MEDIA REACTION REPORT - Iran Iraq Transatlantic

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 PARIS 000232 SIPDIS DEPT FOR INR/R/MR; IIP/RW; IIP/RNY; BBG/VOA; IIP/WEU; AF/PA; EUR/WE /P/SP; D/C (MCCOO); EUR/PA; INR/P; INR/EUC; PM; OSC ISA FOR ILN; NEA; WHITE HOUSE FOR NSC/WEUROPE; DOC FOR ITA/EUR/FR AND PASS USTR/PA; USINCEUR FOR PAO; NATO/PA; MOSCOW/PA; ROME/PA; USVIENNA FOR USDEL OSCE. E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: OPRC KMDR FR SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION REPORT - Iran Iraq Transatlantic Relations - Merkel to Washington PARIS - Friday, January 13, 2006 (A) SUBJECTS COVERED IN TODAY'S REPORT: Iran Iraq Transatlantic Relations - Merkel to Washington B) SUMMARY OF COVERAGE: Interior Minister Sarkozy and his program for 2006 are today's dominant front-page story. Communist l'Humanite headlines: "Sarkozy Copies the American Model," Liberation headlines "I Will Be the State" above a picture of Sarkozy, and Le Figaro titles "Sarkozy's Program." His plans to revise the Constitution in order to reinforce the presidency's powers capture much attention and elicite a wide number of editorial commentaries. Iran is still the number one international story. For Liberation "Iran Is Charging Full Steam Ahead" and Le Figaro reports that the "EU wants to take the issue before the UNSC." A report penned by Maurin Picard itemizes "three possible catastrophic scenarios", including a lack of consensus at the UN, in which case "the U.S. would have no other choice but to consider a military option." (See Part C) Angela Merkel's "much awaited" visit to Washington makes the front page of Le Monde. Le Figaro carries a large color picture of Secretary Rice and Angela Merkel in great spirits. In connection to Merkel's visit, several articles report on alleged German spies in Iraq. (See part C) In his weekly wrap-up column in Le Figaro, Ivan Rioufol praises the "democratic progress made in Iraq." (See Part C) The economic boom in the U.S. is widely reported. In Le Figaro, Yves de Kedrel pens an op-ed on the good health of the U.S. economy. "If the figures announced prove to be exact, it will mean that for the second straight quarter U.S. stock yields have stayed in the two digit figure. The U.S. economy is healthy and productivity is up." La Tribune reports that Washington does not wish to threaten economic growth for the sake of the environment, but is calling for partnerships between governments and big industrial companies. The six partners in the Asia Pacific Partnership have "turned their back on the Kyoto Protocol and its ambitious objectives." The partners agreed to create eight working groups, and the U.S. and Australia have promised to provide $128 million dollars for the Partnership's funding. NGOs, however, protest that measures are strictly voluntary and not binding, and the economies of the partners are still wedded to using fossil fuels. (C) SUPPORTING TEXT/BLOCK QUOTES: Iran "Iran Master of the Nuclear Game" Jean-Pierre Perrin in left-of-center Liberation (01/13): "Sanctions or no sanctions, Iran is determined to move forward on the nuclear issue. President Ahmadinejad has managed to rally all principals behind him on this issue: there is a unanimous Iranian front countering the West. This is in fact the only issue over which the Iranian President is not being contested. For the time being there is no clear out to the crisis. To oppose Iran's stubbornness we can be certain to find Washington's own stubbornness. Ambassador Bolton is a determined adversary of Tehran. And as for the EU, which had put all its hopes in a political dialogue with Tehran, the outcome is a blatant failure. Europe must now sheepishly accept to align with the U.S. And if there are sanctions, the (European) companies implanted in Iran will pay the price." "Iran Threatened With Sanctions" Thomas Cantaloube in right-of-center Le Parisien (01/13): "Even if the EU-3 insists that it is still `eager to resolve the issue diplomatically,' there is very little margin of maneuver left for the European emissaries, caught as they are between Iran's intransigence and the Americans, who have always been pushing for immediate sanctions." "Scenarios for an International Crisis" Pierre Bocev in right-of-center Le Figaro (01/13): "If Russia and China decide to veto a resolution on sanctions against Iran at the UN, and this despite U.S. and EU efforts to change their minds, the U.S. will have no other choice but to reconsider its military options. It will be up to the Americans to prove the legitimacy of this dangerous outcome through as wide a coalition as possible. This scenario is close to the `coalition of the willing' imagined by President Bush in the framework of his fight against terror." Iraq "Progress in Iraq" Ivan Rioufol in right-of-center Le Figaro (01/13): "Observable events in Iraq could well correct the misleading prognosis of an American fiasco. The anti-Bushists continue to say that democracy cannot be imposed through force. Yet it is easy to see that democracy has continuously been progressing in Iraq since 2003. The country has a media, which is freer than any other media anywhere in the Arab world, and in January three elections took place with growing participation despite efforts by extremists to keep voters away. To date, we have seen neither the shock between civilization, the rebellion of the Arab street nor the Lebanization of Iraq that were predicted. The anti-Bushists can only hold on to persisting acts of terrorism, which are the work of Islamic extremists and nostalgic elements who still cling to the Saddam era, but who are increasingly cut off from the rest of the Iraqi people." Transatlantic Relations - Merkel to Washington "Renewing Ties, Stressing Differences" Antoine Jacob in left-of-center Le Monde (01/13): "During her visit to Washington, Merkel should be raising the issue of Guantanamo and it's closing. Still, Washington appreciates finding an interlocutor in Berlin who is more attuned to listening and understanding than her predecessor. Meanwhile the press has revealed that while Berlin was denouncing the war in Iraq, German spies were present in Baghdad helping the Americans to bomb the city." "German Spies Implicated in Iraq" Pierre Bocev in right-of-center Le Figaro (01/13): "Allegations of German spies having helped the Americans in Iraq could trigger a political crisis in Berlin. raising the question of whether the German posturing against the war may have been nothing but a smokescreen." "Re-Launching German-American Friendship" Philippe Gelie in right-of-center Le Figaro (01/13): "Merkel is promoting a different tone, in friendship as well as in criticism, between the U.S. and Germany. This is more than just a transatlantic visit: the trip is supposed to give America a new and rejuvenated image of Germany. In addition to the message itself, the nature of the relationship will depend on chemistry: Bush, who has surrounded himself with women, is sure to appreciate Merkel's pragmatism." "A Stable German Foreign Policy" Sylvie Goulard in Catholic La Croix (01/13): "Even if Angela Merkel were to return to a less exclusive Franco-German relationship, this would not be bad for the EU, or for France. Merkel seems to be interested in Germany's traditional role of defending the smaller European nations. Merkel has always been in favor of a strong relationship with the U.S. In 2003, she gave her support to Bush and the war in Iraq. But since then she has learned quite a lot: contrary to her predecessor, her first trip was not to the U.S. She knows that German opinion has reservations about the transatlantic partnership because of Guantanamo and the alleged use of torture by the CIA. Finally, if Merkel were really answering to Washington, she would have stopped opposing Turkey's EU- membership. Merkel is full of surprises and she may prove to be the last true `statesman' in Europe." STAPLETON