Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
06KHARTOUM2730
2006-11-22 16:55:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Khartoum
Cable title:
DENG ALOR: BASHIR BACKING DOWN IN OPPOSITION TO UN
how-toVZCZCXRO6819 OO RUEHROV DE RUEHKH #2730 3261655 ZNY CCCCC ZZH O 221655Z NOV 06 FM AMEMBASSY KHARTOUM TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 5340 INFO RUCNFUR/DARFUR COLLECTIVE PRIORITY RHMFISS/CJTF HOA PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L KHARTOUM 002730
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPARTMENT FOR AF A/S FRAZER, AF/SE NATSIOS AND AF/SPG
NSC FOR PITTMAN AND SHORTLEY
E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/21/2016
TAGS: PREL PGOV KPKO AU SU UN
SUBJECT: DENG ALOR: BASHIR BACKING DOWN IN OPPOSITION TO UN
Classified By: P/E Chief E. Whitaker, Reason: Sections 1.4 (b) and (d)
C O N F I D E N T I A L KHARTOUM 002730
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPARTMENT FOR AF A/S FRAZER, AF/SE NATSIOS AND AF/SPG
NSC FOR PITTMAN AND SHORTLEY
E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/21/2016
TAGS: PREL PGOV KPKO AU SU UN
SUBJECT: DENG ALOR: BASHIR BACKING DOWN IN OPPOSITION TO UN
Classified By: P/E Chief E. Whitaker, Reason: Sections 1.4 (b) and (d)
1. (C) In a November 21 conversation with AID Mission
Director and Poloff, Minister of Cabinet Affairs Deng Alor
said that President Bashir had begun to "back down" in his
opposition to United Nations (UN) intervention in Darfur. He
based this assessment on a cabinet briefing that Bashir had
given on the Addis Ababa agreement of November 16. Alor said
that the Sudanese government's continued opposition to UN
intervention hinged on the number of troops that the African
Union (AU) could raise from African countries. He suggested
that if between 10,000 and 15,000 troops could be raised from
Africa, President Bashir could continue to say that UN forces
were unnecessary. However, Alor said that if the requisite
numbers of African forces could not be deployed, Sudanese
acceptance of UN troops would be inevitable. He expected
clarity on the government's stance toward the Addis Ababa
agreement following the November 29 meeting of the AU Peace
and Security Council. (Comment: Due to logistical
constraints, it is unlikely that the AU can raise and support
an additional force of 10,000 troops, and Islamic countries
such as Egypt and Algeria--which Sudan has suggested as
potential troop contributors--are unlikely to deploy their
forces without UN administration. End comment.
2. (C) Alor said that President Bashir and others within the
National Congress Party (NCP) were concerned about the
Democratic victory in the U.S. Congress and anticipated that
the USG would take a more hard-line approach to Sudan. He
indicated that this fear of more strident U.S. policy toward
Sudan has led to a greater Sudanese willingness to compromise
before the new Congressional session begins in January.
HUME
SIPDIS
SIPDIS
DEPARTMENT FOR AF A/S FRAZER, AF/SE NATSIOS AND AF/SPG
NSC FOR PITTMAN AND SHORTLEY
E.O. 12958: DECL: 11/21/2016
TAGS: PREL PGOV KPKO AU SU UN
SUBJECT: DENG ALOR: BASHIR BACKING DOWN IN OPPOSITION TO UN
Classified By: P/E Chief E. Whitaker, Reason: Sections 1.4 (b) and (d)
1. (C) In a November 21 conversation with AID Mission
Director and Poloff, Minister of Cabinet Affairs Deng Alor
said that President Bashir had begun to "back down" in his
opposition to United Nations (UN) intervention in Darfur. He
based this assessment on a cabinet briefing that Bashir had
given on the Addis Ababa agreement of November 16. Alor said
that the Sudanese government's continued opposition to UN
intervention hinged on the number of troops that the African
Union (AU) could raise from African countries. He suggested
that if between 10,000 and 15,000 troops could be raised from
Africa, President Bashir could continue to say that UN forces
were unnecessary. However, Alor said that if the requisite
numbers of African forces could not be deployed, Sudanese
acceptance of UN troops would be inevitable. He expected
clarity on the government's stance toward the Addis Ababa
agreement following the November 29 meeting of the AU Peace
and Security Council. (Comment: Due to logistical
constraints, it is unlikely that the AU can raise and support
an additional force of 10,000 troops, and Islamic countries
such as Egypt and Algeria--which Sudan has suggested as
potential troop contributors--are unlikely to deploy their
forces without UN administration. End comment.
2. (C) Alor said that President Bashir and others within the
National Congress Party (NCP) were concerned about the
Democratic victory in the U.S. Congress and anticipated that
the USG would take a more hard-line approach to Sudan. He
indicated that this fear of more strident U.S. policy toward
Sudan has led to a greater Sudanese willingness to compromise
before the new Congressional session begins in January.
HUME