Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07DILI252
2007-07-05 12:32:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Dili
Cable title:
GOVERNING COALITION AGREEMENT TO BE SIGNED TOMORROW, GUSMAO
VZCZCXRO3642 OO RUEHLMC RUEHMR RUEHPA RUEHPB DE RUEHDT #0252 1861232 ZNR UUUUU ZZH O R 051232Z JUL 07 FM AMEMBASSY DILI TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 3612 INFO RUCNARF/ASEAN REGIONAL FORUM COLLECTIVE RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA 0586 RUEHLI/AMEMBASSY LISBON 0952 RUEHROV/AMEMBASSY VATICAN 0186 RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON 0731 RHEFDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC RHMFIUU/DEPT OF JUSTICE WASHINGTON DC RHEHAAA/NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON DC RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI RUCNMCM/MCC COLLECTIVE RUEHDT/AMEMBASSY DILI 2988
UNCLAS DILI 000252
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SECSTATE FOR EAP/MTS
USUN FOR RICHARD MCCURRY
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV KDEM TT
SUBJECT: GOVERNING COALITION AGREEMENT TO BE SIGNED TOMORROW, GUSMAO
LIKELY TO BECOME PRIME MINISTER
UNCLAS DILI 000252
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SECSTATE FOR EAP/MTS
USUN FOR RICHARD MCCURRY
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV KDEM TT
SUBJECT: GOVERNING COALITION AGREEMENT TO BE SIGNED TOMORROW, GUSMAO
LIKELY TO BECOME PRIME MINISTER
1. (SBU) The last ballot from the June 30 election was counted
at the Dili district counting center at mid-day day July 5;
results of the completed count are reported in paragraph 2. At
approximately 8:00pm local time the same day, we learned that
former President Xanana Gusmao's party, the National Congress
for Timorese Reconstruction (CNRT),has reached an agreement
with the coalition of the Social Democratic Association of Timor
and the Social Democratic Party (ASDT/PSD) and the Democratic
Party (PD) to form a coalition government. The agreement will
be signed in a public ceremony July 6. A final agreement
regarding who will lead such a government is still pending, but
most expect that Gusmao would ultimately fill the Prime Minister
position. Like most observers, we were anticipating that
coalition discussions would take some time and their quick
conclusion comes as a surprise. Nevertheless, the formal
process of appointing the Government and the Prime Minister must
still follow, and there remains some uncertainty regarding how
this will proceed. According to the constitution, the President
is to appoint the Prime Minister designated either by the party
with the most votes or the alliance of parties with a
parliamentary majority. President Jose Ramos-Horta is
reportedly still in the process of gathering legal advice
regarding whether he can bypass the party with the most votes
(the ruling FRETILIN party) and go directly to appointing a
government designated by a majority alliance. We will continue
to report more details on the coalition and government formation
process in the coming days.
2. (U) With 100% of district counting center results in, the
outcome stands as follows, with the estimated number of seats in
the 65 seat parliament in parentheses:
-- The ruling FRETILIN party has 29% (21)
-- Former President Xanana Gusmao's National Congress for
Timorese Reconstruction (CNRT) has 24.1% (18)
-- The coalition of the Social Democratic Association of Timor
and the Social Democratic Party (ASDT/PSD) has 15.8% (11)
-- The Democratic Party (PD) has 11.3% (8)
-- The National Unity Party (PUN),has 4.5% (3)
-- The coalition of KOTA and PPT (the Democratic Alliance) has
3.2 % (2)
-- The National Democratic Union of Timorese Resistance
(UNDERTIM) has 3.2% (2)
Seven of the 14 parties on the ballot, representing nine percent
of the votes cast, failed to reach the three percent threshold
required for parliamentary representation.
KLEMM
SIPDIS
SENSITIVE
SECSTATE FOR EAP/MTS
USUN FOR RICHARD MCCURRY
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV KDEM TT
SUBJECT: GOVERNING COALITION AGREEMENT TO BE SIGNED TOMORROW, GUSMAO
LIKELY TO BECOME PRIME MINISTER
1. (SBU) The last ballot from the June 30 election was counted
at the Dili district counting center at mid-day day July 5;
results of the completed count are reported in paragraph 2. At
approximately 8:00pm local time the same day, we learned that
former President Xanana Gusmao's party, the National Congress
for Timorese Reconstruction (CNRT),has reached an agreement
with the coalition of the Social Democratic Association of Timor
and the Social Democratic Party (ASDT/PSD) and the Democratic
Party (PD) to form a coalition government. The agreement will
be signed in a public ceremony July 6. A final agreement
regarding who will lead such a government is still pending, but
most expect that Gusmao would ultimately fill the Prime Minister
position. Like most observers, we were anticipating that
coalition discussions would take some time and their quick
conclusion comes as a surprise. Nevertheless, the formal
process of appointing the Government and the Prime Minister must
still follow, and there remains some uncertainty regarding how
this will proceed. According to the constitution, the President
is to appoint the Prime Minister designated either by the party
with the most votes or the alliance of parties with a
parliamentary majority. President Jose Ramos-Horta is
reportedly still in the process of gathering legal advice
regarding whether he can bypass the party with the most votes
(the ruling FRETILIN party) and go directly to appointing a
government designated by a majority alliance. We will continue
to report more details on the coalition and government formation
process in the coming days.
2. (U) With 100% of district counting center results in, the
outcome stands as follows, with the estimated number of seats in
the 65 seat parliament in parentheses:
-- The ruling FRETILIN party has 29% (21)
-- Former President Xanana Gusmao's National Congress for
Timorese Reconstruction (CNRT) has 24.1% (18)
-- The coalition of the Social Democratic Association of Timor
and the Social Democratic Party (ASDT/PSD) has 15.8% (11)
-- The Democratic Party (PD) has 11.3% (8)
-- The National Unity Party (PUN),has 4.5% (3)
-- The coalition of KOTA and PPT (the Democratic Alliance) has
3.2 % (2)
-- The National Democratic Union of Timorese Resistance
(UNDERTIM) has 3.2% (2)
Seven of the 14 parties on the ballot, representing nine percent
of the votes cast, failed to reach the three percent threshold
required for parliamentary representation.
KLEMM