAID FOR E. LOKEN AND L. DOBBINS
STATE PASS TO NSC FOR SENIOR AFRICA DIRECTOR B. PITTMAN
E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/01/2018
TAGS: PGOV PREL ASEC ZI
SUBJECT: NEGOTIATIONS STILL ON TRACK
Classified By: Ambassador James D. McGee for reason 1.4 (d)
C O N F I D E N T I A L HARARE 000651
SIPDIS
AF/S FOR G. GARLAND
ADDIS ABABA FOR USAU
ADDIS ABABA FOR ACSS
STATE PASS TO USAID FOR E. LOKEN AND L. DOBBINS
STATE PASS TO NSC FOR SENIOR AFRICA DIRECTOR B. PITTMAN
E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/01/2018
TAGS: PGOV PREL ASEC ZI
SUBJECT: NEGOTIATIONS STILL ON TRACK
Classified By: Ambassador James D. McGee for reason 1.4 (d)
1. (C) MDC negotiator Elton Mangoma told us August 1 that
negotiations will resume in Pretoria on August 3. Mangoma
was optimistic that sticking points--balance of power between
Mugabe and Tsvangirai, and duration of the new
government--would be worked out and that a signing ceremony
would take place as early as next week. According to
Mangoma, ZANU-PF wants a five-year transitional government
while the MDC is insisting on two years. We understand from
several sources, including Mangoma, that the most likely
outcome is a power-sharing arrangement with Mugabe retaining
some executive powers as president and Tsvangirai becoming an
executive prime minister.
2. (C) COMMENT: Both sides are anxious for an agreement and
we expect, as indicated by Mangoma, a compromise resulting in
both Mugabe and Tsvangirai having executive power in a
transitional government with a division of ministries between
the two parties. Regardless of the precise allocation of
power between the two, if the security chiefs are left in
place, effective control of government will remain with
ZANU-PF.
3. (C) COMMENT CONTINUED: If an agreement is reached, we
expect Tsvangirai to state that compromises were made to
achieve the best agreement possible under the circumstances,
and that democratic reforms will be undertaken leading to
elections after the transition period. Under this scenario,
he will probably ask that sanctions be lifted and that
international developmental assistance resume. END COMMENT.
MCGEE
SIPDIS
AF/S FOR G. GARLAND
ADDIS ABABA FOR USAU
ADDIS ABABA FOR ACSS
STATE PASS TO USAID FOR E. LOKEN AND L. DOBBINS
STATE PASS TO NSC FOR SENIOR AFRICA DIRECTOR B. PITTMAN
E.O. 12958: DECL: 08/01/2018
TAGS: PGOV PREL ASEC ZI
SUBJECT: NEGOTIATIONS STILL ON TRACK
Classified By: Ambassador James D. McGee for reason 1.4 (d)
1. (C) MDC negotiator Elton Mangoma told us August 1 that
negotiations will resume in Pretoria on August 3. Mangoma
was optimistic that sticking points--balance of power between
Mugabe and Tsvangirai, and duration of the new
government--would be worked out and that a signing ceremony
would take place as early as next week. According to
Mangoma, ZANU-PF wants a five-year transitional government
while the MDC is insisting on two years. We understand from
several sources, including Mangoma, that the most likely
outcome is a power-sharing arrangement with Mugabe retaining
some executive powers as president and Tsvangirai becoming an
executive prime minister.
2. (C) COMMENT: Both sides are anxious for an agreement and
we expect, as indicated by Mangoma, a compromise resulting in
both Mugabe and Tsvangirai having executive power in a
transitional government with a division of ministries between
the two parties. Regardless of the precise allocation of
power between the two, if the security chiefs are left in
place, effective control of government will remain with
ZANU-PF.
3. (C) COMMENT CONTINUED: If an agreement is reached, we
expect Tsvangirai to state that compromises were made to
achieve the best agreement possible under the circumstances,
and that democratic reforms will be undertaken leading to
elections after the transition period. Under this scenario,
he will probably ask that sanctions be lifted and that
international developmental assistance resume. END COMMENT.
MCGEE