Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
07BEIJING1690
2007-03-14 07:17:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Beijing
Cable title:
KEY CHINESE ACADEMIC SEES CROSS-STRAIT TIES
how-toVZCZCXRO4639 OO RUEHCN RUEHGH RUEHVC DE RUEHBJ #1690 0730717 ZNY CCCCC ZZH O 140717Z MAR 07 FM AMEMBASSY BEIJING TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 5611 INFO RUEHOO/CHINA POSTS COLLECTIVE RHHMUNA/USCINCPAC HONOLULU HI RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHINGTON DC RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC
C O N F I D E N T I A L BEIJING 001690
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/14/2017
TAGS: PREL PGOV CH TW JA
SUBJECT: KEY CHINESE ACADEMIC SEES CROSS-STRAIT TIES
STABILIZING
Classified By: Deputy Political Minister Counselor
Robert Griffiths. Reasons 1.4 (b/d).
C O N F I D E N T I A L BEIJING 001690
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/14/2017
TAGS: PREL PGOV CH TW JA
SUBJECT: KEY CHINESE ACADEMIC SEES CROSS-STRAIT TIES
STABILIZING
Classified By: Deputy Political Minister Counselor
Robert Griffiths. Reasons 1.4 (b/d).
1. (C) A leading Chinese commentator on foreign
affairs disagreed with China's standard line on Taiwan
and told visiting EAP/CM Director John Norris that
from his perspective Chen Shui-bian is a diminishing
threat to Beijing. After other scholars offered
familiar points about the danger of Chen Shui-bian and
Beijing's concerns about upcoming Taiwan elections,
China Academy of Social Sciences' Institute of
American Studies senior fellow Tao Wenzhao disputed
that view and argued that cross-Strait ties are
stabilizing. (Note: Tao is a frequent commentator on
foreign policy issues on Chinese TV. End Note.)
2. (C) Tao argued that Chen Shui-bian's domestic
support is dropping and that any of the leading
candidates for the upcoming Presidential elections are
likely to pursue cross-Strait policies more acceptable
to Beijing. The majority of people on Taiwan agree
with the present situation. After Chen steps down,
Beijing will also be in a position to take more
positive steps to improve cross-Strait relations, he
argued.
3. (C) Tao likened the cross-Strait situation under
Chen Shui-bian with China-Japan relations under
Koizumi. Much as relations with Tokyo improved
notably shortly after Koizumi left office, Tao felt
that Beijing will be in a position to be more creative
in its approach to cross-Strait ties once Chen leaves
office.
RANDT
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/14/2017
TAGS: PREL PGOV CH TW JA
SUBJECT: KEY CHINESE ACADEMIC SEES CROSS-STRAIT TIES
STABILIZING
Classified By: Deputy Political Minister Counselor
Robert Griffiths. Reasons 1.4 (b/d).
1. (C) A leading Chinese commentator on foreign
affairs disagreed with China's standard line on Taiwan
and told visiting EAP/CM Director John Norris that
from his perspective Chen Shui-bian is a diminishing
threat to Beijing. After other scholars offered
familiar points about the danger of Chen Shui-bian and
Beijing's concerns about upcoming Taiwan elections,
China Academy of Social Sciences' Institute of
American Studies senior fellow Tao Wenzhao disputed
that view and argued that cross-Strait ties are
stabilizing. (Note: Tao is a frequent commentator on
foreign policy issues on Chinese TV. End Note.)
2. (C) Tao argued that Chen Shui-bian's domestic
support is dropping and that any of the leading
candidates for the upcoming Presidential elections are
likely to pursue cross-Strait policies more acceptable
to Beijing. The majority of people on Taiwan agree
with the present situation. After Chen steps down,
Beijing will also be in a position to take more
positive steps to improve cross-Strait relations, he
argued.
3. (C) Tao likened the cross-Strait situation under
Chen Shui-bian with China-Japan relations under
Koizumi. Much as relations with Tokyo improved
notably shortly after Koizumi left office, Tao felt
that Beijing will be in a position to be more creative
in its approach to cross-Strait ties once Chen leaves
office.
RANDT