Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07GUATEMALA647
2007-04-02 21:31:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Guatemala
Cable title:
PRESIDENTIAL POLL SHOWS CENTER-LEFT ALVARO COLOM
how-toVZCZCXYZ0000 PP RUEHWEB DE RUEHGT #0647 0922131 ZNY CCCCC ZZH P 022131Z APR 07 FM AMEMBASSY GUATEMALA TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 2315 INFO RUEHZA/WHA CENTRAL AMERICAN COLLECTIVE RUEHBU/AMEMBASSY BUENOS AIRES 0096 RUEHLP/AMEMBASSY LA PAZ APR MADRID 0388 RUEHME/AMEMBASSY MEXICO 4135 RUEHQT/AMEMBASSY QUITO 0876 RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC RHMFISS/CDR USSOUTHCOM MIAMI FL
C O N F I D E N T I A L GUATEMALA 000647
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/29/2017
TAGS: PGOV SOCI KDEM PHUM GT
SUBJECT: PRESIDENTIAL POLL SHOWS CENTER-LEFT ALVARO COLOM
STILL IN LEAD
REF: A. GUATEMALA 384
B. GUATEMALA 99
C. GUATEMALA 96
Classified By: Amb. Derham for reasons 1.4(b),(d).
C O N F I D E N T I A L GUATEMALA 000647
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/29/2017
TAGS: PGOV SOCI KDEM PHUM GT
SUBJECT: PRESIDENTIAL POLL SHOWS CENTER-LEFT ALVARO COLOM
STILL IN LEAD
REF: A. GUATEMALA 384
B. GUATEMALA 99
C. GUATEMALA 96
Classified By: Amb. Derham for reasons 1.4(b),(d).
1. (U) Summary: Presidential candidate Alvaro Colom of
center-left Unidad Nacional de la Esperanza (UNE) retains the
lead with 21.23 percent, 11 points over Partido Patriota (PP)
candidate Otto Perez Molina, a proponent of "mano dura,"
according to a March 9-17 national poll conducted by Vox
Latina. Nobel Peace Prize winner Rigoberta Menchu, who has
international name recognition but little political
experience, stands in fourth place with 2.18 percent.
However, with many Guatemalan voters still undecided, it
remains unclear who will make it to the second round with
Colom. End summary.
2. (U) A March 9-17 nationwide poll conducted by Vox Latina
shows center-left front-runner Alvaro Colom of the Unidad
Nacional de la Esperanza (UNE) still in the lead with 21.23
percent, followed by Otto Perez Molina of Partido Patriota
(PP) with 10.52 percent, and Alejandro Giammettei of Gana
with 7.54 percent. Nobel Peace Prize winner and the first
indigenous female presidential candidate Rigoberta Menchu,
who officially announced her candidacy for Encuentro por
Guatemala (EG) on February 21, is in fourth place with 2.18
percent. Trailing with less than 2 percent each are Luis
Rabbe of FRG (1.59 percent),Harold Caballeros of Viva (1.39
percent),and Fritz Garcia-Gallont of Unionista (1.39
percent).
3. (C) Comment: The entry of Menchu into the presidential
race has had a notable impact; while she is not likely to
win, she has been drawing votes from Colom's largely rural
and indigenous support base, which could keep him from an
outright victory in the first round. Although Colom remains
the front-runner, it remains unclear who will make it to the
second round with him as a large number of Guatemalans remain
undecided.
Derham
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/29/2017
TAGS: PGOV SOCI KDEM PHUM GT
SUBJECT: PRESIDENTIAL POLL SHOWS CENTER-LEFT ALVARO COLOM
STILL IN LEAD
REF: A. GUATEMALA 384
B. GUATEMALA 99
C. GUATEMALA 96
Classified By: Amb. Derham for reasons 1.4(b),(d).
1. (U) Summary: Presidential candidate Alvaro Colom of
center-left Unidad Nacional de la Esperanza (UNE) retains the
lead with 21.23 percent, 11 points over Partido Patriota (PP)
candidate Otto Perez Molina, a proponent of "mano dura,"
according to a March 9-17 national poll conducted by Vox
Latina. Nobel Peace Prize winner Rigoberta Menchu, who has
international name recognition but little political
experience, stands in fourth place with 2.18 percent.
However, with many Guatemalan voters still undecided, it
remains unclear who will make it to the second round with
Colom. End summary.
2. (U) A March 9-17 nationwide poll conducted by Vox Latina
shows center-left front-runner Alvaro Colom of the Unidad
Nacional de la Esperanza (UNE) still in the lead with 21.23
percent, followed by Otto Perez Molina of Partido Patriota
(PP) with 10.52 percent, and Alejandro Giammettei of Gana
with 7.54 percent. Nobel Peace Prize winner and the first
indigenous female presidential candidate Rigoberta Menchu,
who officially announced her candidacy for Encuentro por
Guatemala (EG) on February 21, is in fourth place with 2.18
percent. Trailing with less than 2 percent each are Luis
Rabbe of FRG (1.59 percent),Harold Caballeros of Viva (1.39
percent),and Fritz Garcia-Gallont of Unionista (1.39
percent).
3. (C) Comment: The entry of Menchu into the presidential
race has had a notable impact; while she is not likely to
win, she has been drawing votes from Colom's largely rural
and indigenous support base, which could keep him from an
outright victory in the first round. Although Colom remains
the front-runner, it remains unclear who will make it to the
second round with him as a large number of Guatemalans remain
undecided.
Derham