Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07NEWDELHI2266
2007-05-11 06:38:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy New Delhi
Cable title:
A MAYAWATI LANDSLIDE IN UTTAR PRADESH ELECTIONS
how-toVZCZCXRO1993 OO RUEHAST RUEHBI RUEHCI RUEHDBU RUEHLH RUEHPW DE RUEHNE #2266 1310638 ZNR UUUUU ZZH O 110638Z MAY 07 FM AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 5571 INFO RUCNCLS/ALL SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA COLLECTIVE RUEHBJ/AMEMBASSY BEIJING 6153 RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON 3605 RUEHMO/AMEMBASSY MOSCOW 2086 RUEHFR/AMEMBASSY PARIS 1154 RUEHKO/AMEMBASSY TOKYO 4989 RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC RUEIDN/DNI WASHINGTON DC RHHMUNA/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI RUCNDT/USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 4658 RHMFISS/HQ USCENTCOM MACDILL AFB FL RUEHGV/USMISSION GENEVA 6916 RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI RHMFISS/HQ USSOCOM MACDILL AFB FL RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC
UNCLAS NEW DELHI 002266
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR PTER SCUL KDEM IN
SUBJECT: A MAYAWATI LANDSLIDE IN UTTAR PRADESH ELECTIONS
REF: A. NEW DELHI 2203
B. NEW DELHI 2140
C. NEW DELHI 2092
D. NEW DELHI 1946
E. NEW DELHI 1915
F. NEW DELHI 1699
G. NEW DELHI 1675
H. NEW DELHI 1508
A Clear BSP Victory
-------------------
UNCLAS NEW DELHI 002266
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR PTER SCUL KDEM IN
SUBJECT: A MAYAWATI LANDSLIDE IN UTTAR PRADESH ELECTIONS
REF: A. NEW DELHI 2203
B. NEW DELHI 2140
C. NEW DELHI 2092
D. NEW DELHI 1946
E. NEW DELHI 1915
F. NEW DELHI 1699
G. NEW DELHI 1675
H. NEW DELHI 1508
A Clear BSP Victory
--------------
1. (U) Although the EC has not yet released the final vote
tally in the Uttar Pradesh (UP) Legislative Assembly
Elections, initial analysis indicates a clear victory for the
BSP party of former Chief Minister Mayawati, and Chief
Minister Mulayam Singh Yadav has already conceded defeat.
NDTV projects the following outcome:
BSP -- 189 seats
SP -- 98 seats
BJP -- 61 seats
Congress -- 27 seats
Others -- 27 seats
Winners and Losers
--------------
2. (U) The winners and losers a clearly apparent when
contrasted with the outcome of the 2002 elections below:
BSP -- 99 seats (a gain of 90 seats)
SP -- 143 (a loss of 45 seats)
BJP -- 87 (a loss of 26 seats)
Congress -- 26 (a gain of one seat)
Others -- 31 (a loss of four seats)
Mayawati to form the Government
--------------
3. (U) UP watchers and pundits agree that having crossed 180
seats, Mayawati will have no trouble attracting the 13 seats
she needs to form the government. Most expect Congress,
smaller parties and independents to join with the BSP to form
the new coalition. Such a combination could cross 243 seats,
giving Mayawati a comfortable majority. It is not yet clear
whether Congress will support Mayawati "from outside" or join
the new government. Rahul Gandhi has told reporters that
Congress has a post-poll plan in place but refused to divulge
the details, saying it must first be approved by the party
leadership. Post will provide detailed analysis septel.
4. (U) Visit New Delhi's Classified Website:
(http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/sa/newdelhi/)
PYATT
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL PINR PTER SCUL KDEM IN
SUBJECT: A MAYAWATI LANDSLIDE IN UTTAR PRADESH ELECTIONS
REF: A. NEW DELHI 2203
B. NEW DELHI 2140
C. NEW DELHI 2092
D. NEW DELHI 1946
E. NEW DELHI 1915
F. NEW DELHI 1699
G. NEW DELHI 1675
H. NEW DELHI 1508
A Clear BSP Victory
--------------
1. (U) Although the EC has not yet released the final vote
tally in the Uttar Pradesh (UP) Legislative Assembly
Elections, initial analysis indicates a clear victory for the
BSP party of former Chief Minister Mayawati, and Chief
Minister Mulayam Singh Yadav has already conceded defeat.
NDTV projects the following outcome:
BSP -- 189 seats
SP -- 98 seats
BJP -- 61 seats
Congress -- 27 seats
Others -- 27 seats
Winners and Losers
--------------
2. (U) The winners and losers a clearly apparent when
contrasted with the outcome of the 2002 elections below:
BSP -- 99 seats (a gain of 90 seats)
SP -- 143 (a loss of 45 seats)
BJP -- 87 (a loss of 26 seats)
Congress -- 26 (a gain of one seat)
Others -- 31 (a loss of four seats)
Mayawati to form the Government
--------------
3. (U) UP watchers and pundits agree that having crossed 180
seats, Mayawati will have no trouble attracting the 13 seats
she needs to form the government. Most expect Congress,
smaller parties and independents to join with the BSP to form
the new coalition. Such a combination could cross 243 seats,
giving Mayawati a comfortable majority. It is not yet clear
whether Congress will support Mayawati "from outside" or join
the new government. Rahul Gandhi has told reporters that
Congress has a post-poll plan in place but refused to divulge
the details, saying it must first be approved by the party
leadership. Post will provide detailed analysis septel.
4. (U) Visit New Delhi's Classified Website:
(http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/sa/newdelhi/)
PYATT