NSC JUNE 29 REVIEWS SUCCESSFUL SECURITY

S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 03 BAGHDAD 002071 SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/03/2018 TAGS: MOPS MARR MASS PREL PTER IZ SUBJECT: NSC JUNE 29 REVIEWS SUCCESSFUL SECURITY OPERATIONS, NEED TO FULLY FUND MINISTRY OF INTERIOR, AND REF: BAGHDAD 01965 Classified By: Ambassador Ryan C. Crocker for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d) ¶1. (S/REL UK AS) Summary: Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki chaired June 29 the National Security Council (NSC) that discussed security operations in Amarah (Maysan Province), the security situation in Diyala, and the need for supplemental funding of the Ministry of Interior. The Prime Minister opened the meeting with a five-minute discourse on the successful security operations and the implications thereof. The Ministry of Defense presented a briefing on force modernization. The PM ended the meeting with expressions of thanks to Multi-National Security Transtion Command commanding general LTG James Dubik - the Council joined the PM in vigorous applause for LTG Dubik's outstanding and successful efforts on behalf of the Iraqi Security Forces (ISF). The Way Forward -------------- ¶2. (S/REL UK AS) The PM expounded for five minutes on the profound, positive changes in Iraq that ISF and Coalition Forces (CF) had made possible. He noted that their successful operations, accomplished in far less time than many had predicted, had stabilized the situation in the country and written a new chapter in regional relations. He mentioned the positive feedback he had gotten on travel abroad, putting particular emphasis on his warm reception in Jordan. (Note: He obliquely alluded to the upcoming visit of King Abdullah to Iraq. End Note.) ¶3. (S/REL UK AS) Maliki acknowledged that the struggle against terrorists and criminals was not over - the ISF and CF must continue operations against "hit-and-run organizations". Occasional attacks will occur, he admitted, but he assessed a return to normalcy was on the horizon. He praised the Iraqi Army (IA) for having borne well the burden of its responsibility to defend the nation, noting that all Iraqis in official positions were meeting their respective responsibilities. He stated that soon the Iraqi Police (IP) would take the lead in providing security, fulfilling their proper role in local communities and allowing the IA to move into the background. He later noted that the police of Maysan province had done their best against armed militias - this should be recognized, publicized, and used to recruit more officers loyal to Iraq instead of to a particular group or political party. We must reward and protect those police who stood up to the armed gangs, he added. ¶4. (S/REL UK AS) As part of this restoration of normal life, he observed that tribal councils could return to the business of supporting economic and social life in their districts. The government must provide district support funds to help tribal and provincial leaders re-establish normalcy, the PM added. The awakening groups could also stand down - soon it will be time to end the role of special voluntary organizations in providing security. Next Operations -------------- ¶5. (S/REL UK AS) Joint Forces Commander General Babakir Shawkt outlined rotations of troops from Maysan and elsewhere that should be endorsed by the council. Minister of State for National Security Affairs (MSNSA) Shirwan Waeli observed that the National Police (NP) and Iraqi Ground Force Commander should be involved in deciding re-deployments of units such as the 1st Brigade, 1st Iraqi Army Division. After some discussion, the PM instructed General Babakir to bring together the various operational commanders to assist in determinig re-deployments after careful consideration of the implications. Amnesty for Some -------------- - ¶6. (S/REL UK AS) Waeli also noted that some of those who had fled Amarah were trapped at the border - Iran was not allowing them to enter. They were also hesitant to turn themselves in for amnesty, fearing they would not be granted amnesty. The PM reminded Waeli and the Council that the amnesty would continue, but only for those who did not have an outstanding arrest warrant. Reconstruction Projects -------------- ¶7. (S/REL UK AS) Safa'a Rasul, Deputy National Security BAGHDAD 00002071 002 OF 003 Advisor, reminded the council that reconstruction projects in Amarah should begin now. The PM concurred, noting that the experience of Basra had revealed the need for direct support. (Comment: It is not clear if Maliki was making a subtle criticism of Safa al Safi's reconstruction efforts in Basra, which had produced very meager results thus far. End Comment.) Waeli added that the key to helping Maysan's economy would be revitalization of its agricultural sector. General Petraeus also reminded the Council of the urgency and importance of reconstruction projects in areas of recent security operations, especially Basra. Border Control Critical -------------- ¶8. (S/REL UK AS) General Petraeus expressed support for the PM's plan to bring together the operational commanders for an assessment of how to maintain and sustain those gains. Their opinions should be considered and allowed to inform policy to sustain and build on the success achieved to date. A critical issue, he added, is to shut down the re-supply routes from Iran through Maysan province. General Petraeus also advised the PM that the Special Groups (SG),as well as al-Qaeda in Iraq (AQI) will likely begin a targeted assassination campaign now that ISF and CF have reduced AQI,s capacity for other violent, criminal actions. ¶9. (S/REL UK AS) The PM accepted those points, insisting that the GOI would not allow the armed militias to come back. He suggested that the tribal leaders could assist the Directorate of Border Enforcement (DBE) to control the border - Saddam had used them effectively in this way, he added. He envisioned three lines on the border: the DBE, the Tribes, the ISF. MOI's Need for Supplemental Funding -------------- ¶10. (S/REL UK AS) Minister of Interior Jawad al-Bulani advised the Council that the MOI was still waiting for the release of supplemental funds, reminding the Council that the budget planned for 2008 had not taken into consideration the significant increase in personnel in MOI. In particular, he emphasized MOI's assumption of the Facilities Protective Service (FPS) had dramatically increased the personnel expenses of the MOI. D/NSA Safa'a noted that funding for the DBE in MOI had already been settled. ¶11. (S/REL UK AS)After much discussion, during which Minister of Finance (MOF) Bayan Jabr protested that he had given MOI and MOD all the money they had asked for and did not want to "splash money around", the PM reminded the Council that MOI and MOD had real needs. It was wrong, the PM added, to deny them funding for personnel and necessary equipment such as vehicles. He directed the MOF, MOI, and Deputy Prime Minister to sort out the issue, reminding the Council that much was owed to the ISF for all that they had done, particularly over the last few months. Diyala is Next -------------- ¶12. (S/REL UK AS) The PM briefly previewed future operations in Diyala, indicating that the MOI vice MOD would lead security operations there. He specifically called for establishing many police stations in the province. Minister Bulani noted that one-half of the needed stations were ready. PM also note the need to finish operations in Maysan before moving on to operations in Diyala. He further noted the need for a new Tribal Support Council in Diyala Province after the existing Support Council is disbanded. Force Generation/Modernization Briefing -------------- ¶13. (S/REL UK AS) MOD's Chief of Strategic Planning, Major General Ali, presented a brief on force generation. (Note: Copy of briefing slides was securely scanned and emailed July 1 to NEA/I-PM. End Note.) He stated that the success in staffing the IA called for a shift in emphasis from building forces to completing a sustainable facilities, logistics, and administrative structure. Part of this effort must be the enabler elements of the armed forces - for example, medical care, air support, improved equipment maintenance, and warehousing and movement of supplies. He also asked that MOD properties currently in the hands of others be recovered. ¶14. (S/REL UK AS) During the general discussion that followed, Minister Bulani stressed the importance of evolving the IA into a true national defense force and having his BAGHDAD 00002071 003 OF 003 police and other MOI forces assume the internal policing roles currently performed by the IA in many areas. He noted that it will take time to build an IA that is effective at substantially more than operating checkpoints and patrolling. This would require re-training of the IA into a small, professional, and very committed force, but recent successes create an opportunity for this re-training. ¶15. (S/REL UK AS) General Petraeus weighed in strongly in favor of the IA relinquishing its lead role in the battle against AQI and the Special Groups as conditions allow, underlining the current reality that the situation did not yet allow this . The requested supplemental funding will go a long way to prepare the IP to assume the policing role that the IA must now perform. As important, the MOD needs supplemental funding to complete its modernization (specifically, 1.8 billion dollars more for the MOI and 2.5 billion dollars more for the MOD). The mission of the ISF is not yet complete - Iraq is not in a normal stage. Without full funding, it will not be possible for the ISF to complete its mission and create a normal security situation. Militarization of Society -------------- ¶16. (S/REL UK AS) NSA Rubaie drew the Council's attention to a report of the Joint Planning Center on the Militarization of Society, which he said would be discussed at next week's NSC after the Council members had had time to digest its contents. Applause for LTG Dubik -------------- ¶17. (S/REL UK AS) Before closing the meeting, the PM thanked MNSTC-I commanding general LTG James Dubik for his outstanding and successful efforts to improve the manning, training, and equipping of the ISF, and he welcomed his successor, MG(P) Helmick. The Council gave LTG Dubik a strong round of applause CROCKER