Identifier | Created | Classification | Origin |
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06TELAVIV136 | 2006-01-10 11:45:00 | UNCLASSIFIED | Embassy Tel Aviv |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available. 101145Z Jan 06 |
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 07 TEL AVIV 000136 |
1. Mideast 2. Iran: Nuclear Program -------------------------- Key stories in the media: -------------------------- All media cited a statement issued Monday by Jerusalem's Hadassah University Hospital, Ein Karem, that PM Sharon, while still in serious but stable condition, began to breathe spontaneously and also move his right hand and right leg "slightly but significantly" in response to pain stimuli. Sharon was also reportedly responding to voices and conversations. Maariv quoted senior physicians as saying that the left side of Sharon's body could be permanently paralyzed. In its lead story, Ha'aretz wrote that Sharon received anticoagulant drugs despite suffering from a disease of the blood vessels in the brain which, if diagnosed, would almost certainly have deterred doctors from prescribing those drugs, which are known to increase the risk of strokes and brain hemorrhages. Ha'aretz reported that a doctor told the newspaper on Monday that the disease was diagnosed during Sharon's current hospitalization. Ha'aretz reported that a group of Jewish lawmakers from around the world, including from the U.S., visited Hadassah Hospital on Monday to offer Sharon their best wishes. Leading media quoted Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei as saying on Monday: "The Americans have been defeated in Palestine since the butcher of the Palestinians, who intended to destroy the Palestinian Intifada, has come to his end." Leading media quoted former U.S. President Bill Clinton, after meeting with French President Jacques Chirac in Paris on Monday, as saying that Sharon's stroke is a serious blow to Middle East peace efforts. Despite official denials, Maariv confirmed the existence of a signed agreement between Sharon and Vice Premier Shimon Peres, according to which Peres would receive a senior portfolio and have some "influence" on the diplomatic process. The newspaper reported that Acting PM Ehud Olmert had committed himself to respecting all agreements signed by Sharon. Leading media quoted PA Chairman [President] Mahmoud Abbas as saying on Monday that he had received assurances from the U.S. that Palestinians would be permitted to vote in Jerusalem for the Palestinian legislative elections. Leading media reported that U.S. diplomatic officials denied that the U.S. had given the PA any assurances and said that the issue was being discussed. Israel Radio and Israel Radio quoted State Department Spokesman Sean McCormack as saying on Monday: "I haven't seen those comments from the Israeli Government, but I know that this [voting by Palestinians in Jerusalem] has been a continuing issue between the Palestinian Authority and the Israeli Government. We have talked about the fact that, in the past, they have been able to resolve differences concerning this issue. We would hope and expect that they could do so again." Israel Radio reported that A/S David Welch and Deputy U.S. National Security Advisor Elliott Abrams will arrive in the region on Tuesday to oversee the Palestinian elections. The station reported that Israel has clarified to U.S. administration representatives that Israel refuses to be the pretext for the cancellation of the Palestinian elections. Israel Radio reported that today, at the conclusion of a diplomatic-security discussion, Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz hinted that Israel would approve voting in East Jerusalem. Israel Radio quoted State Department Spokesman Sean McCormack as saying on Monday that each permanent member of the UN Security Council has warned Iran that it must rescind its decision to resume its nuclear program. The radio quoted McCormack as saying that the U.S. administration has been working closely with Russia, China, and the UK to convey a clear message to Tehran. Yediot quoted International Atomic Energy DG Mohamed ElBaradei as saying that both he and the international community were "losing patience" with Iran's lack of transparency about its nuclear program. The Jerusalem Post quoted FM Silvan Shalom as telling a group of Jewish parliamentarians from around the world on Monday that the UN must urgently impose economic sanctions on Iran for continuing its nuclear program before the world wakes up to a nuclear nightmare. Leading media quoted IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Dan Halutz as saying Monday that Iran's attempts to achieve nuclear capability are not Israel's exclusive problem, but that of the entire world. Leading media reported that on Monday, the Shin Bet dropped its request that Jirias Jirias, a former local council head of the Western Galilee Arab village of Fassuta, be indicted on charges of espionage on behalf of Iran. The indictment writ presented against him to the Haifa District Court includes lesser charges. Nigel Roberts, departing World Bank Country Director for West Bank and Gaza, was quoted as saying in an interview with Ha'aretz that the Palestinians, the Israelis, and the members of the Quartet all share a part of blame for Hamas's takeover of the territories and the reign of chaos there. Ha'aretz reported that the police and Internal Security Ministry are reportedly aware of their failure to eliminate the uprooting of Palestinian olive trees in the West Bank. Leading media cited a statement attributed to Abu Musab Al-Zarqawi, the leader of Al-Qaida's Iraq-based faction, as saying that Osama bin Laden ordered the Katyusha attack on the Galilee some two weeks ago. The statement was aired on Sunday on a web site customarily used by Al-Zarqawi's group, the Organization of Al- Qaida in Mesopotamia. The Jerusalem Post reported that Barack Obama, the freshman Democratic Senator from Illinois "already being touted as a possible presidential candidate in 2008," arrived in Israel Monday night for his first visit to the region. Maariv reported that Jewish and Arab activists plan to establish a private company that will provide municipal services to the residents of East Jerusalem. Should the city of Jerusalem be divided, the company would turn into the municipality of the Palestinian capital. The newspaper reported that IPCRI -- the Israel/Palestine Center for Research and Information -- whose Co-CEOs are Dr. Gershon Baskin and Hana Siniora, is leading that initiative. Ha'aretz and The Jerusalem Post printed an AP dispatch, according to which Hamas has launched a TV station in the Gaza Strip (Al-Aqsa Television), a first step toward setting up a satellite station like the one Hizbullah guerrillas run in Lebanon. The Jerusalem Post quoted Israeli-Arab Attorney Hassan Jabarin, head of Adalah, the Legal Center For Arab Minority Rights in Israel, as saying on Monday that there could be bloodshed if the authorities go ahead with their plans to turn a century-old Beersheba mosque into a municipal museum. Ha'aretz reported that an ark (for holding Torah scrolls) was recently installed in the Pentagon's synagogue, whose ceiling was damaged in the 9/11 attack. The newspaper wrote that Israeli artist Moshe Gani designed the copper work symbolizing the 12 tribes of Israel that adorns the ark. -------------------------- 1. Mideast: -------------------------- Summary: -------------------------- Diplomatic correspondent Aluf Benn wrote in independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz: "Without a strong international component, Olmert will find it difficult to carry out the withdrawal that in his opinion is essential for saving Israel." Military correspondent Amos Harel wrote in Ha'aretz: "One can assume that what the Americans are running into [in Iraq] will soon reach this part of the world - - along the northern border, in the territories, or in Israel itself." Nationalist, Orthodox Hatzofe editorialized: "There is no room in the Acting Prime Minister's calendar for a meeting with the Chairman of the Palestinian Authority. He must first handle urgent affairs on Israel's agenda." Block Quotes: -------------------------- I. "Getting Help From the Outside" Diplomatic correspondent Aluf Benn wrote in independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz (January 10): "Unlike Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, who hated to make decisions and covered his diplomatic policy plans in a fog of ambiguity, Acting Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has openly presented his views on the future borders. Two years ago he had already spoken about a unilateral withdrawal from the West Bank to a demographic line that would maintain a ratio of 80:20 between Jews and Arabs inside Israel, and about an exit from the outermost Arab neighborhoods of Jerusalem. Olmert said that Israel must determine its own fate and not wait for a Palestinian partner; otherwise it would find itself isolated internationally and in distress vis-a- vis an Arab majority between the Jordan and the sea. As we have not heard any change in his opinions, it is possible to predict that Olmert will try to advance this plan if he wins the elections.... If the Palestinians are incapable of seeing to their own affairs, and this seems to be the situation, Israel must not fall into a trap in the West Bank. If the world wants it to withdraw and end the occupation, it should take upon itself some of the responsibility and station policing forces in the West Bank. This will not be easy. After the embroilment in Iraq, there are no volunteers to deploy in the Middle East. Israel, too, will need to weave a complicated understanding that the settlement blocs and the Old City of Jerusalem remain in its hands in the format of a border dispute, until a partner for negotiations arises. But without a strong international component, Olmert will find it difficult to carry out the withdrawal that in his opinion is essential for saving Israel." II. "It's a Matter of Time" Military correspondent Amos Harel wrote in Ha'aretz (January 10): "Presumably behind the headline of [the audiotape aired on Sunday, according to which Osama bin Laden ordered Katyusha rockets fired on the Galilee some two weeks ago and allegedly put out by] Al-Qaida is a minor Palestinian faction, and it is unlikely that it received direct instructions from the Afghanistan- Pakistan border. Instead, it probably acted on the basis of contacts -- via the Internet or other means -- with one of the radical Islamic groups operating in Iraq. Nevertheless, the general trend should worry Israel.... Herein lies another troubling aspect of the Iraqi-Lebanese connection: the widespread war that the various rebel groups are waging against the U.S. presence in Iraq is serving as an ideal seminar for testing weapons and innovative guerrilla tactics. One can assume that what the Americans are running into over there will soon reach this part of the world -- along the northern border, in the territories, or in Israel itself." III. "Abu Mazen Must First Rule in the Palestinian Authority" Nationalist, Orthodox Hatzofe editorialized (January 10): "A meeting between Olmert and Abu Mazen doesn't seem likely in the coming days. There is no room on the Acting Prime Minister's calendar for a meeting with the Chairman of the Palestinian Authority. He must first handle urgent affairs on Israel's agenda.... Neither is there interest in a meeting with Abu Mazen before the PA elections, which are supposed to take place in two weeks. Only after the elections, when the new composition of the PA parliament becomes known, will it be possible to check Abu Mazen's offer to hold a meeting at the highest level -- between him and a senior Israeli diplomatic figure.... One can assume that Abu Mazen has seen the polls, according to which Hamas may get about half the votes in the large cities and about 40 percent of the total vote for the [Palestinian] Legislative Council. Should this forecast come true, Abu Mazen's regime could be put out of balance; if so, the invitation he was prepared to hand to Acting Prime Minister Ehud Olmert would become devoid of special significance." -------------------------- 2. Iran: Nuclear Program: -------------------------- Summary: -------------------------- The conservative, independent Jerusalem Post editorialized: "The world cannot build its security on the baseless hope that the mullahs are bluffing." Block Quotes: -------------------------- "The Iranian Threat" The conservative, independent Jerusalem Post editorialized (January 10): "In one of the more bizarre vignettes that diplomacy sometimes produces, Iran announced Sunday [that] UN inspectors had been summoned to remove the seals their agency placed on some Iranian nuclear facilities more than two years ago. The seals were placed after Iran voluntarily committed to suspend nuclear research.... On Monday, Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom told the cabinet that Iran's latest brazen act indicates that the world is failing to stop Tehran's nuclear drive. There should be no misunderstanding what the consequences of such a failure would be.... The world cannot build its security on the baseless hope that the mullahs are bluffing. The unspoken European notion is that the Iranian regime would not use nuclear weapons, but like other nuclear powers, simply possess them as a form of deterrence. This prospect, even if it could be relied upon, should not reassure anyone. Iranian nuclear weapons, even if never detonated or passed on to terrorist groups, would allow the regime to increase its support for terrorism with impunity.... If the E-3 -- the UK, France and Germany - - continue to appease Iran it will not avoid such attacks, but invite them once the Iranian regime has managed to protect itself with a nuclear umbrella. As envisioned in the UN Charter, the full economic, diplomatic and -- if necessary -- military power of the West must be brought to bear on Iran in a classic case of collective self-defense." JONES |