UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 11 TOKYO 001977
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST
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E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
SUBJECT: DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 04/12/06-1
INDEX:
(1) Poll on Koizumi cabinet, political parties, DPJ President
Ozawa
(2) Close-up 2006: Abductee Megumi Yokota's husband identified;
Whether Japan-ROK cooperation is possible remains an open
question
(3) Japan, China, ROK bustling about trying to bring about US-
DPRK dialogue that they view as key to resumption of six-party
talks
(4) Defense Agency, Nago City differ on airstrip length; Nago
insists on 1,500 meters
(5) Futenma relocation plan: Government has to pay high price for
prioritizing talks with US over local communities
(6) Probing the Futenma relocation agreement: Behind-the-scenes
spadework conducted for X-shaped plan; Cabinet ministers
pretended to allow only minor changes; Giving in to local
request, government settled on V-shaped plan
(7) Okinawa in dilemma over Futenma relocation; Government eyes
final report later this month, hoping that agreement reached by
affected municipalities will help soften Inamine's stance
ARTICLES:
(1) Poll on Koizumi cabinet, political parties, DPJ President
Ozawa
YOMIURI (Page 2) (Full)
April 11, 2006
Questions & Answers
(Figures shown in percentage. Parentheses denote the results of a
survey conducted in March.)
Q: Do you support the Koizumi cabinet?
Yes 56.0 (54.9)
No 35.5 (35.9)
Other answers (O/A) 2.3 (3.0)
No answer (N/A) 6.2 (6.2)
Q: Which political party do you support?
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 42.8 (42.3)
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) 14.0 (11.1)
New Komeito (NK) 2.2 (3.0)
Japanese Communist Party (JCP) 1.5 (1.3)
Social Democratic Party (SDP or Shaminto) 1.0 (1.9)
People's New Party (PNP or Kokumin Shinto) 0.1 (0.2)
New Party Nippon (NPN or Shinto Nippon) 0.2 (0.1)
Other political parties --- (0.1)
None 36.9 (39.2)
N/A 1.2 (0.8)
Q: The DPJ elected Ichiro Ozawa as its new leader. Do you have
expectations for him?
TOKYO 00001977 002 OF 011
Yes 32.1
Yes to a certain degree 24.2
No to a certain degree 17.1
No 22.4
N/A 4.2
Q: (Only for those who answered "yes" to the foregoing question)
Why? Pick as many reasons as you like from among those listed
below, if any.
He has leadership ability 28.0
He's a man of action 28.0
His political ideal is clear-cut 18.4
He's a policy expert 13.5
He's strong in debate 9.6
He's trustworthy 6.3
He's rich in political experience 57.5
He can stand up to Prime Minister Koizumi 31.8
O/A+N/A 2.3
Q: Do you think new DPJ President Ozawa can turn around his
party?
Yes 17.0
Yes to a certain degree 33.0
No to a certain degree 20.9
No 22.3
N/A 6.8
Q: Do you think new DPJ President Ozawa will be a threat to the
LDP?
Yes 24.0
Yes to a certain degree 28.0
No to a certain degree 21.6
No 21.4
N/A 5.0
Q: Do you think the DPJ is competent enough to take office?
Yes 30.1
No 61.2
N/A 8.7
Polling methodology
Date of survey: April 8-9.
Subjects of survey: 3,000 persons chosen from among all eligible
voters throughout the country (at 250 locations on a stratified
two-stage random sampling basis).
Method of implementation: Door-to-door visits for face-to-face
interviews.
Number of valid respondents: 1,823 persons (60.8%).
Breakdown of respondents: Male-48%, female-52%.
(2) Close-up 2006: Abductee Megumi Yokota's husband identified;
Whether Japan-ROK cooperation is possible remains an open
question
TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 2) (Slightly abridged)
April 12, 2006
By Akiko Horiyama, Seoul
TOKYO 00001977 003 OF 011
The Japanese government yesterday unveiled the results of DNA
testing showing that the husband of Megumi Yokota, who was
abducted by North Korea, is most likely Kim Young Nam, a South
Korean man also abducted by North Korea. The test results were
released to coincide with a high-level North Korean official's
visit to Tokyo. Behind this was Japan's calculation aimed at
boosting international pressure on North Korea together with
South Korea, which is also in the position of victim like Japan.
The South Korean government, however, does not want its range of
its policy options toward North Korea narrowed by the abduction
issue. Whether Seoul will respond to Tokyo's call for cooperation
is a delicate question.
Seoul concerned about strained relations with Pyongyang
"His being the father of Hye Gyong (the daughter of Megumi
Yokota) means he is related to Megumi's parents. What I want to
do first is to arrange an occasion for Hye Gyong's grandparents
to meet," said Choi Sung Yong, president of South Korea's Family
Assembly Abducted to North Korea.
After persuading the family members of five South Korean men
allegedly abducted to North Korea, including Kim Young Nam, to
cooperate on DNA testing, Choi called on the Japanese and South
Korean governments to conduct DNA analysis. Bolstered by the
outcome of the DNA testing, he expects progress on the process of
rescuing victims. But Kim Young Nam's blood sister, Kim Young
Cha, 48, gave this skeptical comment: "I don't think North Korea
will admit to the abduction. I wonder whether the South Korean
government, which until now has been unwilling to take action,
will move to negotiate with North Korea, taking a risk that it
might bring strains to North-South relations."
The South Korean government has assumed a wait-and-see attitude
after releasing a statement that it would verify the facts.
Apparently, it does not want to worsen North-South relations. In
addition, it does not want to be fettered by the abduction issue
at the negotiating table of the six-party talks like Japan.
Seoul's concern is that if it were to be put in the same
situation as Japan is, it would be forced to narrow (its policy
options in the area of diplomacy) and thereby weaken its
bargaining ability, according to a senior official of the South
Korean Foreign Affairs & Trade Ministry.
South Korea has recognized 485 South Koreans as abductees. Of
them, 434 were fishermen. The South Korean government has
regarded them, as well as former South Korean soldiers who were
held as prisoners during the Korean War (1950-1953) and have not
returned home (estimated to be over 500), as special separated
families. It also has asked North Korea via the family reunion
project run by the Red Cross societies of South and North Korea
to arrange meetings with those soldiers or investigate into their
whereabouts.
But North Korea has never budged from its official position that
there are neither former South Korean soldiers held as prisoners
of war nor are there South Korean abductees, and it has said that
it can instead investigate into missing people. So far, only a
dozen cases of family reunions between South Korean abductees and
their family members have been realized in the name of reunions
of separated families. The abductees' return to South Korea has
not been realized yet.
TOKYO 00001977 004 OF 011
Faced with sharp criticism from abduction victims' organizations,
Unification Minister Lee Jong Seok stated in February: "I'll
strive to bring abductees back to our country." But a senior
Unification Ministry official opined that whether the South
Korean delegate will bring up the abduction issue in the upcoming
ministerial discourse "remains an open question." There is no
knowing what will happen then.
DNA analysis released, timed with Vice Minister Kim's Japan visit
By Takuji Nakata
"It has been made clear that the abduction issue is an
international issue. Japan and South Korea will work in close
cooperation to resolve the issue down the road." This remark came
from Chief Cabinet Secretary Shinzo Abe at a press briefing
yesterday, in which he unveiled the results of DNA tests.
Kim Young Nam has already been known as a (South Korean)
abductee, but "It is a more tragic thing to have married one
abductee to another after having abducted them from different
countries," a government source pointed out. The Japanese
government wants to build an international coalition against
North Korea in calling international attention to the
humanitarian issues related to North Korea. By doing so, it would
like to check the South Korean government, which tends to take a
markedly soft attitude toward the North. Tokyo intends to urge
Seoul to line up with Japan and the United States, which have
both taken a tough-line on North Korea, including their response
to Pyongyang's nuclear ambitions. Japan will provide South Korea
with Hye Gyong's blood to help Seoul to conduct an independent
DNA test on Kim Young Nam.
Considering the abduction issue as a top priority issue, the
government attended the Japan-North Korea Comprehensive and
Parallel Talks held in February, but the talks ended without any
progress. The next step the government will take is to put more
pressure on North Korea to give a true account of the abduction
of Megumi, including whether Megumi's husband Kim Chol Jun, who
North Korea says works at a special agency, is Kim Young Nam.
The government already knew the general picture of the results of
DNA tests in mid-March, but it delayed the release of the results
until yesterday, when North Korean Vice Foreign Minister Kim Kye
Gwan was in Japan.
In that regard, Abe told a press conference, "The results
happened to be released today," but he emphasized at the same
time: "It was very good timing, because we were able to convey
this fact directly to Mr. Kim Kye Gwan and urge him to resolve
the issue. We were able to reveal our strong will to him."
(3) Japan, China, ROK bustling about trying to bring about US-
DPRK dialogue that they view as key to resumption of six-party
talks
NIHON KEIZAI (Page 2) (Slightly abridged)
April 11, 2006
Japan, China, and South Korea are all seeking to bring about an
early resumption of the six-party talks on North Korea's nuclear
ambitions. They yesterday were seen trying to set the stage for
the United States and North Korea to have contact. On the other
TOKYO 00001977 005 OF 011
hand, during three days of talks between Japan and North Korea
over such issues as Japanese abductees, Japan failed to bridge
the gap with the North. Japan and South Korea held consultations
with the United States together, while China made contact twice
with North Korea. The key to breaking the stalemate apparently
lies in whether direct contact will take place between the US and
North Korea, both of which are in confrontation over financial
sanctions imposed by the US on the North.
Japan-North Korea
Japan ranked first in terms of the total length of meetings with
a high-level North Korean official who arrived in Japan on April
7. It spent a total of 5 hours and 40 minutes for three days of
talks with that official.
Emerging from Japan-North Korea talks yesterday, Kenichiro Sasae,
chief of Japan's Foreign Ministry Asian and Oceanian Affairs
Bureau, remarked: "We brought up the abduction issue, but we
focused our attention on the six-party talks." Japan did so
thinking that progress on the nuclear issue would help the
security of Japan and the abduction issue to advance.
Meanwhile, Japan-North Korea talks would have been a good
opportunity for North Korea to underscore its dialogue line to
the international audience. Both sides enjoyed the benefits of
the talks, but their talks got them nowhere.
Japan-US-South Korea
During a meeting last night, Japan, the US, and South Korea
looked for ways to bring North Korea back to six-party talks.
After the meeting, US Assistant Secretary of State Hill gave this
account: "I had a very good discussion with Japan and South
Korea."
But the Bush administration and the Roh Moo Hyun administration
are far apart over North Korea policy. Japan, the US, and South
Korea can join hands to call on North Korea to abandon its
nuclear programs and return to the six-party talks at an early
date. But, Hill stressed, "The point is that North Korea needs to
make clear its willingness to take part in the talks," indicating
his intention to pressure the North to return to six-party talks
unconditionally. Meanwhile, South Korea's chief negotiator, Chun
Young Woo, director in charge of the Korean Peninsula peace
talks, insisted on concessions from the US, noting: "All members
need to be flexible."
China-North Korea
North Korea's Vice Foreign Minister Kim Kye Gwan late yesterday
reiterated that "financial sanctions" stood in the way of the
efforts to resume the six-party talks and revealed to the press
that he sounded out Hill about holding bilateral talks between
North Korea and the US. North Korea's diplomatic goal in the
short run is to get the financial sanctions removed and in the
medium- to long-term to keep the Kim Jong Il regime in place. The
North views the US as the only negotiating partner from which
Pyongyang can expect some results in both areas.
Paying close attention to North Korea, Vice Foreign Minister Wu
Dawei of China, the host nation of the six-party talks, yesterday
indicated his willingness to take part in talks with North Korea
at anytime, while he was bustling about trying to realize US-
TOKYO 00001977 006 OF 011
North Korea dialogue by arranging an individual meeting this
morning.
"We can expect a certain extent of change (in North Korea's
attitude)." Making this remark in one negotiation and another
with his counterparts from other nations, Wu revealed his
enthusiasm about realizing a one-on-one meeting between the US
and North Korea. Behind this move seems to be his hope of scoring
points ahead of President Hu Jintao's planned visit to the US
scheduled for late this month. The time left for him to do so is
limited, because Hill is set to leave Japan as early as tomorrow.
(4) Defense Agency, Nago City differ on airstrip length; Nago
insists on 1,500 meters
RYUKYU SHIMPO (Page