Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07MINSK846
2007-10-04 12:44:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Minsk
Cable title:
POLLS SHOW DIP IN LUKASHENKO'S SUPPORT
how-toVZCZCXRO6552 RR RUEHAG RUEHAST RUEHDA RUEHDBU RUEHDF RUEHFL RUEHIK RUEHKW RUEHLA RUEHLN RUEHLZ RUEHPOD RUEHROV RUEHSR RUEHVK RUEHYG DE RUEHSK #0846/01 2771244 ZNR UUUUU ZZH R 041244Z OCT 07 FM AMEMBASSY MINSK TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 6539 INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE RUEHGV/USMISSION GENEVA 0361 RUEHVEN/USMISSION USOSCE 1685 RUEHBS/USEU BRUSSELS RHMFISS/HQ USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE RUFOADA/JAC MOLESWORTH RAF MOLESWORTH UK
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MINSK 000846
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PINR BO
SUBJECT: POLLS SHOW DIP IN LUKASHENKO'S SUPPORT
REF: A. MINSK 768
B. MINSK 458
Summary
-------
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MINSK 000846
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PINR BO
SUBJECT: POLLS SHOW DIP IN LUKASHENKO'S SUPPORT
REF: A. MINSK 768
B. MINSK 458
Summary
--------------
1. (SBU) According to independent nationwide polling data, public
support for Aleksandr Lukashenko continues to slip (ref A),while
support for the opposition holds steady. Public opinion on the
economy shows little change over the course of 2007. While
opposition to government cuts in social benefits exists, we are
clearly not at a point where that sentiment will be sufficient to
drive Belarusians to protest. End summary.
Luksashenko's Rating Continues to Slide
--------------
2. (SBU) Minsk's Independent Institute for Social, Economic and
Political Studies (IISEPS) conducted three nationwide public opinion
polls in January, May, and September 2007. Each survey had roughly
1500 respondents and a margin of error of three percentage points.
While many of the indices remained rather static, the popularity of
Aleksandr Lukashenko and general opinion on the state of affairs in
Belarus slipped.
3. (SBU) When asked, "If elections for President of Belarus were
held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?" Aleksandr Lukashenko's
rating fell six per cent, while support for Aleksandr Milinkevich
remained steady.
January '07 May '07 September '07
A. Lukashenko 50.9 48.0 44.9
A. Milinkevich 11.4 12.2 12.3
A. Kozulin 4.2 4.6 3.2
S. Gaydukevich 1.2 1.2 1.3
A. Lebedko
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PINR BO
SUBJECT: POLLS SHOW DIP IN LUKASHENKO'S SUPPORT
REF: A. MINSK 768
B. MINSK 458
Summary
--------------
1. (SBU) According to independent nationwide polling data, public
support for Aleksandr Lukashenko continues to slip (ref A),while
support for the opposition holds steady. Public opinion on the
economy shows little change over the course of 2007. While
opposition to government cuts in social benefits exists, we are
clearly not at a point where that sentiment will be sufficient to
drive Belarusians to protest. End summary.
Luksashenko's Rating Continues to Slide
--------------
2. (SBU) Minsk's Independent Institute for Social, Economic and
Political Studies (IISEPS) conducted three nationwide public opinion
polls in January, May, and September 2007. Each survey had roughly
1500 respondents and a margin of error of three percentage points.
While many of the indices remained rather static, the popularity of
Aleksandr Lukashenko and general opinion on the state of affairs in
Belarus slipped.
3. (SBU) When asked, "If elections for President of Belarus were
held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?" Aleksandr Lukashenko's
rating fell six per cent, while support for Aleksandr Milinkevich
remained steady.
January '07 May '07 September '07
A. Lukashenko 50.9 48.0 44.9
A. Milinkevich 11.4 12.2 12.3
A. Kozulin 4.2 4.6 3.2
S. Gaydukevich 1.2 1.2 1.3
A. Lebedko