Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
08CARACAS1337
2008-09-23 18:39:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Caracas
how-toVZCZCXYZ0004 PP RUEHWEB DE RUEHCV #1337 2671839 ZNY CCCCC ZZH P 231839Z SEP 08 FM AMEMBASSY CARACAS TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 1850 INFO RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA 7859 RUEHLP/AMEMBASSY LA PAZ SEP LIMA 1086 RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO 2900 RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC RUMIAAA/HQ USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL RUCPDOC/DEPT OF COMMERCE RUEATRS/DEPT OF TREASURY
C O N F I D E N T I A L CARACAS 001337
SIPDIS
HQ SOUTHCOM ALSO FOR POLAD
TREASURY FOR MMALLOY
NSC FOR JSHRIER
COMMERCE FOR 4431/MAC/WH/MCAMERON
E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/23/2018
TAGS: ECON VE
SUBJECT: ANNUAL INFLATION NEARS 35 PERCENT
REF: A. CARACAS 956
B. CARACAS 1146
Classified By: Economic Counselor Darnall Steuart for reasons 1.4 (b)
and (d).
C O N F I D E N T I A L CARACAS 001337
SIPDIS
HQ SOUTHCOM ALSO FOR POLAD
TREASURY FOR MMALLOY
NSC FOR JSHRIER
COMMERCE FOR 4431/MAC/WH/MCAMERON
E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/23/2018
TAGS: ECON VE
SUBJECT: ANNUAL INFLATION NEARS 35 PERCENT
REF: A. CARACAS 956
B. CARACAS 1146
Classified By: Economic Counselor Darnall Steuart for reasons 1.4 (b)
and (d).
1. (U) According to figures recently released by the Central
Bank (BCV) and the National Statistics Institute, annual
(August 08/August 07) inflation in metropolitan Caracas has
reached 34.5 percent, the highest in Latin American and up
from 32.2 percent through June (ref A). Some local
economists believe that by year-end this number will have
dropped to around 30 percent: prices rose by a dramatic 10.4
percent in the last four months of 2007, and a more moderate
increase is expected in the remaining months of 2008.
2. (C) Price increases continue to cut into purchasing
power, particularly that of poorer Venezuelans for whom food
makes up a relatively larger part of the consumption basket.
Food prices have risen over 50 percent in Caracas over the
last year, and the annual inflation faced by the poorest
quartile of Venezuelans has reached 39.3 percent according to
BCV figures. Joseph Saade (strictly protect),Executive
President of market research company Datos, believes
Venezuelans' real purchasing power has leveled off or fallen
in 2008, marking the first time since 2003 it has not grown.
Saade said almost all Venezuelans believed rising prices were
a problem but noted the BRV's success in addressing food
shortages (ref B) compensated, in the short term, for the
impact of rising prices on public opinion.
CAULFIELD
SIPDIS
HQ SOUTHCOM ALSO FOR POLAD
TREASURY FOR MMALLOY
NSC FOR JSHRIER
COMMERCE FOR 4431/MAC/WH/MCAMERON
E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/23/2018
TAGS: ECON VE
SUBJECT: ANNUAL INFLATION NEARS 35 PERCENT
REF: A. CARACAS 956
B. CARACAS 1146
Classified By: Economic Counselor Darnall Steuart for reasons 1.4 (b)
and (d).
1. (U) According to figures recently released by the Central
Bank (BCV) and the National Statistics Institute, annual
(August 08/August 07) inflation in metropolitan Caracas has
reached 34.5 percent, the highest in Latin American and up
from 32.2 percent through June (ref A). Some local
economists believe that by year-end this number will have
dropped to around 30 percent: prices rose by a dramatic 10.4
percent in the last four months of 2007, and a more moderate
increase is expected in the remaining months of 2008.
2. (C) Price increases continue to cut into purchasing
power, particularly that of poorer Venezuelans for whom food
makes up a relatively larger part of the consumption basket.
Food prices have risen over 50 percent in Caracas over the
last year, and the annual inflation faced by the poorest
quartile of Venezuelans has reached 39.3 percent according to
BCV figures. Joseph Saade (strictly protect),Executive
President of market research company Datos, believes
Venezuelans' real purchasing power has leveled off or fallen
in 2008, marking the first time since 2003 it has not grown.
Saade said almost all Venezuelans believed rising prices were
a problem but noted the BRV's success in addressing food
shortages (ref B) compensated, in the short term, for the
impact of rising prices on public opinion.
CAULFIELD