Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07TOKYO2618
2007-06-11 09:10:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Tokyo
Cable title:
DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 06/11/07
VZCZCXRO1196 PP RUEHFK RUEHKSO RUEHNAG RUEHNH DE RUEHKO #2618/01 1620910 ZNR UUUUU ZZH P 110910Z JUN 07 FM AMEMBASSY TOKYO TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 4380 INFO RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC PRIORITY RHEHAAA/THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC PRIORITY RUEAWJA/USDOJ WASHDC PRIORITY RULSDMK/USDOT WASHDC PRIORITY RUCPDOC/USDOC WASHDC PRIORITY RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC PRIORITY RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5// RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI RHHMHBA/COMPACFLT PEARL HARBOR HI RHMFIUU/HQ PACAF HICKAM AFB HI//CC/PA// RUALSFJ/COMUSJAPAN YOKOTA AB JA//J5/JO21// RUYNAAC/COMNAVFORJAPAN YOKOSUKA JA RUAYJAA/CTF 72 RUEHNH/AMCONSUL NAHA 3911 RUEHFK/AMCONSUL FUKUOKA 1485 RUEHOK/AMCONSUL OSAKA KOBE 5054 RUEHNAG/AMCONSUL NAGOYA 0639 RUEHKSO/AMCONSUL SAPPORO 2334 RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 7362 RUEHUL/AMEMBASSY SEOUL 3422 RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 4550
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 09 TOKYO 002618
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION;
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE;
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN,
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR;
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA.
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
SUBJECT: DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 06/11/07
Part-2
INDEX:
(1) Poll on political parties, House of Councillors election
(2) Government already preparing for Lake Toya Summit; Ambassador in
charge of G-8 summit in 2008 to be named as early as next month
(3) Editorial: Challenges facing Prime Minister Abe before next G-8
summit in Lake Toya
(4) LDP team eyes utilizing SDF to combat harmful animals
(5) Cabinet support rate nosedives; LDP feeling a sense of crisis
with House of Councillors election ahead
(6) Lee Teng-hui's Japan visit ends; Showy behavior masks declining
influence
(7) Lee Teng-hui says in Japan: "Taiwan is an independent country"
ARTICLES:
(1) Poll on political parties, House of Councillors election
TOKYO (Page 3) (Full)
June 10, 2007
Questions & Answers
(Figures shown in percentage)
Q: Which political party do you support?
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 42.6
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) 20.0
New Komeito (NK) 3.9
Japanese Communist Party (JCP) 3.3
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) 1.5
People's New Party (PNP or Kokumin Shinto) 0.4
New Party Nippon (NPN or Shinto Nippon) 0.2
Other political parties, groups 0.9
None 24.8
Don't know (D/K) + No answer (N/A) 2.4
Q: (Only for those who specified a political party like the LDP,
DPJ, NK, JCP, SDP, PNP, NPN, or other political parties and groups
to the foregoing question) Have you voted for a political party or a
candidate differing from those that you support in recent elections
for the House of Representatives and the House of Councillors?
(1,354 respondents)
Yes 50.8
No 48.1
D/K+N/A 1.1
Q: (Only for those who answered "none") Have you ever had a
political party to support? (460 respondents)
Not supported any specific political party 57.6
Supported a political party in the past but don't support any
political party at present 38.5
D/K+N/A 3.9
Q: (Only for those who answered "none") What's the primary reason
for your having had no particular political party to support? (460
TOKYO 00002618 002 OF 009
respondents)
Can't support any political party's policies 13.5
Can't figure out differences between the policies of political
parties 7.0
There's no trustworthy political party 34.2
Nothing can be expected of politics itself 19.6
Don't want to support any specific political party 18.7
Other answers (O/A) 2.4
D/K+N/A4.6
Q: What do you consider when you make up your mind to go to the
polls in elections for the House of Representatives and the House of
Councillors?
There's a candidate or a political party to support 18.3
Voting is a right and an obligation, so I go to the polls 50.5
When I think politics could change with my voting 12.8
When I am dissatisfied with politics 4.8
It depends on my feeling that day or whether I can 10.3
O/A 1.8
D/K+N/A 1.5
Q: Do you go to the polls in this summer's election for the House of
Councillors?
Will go to the polls for sure 56.8
Will probably go to the polls 33.3
Will probably not go to the polls 6.1
Will not go to the polls 2.4
D/K+N/A 1.4
Q: What do you think will become a point of contention in the House
of Councillors election? Pick up to two from among those listed
below.
Governing scheme 4.8
Economy, employment, social divide 38.7
Tax, fiscal reforms 17.5
Social security (pensions, healthcare, nursing care, welfare)
74.9
Political ethics 3.4
Education reform 13.0
Foreign, security policies 3.0
Constitutional revision 18.6
Environment 7.4
Low birthrate 7.0
O/A 0.1
D/K+N/A 2.0
Q: If you were to vote now in the election for the House of
Councillors, which political party or which political party's
candidate would you like to vote for?
LDP 37.4
DPJ 22.4
NK 4.1
JCP 3.4
SDP 1.4
PNP 0.3
NPN 0.3
Other political parties, groups 0.5
TOKYO 00002618 003 OF 009
Independent candidate 3.7
Wouldn't like to vote for any political party or candidate
19.4
D/K+N/A 7.1
Q: The biggest focus of the upcoming election is whether the ruling
coalition of the LDP and New Komeito will be able to retain its
majority of the seats in the House of Councillors. Would you like
the ruling coalition to maintain its majority, or would you
otherwise like the ruling coalition to lose its majority?
Would like it to maintain its majority 43.6
Would like it to lose its majority 46.9
D/K+N/A 9.5
Q: If the ruling coalition lost its majority in the House of
Councillors, what would you like the ruling coalition to do?
Replace the prime minister 18.5
Change the governing scheme 20.6
Coordinate policies with opposition parties 22.3
Dissolve the House of Representatives for an election 30.6
O/A 0.3
D/K+N/A 7.7
(Note) The total percentage of multiple answers is over 100
percent.
Polling methodology: For the survey, a total of 3,000 persons were
sampled out of men and women aged 20 and over at 250 locations
throughout the country on a stratified two-stage random-sampling
basis, so as to epitomize the nation's voting population of more
than a 100 million. The survey was conducted by the Japan Polling
Organization over a period of two days, June 2-3, on a face-to-face
interview basis. Answers were obtained from 1,858 persons, excluding
those who could not be interviewed because of their having moved
away or being on a trip, or for other reasons. The retrieval rate
was 61.9 percent. In the breakdown of respondents, males accounted
for 48.0 percent, and females 52.0 percent.
(2) Government already preparing for Lake Toya Summit; Ambassador in
charge of G-8 summit in 2008 to be named as early as next month
NIHON KEIZAI (Top Play) (Full)
Evening, June 9, 2007
With the end of the Group of Eight summit (Heiligendamm Summit),the
Japanese government will move preparations into full gear for the
G-8 summit it will host next year in Lake Toya, Hokkaido Prefecture.
The government intends to strive for perfection in the arrangements
for the G-8 summit, picking for the first time an ambassador in
charge of coordination with Hokkaido and other G-8 member countries.
The expectation is that the environment will top the agenda at the
next G-8 summit. The idea is being floated that Japan should take
advantage of its advanced energy-conservation technologies in a bid
to play up its effort for protecting the environment.
The government as early as July will set up a preparatory office in
the Foreign Ministry and appoint an ambassador in charge of
preparations for the G-8 summit. The office will be run by several
dozen staff members for the time being, and the number of its
staffers will be increased to about 100 members.
TOKYO 00002618 004 OF 009
At the Heiligendamm Summit this year, the G-8 leaders agreed on a
framework of halving greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, aiming at
making a decision on specific measures by 2009. Since the 2008 G-8
summit in Lake Toya is expected to play an important role in
creating a post-Kyoto framework, the government is now mulling a
program focusing on environmental issues.
The government plans to use such eco-friendly automobiles as hybrid
vehicles and electric cars for the transportation of G-8 officials
and the press corps. The hotel, the venue for the summit, will make
active use of solar power. The government will position the Lake
Toya Summit as a low-carbon summit.
A press center will be also used as an exhibition hall to introduce
advanced Japanese environmental technologies such as fuel cells and
next-generation light-water reactors.
Residents of Hokkaido where the summit will take place have mixed
feelings of hopes and worries. The Hokkaido government and Hokkaido
Economic Federation sent a 20-member delegation to Heiligendamm. The
delegation toured main halls for the G-8 summit and actively
exchanged views with Heiligendamm government officials. After
returning home on July 12, the delegation plans to compile a report.
The Council of Hokkaido Residents for the Summit, a preparatory
organization made up of government and private-sector officials,
will be established by late this month.
The government is most concerned about how to respond to terrorism
and large-scale demonstrations. Hokkaido police announced on May 10
the appointment of Hiroyuki Matsumoto, who was responsible for the
security at the 2000 Okinawa Summit, as the security department
chief who will control security for the 2008 Lake Toya Summit.
Hokkaido police have started preparations.
Municipalities involved in the Lake Toya Summit are concerned about
the financial burden and its effect. The 2000 Okinawa Summit
reportedly generated economic benefits of about 44 billion yen over
the two years before and after the summit. It is estimated that the
Lake Toya Summit will contribute approximately 38 billion yen to the
prefectural economy. Compared to 2000, the national fiscal financial
situation in 2008 will be tight. The Hokkaido government is
concerned about how much costs it will have to share.
The expectation is that ordinary tourists will not be allowed in the
Lake Toya area July 7-9 when the summit takes place. Hokkaido
expects that the summit will raise its international profile, though
it is worried about the short-term impact on tourism.
(3) Editorial: Challenges facing Prime Minister Abe before next G-8
summit in Lake Toya
YOMIURI (Page 3) (Almost full)
June 10, 2007
Climate change is a long-term challenge, while the nuclear weapons
programs North Korea and Iran are advancing are an immediate task.
The Group of Eight (G-8) summit ended, releasing a chairperson's
summary statement. Prime Minister Abe stressed the need to show the
clear will of the G-8 to North Korea, by noting, "North Korea's
nuclear ambitions are unacceptable." On the abduction issue, the
TOKYO 00002618 005 OF 009
prime minister emphasized the need for cooperation, portraying it as
an "international human rights issue."
The G-8 leaders agreed to put pressure on North Korea to immediately
implement the initial-stage action as agreed on in the (February)
six-party talks, as well as swiftly resolve the abduction issue.
This agreement sends a strong message toward North Korea. The
six-party talks must take into consideration this international
pressure on the North.
In dealing with the issue of hedge funds, the G-8 went no further
than to indicate the need to be alert to them. In order to prevent
hedge funds from putting the world market into turmoil, it is
essential for the G-8 to continue monitoring the market.
The 33-year-old G-8 framework now stands at a new juncture.
British Prime Minister Blair, who is to retire from the post
shortly, and Russian President Putin, whose term of office is to
expire next spring, will not join the next summit. In contrast to
them, Prime Minister Abe and French President Sarkozy were attending
their first G-8 summit this time. The G-8 leaders are now in a
transition.
Global warming, the focus of the G-8 summit this time, terrorism,
nuclear nonproliferation, and hedge funds are challenges the world
is facing at present. But those challenges cannot be resolved simply
under the G-8 framework.
The G-8 and five emerging economies, including China, India, and
Brazil, agreed to begin economic dialogue periodically on such
topics as development and energy. Behind this agreement is the G-8
leaders' understanding that the G-8 framework has limits to policy
coordination of the world economy.
Management of the G-8, too, needs to be reformed in line with the
changing international community.
Meanwhile, the G-8 summit this time revealed discord among the
participating nations. For example, Russia is at odds with the
United States over its plan to deploy a missile defense system in
East Europe, and Russia's energy policy and its retreat from the
move toward democratization have become a constant source of dispute
with Europe.
Whether Russia is qualified to be a member of the G-8 is likely to
remain an open question in the months ahead.
Greenhouse gases and climate change will become an even more
critical subject for international politics.
Prime Minister Abe in this sense needs to prompt India to cooperate
when he visits that country in August as planned. He also must play
a leading part in getting large emitters like China to participate
in a new framework, as well as in adjusting numerical targets as
called for by the EU.
(4) LDP team eyes utilizing SDF to combat harmful animals
ASAHI (Page
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 09 TOKYO 002618
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION;
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE;
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN,
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR;
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA.
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
SUBJECT: DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 06/11/07
Part-2
INDEX:
(1) Poll on political parties, House of Councillors election
(2) Government already preparing for Lake Toya Summit; Ambassador in
charge of G-8 summit in 2008 to be named as early as next month
(3) Editorial: Challenges facing Prime Minister Abe before next G-8
summit in Lake Toya
(4) LDP team eyes utilizing SDF to combat harmful animals
(5) Cabinet support rate nosedives; LDP feeling a sense of crisis
with House of Councillors election ahead
(6) Lee Teng-hui's Japan visit ends; Showy behavior masks declining
influence
(7) Lee Teng-hui says in Japan: "Taiwan is an independent country"
ARTICLES:
(1) Poll on political parties, House of Councillors election
TOKYO (Page 3) (Full)
June 10, 2007
Questions & Answers
(Figures shown in percentage)
Q: Which political party do you support?
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 42.6
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) 20.0
New Komeito (NK) 3.9
Japanese Communist Party (JCP) 3.3
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) 1.5
People's New Party (PNP or Kokumin Shinto) 0.4
New Party Nippon (NPN or Shinto Nippon) 0.2
Other political parties, groups 0.9
None 24.8
Don't know (D/K) + No answer (N/A) 2.4
Q: (Only for those who specified a political party like the LDP,
DPJ, NK, JCP, SDP, PNP, NPN, or other political parties and groups
to the foregoing question) Have you voted for a political party or a
candidate differing from those that you support in recent elections
for the House of Representatives and the House of Councillors?
(1,354 respondents)
Yes 50.8
No 48.1
D/K+N/A 1.1
Q: (Only for those who answered "none") Have you ever had a
political party to support? (460 respondents)
Not supported any specific political party 57.6
Supported a political party in the past but don't support any
political party at present 38.5
D/K+N/A 3.9
Q: (Only for those who answered "none") What's the primary reason
for your having had no particular political party to support? (460
TOKYO 00002618 002 OF 009
respondents)
Can't support any political party's policies 13.5
Can't figure out differences between the policies of political
parties 7.0
There's no trustworthy political party 34.2
Nothing can be expected of politics itself 19.6
Don't want to support any specific political party 18.7
Other answers (O/A) 2.4
D/K+N/A4.6
Q: What do you consider when you make up your mind to go to the
polls in elections for the House of Representatives and the House of
Councillors?
There's a candidate or a political party to support 18.3
Voting is a right and an obligation, so I go to the polls 50.5
When I think politics could change with my voting 12.8
When I am dissatisfied with politics 4.8
It depends on my feeling that day or whether I can 10.3
O/A 1.8
D/K+N/A 1.5
Q: Do you go to the polls in this summer's election for the House of
Councillors?
Will go to the polls for sure 56.8
Will probably go to the polls 33.3
Will probably not go to the polls 6.1
Will not go to the polls 2.4
D/K+N/A 1.4
Q: What do you think will become a point of contention in the House
of Councillors election? Pick up to two from among those listed
below.
Governing scheme 4.8
Economy, employment, social divide 38.7
Tax, fiscal reforms 17.5
Social security (pensions, healthcare, nursing care, welfare)
74.9
Political ethics 3.4
Education reform 13.0
Foreign, security policies 3.0
Constitutional revision 18.6
Environment 7.4
Low birthrate 7.0
O/A 0.1
D/K+N/A 2.0
Q: If you were to vote now in the election for the House of
Councillors, which political party or which political party's
candidate would you like to vote for?
LDP 37.4
DPJ 22.4
NK 4.1
JCP 3.4
SDP 1.4
PNP 0.3
NPN 0.3
Other political parties, groups 0.5
TOKYO 00002618 003 OF 009
Independent candidate 3.7
Wouldn't like to vote for any political party or candidate
19.4
D/K+N/A 7.1
Q: The biggest focus of the upcoming election is whether the ruling
coalition of the LDP and New Komeito will be able to retain its
majority of the seats in the House of Councillors. Would you like
the ruling coalition to maintain its majority, or would you
otherwise like the ruling coalition to lose its majority?
Would like it to maintain its majority 43.6
Would like it to lose its majority 46.9
D/K+N/A 9.5
Q: If the ruling coalition lost its majority in the House of
Councillors, what would you like the ruling coalition to do?
Replace the prime minister 18.5
Change the governing scheme 20.6
Coordinate policies with opposition parties 22.3
Dissolve the House of Representatives for an election 30.6
O/A 0.3
D/K+N/A 7.7
(Note) The total percentage of multiple answers is over 100
percent.
Polling methodology: For the survey, a total of 3,000 persons were
sampled out of men and women aged 20 and over at 250 locations
throughout the country on a stratified two-stage random-sampling
basis, so as to epitomize the nation's voting population of more
than a 100 million. The survey was conducted by the Japan Polling
Organization over a period of two days, June 2-3, on a face-to-face
interview basis. Answers were obtained from 1,858 persons, excluding
those who could not be interviewed because of their having moved
away or being on a trip, or for other reasons. The retrieval rate
was 61.9 percent. In the breakdown of respondents, males accounted
for 48.0 percent, and females 52.0 percent.
(2) Government already preparing for Lake Toya Summit; Ambassador in
charge of G-8 summit in 2008 to be named as early as next month
NIHON KEIZAI (Top Play) (Full)
Evening, June 9, 2007
With the end of the Group of Eight summit (Heiligendamm Summit),the
Japanese government will move preparations into full gear for the
G-8 summit it will host next year in Lake Toya, Hokkaido Prefecture.
The government intends to strive for perfection in the arrangements
for the G-8 summit, picking for the first time an ambassador in
charge of coordination with Hokkaido and other G-8 member countries.
The expectation is that the environment will top the agenda at the
next G-8 summit. The idea is being floated that Japan should take
advantage of its advanced energy-conservation technologies in a bid
to play up its effort for protecting the environment.
The government as early as July will set up a preparatory office in
the Foreign Ministry and appoint an ambassador in charge of
preparations for the G-8 summit. The office will be run by several
dozen staff members for the time being, and the number of its
staffers will be increased to about 100 members.
TOKYO 00002618 004 OF 009
At the Heiligendamm Summit this year, the G-8 leaders agreed on a
framework of halving greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, aiming at
making a decision on specific measures by 2009. Since the 2008 G-8
summit in Lake Toya is expected to play an important role in
creating a post-Kyoto framework, the government is now mulling a
program focusing on environmental issues.
The government plans to use such eco-friendly automobiles as hybrid
vehicles and electric cars for the transportation of G-8 officials
and the press corps. The hotel, the venue for the summit, will make
active use of solar power. The government will position the Lake
Toya Summit as a low-carbon summit.
A press center will be also used as an exhibition hall to introduce
advanced Japanese environmental technologies such as fuel cells and
next-generation light-water reactors.
Residents of Hokkaido where the summit will take place have mixed
feelings of hopes and worries. The Hokkaido government and Hokkaido
Economic Federation sent a 20-member delegation to Heiligendamm. The
delegation toured main halls for the G-8 summit and actively
exchanged views with Heiligendamm government officials. After
returning home on July 12, the delegation plans to compile a report.
The Council of Hokkaido Residents for the Summit, a preparatory
organization made up of government and private-sector officials,
will be established by late this month.
The government is most concerned about how to respond to terrorism
and large-scale demonstrations. Hokkaido police announced on May 10
the appointment of Hiroyuki Matsumoto, who was responsible for the
security at the 2000 Okinawa Summit, as the security department
chief who will control security for the 2008 Lake Toya Summit.
Hokkaido police have started preparations.
Municipalities involved in the Lake Toya Summit are concerned about
the financial burden and its effect. The 2000 Okinawa Summit
reportedly generated economic benefits of about 44 billion yen over
the two years before and after the summit. It is estimated that the
Lake Toya Summit will contribute approximately 38 billion yen to the
prefectural economy. Compared to 2000, the national fiscal financial
situation in 2008 will be tight. The Hokkaido government is
concerned about how much costs it will have to share.
The expectation is that ordinary tourists will not be allowed in the
Lake Toya area July 7-9 when the summit takes place. Hokkaido
expects that the summit will raise its international profile, though
it is worried about the short-term impact on tourism.
(3) Editorial: Challenges facing Prime Minister Abe before next G-8
summit in Lake Toya
YOMIURI (Page 3) (Almost full)
June 10, 2007
Climate change is a long-term challenge, while the nuclear weapons
programs North Korea and Iran are advancing are an immediate task.
The Group of Eight (G-8) summit ended, releasing a chairperson's
summary statement. Prime Minister Abe stressed the need to show the
clear will of the G-8 to North Korea, by noting, "North Korea's
nuclear ambitions are unacceptable." On the abduction issue, the
TOKYO 00002618 005 OF 009
prime minister emphasized the need for cooperation, portraying it as
an "international human rights issue."
The G-8 leaders agreed to put pressure on North Korea to immediately
implement the initial-stage action as agreed on in the (February)
six-party talks, as well as swiftly resolve the abduction issue.
This agreement sends a strong message toward North Korea. The
six-party talks must take into consideration this international
pressure on the North.
In dealing with the issue of hedge funds, the G-8 went no further
than to indicate the need to be alert to them. In order to prevent
hedge funds from putting the world market into turmoil, it is
essential for the G-8 to continue monitoring the market.
The 33-year-old G-8 framework now stands at a new juncture.
British Prime Minister Blair, who is to retire from the post
shortly, and Russian President Putin, whose term of office is to
expire next spring, will not join the next summit. In contrast to
them, Prime Minister Abe and French President Sarkozy were attending
their first G-8 summit this time. The G-8 leaders are now in a
transition.
Global warming, the focus of the G-8 summit this time, terrorism,
nuclear nonproliferation, and hedge funds are challenges the world
is facing at present. But those challenges cannot be resolved simply
under the G-8 framework.
The G-8 and five emerging economies, including China, India, and
Brazil, agreed to begin economic dialogue periodically on such
topics as development and energy. Behind this agreement is the G-8
leaders' understanding that the G-8 framework has limits to policy
coordination of the world economy.
Management of the G-8, too, needs to be reformed in line with the
changing international community.
Meanwhile, the G-8 summit this time revealed discord among the
participating nations. For example, Russia is at odds with the
United States over its plan to deploy a missile defense system in
East Europe, and Russia's energy policy and its retreat from the
move toward democratization have become a constant source of dispute
with Europe.
Whether Russia is qualified to be a member of the G-8 is likely to
remain an open question in the months ahead.
Greenhouse gases and climate change will become an even more
critical subject for international politics.
Prime Minister Abe in this sense needs to prompt India to cooperate
when he visits that country in August as planned. He also must play
a leading part in getting large emitters like China to participate
in a new framework, as well as in adjusting numerical targets as
called for by the EU.
(4) LDP team eyes utilizing SDF to combat harmful animals
ASAHI (Page 1) (Abridged slightly)
June 10, 2007
TOKYO 00002618 006 OF 009
A Liberal Democratic Party team studying ways to reduce damage to
agricultural and marine products by wild animals, such as boars,
monkeys, and baboons, has decided to include in its countermeasures
the use of the Self-Defense Forces. The team will also seek the
SDF's cooperation in setting up fences and traps to prevent their
access to human habitation and find out if it is possible for them
to use firearms in getting rid of such animals. Given rapidly aging
farmers, including hunters, the LDP team has turned its attention to
the SDF. The team intends to push ahead with necessary intra-party
procedures with the aim of submitting a bill to improve the law to
the extra Diet session in the fall.
The LDP Special Committee on Mountain Villages established the study
team chaired by Kazuaki Miyaji in late March in collaboration with
an LDP harmful animal control group that includes such former
Defense Agency chiefs as Seishiro Eto and Gen Nakatani. Through its
nine sessions, the team has recognized the need to mobilize the
SDF.
The team specifically eyes a system to let local governments produce
plans to fight against harmful animals and to allow prefectural
governors to request the cooperation of the SDF, including the
mobilization of SDF troops. The team specifically intends to allow
SDF troops to set up fences and cut grass on idle farmland
Calls are strong in the LDP for using firearms in capturing and
eliminating harmful animals. The team will study whether or not it
is legally and technically possible for the SDF to use guns for such
a purpose with the aim of producing a report later this month.
"People are becoming increasingly concerned about bear attacks on
humans, in addition to damage to agricultural and marine products,"
chair Miyaji said.
A senior Defense Ministry official took this view: "Once an overall
plan against harmful animals is shown, there must be some steps the
SDF can take in response to requests for cooperation. At the same
time, a clear chain of command is essential in taking steps. The use
of firearms involves risk. The appropriateness of allowing SDF
personnel to shoot animals with guns must be discussed widely."
Although the team eyes to improve the law, the party leadership will
make a final decision.
Harmful animals have caused 20 billion yen worth of damage to farm
crops nationwide over the last several years. The number of hunters
has declined by over 50 percent over the last three decades.
(5) Cabinet support rate nosedives; LDP feeling a sense of crisis
with House of Councillors election ahead
YOMIURI (Page 4) (Abridged)
June 8, 2007
Ahead of this summer's election for the House of Councillors, the
rate of public support for Prime Minister Abe and his cabinet
plunged in a recent Yomiuri Shimbun public opinion survey, and the
ruling Liberal Democratic Party is feeling a sense of crisis. The
fall is generally believed to be attributable to the Social
Insurance Agency's pension record-keeping flaws and the suicide of
Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Minister Toshikatsu Matsuoka.
However, the LDP is at a loss as to how to recover public confidence
TOKYO 00002618 007 OF 009
before the House of Councillors election. The Democratic Party of
Japan (Minshuto) and other opposition parties want to maintain their
momentum and go on the offensive toward the end of the current Diet
session.
The LDP's Machimura faction, from which Abe hails, held a meeting of
its members yesterday. In the meeting, Nobutaka Machimura, who heads
the faction, noted that the sharp drop in the Abe cabinet's support
rate was brought about by Matsuoka's suicide in late May and the
pension fiasco. "Some people are swayed by the support rate,"
Machimura said. "But," he added, "it's no use fretting." He also
said, "The most important thing is to do our utmost for the
important bills."
Machimura stressed that the ruling coalition should work to enact
key bills into law as the Diet enters the latter half of its current
session, thereby producing real results. "That's the path to victory
in the House of Councillors election," Machimura said.
However, Yoichi Masuzoe, one of the LDP leaders in the Diet's upper
chamber, voiced a sense of crisis. "The prime minister touched on
DPJ Vice President Kan's responsibility for the government's pension
record-keeping flaws (as Kan was once in the post of health and
welfare minister to oversee the management of pensions)," Masuzoe
said. "But," he went on, "it was not good to do so." He added, "The
government has been falling behind in dealing with the pension
fiasco, and people think the LDP needs to learn a lesson."
The worst scenario for the LDP would be for the ruling coalition to
enter this summer's campaign while the cabinet support rate remains
low, with the ruling parties suffering a crushing defeat and losing
their majority in the House of Councillors.
"This is a gale force wind blowing against us," says a member of the
Tsushima faction who is up for election. Also, Makoto Koga, who
SIPDIS
chairs the Niwa-Koga faction, voiced concern yesterday, saying:
"We're facing a very strong headwind in local constituencies. The
election is just around the corner, but there's still no momentum
for us. People's anxiety over pensions has taken on a life of its
own."
An LDP executive for elections says: "The nation's electoral
districts for the House of Councillors are large and extensive, so
there's a limit to one candidate's campaigning. The prime minister's
popularity and the cabinet support rate will greatly affect the
outcome. I feel that the present situation is like that at the time
of the House of Councillors election in 1989 when opinion was raging
against the consumption tax."
"We must fulfill our responsibility," one of the LDP's lawmakers
says. "That's all we can do," this LDP member added. Such a voice is
now prevailing in the party. LDP Secretary General Nakagawa says:
"The support rate will rebound as we explain that the government and
the ruling parties (not the opposition parties) are working to pay
pensions in full as early as possible."
(6) Lee Teng-hui's Japan visit ends; Showy behavior masks declining
influence
ASAHI (Page 7) (Full)
June 10, 2007
TOKYO 00002618 008 OF 009
Tsuyoshi Nojima, Taiwan
SIPDIS
Former Taiwanese President Lee Teng-hui (84) ended his 11-day trip
to Japan on June 9. During his tour this time, he delivered a speech
and held a press conference unlike his past two tours, and his
behavior was more noticeable than in the past, for instance, by
visiting Yasukuni Shrine. But his tour did not create any mess
involving the Japanese and Chinese governments. The reasons for this
are apparent. One is because of improvement in Japan-China
relations, and another is because Lee's influence is now waning.
On the night of June 9, Lee arrived at Taiwan Taoyuan International
Airport and summed up his Japan tour as "successful." During his
stay in Japan, Beijing discouraged Tokyo, arguing, "Japan must not
offer a political stage to a Taiwanese element seeking Taiwan's
independence and his group." But China did not react to Lee's visit
to Yasukuni Shrine. Even at the Japan-China summit on June 8, the
Chinese leader avoided directly criticizing Lee's visit to Japan.
China thus restrained itself as Lee had calculated before his Japan
visit that China does not want to argue with Japan at this point.
However, a lawmaker of Taiwan's largest opposition party Kuomintang
noted: "Mr. Lee is a person of the past. (His recent our of Japan)
revealed that he is no longer influential on the China-Taiwan
issue." In this past February, Lee made a remark that could be taken
as rejecting Taiwanese independence, thereby making some of his
support group favoring Taiwan's independence point to his sagging
popularity.
Ahead of Lee's visit to Japan, the Japanese government obtained a
draft of his speech and explored what action China would take, but
now Tokyo feels relieved, with one diplomatic source explaining,
"Perhaps China took it into consideration that Japan-China relations
are improving, and that making a mess would only help Mr. Lee."
So far Lee has been actively planning a visit to Japan or the United
States, behind which was his strategy of drawing international
attention to Taiwan or himself by creating friction between Japan
and China and between the US and China. This strategy, however,
failed this time, but it proved effective in Taiwan. His tour of
Japan was favorably reported on daily by the media.
Lee's next goal is likely to be a visit to China. Should his meeting
with key Chinese officials, with whom he since his days of serving
as president had exchanged harsh arguments, become reality, that
would surely have more impact than his Japan visit.
(7) Lee Teng-hui says in Japan: "Taiwan is an independent country"
ASAHI (Page 7) (Full)
June 10, 2007
At a press conference on June 9 at the Foreign Correspondents' Club
of Japan in Tokyo, former Taiwanese President Lee Teng-hui said:
"It's no wonder that I as a Taiwanese assert that Taiwan is already
an independent, free, peaceful and democratic country." This was his
first remark made in public in Japan regarding Taiwanese
independence, a serious concern for China.
Speaking of his visit to Yasukuni Shrine, Lee said, "It was one
moment of happiness in my life." When asked about China's reaction,
Lee noted: "Rank-and-file officials are nit-picking and making
TOKYO 00002618 009 OF 009
noise."
SCHIEFFER
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION;
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE;
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN,
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR;
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA.
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
SUBJECT: DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 06/11/07
Part-2
INDEX:
(1) Poll on political parties, House of Councillors election
(2) Government already preparing for Lake Toya Summit; Ambassador in
charge of G-8 summit in 2008 to be named as early as next month
(3) Editorial: Challenges facing Prime Minister Abe before next G-8
summit in Lake Toya
(4) LDP team eyes utilizing SDF to combat harmful animals
(5) Cabinet support rate nosedives; LDP feeling a sense of crisis
with House of Councillors election ahead
(6) Lee Teng-hui's Japan visit ends; Showy behavior masks declining
influence
(7) Lee Teng-hui says in Japan: "Taiwan is an independent country"
ARTICLES:
(1) Poll on political parties, House of Councillors election
TOKYO (Page 3) (Full)
June 10, 2007
Questions & Answers
(Figures shown in percentage)
Q: Which political party do you support?
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 42.6
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) 20.0
New Komeito (NK) 3.9
Japanese Communist Party (JCP) 3.3
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) 1.5
People's New Party (PNP or Kokumin Shinto) 0.4
New Party Nippon (NPN or Shinto Nippon) 0.2
Other political parties, groups 0.9
None 24.8
Don't know (D/K) + No answer (N/A) 2.4
Q: (Only for those who specified a political party like the LDP,
DPJ, NK, JCP, SDP, PNP, NPN, or other political parties and groups
to the foregoing question) Have you voted for a political party or a
candidate differing from those that you support in recent elections
for the House of Representatives and the House of Councillors?
(1,354 respondents)
Yes 50.8
No 48.1
D/K+N/A 1.1
Q: (Only for those who answered "none") Have you ever had a
political party to support? (460 respondents)
Not supported any specific political party 57.6
Supported a political party in the past but don't support any
political party at present 38.5
D/K+N/A 3.9
Q: (Only for those who answered "none") What's the primary reason
for your having had no particular political party to support? (460
TOKYO 00002618 002 OF 009
respondents)
Can't support any political party's policies 13.5
Can't figure out differences between the policies of political
parties 7.0
There's no trustworthy political party 34.2
Nothing can be expected of politics itself 19.6
Don't want to support any specific political party 18.7
Other answers (O/A) 2.4
D/K+N/A4.6
Q: What do you consider when you make up your mind to go to the
polls in elections for the House of Representatives and the House of
Councillors?
There's a candidate or a political party to support 18.3
Voting is a right and an obligation, so I go to the polls 50.5
When I think politics could change with my voting 12.8
When I am dissatisfied with politics 4.8
It depends on my feeling that day or whether I can 10.3
O/A 1.8
D/K+N/A 1.5
Q: Do you go to the polls in this summer's election for the House of
Councillors?
Will go to the polls for sure 56.8
Will probably go to the polls 33.3
Will probably not go to the polls 6.1
Will not go to the polls 2.4
D/K+N/A 1.4
Q: What do you think will become a point of contention in the House
of Councillors election? Pick up to two from among those listed
below.
Governing scheme 4.8
Economy, employment, social divide 38.7
Tax, fiscal reforms 17.5
Social security (pensions, healthcare, nursing care, welfare)
74.9
Political ethics 3.4
Education reform 13.0
Foreign, security policies 3.0
Constitutional revision 18.6
Environment 7.4
Low birthrate 7.0
O/A 0.1
D/K+N/A 2.0
Q: If you were to vote now in the election for the House of
Councillors, which political party or which political party's
candidate would you like to vote for?
LDP 37.4
DPJ 22.4
NK 4.1
JCP 3.4
SDP 1.4
PNP 0.3
NPN 0.3
Other political parties, groups 0.5
TOKYO 00002618 003 OF 009
Independent candidate 3.7
Wouldn't like to vote for any political party or candidate
19.4
D/K+N/A 7.1
Q: The biggest focus of the upcoming election is whether the ruling
coalition of the LDP and New Komeito will be able to retain its
majority of the seats in the House of Councillors. Would you like
the ruling coalition to maintain its majority, or would you
otherwise like the ruling coalition to lose its majority?
Would like it to maintain its majority 43.6
Would like it to lose its majority 46.9
D/K+N/A 9.5
Q: If the ruling coalition lost its majority in the House of
Councillors, what would you like the ruling coalition to do?
Replace the prime minister 18.5
Change the governing scheme 20.6
Coordinate policies with opposition parties 22.3
Dissolve the House of Representatives for an election 30.6
O/A 0.3
D/K+N/A 7.7
(Note) The total percentage of multiple answers is over 100
percent.
Polling methodology: For the survey, a total of 3,000 persons were
sampled out of men and women aged 20 and over at 250 locations
throughout the country on a stratified two-stage random-sampling
basis, so as to epitomize the nation's voting population of more
than a 100 million. The survey was conducted by the Japan Polling
Organization over a period of two days, June 2-3, on a face-to-face
interview basis. Answers were obtained from 1,858 persons, excluding
those who could not be interviewed because of their having moved
away or being on a trip, or for other reasons. The retrieval rate
was 61.9 percent. In the breakdown of respondents, males accounted
for 48.0 percent, and females 52.0 percent.
(2) Government already preparing for Lake Toya Summit; Ambassador in
charge of G-8 summit in 2008 to be named as early as next month
NIHON KEIZAI (Top Play) (Full)
Evening, June 9, 2007
With the end of the Group of Eight summit (Heiligendamm Summit),the
Japanese government will move preparations into full gear for the
G-8 summit it will host next year in Lake Toya, Hokkaido Prefecture.
The government intends to strive for perfection in the arrangements
for the G-8 summit, picking for the first time an ambassador in
charge of coordination with Hokkaido and other G-8 member countries.
The expectation is that the environment will top the agenda at the
next G-8 summit. The idea is being floated that Japan should take
advantage of its advanced energy-conservation technologies in a bid
to play up its effort for protecting the environment.
The government as early as July will set up a preparatory office in
the Foreign Ministry and appoint an ambassador in charge of
preparations for the G-8 summit. The office will be run by several
dozen staff members for the time being, and the number of its
staffers will be increased to about 100 members.
TOKYO 00002618 004 OF 009
At the Heiligendamm Summit this year, the G-8 leaders agreed on a
framework of halving greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, aiming at
making a decision on specific measures by 2009. Since the 2008 G-8
summit in Lake Toya is expected to play an important role in
creating a post-Kyoto framework, the government is now mulling a
program focusing on environmental issues.
The government plans to use such eco-friendly automobiles as hybrid
vehicles and electric cars for the transportation of G-8 officials
and the press corps. The hotel, the venue for the summit, will make
active use of solar power. The government will position the Lake
Toya Summit as a low-carbon summit.
A press center will be also used as an exhibition hall to introduce
advanced Japanese environmental technologies such as fuel cells and
next-generation light-water reactors.
Residents of Hokkaido where the summit will take place have mixed
feelings of hopes and worries. The Hokkaido government and Hokkaido
Economic Federation sent a 20-member delegation to Heiligendamm. The
delegation toured main halls for the G-8 summit and actively
exchanged views with Heiligendamm government officials. After
returning home on July 12, the delegation plans to compile a report.
The Council of Hokkaido Residents for the Summit, a preparatory
organization made up of government and private-sector officials,
will be established by late this month.
The government is most concerned about how to respond to terrorism
and large-scale demonstrations. Hokkaido police announced on May 10
the appointment of Hiroyuki Matsumoto, who was responsible for the
security at the 2000 Okinawa Summit, as the security department
chief who will control security for the 2008 Lake Toya Summit.
Hokkaido police have started preparations.
Municipalities involved in the Lake Toya Summit are concerned about
the financial burden and its effect. The 2000 Okinawa Summit
reportedly generated economic benefits of about 44 billion yen over
the two years before and after the summit. It is estimated that the
Lake Toya Summit will contribute approximately 38 billion yen to the
prefectural economy. Compared to 2000, the national fiscal financial
situation in 2008 will be tight. The Hokkaido government is
concerned about how much costs it will have to share.
The expectation is that ordinary tourists will not be allowed in the
Lake Toya area July 7-9 when the summit takes place. Hokkaido
expects that the summit will raise its international profile, though
it is worried about the short-term impact on tourism.
(3) Editorial: Challenges facing Prime Minister Abe before next G-8
summit in Lake Toya
YOMIURI (Page 3) (Almost full)
June 10, 2007
Climate change is a long-term challenge, while the nuclear weapons
programs North Korea and Iran are advancing are an immediate task.
The Group of Eight (G-8) summit ended, releasing a chairperson's
summary statement. Prime Minister Abe stressed the need to show the
clear will of the G-8 to North Korea, by noting, "North Korea's
nuclear ambitions are unacceptable." On the abduction issue, the
TOKYO 00002618 005 OF 009
prime minister emphasized the need for cooperation, portraying it as
an "international human rights issue."
The G-8 leaders agreed to put pressure on North Korea to immediately
implement the initial-stage action as agreed on in the (February)
six-party talks, as well as swiftly resolve the abduction issue.
This agreement sends a strong message toward North Korea. The
six-party talks must take into consideration this international
pressure on the North.
In dealing with the issue of hedge funds, the G-8 went no further
than to indicate the need to be alert to them. In order to prevent
hedge funds from putting the world market into turmoil, it is
essential for the G-8 to continue monitoring the market.
The 33-year-old G-8 framework now stands at a new juncture.
British Prime Minister Blair, who is to retire from the post
shortly, and Russian President Putin, whose term of office is to
expire next spring, will not join the next summit. In contrast to
them, Prime Minister Abe and French President Sarkozy were attending
their first G-8 summit this time. The G-8 leaders are now in a
transition.
Global warming, the focus of the G-8 summit this time, terrorism,
nuclear nonproliferation, and hedge funds are challenges the world
is facing at present. But those challenges cannot be resolved simply
under the G-8 framework.
The G-8 and five emerging economies, including China, India, and
Brazil, agreed to begin economic dialogue periodically on such
topics as development and energy. Behind this agreement is the G-8
leaders' understanding that the G-8 framework has limits to policy
coordination of the world economy.
Management of the G-8, too, needs to be reformed in line with the
changing international community.
Meanwhile, the G-8 summit this time revealed discord among the
participating nations. For example, Russia is at odds with the
United States over its plan to deploy a missile defense system in
East Europe, and Russia's energy policy and its retreat from the
move toward democratization have become a constant source of dispute
with Europe.
Whether Russia is qualified to be a member of the G-8 is likely to
remain an open question in the months ahead.
Greenhouse gases and climate change will become an even more
critical subject for international politics.
Prime Minister Abe in this sense needs to prompt India to cooperate
when he visits that country in August as planned. He also must play
a leading part in getting large emitters like China to participate
in a new framework, as well as in adjusting numerical targets as
called for by the EU.
(4) LDP team eyes utilizing SDF to combat harmful animals
ASAHI (Page 1) (Abridged slightly)
June 10, 2007
TOKYO 00002618 006 OF 009
A Liberal Democratic Party team studying ways to reduce damage to
agricultural and marine products by wild animals, such as boars,
monkeys, and baboons, has decided to include in its countermeasures
the use of the Self-Defense Forces. The team will also seek the
SDF's cooperation in setting up fences and traps to prevent their
access to human habitation and find out if it is possible for them
to use firearms in getting rid of such animals. Given rapidly aging
farmers, including hunters, the LDP team has turned its attention to
the SDF. The team intends to push ahead with necessary intra-party
procedures with the aim of submitting a bill to improve the law to
the extra Diet session in the fall.
The LDP Special Committee on Mountain Villages established the study
team chaired by Kazuaki Miyaji in late March in collaboration with
an LDP harmful animal control group that includes such former
Defense Agency chiefs as Seishiro Eto and Gen Nakatani. Through its
nine sessions, the team has recognized the need to mobilize the
SDF.
The team specifically eyes a system to let local governments produce
plans to fight against harmful animals and to allow prefectural
governors to request the cooperation of the SDF, including the
mobilization of SDF troops. The team specifically intends to allow
SDF troops to set up fences and cut grass on idle farmland
Calls are strong in the LDP for using firearms in capturing and
eliminating harmful animals. The team will study whether or not it
is legally and technically possible for the SDF to use guns for such
a purpose with the aim of producing a report later this month.
"People are becoming increasingly concerned about bear attacks on
humans, in addition to damage to agricultural and marine products,"
chair Miyaji said.
A senior Defense Ministry official took this view: "Once an overall
plan against harmful animals is shown, there must be some steps the
SDF can take in response to requests for cooperation. At the same
time, a clear chain of command is essential in taking steps. The use
of firearms involves risk. The appropriateness of allowing SDF
personnel to shoot animals with guns must be discussed widely."
Although the team eyes to improve the law, the party leadership will
make a final decision.
Harmful animals have caused 20 billion yen worth of damage to farm
crops nationwide over the last several years. The number of hunters
has declined by over 50 percent over the last three decades.
(5) Cabinet support rate nosedives; LDP feeling a sense of crisis
with House of Councillors election ahead
YOMIURI (Page 4) (Abridged)
June 8, 2007
Ahead of this summer's election for the House of Councillors, the
rate of public support for Prime Minister Abe and his cabinet
plunged in a recent Yomiuri Shimbun public opinion survey, and the
ruling Liberal Democratic Party is feeling a sense of crisis. The
fall is generally believed to be attributable to the Social
Insurance Agency's pension record-keeping flaws and the suicide of
Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Minister Toshikatsu Matsuoka.
However, the LDP is at a loss as to how to recover public confidence
TOKYO 00002618 007 OF 009
before the House of Councillors election. The Democratic Party of
Japan (Minshuto) and other opposition parties want to maintain their
momentum and go on the offensive toward the end of the current Diet
session.
The LDP's Machimura faction, from which Abe hails, held a meeting of
its members yesterday. In the meeting, Nobutaka Machimura, who heads
the faction, noted that the sharp drop in the Abe cabinet's support
rate was brought about by Matsuoka's suicide in late May and the
pension fiasco. "Some people are swayed by the support rate,"
Machimura said. "But," he added, "it's no use fretting." He also
said, "The most important thing is to do our utmost for the
important bills."
Machimura stressed that the ruling coalition should work to enact
key bills into law as the Diet enters the latter half of its current
session, thereby producing real results. "That's the path to victory
in the House of Councillors election," Machimura said.
However, Yoichi Masuzoe, one of the LDP leaders in the Diet's upper
chamber, voiced a sense of crisis. "The prime minister touched on
DPJ Vice President Kan's responsibility for the government's pension
record-keeping flaws (as Kan was once in the post of health and
welfare minister to oversee the management of pensions)," Masuzoe
said. "But," he went on, "it was not good to do so." He added, "The
government has been falling behind in dealing with the pension
fiasco, and people think the LDP needs to learn a lesson."
The worst scenario for the LDP would be for the ruling coalition to
enter this summer's campaign while the cabinet support rate remains
low, with the ruling parties suffering a crushing defeat and losing
their majority in the House of Councillors.
"This is a gale force wind blowing against us," says a member of the
Tsushima faction who is up for election. Also, Makoto Koga, who
SIPDIS
chairs the Niwa-Koga faction, voiced concern yesterday, saying:
"We're facing a very strong headwind in local constituencies. The
election is just around the corner, but there's still no momentum
for us. People's anxiety over pensions has taken on a life of its
own."
An LDP executive for elections says: "The nation's electoral
districts for the House of Councillors are large and extensive, so
there's a limit to one candidate's campaigning. The prime minister's
popularity and the cabinet support rate will greatly affect the
outcome. I feel that the present situation is like that at the time
of the House of Councillors election in 1989 when opinion was raging
against the consumption tax."
"We must fulfill our responsibility," one of the LDP's lawmakers
says. "That's all we can do," this LDP member added. Such a voice is
now prevailing in the party. LDP Secretary General Nakagawa says:
"The support rate will rebound as we explain that the government and
the ruling parties (not the opposition parties) are working to pay
pensions in full as early as possible."
(6) Lee Teng-hui's Japan visit ends; Showy behavior masks declining
influence
ASAHI (Page 7) (Full)
June 10, 2007
TOKYO 00002618 008 OF 009
Tsuyoshi Nojima, Taiwan
SIPDIS
Former Taiwanese President Lee Teng-hui (84) ended his 11-day trip
to Japan on June 9. During his tour this time, he delivered a speech
and held a press conference unlike his past two tours, and his
behavior was more noticeable than in the past, for instance, by
visiting Yasukuni Shrine. But his tour did not create any mess
involving the Japanese and Chinese governments. The reasons for this
are apparent. One is because of improvement in Japan-China
relations, and another is because Lee's influence is now waning.
On the night of June 9, Lee arrived at Taiwan Taoyuan International
Airport and summed up his Japan tour as "successful." During his
stay in Japan, Beijing discouraged Tokyo, arguing, "Japan must not
offer a political stage to a Taiwanese element seeking Taiwan's
independence and his group." But China did not react to Lee's visit
to Yasukuni Shrine. Even at the Japan-China summit on June 8, the
Chinese leader avoided directly criticizing Lee's visit to Japan.
China thus restrained itself as Lee had calculated before his Japan
visit that China does not want to argue with Japan at this point.
However, a lawmaker of Taiwan's largest opposition party Kuomintang
noted: "Mr. Lee is a person of the past. (His recent our of Japan)
revealed that he is no longer influential on the China-Taiwan
issue." In this past February, Lee made a remark that could be taken
as rejecting Taiwanese independence, thereby making some of his
support group favoring Taiwan's independence point to his sagging
popularity.
Ahead of Lee's visit to Japan, the Japanese government obtained a
draft of his speech and explored what action China would take, but
now Tokyo feels relieved, with one diplomatic source explaining,
"Perhaps China took it into consideration that Japan-China relations
are improving, and that making a mess would only help Mr. Lee."
So far Lee has been actively planning a visit to Japan or the United
States, behind which was his strategy of drawing international
attention to Taiwan or himself by creating friction between Japan
and China and between the US and China. This strategy, however,
failed this time, but it proved effective in Taiwan. His tour of
Japan was favorably reported on daily by the media.
Lee's next goal is likely to be a visit to China. Should his meeting
with key Chinese officials, with whom he since his days of serving
as president had exchanged harsh arguments, become reality, that
would surely have more impact than his Japan visit.
(7) Lee Teng-hui says in Japan: "Taiwan is an independent country"
ASAHI (Page 7) (Full)
June 10, 2007
At a press conference on June 9 at the Foreign Correspondents' Club
of Japan in Tokyo, former Taiwanese President Lee Teng-hui said:
"It's no wonder that I as a Taiwanese assert that Taiwan is already
an independent, free, peaceful and democratic country." This was his
first remark made in public in Japan regarding Taiwanese
independence, a serious concern for China.
Speaking of his visit to Yasukuni Shrine, Lee said, "It was one
moment of happiness in my life." When asked about China's reaction,
Lee noted: "Rank-and-file officials are nit-picking and making
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noise."
SCHIEFFER