Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06TOKYO3844
2006-07-11 02:03:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Tokyo
Cable title:  

JAPANESE MORNING PRESS HIGHLIGHTS 07/11/06

Tags:  OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA 
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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 11 TOKYO 003844 

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA;
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION;
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE;
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN,
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR;
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA.

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA

SUBJECT: JAPANESE MORNING PRESS HIGHLIGHTS 07/11/06


Index:
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 11 TOKYO 003844 SIPDIS SIPDIS DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA; WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION; TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE; SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN, DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR; CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA. E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA SUBJECT: JAPANESE MORNING PRESS HIGHLIGHTS 07/11/06 Index: 1) Top headlines 2) Editorials 3) Prime Minister's daily schedule 4) Yomiuri poll: Koizumi Cabinet support rate at 50.2 PERCENT , while 46 PERCENT support ABE as next prime minister, compared to Fukuda's 18 PERCENT 5) Japan, US accept China's request to postpone UNSC vote on DPRK sanctions 6) Japan, US watching carefully China's vice foreign minister's talks in Pyongyang 7) US, Japan hold "sanctions card" in reserve, hoping North Korea will agree to return to 6-party talks 8) ROK ambassador to Japan says statement that Japan overreacted to missile launches is not his government's policy line 9) "Abe diplomacy" emerges with the North Korean missile launches, overrides Foreign Ministry soft-liners opposed to sanctions 10) JDA chief Nukaga sets off debate by calling for study of strike capability against enemy bases 11) Prime Minister Koizumi calls for "cautious study" of preemptive strike capability 12) Asbestos victims working for Yokosuka Navy Base seek relief under the SOFA 13) Prime Minister Koizumi begins his visit to tension-filled Middle East today 14) Head of Taiwan's KMT party starts visit to Japan 15) Sparks fly between cabinet ministers Takenaka and Yosano over deflation issue 16) LDP Secretary General Takebe taking conciliatory stand toward postal rebels in Diet with eye on next year's Upper House election 17) Minshuto (Democratic Party of Japan) sets presidential election for September 25 Articles: 1) TOP HEADLINES Asahi: Mainichi: Sankei: Tokyo Shimbun: UNSC postpones vote on draft resolution on North Korean sanctions; Japan, US agree to watch China's diplomatic effort Yomiuri: Mitsui Life Insurance, Sumitomo Life Insurance to join hands; Joint investment for establishment of new company that sell insurance products over the counter Nihon Keizai: �
0A; TOKYO 00003844 002 OF 011 NTT's new Internet Protocol (IP) network, including facilities, to be made open for use by other telecom carriers 2) EDITORIALS Asahi: (1)World Cup was worth watching (2)Net reduction in public servants Mainichi: (1)Unified reform of revenues and expenditures: LDP presidential election that makes painful aspect of reform campaign issue (2)Lowering cap on interest rates on loans: Real value of consumer banking to be put to test Yomiuri: (1)Capability to attack enemy military bases: Discussion with eye on threat needed (2)Relief and rehabilitation system: Prevent emergence of repeat offenders through drastic reform Nihon Keizai: (1)Major stockholder calls for reorganization of GM (2)Deepen negotiations on gas field development in East China Sea Sankei: (1)Statement by defense agency director general: Time for discussion on propriety of Japan having attack capability (2)Gas fields in East China Sea: Do not allow China to buy time Tokyo Shimbun: (1)BOJ Governor Fukui's scandal could soil central bank's policy (2)Emergency earthquake announcement system should be utilized to the utmost 3) Prime Minister's Official Residence (Kantei) Prime Minister's schedule, July 9 & 10 NIHON KEIZAI (Page 2) (Full) July 11, 2006 -- 9th: Spent all day at Kantei. -- 10th 12:02: Attended a government and ruling parties liaison council meeting at Kantei. Later, met METI Minister Nikai. 14:05: Met Ambassador to Chile Ogawa. Later, met Internal Affairs and Communications Minister Takenaka. Followed by Cabinet Intelligence Director Mitani. 15:20: Met with incoming and outgoing METI Vice Minister Kitahata and Sugiyama, and incoming and outgoing METI Deputy Vice Minister Kitamura and Kusaka. Followed by Deputy Foreign Minister Nishida and European Affairs Bureau Director General Harada. 16:30: Met with Ghana Ambassador to Japan Adjei-Barwuah. 18:15: Returned to his official residence. TOKYO 00003844 003 OF 011 4) Poll: ABE leads Fukuda in post-Koizumi race YOMIUIRI (Page 2) (Full) July 11, 2006 The Yomiuri Shimbun conducted a face-to-face nationwide public opinion survey on July 8-9, in which respondents were asked to pick who they thought would be most appropriate as Prime Minister Koizumi's successor. Among five listed lawmakers in the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, Chief Cabinet Secretary ABE stood at 46 PERCENT , topping all others for the sixth month in a row since February. Yasuo Fukuda, one of Abe's predecessors in the CCS post, ranked second at 18 PERCENT . ABE marked a lead of 27 percentage points over Fukuda. Abe's lead is wider than the preceding month's 24 points. Among other LDP lawmakers, Foreign Minister Aso was at 4 PERCENT and Finance Minister Tanigaki at 2 PERCENT , both leveling off from last month. The approval rating for the Koizumi cabinet was 50.2 PERCENT , down 1.8 points from last month. The Koizumi cabinet's support rate went down for the third month in a row. In the breakdown of public support for political parties, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party stood at 38.6 PERCENT , down 1.9 points from last month. The leading opposition Democratic Party of Japan (Minshuto) was at 14.6 PERCENT , down 0.2 points. 5) UNSC postpones vote on draft resolution on North Korean sanctions at 11th hour with Japan, US agree to China's proposal out of concern over its using veto right SANKEI (Top Play) (Excerpts) July 11, 2006 The United Nations Security Council (UNSC) yesterday decided to put off a vote on a resolution on North Korean sanctions presented by Japan and other countries. Chances are that the vote may be put on hold until the G-8 Summit (St. Petersburg Summit) starting on the 15th. As Vice Foreign Minister Wo Dawei is now visiting Pyongyang, China strongly called for postponing a vote on the resolution while it is pursuing talks with North Korea. Japan and the US agreed to postpone the vote. Upon receiving China's request, Foreign Minister Taro Aso and Chief Cabinet Secretary SHINZO ABE talked with Stephen Hadley, Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs, separately and discussed how to deal with the issue. As a result, they agreed to (1) seek the adoption of a sanctions resolution at the UNSC, (2) not to put the draft resolution to a vote while China is continuing diplomatic efforts toward North Korea; (3) and immediately put the draft resolution to a vote, if China's effort fails. As conditions for avoiding the vote, the US called on North Korea to unconditionally return to the six-party talks and pledge to indefinitely postpone the test launching of missiles. Japan and the US had been determined to put the draft resolution on a vote on the 10th, but China and Russia strongly opposed it. In particular, China hinted at exercising its veto power. TOKYO 00003844 004 OF 011 Aso told reporters at the Foreign Minister early this morning: "We have given time for China to persuade North Korea, but there is no change in our policy of putting the sanctions resolution to a vote." Regarding the draft resolution on North Korean sanctions at the UNSC, Japan and the US had intended to put it to a vote on the 10th, while assuming a possible use of veto power by China. However, they stopped the move. They will now watch China's effort to persuade North Korea for a while, but if its effort falls through, Japan and the US will once again put the draft resolution to a vote. Chances are, however, that the settlement of the issue may become further off due to the change of direction at the 11th hour. 6) Japan, US carefully watching North Korea visit by Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Wu ASAHI (Page 2) (Full) July 1, 2006 Japan, the United States, Britain, France, and other countries have jointly submitted to the United Nations Security Council a resolution calling for sanctions against North Korea for its missile launches. But voting on the resolution has been delayed, because the US and other countries, out of consideration for China, which chairs the six-party talks, have judged it better to ascertain the outcome of a visit to North Korea by Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Wu Dawei. Concerned that China might take a step to roll back, Japan had hoped for a vote on the resolution on July 10 while working on China and Russia to abstain from voting, but it had to follow Washington's lead. In a discussion program on a major US TV network on July 9, Under Secretary of State Burns stated about Washington's moves over North SIPDIS Korea's missile launches: "The US has conducted multilateral diplomacy." He cited as factors to determine its future moves Wu's visit to North Korea, in addition to developments at the UN and visits to countries concerned by US Assistant Secretary of State Christopher Hill. Wu arrived in Pyongyang on July 10, but it seems unlikely that he will wind up his schedule that same day. Burns stated: "Once we see the outcome of the Chinese delegation's visit to North Korea, we can guess how things will develop in the UNSC." He also said: "We would like to take a vote in several days," adding: "We hope China will apply pressure to and exert influence over North Korea." Japan, in an attempt to bring about an early vote on the resolution, called on China and Russia to abstain or be absent from voting, with a senior government official criticizing these two countries: "Do they remain opposed because their political systems are similar to North Korea's?" Regarding Wu's visit to North Korea, Chief Cabinet Secretary ABE stated in a press conference yesterday: "The UNSC SIPDIS resolution has nothing to do with the planned negotiations between China and North Korea in principle. It is important for the international community to play up its reaction to North Korea's missile launches." Foreign Minister Aso also told Hill: "The Japan-US alliance is being put to a test. It is of importance for the two countries to take joint steps." If the Japanese government forces a vote before convincing China and TOKYO 00003844 005 OF 011 Russia to change their position, they might veto the resolution. Some government officials suggest that separate from the UN framework, sanctions by a coalition of the willing composed of the US, Japan, and other countries should be considered in the event that the resolution fails. But Washington gives priority to the unity of the international community in dealing with North Korea. Under such circumstances, things are unlikely to proceed as Japan hopes. 7) Japan, US save "sanctions card" for later use with vote on resolution for sanctions against North Korea postponed, expect North Korea to return to six-party talks NIHON KEIZAI (Page 3) (Excerpts) July 11, 2006 The Japanese and US governments yesterday accepted a delay in the vote on a resolution imposing sanctions against North Korea at the United Nations Security Council (UNSC),being determined to closely watch what will happen to coordination by Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Wu Dawei and other officials with North Korea. Wu is now visiting North Korea. Japan and the United States, saving the "sanctions card" for later user, hope that North Korea will return to the six-party talks as quickly as possible. If a vote on the resolution is forced through, China may use its veto right. In addition, Britain and France, co-sponsors of the resolution, have stated their disagreement with taking a vote that day, some observers remarked. The new situation developed late at night on July 10. US Presidential Assistant for National Security Affairs Stephen Hadley told Chief Cabinet Secretary SHINZO ABE on the phone that China had asked for a delay in the vote and asked Japan to accept the request. Foreign Minister Taro Aso and US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice held a teleconference. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs' (MOFA) position until then was that a vote on the resolution should be taken on July 10 and that delaying a vote was unnecessary, noting, "China-North Korea consultations and the UN resolution are two different matters." On the evening of July 10, US Assistant Secretary of State Christopher Hill met with MOFA's Asian and Oceanian Affairs Bureau Director General Kenichiro Sasae and other officials at a restaurant in Tokyo. After the meeting, one participant said, "MOFA's position remains the same, namely, a vote should be taken on July 10, local time." But at the time, the momentum for postponing a vote was already gathering. A government official revealed: "We were informed by the Prime Minister's Official Residence that 'other countries, including Britain and France, are concerned about Japan's rushing into the resolution.'" "It was not a prearranged matter to (take a vote) on July 10." This remark came from a senior MOFA official late at night on July 10 when senior MOFA officials gathered together at the foreign minister's office to examine the situation. 8) South Korean ambassador to Japan: South Korean Presidential Office's statement criticizing Japan for "overreacting" is not the government's policy line TOKYO 00003844 006 OF 011 TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 2) (Full) July 11, 2006 South Korean Ambassador to Japan Na Jong Il met yesterday with Administrative Vice Foreign Minister Shotaro Yachi. In the meeting, referring to a statement issued by the South Korean Presidential Office, saying, "There is no reason for Japan to overreact," Na told Yachi: "The statement neither expressed the government's position nor criticized the Japanese government." The South Korean ambassador responded to the Japanese vice foreign minister's claim that issuing this kind of statement at present is not productive. 9) DPRK missile launches: ABE at forefront of Japan's diplomacy while Prime Minister Koizumi quietly watches the situation MAINICHI (Page 2) (Full) July 11, 2006 Naoyuki Inukai Japan has taken an unusually hard-line stance in dealing with North Korea's missile launches. Standing at the forefront of Japan's diplomacy now is Chief Cabinet Secretary SHINZO Abe, known for his tough stand toward North Korea. Those who are backing ABE are Foreign Minister Taro Aso and Administrative Vice Foreign Minister Shotaro Yachi. Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi is just watching what will happen, giving the impression that "Abe diplomacy" has already begun. "Some 13 of the 15 United Nations Security Council members favor the resolution. Under this situation, if only China and Russia object, they will embarrass themselves," an official at the Prime Minister's Official Residence (Kantei) said, adding, "As we experienced a similar case in dealing with the postal bills last year, there is a big difference between opposition and abstention." Referring to the Kantei's victory over opponents of postal reform last year, this remark stresses the progress that Japan has made to this point. Following the missile launches, Abe's made a number of prominent moves. His first move was the decision for Japan to impose sanctions on North Korea, including a ban on port calls by North Korea's ferry Man Gyong Bong. On the evening of July 4, the day before the missile launches, ABE and a senior Cabinet Office official exchanged the following views: Senior official: "I think it would be difficult to prohibit the Man Gyong Bong from entering Japanese ports if North Korea launched only a Rodong missile, whose range is shorter than that of the Taepodong missile." Abe: "Japan is within the range of the Rodong, so it poses a real threat to Japan." Overridden by Abe, Japan's Security Council decided on a set of sanctions, including the ban on port calls. Aso teamed up with Abe. Meeting the press separately, the two indicated their intention to aim to get a punitive resolution adopted at the UNSC by using the TOKYO 00003844 007 OF 011 same language: "The international community should condemn it harshly." Aso has undertaken an aggressive diplomatic offensive. At one point, MOFA was of the view that adopting a punitive resolution would be difficult, but ABE instructed MOFA officials: "Japan cannot accept a chairman's statement (that has no binding force)." Afterward, no senior MOFA officials expressed hesitant views. Abe maintains a tough stance, while Koizumi has been flexible and at times emphasized the importance of dialogue with North Korea. An aide to Koizumi explained the role sharing between Koizumi and Abe: "By putting front-stage diplomacy in the hands of Mr. ABE and Mr. Aso, the prime minister is watching how they act, taking a seat in the gallery. This attitude would give the public a sense of relief." 10) Focus again on enemy base strike MAINICHI (Page 2) (Abridged) July 11, 2006 In the wake of North Korea's recent firing of ballistic missiles, some in the government and the ruling Liberal Democratic Party are beginning to call for enabling the Self-Defense Forces to strike enemy bases. That is because Japan has no means to defend itself in case another country fires a warheaded missile at Japan at this point when Japan has yet to deploy a missile defense (MD) system. However, Japan has not acquired long-range missiles or any other weapons intended to strike enemy bases. This is because of Japan's defense-only posture. Reviewing this line of national policy would incur strong backlashes at home and from neighboring countries, so the hurdle is very high. The problem was kick-started by Defense Agency Director General Fukushiro Nukaga's advocacy. "It's only natural to have the limited capability (of striking an enemy country) for national security," Nukaga said on July 9. Chief Cabinet Secretary SHINZO ABE also said yesterday, "We need to study this matter at all times from the perspective of what to do for national security." LDP Secretary General Tsutomu Takebe has also suggested the need for positive studies. The government has so far taken the position that Japan is constitutionally allowed to strike an enemy country only when it would be unavoidable to do so in self-defense. In the meantime, the government has also taken the position that it would be unconstitutional for Japan to acquire intercontinental ballistic missiles, long-range strategic bombers, and attack aircraft carriers while regarding them as offensive weapons to be used solely for the purpose of destroying a foreign country. In 2003, North Korea declared its secession from the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT). At the time, the then defense chief, Shigeru Ishiba, suggested the need to study the possibility of enabling the SDF to strike an enemy country, with government officials and LDP lawmakers insisting on introducing Tomahawk long-range cruise missiles. In 2004, the Defense Agency moved to study long-range precision guided missiles. However, the agency gave up because the New Komeito, an LDP-allied coalition partner, raised a strong objection. Officials in the agency, aware of the high hurdle, welcome Nukaga's advocacy. They are poised to fast-track MD TOKYO 00003844 008 OF 011 introduction. 11) Cautious study needed for enemy base strike capability: Koizumi YOMIUIRI (Page 2) (Full) July 11, 2006 In connection with North Korea's recent firing of missiles, Prime Minister Koizumi said yesterday evening that it would be all right to study whether to enable Japan to strike enemy bases while theoretically anticipating various cases. Koizumi also noted that it would be difficult to judge whether a specific country intends to attack Japan. In this context, he pointed to constitutional problems about whether Japan is allowed to use armed force. "We will have to think about this matter in a cautious manner," he added. He was replying a question from reporters at his office. 12) Government gives relief to former US base asbestos victims in accordance with SOFA TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 1) (Excerpts) July 11, 2006 In accordance with the Japan-US Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA), the government has paid a total of 56 million yen in compensation to four former Japanese employees of US Yokosuka Naval Base who sued the government seeking compensation for suffering from pneumoconiosis and other illnesses from inhaling asbestos, sources revealed yesterday. It was the third case for the government to pay compensation in accordance with the SOFA. The Defense Facilities Administration Agency paid compensation to three former base workers suffering from pneumoconiosis in 1997 and two last year. After going through three stages, the last case came to an end in May last year with the court deciding in favor of the plaintiffs. Compensation has been paid for reconciliation after court rulings in the past. The government's payment of compensation based on the court ruling in accordance with the SOFA is likely to swiftly pave the way for the relief of base employees suffering from damage to their health from asbestos. The four former employees ranging in age from 63 to 76 worked at the Yokosuka Base's vessel repair plant for 27 to 40 years as mechanics and welders. 13) Koizumi off to Middle East today in tense atmosphere; Immediately return home if North Korea launches another missile SANKEI (Page 5) (Abridged slightly) July 11, 2006 Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi will make a five-day visit to Israel, the Palestinian region, and Jordan starting today. The region is becoming tense with Israel sending troops to the Gaza Strip in the Palestinian Authority. Koizumi intends to play up Japan's commitment in an effort to put the receding peace process back on track. But he might have to cut short his trip if North Korea launches another missile. Koizumi begins his Middle East trip today in a tense atmosphere. TOKYO 00003844 009 OF 011 Koizumi will depart for the Middle East as scheduled, concluding that North Korea would not launch another Taepodong-2 missile for the time being, despite its declaration to continue missile launches. But a source connected with the Prime Minister's Official Residence (Kantei) noted: "If a North Korean missile landed in Japanese territory or Japanese waters during the prime minister's Middle East trip, he will immediately return home." After the Middle East tour, Koizumi will attend the G8 summit to be held in St. Petersburg from July 15. Koizumi wants to increase his voice regarding the Palestinian issue during the summit. But how much he can display Japan's influence and Japan's presence remains to be seen. Intense armed conflict Koizumi will visit Israel and the Palestinian Authority as the first Japanese prime minister since former Prime Minister Tomiichi Murayama 11 years ago. Koizumi's Middle East trip was originally scheduled for January, but it was postponed due then Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's grave condition. Consequently, Israel has installed Ehud Olmert as prime minister. The peace process has stalled with the Islamic fundamentalist group Hamas having strong control over the cabinet of the Palestinian Authority. Last month, Israel also sent troops to the Gaza Strip to secure the release of a captive Israeli soldier, causing an intense armed conflict. The peace process has bogged down. Koizumi will become the first major international leader to visit Israel and the Palestinian Authority under such circumstances. A Foreign Ministry official explained: "The tour provides a timely diplomatic stage. Even if the trip ends in failure, the prime minister has nothing to lose politically." In his talks with Israeli Prime Minister Olmert on July 12, Koizumi is expected to express his concern over the use of force against Palestinians, urging Israel to resume dialogue with the Palestinian Authority. On July 13, Koizumi is scheduled to meet with Palestinian leader Mahmound Abbas in which he is expected to underline the need to settle the situation quickly and return to peace talks. Koizumi intends to urge the two leaders to push ahead with the Middle East roadmap and aimed for confidence building. A clear distinction with the US and EU Following the establishment of the Hamas-controlled Palestinian cabinet in March, the United States, which has designated Hamas as a terrorist organization, and the European Union have frozen their financial assistance to the Palestinian Authority. But making a clear distinction with the US and the EU, Koizumi plans to convey Abbas Japan's policy to continue providing financial support for creating jobs and ensuring security for Palestinian people. Through the Middle East tour, Koizumi intends to play up Japan's unique commitment to peace and complement the Middle East strategy of the US, which has been leading the peace process. But a Middle Eastern diplomatic source took this view: "Japan has been taking a lukewarm position toward Israel and the Palestinian Authority. There are limitations to how much Japan can wield its influence on the two sides. Koizumi's visit might be taken as a mere performance." 14) Taiwan's Nationalist Party Chairman Ma visits Japan TOKYO 00003844 010 OF 011 ASAHI (Page 4) (Full) July 11, 2006 Taiwan's main opposition Nationalist Party Chairman Ma Ying-jeou arrived in Japan yesterday. He is energetic to strengthen communication channels to Japanese political circles. He already met with former Chief Cabinet Secretary Yasuo Fukuda and Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) Secretary General Tsutomu Takebe. Ma called at LDP headquarters immediately after arriving in Tokyo. He underscored that he would strengthen relationships with Japan and the United States, sharing the sense of values of democracy and human rights, while pushing ahead with efforts to repair relations with the Chinese Communist Party. Many Nationalist Party members are concerned that their communication channels to Japanese political circles have rapidly narrowed since they handed over the reins of power to the Democratic Progress Party in 2000. The main purpose of Ma's Japan visit is to build the relationship of trust with Japan with an eye on regaining the political reins in the 2008 general election. 15) Takenaka, Yosano at odds over deflation MANICHI (Page 11) (Full) July 11, 2006 State Minister for Financial, Economic, and Fiscal Policy Kaoru Yosano and Minister of Internal Affairs and Communications Heizo Takenaka have often been at loggerheads over the issue of fiscal reconstruction during meetings of the Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy, chaired by Prime minister Junichiro Koizumi. This time, sparks are flying between them over the perception of deflation. In a press conference after a cabinet meeting on July 4, Takenaka said: "Deflation has yet to be overcome," citing declining growth in total money supply as the main reason. Yosano offered a counterargument in a NHK TV program on July 9: "Mr. Takenaka's argument is in line with monetarists' theory (that an increase in monetary supply will improve the economy). It has been proved over the past 10 to 15 years that this theory does not apply to the current Japanese economy. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has not taken this view, either." Yosano criticized Takenaka's stance of giving priority to money supply in containing deflation, ironically calling him "Professor Takenaka." Many economists in the private sector support Yosano's view, as Dai-ichi Mutual Life Insurance Research Institute Chief Economist Naomi Iizuka said: "The slow growth of total money supply reflects the fact that people, in anticipation of price hikes with the end of deflation, have shifted funds from deposits to policies bearing a good return." Nomura Securities Financial and Economic Research Institute Senior Economist Kiuchi said: "The Takenaka remark might be intend to pressure the BOJ to end its zero-rate policy. 16) LDP Secretary General Takebe: Whether lawmakers who rebelled against LDP in vote on postal bills can rejoin LDP depends on how much they will cooperate with the party in next Upper House election ASAHI (Page 4) (Full) July 11, 2006 TOKYO 00003844 011 OF 011 Referring to House of Representatives members who left the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) after voting against the government's sponsored postal-privatization legislation in last year's regular Diet session, LDP Secretary General Tsutomu Takebe stated in a press conference yesterday: "It is important for them to make efforts for our party's candidates in the House of Councillors election. What is important is how they will take action." He indicated in his remark that he would allow the rebels to rejoin the LDP even though he had previously rejected that option. Takebe stressed: "We must appeal to unaffiliated voters in next year's Upper House election that the LDP is the responsible party." He then added: "Those who worked with us as politicians have similar views. Needless to say, there are political realignment moves afoot since we called for even Minshuto (Democratic Party of Japan) to form a grand alliance." 17) Minshuto to hold presidential election on Sept. 25 ASAHI (Page 4) (Full) July 11, 2006 Yukio Hatoyama, secretary general of the main opposition party Minshuto (Democratic Party of Japan),presented to a meeting yesterday with President Ichiro Ozawa and Acting President Naoto Kan a plan that the party will announce on Sept. 12 the start of the official campaign period for its presidential election and conduct the election on Sept. 25. The plan was approved. The expectation is that Hatoyama will report the plan to a standing secretaries meeting today and to a meeting of the party's all SIPDIS lawmakers. After that, the plan will be formally decided. The ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) will hold its presidential election on Sept. 20 by its Diet members. Minshuto has decided to hold the election after the LDP presidential race in order for its new leader to come up with policy after ascertaining the new LDP president's policy stance. SCHIEFFER

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