Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07TOKYO5202
2007-11-09 08:37:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Tokyo
Cable title:  

DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 11/09/07

Tags:  OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA 
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P 090837Z NOV 07
FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO
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INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY
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RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY
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RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI
RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA//
RHMFIUU/USFJ //J5/JO21//
RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA
RUAYJAA/CTF 72
RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 6744
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RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 6120
RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 6901
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 12 TOKYO 005202 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA;
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION;
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE;
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN,
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR;
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA.

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA

SUBJECT: DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 11/09/07


Index:

(1) Continuing talks on host nation support confirmed (Nikkei)

(2) Prime Minister Fukuda to visit US, saddled with tough issues
pending (Asahi)

(3) Many hurdles should be cleared to enact new refueling bill
(Tokyo Shimbun)

(4) LDP secretary general: Lower House dissolution might come sooner
than expected (Sankei)

(5) Defense Minister Ishiba strongly denies consultation by former
Defense Planning Division director general on amount of fuel
supplied to US (Mainichi)

(6) 100 Defense Ministry officials on Yamada Yoko's rank-based gift
lists screened by Miyazaki (Yomiuri)

(7) Reporters' roundtable on political situation -- Grand coalition
plan continues to rock political community (Part 3) (Nikkei)

(8) Concern about possible economic slowdown in age of crude oil
costing 100 dollars per barrel: Could affect personal consumption,
corporate performance (Sankei)

(9) Food-labeling scandals coming up in succession (Akahata)

ARTICLES:

(1) Continuing talks on host nation support confirmed

NIKKEI ONLINE NEWS (Full)
November 9, 2007, 13:04 p.m.

Visiting US Secretary of Defense Gates this morning called on
Finance Minister Fukushiro Nukaga at the Ministry of Finance. In the
meeting, both senior cabinet members confirmed the policy line of
continuing working-level talks to discuss the question of revising
the special measures agreement that enables Japan to bear the
financial burden for stationing US forces in Japan (host nation
support). The agreement expires at the end of next March. Prior to
this meeting, Nukaga in a press conference this morning after a
cabinet meeting said: "We are strictly assessing expenditures in
every sector. We will properly assess (the host nation support),as
well, in terms of whether we can improve its efficiency."

(2) Prime Minister Fukuda to visit US, saddled with tough issues
pending

ASAHI (Page 3) (Full)
November 9, 2007

Nanae Kurashige, Toshiya Umehara

Prime Minister Fukuda is to visit the United States possibly late
next week for his first overseas trip since taking office. He wants
to reaffirm in his meeting with President Bush the importance of
Japan-US relations, but Japan has yet to resume its refueling
mission in the Indian Ocean, which was halted with the expiration of
the Antiterrorism Special Measures Law. Fukuda yesterday met with

TOKYO 00005202 002 OF 012


visiting US Secretary of Defense Gates and conveyed to him Japan's
intention to make every effort to resume the refueling operation as
quickly as possible, but at this point in time, there is no prospect
for the new antiterrorism legislation that would allow a resumption
of the refueling mission to be adopted. So far, there has been no
progress seen on the relocation of the US Marine Corps Air Station
Futenma in Okinawa, and discord is increasing between Japan and the
US over the issue of whether the US should delist North Korea as a
state sponsor of terrorism. Saddled with such tough issues, Fukuda
will soon go to meet with Bush for the first time as prime
minister.

Honeymoon-like alliance now getting cold; When to resume refueling
mission unpredictable; No progress seen on realignment plans for
USFJ

"Based on the Japan-US alliance, I will actively promote Asia
diplomacy," Fukuda said yesterday, when he met with Gates at his
Prime Minister's Official Residence (Kantei).

In his policy speech delivered immediately after taking office as
prime minister, Fukuda indicated his way of thinking that he would
make a "resonance" between the Japan-US alliance and Asia diplomacy.
His US visit and his planned attendance at the East Asia summit in
Singapore, which will occur soon after he returns from the US, are
seen as the first steps for him to translate his diplomatic concepts
into reality.

However, when it comes to relations with the US, the fact is that
"There is nothing good to say at present," a senior Foreign Ministry
official commented.

Japan's active contribution to the war on terrorism underpinned the
long Koizumi-Bush honeymoon. Fukuda, as well intends to emphasize
the need for Japan to continue the refueling operations in the
Indian Ocean, but the Antiterrorism Special Measures Law expired (on
Nov.
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 12 TOKYO 005202 SIPDIS SIPDIS DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA; WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION; TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE; SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN, DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR; CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA. E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA SUBJECT: DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 11/09/07 Index: (1) Continuing talks on host nation support confirmed (Nikkei) (2) Prime Minister Fukuda to visit US, saddled with tough issues pending (Asahi) (3) Many hurdles should be cleared to enact new refueling bill (Tokyo Shimbun) (4) LDP secretary general: Lower House dissolution might come sooner than expected (Sankei) (5) Defense Minister Ishiba strongly denies consultation by former Defense Planning Division director general on amount of fuel supplied to US (Mainichi) (6) 100 Defense Ministry officials on Yamada Yoko's rank-based gift lists screened by Miyazaki (Yomiuri) (7) Reporters' roundtable on political situation -- Grand coalition plan continues to rock political community (Part 3) (Nikkei) (8) Concern about possible economic slowdown in age of crude oil costing 100 dollars per barrel: Could affect personal consumption, corporate performance (Sankei) (9) Food-labeling scandals coming up in succession (Akahata) ARTICLES: (1) Continuing talks on host nation support confirmed NIKKEI ONLINE NEWS (Full) November 9, 2007, 13:04 p.m. Visiting US Secretary of Defense Gates this morning called on Finance Minister Fukushiro Nukaga at the Ministry of Finance. In the meeting, both senior cabinet members confirmed the policy line of continuing working-level talks to discuss the question of revising the special measures agreement that enables Japan to bear the financial burden for stationing US forces in Japan (host nation support). The agreement expires at the end of next March. Prior to this meeting, Nukaga in a press conference this morning after a cabinet meeting said: "We are strictly assessing expenditures in every sector. We will properly assess (the host nation support),as well, in terms of whether we can improve its efficiency." (2) Prime Minister Fukuda to visit US, saddled with tough issues pending ASAHI (Page 3) (Full) November 9, 2007 &#x
000A; Nanae Kurashige, Toshiya Umehara Prime Minister Fukuda is to visit the United States possibly late next week for his first overseas trip since taking office. He wants to reaffirm in his meeting with President Bush the importance of Japan-US relations, but Japan has yet to resume its refueling mission in the Indian Ocean, which was halted with the expiration of the Antiterrorism Special Measures Law. Fukuda yesterday met with TOKYO 00005202 002 OF 012 visiting US Secretary of Defense Gates and conveyed to him Japan's intention to make every effort to resume the refueling operation as quickly as possible, but at this point in time, there is no prospect for the new antiterrorism legislation that would allow a resumption of the refueling mission to be adopted. So far, there has been no progress seen on the relocation of the US Marine Corps Air Station Futenma in Okinawa, and discord is increasing between Japan and the US over the issue of whether the US should delist North Korea as a state sponsor of terrorism. Saddled with such tough issues, Fukuda will soon go to meet with Bush for the first time as prime minister. Honeymoon-like alliance now getting cold; When to resume refueling mission unpredictable; No progress seen on realignment plans for USFJ "Based on the Japan-US alliance, I will actively promote Asia diplomacy," Fukuda said yesterday, when he met with Gates at his Prime Minister's Official Residence (Kantei). In his policy speech delivered immediately after taking office as prime minister, Fukuda indicated his way of thinking that he would make a "resonance" between the Japan-US alliance and Asia diplomacy. His US visit and his planned attendance at the East Asia summit in Singapore, which will occur soon after he returns from the US, are seen as the first steps for him to translate his diplomatic concepts into reality. However, when it comes to relations with the US, the fact is that "There is nothing good to say at present," a senior Foreign Ministry official commented. Japan's active contribution to the war on terrorism underpinned the long Koizumi-Bush honeymoon. Fukuda, as well intends to emphasize the need for Japan to continue the refueling operations in the Indian Ocean, but the Antiterrorism Special Measures Law expired (on Nov. 1) in the wake of the ruling bloc's defeat in the July Upper House election, which means that the ruling bloc controls the Lower House but it no longer holds a majority of seats in the Upper House. Consequently, the refueling mission was halted. In order to enact a special refueling bill into law, the government and the ruling bloc decided to extend the current session of the Diet until Dec. 15, and they have demonstrated their eagerness to resume the refueling operations. But the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) remains opposed to the refueling bill. A Pentagon official, just before Japan suspended the refueling mission, took the trouble to release a statement saying that "The US hopes for the resumption of Japan's refueling operations, but the suspension in itself is not a matter of a nature that will affect the overall alliance." Regarding Secretary of Defense Gates' visit to Japan this time, as well, the US is trying not to give the impression that his visit is taken to mean to put "foreign pressure" on Japan, or America's interference in the domestic affairs of Japan. As for the Japan-US alliance, Senior Fellow Derek Mitchell at the Center for Strategic and International Studies commented: "The foundation of the alliance remains solid." But some Asia experts in Washington have a strong sense of distrust TOKYO 00005202 003 OF 012 in Japan for its repeated inquiries about how oil it provided was used, a matter that is presumably taken by the US during a war that is claiming a toll of many lives to be a small matter. One expert noted that the suspension of the refueling operations "has withered the growing expectations for the role Japan will play in the future in the operations led by the Coalition of the Willing." Japan and the US face other difficult issues in the security area, as well. In May 2006, the two countries agreed on the realignment of the US Forces Japan (USFJ),the core of which is the relocation of the Futenma airfield (in Ginowan City, Okinawa Prefecture). But the Futenma relocation has run aground in the face of local objections. On Nov. 7, the central government, after a lapse of 10 months, reopened a consultative council meeting with Okinawa at the Kantei. Chief Cabinet Secretary Machimura, when meeting with Secretary Gates yesterday, highlighted the Kantei's stance of leading the consultative council, telling the Secretary: "We want to put into execution realignment plans, including the relocation of the Futenma airfield, at a steady pace." Even so, the Kantei is not sure when the relocation will be completed, as Okinawa is insisting on altering the construction plan for a pair of airstrips planned for the relocation site. Furthermore, coordination with the US on the host nation support is proceeding with difficulty. Japan has suggested cutting Japan's financial contribution for the costs of the stationing of US forces in Japan because of stringent state finances, but the US is unwilling to accept Japan's proposal for a cut in host nation support. Discord between Japan and US over DPRK Washington is moving to remove North Korea from the list of state sponsors of terrorism possibly by the end of the year. Meanwhile, a high-level US government official commented, "We will not put Prime Minister Fukuda in a fix." A notice delisting North Korea is not expected to be sent to the Congress during the period when Fukuda is visiting the US. However, a team of US experts is working on disabling nuclear facilities in Yongbyon, North Korea. Sung Kim, director of the Korean Affairs desk at the US Department of State, noted, "The work is going smoothly, so it is possible to disable them by the year's end," indicating that an environment to delist North Korea is being prepared. With only one year left before the presidential election, the Bush administration, which has repeated setbacks as a result of being involved in the Iraq war for a longer period of time, has a desire to "somehow produce diplomatic results" regarding North Korea's nuclear issue. In his policy speech delivered in October, Fukuda stressed the need to "resolve the North Korean issue swiftly," but he has not found any way out of the current stalemate in Japan-North Korea relations. The concern heard in the Japanese government is that if US-North Korea relations make progress in a way to leave the abduction issue behind, anti-US sentiments in Japan could intensify. If North Korea is delisted, even though delisting comes after Fukuda's US tour, the prime minister "would be exposed to criticisms, like for what purposes he visited the US," a Foreign Ministry official noted. TOKYO 00005202 004 OF 012 By the order of the Kantei, Administrative Vice Foreign Minister Shotaro Yachi therefore traveled to the US in late October and met with Deputy Secretary of State Negroponte and warned him: "We hope you will consider progress on the abduction issue when you move to delist North Korea. Otherwise, there will be a panic in Japan." Reportedly, Negroponte said, "We have understood well the situation in Japan," but he did not mention whether the abduction issue would be made a condition for the US to delist North Korea. Assistant Secretary of State Hill also has assumed the position of aiming to SIPDIS delist the North by the end of the year. Some in the US are concerned that if delisting North Korea provokes a backlash in Japan, it would hurt the environment for Japan and the US to address various tasks involving them and could trigger a chain of negative reaction, which would drive a wedge in the bilateral alliance. (3) Many hurdles should be cleared to enact new refueling bill TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 2) (Full) November 9, 2007 The government and ruling parties have decided to extend the current extraordinary Diet session until Dec. 15. They aim to enact a new antiterrorism special measures law. However, they have yet to determine their course to push forward with legislation since they cannot predict how the main opposition Democratic Party (DPJ or Minshuto) will respond. Meanwhile, the DPJ, which was shaken by a turmoil caused by President Ichiro Ozawa, intends to turn around the situation, stepping up its adversarial stance toward the ruling camp. Ruling coalition cautious about readopting refueling bill The reason for the government and ruling camp having decided to extend by 35 days the ongoing session is to secure enough time for deliberations on the new antiterrorism bill at the House of Councillors, avoiding an adverse effect as much as possible on the compilation of a state budget for fiscal 2008. However, the largest opposition party controls management of Diet affairs in the Upper House. The ruling coalition has yet to be able to read whether the DPJ will scrap the bill without completing deliberations or it will vote it down. The DPJ has its position clear that its members will vote against the bill. All eyes are now on whether the ruling coalition will take a vote again in the Lower House after the bill is voted down at the Upper House. There is a possibility that readopting the bill will give rise to a resolution of the Lower House after the opposition camp adopts a censure motion against the prime minister. The New Komeito, the coalition partner of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP),is eager to prolong Lower House dissolution until after the Group of Eight summit at Lake Toya next July. The dominant view in the LDP is that there is no need to hurry to dissolve the Lower House since it is certain that the party will substantially decrease its seats in the next Lower House election. There is a cautious view also in the ruling camp that the new legislation should not be enacted even by resorting to readopting it in the Lower House. TOKYO 00005202 005 OF 012 In a meeting yesterday of Diet Affairs Committee chairmen, Kenji Yamaoka of the DPJ asked the LDP's Tadamori Oshima, "Are you going to pass the bill even using your two-third majority?" Oshima, however, gave an evasive answer. A senior LDP member lamented over the situation that it does not appear likely that the bill will clear the Diet even though the current session will be extended. DPJ to try to turn the situation by stepping up the offensive There is a growing mood in the DPJ to try to turn the situation in the extended Diet session although the party is ostensibly opposed to the extension of the session. The largest opposition party intends to strengthen its confrontational stance toward the government and ruling parties as there is a sense of concern about a possible resolution of the Lower House. Regarding the reason for the DPJ opposing the extension of the current session, Deputy President Naoto Kan said, extending the session to enact the bill is "too lax and irresponsible" because the ruling camp created a political vacuum with the resignation of Shinzo Abe as prime minister. The DPJ, however, intends not to oppose completely the extension of the session. Taking advantage of the extended session, the party will enact such bills it sponsored as one to support hepatitis-C patients, as well as shed light on suspicions about former defense equipment trading house executive, who has been arrested on suspicion of embezzling corporate funds and who had excessively entertained former Administrative Vice Defense Minister Takemasa Moriya. Secretary General Yukio Hatoyama even said yesterday that his party SIPDIS would submit a censure motion against Fukuda to the Upper House if the ruling coalition readopted the bill in the Lower House. It is certain that the move is aimed at an early dissolution of the Lower House. It is not that all the DPJ members have accepted Ozawa's decision to continue remaining in the presidential post. "I'm not at all convinced," a junior lawmaker said. The unity in the party has instead loosened. Since it is noticeable that Ozawa's grip on the party has declined, it is uncertain how far the DPJ will take the offensive. (4) LDP secretary general: Lower House dissolution might come sooner than expected SANKEI ONLINE NEWS (Full) November 9, 2007, 11:56 a.m. Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) Secretary General Bunmei Ibuki indicated in a press conference this morning that depending on moves by the main opposition Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ),dissolution of the House of Representatives for a snap election might come earlier than expected. Commenting on the DPJ's negative response to the new antiterrorism special measures bill, Ibuki said: "If the party is overly-swayed by narrow party interests, various things could happen all of sudden." Ibuki stressed: TOKYO 00005202 006 OF 012 "Should the party take action without considering national interests and the will of the public, I cannot deny the possibility that dissolution of the Lower House might come sooner than expected. That depends on what actions the DPJ will take." He thus sought to constrain the DPJ, which has made its position clear that it will vote against the new antiterrorism bill. (5) Defense Minister Ishiba strongly denies consultation by former Defense Planning Division director general on amount of fuel supplied to US MAINICHI online (Full) 13:09, November 9, 2007 Concerning the issue of the Defense Ministry having concealed the need correct the amount of oil fuel supplied to a US oiler, Defense Minister Shigeru Ishiba during a press conference after a cabinet meeting today revealed that former Maritime Staff Office (MSO) Defense Planning Division Director General Masayoshi Teraoka (retired last year) in a Diet summoning as a witness testified that he consulted the matter with then Defense Agency Director General Ishiba. He then strongly ruled out such a possibility, noting, "It is impossible for a division director of the MSO to consult with the director general under normal circumstances, and I cannot recall such a matter, either." He presented a shorthand note on the behind-the-door meeting of the Lower House Antiterrorism Special Measures Committee held on Nov. 7. The Joint Staff Office chairman during a press conference on May 5, 2003 explained that the amount of fuel supplied to the US was 200,000 gallons, but the press conference was disrupted with one reporter questioning that that amount was too small for supplying to an oiler. The former division director allegedly testified that he had consulted with his superiors on how to deal with this matter. In the summoning, former Division Director Teraoka also allegedly testified, "I think persons I consulted with or talked with included the Defense Policy Bureau director general, the director general of the Secretariat, the administrative vice minister and the director general at the time." Defense Minister Ishiba said, "Even if I had been consulted, it should have been before the former division director general realized the need to correct the amount." (6) 100 Defense Ministry officials on Yamada Yoko's rank-based gift lists screened by Miyazaki YOMIURI (Page 39) (Abridged slightly) November 9, 2007 Yamada Corp., a Tokyo-based aviation and defense equipment trading house, annually made summer and winter gift lists containing the names of over 100 former Defense Agency (currently Defense Ministry) officials that was finally screened by Motonobu Miyazaki, 69, a former Yamada executive already under arrest on suspicion of embezzlement, sources said yesterday. Former Defense Agency officials working at Yamada after retirement played important roles in compiling the lists. Part of Miyazaki's business activities was trying to win over not only former Vice-Defense Minister Takemasa TOKYO 00005202 007 OF 012 Moriya, 63, who was frequently treated to golf, but also other defense officials. This has now become clear. According to former Yamada executives, on the lists were mainly internal bureau officials on the assistant division director level and above and Ground, Maritime, and Air Staff Office officials on the division director level and above. The lists were produced by Yamada's general affairs department. Ahead of the mid-August Bon and year-end holiday seasons each year, the company's general affairs department compiled lists based on names of Defense Agency officials worth receiving seasonal gifts recommended by sales representatives responsible for the agency. The lists were then examined by Miyazaki and became final with his seal of approval. A former general affairs department official said that the gifts had been sent out after being checked by Miyazaki. The persons on the list were classified by Miyazaki in accordance with ranks in the SDF and the degree of their value to the company. Miyazaki also determined specifics, such as the prices of gifts and whether to send gifts in both seasons. The over 100 persons on the list also included a dozen or so senior ministry officials picked from Miyazaki's personal networks. Those who returned the gifts were excluded from the list, which was renewed annually. Miyazaki also made former Defense Agency officials working at Yamada after retirement obtain copies of lists of high-ticket defense equipment likely to be procured by the agency as well as of files of planned personnel changes and addresses of Defense Agency officials. He was believed to have paved the way for receiving orders from the agency by sending gifts to and lavishly entertaining promising officials based those data. Sauies handled by a fishery in the group were a standard gift item. A former Yamada employee who had been involved in making lists noted: "The prices started at 10,000 yen for high-class beef, crabs, salted salmons and so on. Prices for the ranks also rose by 10,000 yen. The total cost came to several million yen to 10 million yen." The former senior Yamada official explained Miyazaki's business technique this way: "Once he found someone useful, Mr. Miyazaki bombarded him with gifts and entertainment. He did the same with Mr. Moriya. That was his approach." Defense Ministry officials on edge A tense atmosphere enveloped the Defense Ministry yesterday, the day Miyazaki was arrested. One senior ministry official said: "(Miyazaki's arrest) did not come as a surprise, because I thought the Tokyo District Public Prosecutors Office would take action someday. I'm afraid, however, that the Defense Ministry, too, might be investigated." Miyazaki has already found to have lavishly entertained former Vice-Defense Minister Moriya. He is also suspected to have sent gifts to defense officials and wined and dined officials other than Moriya. "Some colleagues are on pins and needles," another official said. (7) Reporters' roundtable on political situation -- Grand coalition TOKYO 00005202 008 OF 012 plan continues to rock political community (Part 3) NIKKEI (Page 4) (Full) November 8, 2007 Lower House dissolution -- How do you think (the Ozawa resignation fiasco) will affect (the prime minister's) decision to dissolve the Lower House for a snap general? A: I don't know if Lower House dissolution for a general election has moved away or come closer. In a normal sense, it must have moved away. F: He might opt for next spring after passing the FY2008 budget bill. He would probably want to host the G8 Summit in July. But that depends on whether the DPJ takes a confrontational or cooperative policy course. C: The Lowe House takes precedence regarding the budget bill. But related bills might be rejected if the DPJ opposes them in the Upper House. In such a case, there is no other way but to return them to the Lower House to readopt them there based on two-thirds clause. The same is true with the new refueling bill, now under discussion in the Lower House. B: If the matter develops into a situation in which the ruling camp readopts it in the Lower House, the DPJ would be pressed for a decision on whether to submit censure motions against the prime minister and other relevant ministers in the Upper House. C: Although they have no binding power, the adoption of censure motions would be a blow to the administration. I think Fukuda will venture to dissolve the Lower House rather than just watching such a development. -- Isn't there any chance for the prime minister to dissolve the Lower House early by taking advantage of the DPJ's chaotic situation? A: People around Fukuda think he now has greater options for dissolving the chamber. Until now, early dissolution has been envisaged only as a result of heavy pressure, but given the DPJ's blunder, he might now aggressively use that option. E: The DPJ fears it. After all, Ozawa, the campaign strategist, has admitted that bringing about regime change in the next general election would be difficult. Those planning to run in the next race on the DPJ ticket are becoming anxious as well. A veteran lawmaker nervously said that some might even opt to give up DPJ endorsement. Ways to eliminate blank constituencies also remain unclear. D: In the 2005 election, the LDP and New Komeito won over two-thirds of the Lower House seats. It now seems difficult for them to secure that level. F: A midlevel LDP lawmaker said that in view of election, it would be more threatening for Okada, who has a fresh image, to become DPJ president. In the DPJ, no one but Ozawa can paint the political situation. With Ozawa losing his momentum, the DPJ is bound to plunge into confusion. TOKYO 00005202 009 OF 012 -- Did the grand coalition plan disappear altogether? C: Ozawa in his press conference on Nov. 7 dismissed the coalition vision. Then again, now that he has decided to stay on as DPJ president, the grand coalition option might resurface before the regular Diet session next year. If he says that he wants to form a grand coalition, who can stop it? A: Fukuda also tried to woo Ozawa, saying at the Diet on the same day, "(Mr. Ozawa) and I can understand each other. I think we can create something new." I think he will continue to use the "Ozawa card." E: In my view, no DPJ executives thinks the grand coalition vision is completely over. If the DPJ fails to win a majority in the next Lower House election, realignment might follow. (8) Concern about possible economic slowdown in age of crude oil costing 100 dollars per barrel: Could affect personal consumption, corporate performance SANKEI (Page 3) (Slightly abridged) November 9, 2007 Futures prices of the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the international index for crude oil prices, are for the first time close to the 100-dollar-per- barrel level. Following a sharp increase in crude oil prices, a move to increase prices has spilled over into wide areas, including petrochemical products as well as food products. If high prices continue, it would seriously affect corporate performance and personal consumption. Behind the sharp increase in crude oil prices is the influx into the crude oil money of speculative money, which has lost investment targets following the commotion on the financial market triggered by the soured Subprime loan, high-interest housing loan for people in low income-brackets. Fumiaki Watari, chairman of the Petroleum Association of Japan and Nippon Oil Corporation said, "The situation is apparently abnormal, because the sharp rise has been brought about not by the supply-demand trends but by the money game." Yasuhiko Nagata, senior research at the Institute of Energy Economics, Japan, has analyzed the phenomenon that investment funds have been poured into the crude oil market out of concern about the supply-and-demand trends, following a 5 PERCENT decrease in the US crude oil stockpiles in the Oct-Dec quarter from the previous year's level. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has also revised up the long-term estimate for crude oil prices. Concern about price increases is growing due also to an increase in demand in newly emerging economies, such as China and India. The price of regular gasoline per liter has topped 150 yen at many gas stations since November 1. Voices concerned about a decline in demand are growing, as Idemitsu Kosan President Akihiko Tenbo said, "We are concerned about a decrease in demand stemming from pullbacks in consumer spending. Takashi Ishida, chairman of West Nippon Expressway Co., views, "The use of highways and the distribution of goods are stable, but it would not be strange even if the current price trend has affected recreational drivers." There are indications that the high gasoline TOKYO 00005202 010 OF 012 prices will lead to consumers holding off on driving their cars. Some in the auto industry have expressed concern about a possible slump in the sale of autos, with Toyota Motors Executive Director Takeshi Suzuki noting, "Transportation costs and electricity bills will rise" and Daihatsu Company President Teruyuki Minoura noting, "Consumers will become unable to afford to buy cars." The high crude oil prices can back the popularity of compact and fuel-efficiency cars, the forte of Japanese manufacturers. Mitsubishi Motors President Osamu Mashiko sees the setback as a business opportunity, saying, "Automobile purchases in oil-producing countries would increase." The impact of the high crude oil prices on the auto industry is thus varied. The impact on the aviation industry is serious. The international index price of jet fuel shot up to 100 dollars per barrel at the end of October. Both Japan Airlines and All Nippon Airlines placed surcharges on international flight fares from October. However, if the prices of jet fuel continue to remain at this level, fares could be raised again as early as January. With the high season for winter overseas travel just ahead, the tourism industry is concerned that the number of travelers going abroad during the year-end and New Year holiday season could fall below the previous year's level. Japan Airlines has decided to add about 7 yen per kilo to international airfreight fares to cover the rise in fuel prices, staring in December. The trucking industry, which has been unable to shift the increase in gasoline prices on transportation prices, complained that it is difficult to absorb the increased prices with management efforts, as an official of Nippon Express put it. The increased crude oil prices are also a life-or-death matter for the petrochemical industry, because crude oil is their major raw material. The price of naphtha (crude gasoline),a raw material for petrochemical products, per kiloliter reached 60,740 yen, up 150 PERCENT from the previous year's level. The IEA has estimated that if the price of 1 barrel of crude oil rises by more than 10 dollars, it would push down Japan's GDP by 0.2 PERCENT , as chief researcher Nagata explained. A decline in demand for oil as a result of an economic slowdown will likely pose a major problem also for oil-producing countries. (9) Food-labeling scandals coming up in succession AKAHATA (Page 3) (Full) November 9, 2007 Apology ads and articles about food scandals involving major companies and smaller specialty firms have appeared on newspapers almost every day since early this year. It was found in January that Fujiya Co. made cakes with ingredients past their expiry dates. In June, Meat Hope in Hokkaido was found to have falsely labeled mixed mince as pure ground beef. In October, it was reported that Hinaidori Co. sold culled hens as Hinai-jidori chicken, a local breed, and that such confectionery companies as Akafuku Co. and Kiccho Co. mislabel products with improper expiration dates. The Akahata probes into problems with food regulations that give consideration to companies' profits. Priority to profits causing series of cases involving leading makers TOKYO 00005202 011 OF 012 In November, Mister Donut, a doughnut chain operated by Duskin Co. in Japan, acknowledged it used out-of-date syrups in some of its drinks. Some of the syrups were 29 days past their expiry date. Included among false labeled products are "Shiroi Koibito" (White beloved ones) chocolate made by lshiya Co., in August, "Akafuku" by Akafuku Co., which started to mislabel products 30 years ago, and Ofuku Mochi made by Ofukumochi Honke, which also continued mislabeling products with improper expiration dates for 27 years. Senba Kiccho in Fukuoka Prefecture was found to have shipped unsold products after they were relabeled with improper expiration dates. In the poultry processing business, Hinai-jidori and Nagoya Kochin have already been embroiled in fake label suspicions. Many of such companies in question continued illegal practices for many years. Government responsible for abolishing labeling requirement on production dates under pressure from US Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF) Minister Masatoshi Wakabayashi has emphasized the companies' responsibility, saying: "This is an issue linked to corporate compliance." But the series of scandals have exposed the government's responsibility. The Liberal Democratic Party-led government abolished the labeling system on the dates of production under pressure from the United States government in 1995. The then US government applied pressure, calling the labeling system as a non-tariff barrier. The Japanese government instead introduced the labeling system on expiration dates. Under this new system, consumers find it difficult to learn when products were made. The government drew up guidelines on setting expiration dates, but how to apply the system was entrusted to the food industry's judgment, so there are no consistent ways and items for setting a deadline. Some also point out a lack of legal arrangements. The food labeling requirement on expiry, quality, and origin of ingredients are provided for in the Japan Agricultural Standards (JAS) Law, the Food Sanitation Law, and the Fair Trade Law. The contents of these laws are also inconsistent. Some voice criticism of the laws giving consideration to companies' interests, rather than to consumers' safety. The recent false labeling scandals are punishable based on the JAS Law under the jurisdiction of MAFF. But Satoshi Fujita, who authorized the book titled: "False and genuine evaluations on food," said: "There are no companies that were punished. MAFF has maintained the policy of protecting food makers." Set off by a beef-mislabeling scandal, the government amended the JAS Law in 2002 to introduce tougher punishments. Under the revised version, an individual offender is sentenced to up to one year of imprisonment or fined up to one million yen. A company offender is fined up to 100 million yen. However, offenders will be actually punished for the first time after they fail to follow an order three times. The law is still lenient for food companies. TOKYO 00005202 012 OF 012 It was exposed late last month by a report to MAFF on the phone that about 1.4 million bottles of juice, more than 50 PERCENT of the total shipping volume, were mislabeled with a false growing district. MAFF, however, only instructed the company to improve its business. In a case in which a fugu-processed product imported from China was labeled as a "thread-sail filefish processed product" in violation of the Food Sanitation Law, as well, the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare just took the step of collecting products through local governments. The government is now urged to change the current food regulations into those designed to protect consumers. The series of illegal practices teach us that the production day-labeling system should be revived and that food sanitation regulations, including the monitoring system and the spot inspection system, should be significantly strengthened. SCHIEFFER

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