MAOISTS ALLEGEDLY PLANNING URBAN REVOLUTION IN

C O N F I D E N T I A L KATHMANDU 002539

SIPDIS

NOFORN
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/17/2016
TAGS: PTER PGOV NP
SUBJECT: MAOISTS ALLEGEDLY PLANNING URBAN REVOLUTION IN
EARLY NOVEMBER


Classified By: Ambassador James F. Moriarty. Reasons 1.4 (b/d).

Summary
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1. (C/NF) On September 12, Chauyen Lai Shrestha, member of
the Nepali Congress (NC) Party and assistant to Prime
Minister Koirala's daughter, passed two Nepali-language
documents to the Embassy. The documents, which appear to
reflect the results of the recent Maoist Central Committee
meeting, outline the Maoists' alleged plan to launch an urban
revolution in the third week of the Nepali month of Kartik
(November 1-7). The documents focus on fomenting dissent in
the ranks of the Nepali security forces as the key for the
Maoists to capture power. The documents do not contain any
direct threats against Americans or American interests.

Documents Passed To Embassy
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2. (C/NF) On September 12, Chauyen Lai Shrestha, NC member
and assistant to Sujata Koirala, who heads the NC's
International Relations Department and is the daughter of
Prime Minister Koirala, called Emboff to share an "important
document" with the Embassy. Emboff asked Shrestha, a regular
contact of the Embassy's, to come to the chancery. Shrestha
presented two documents to Emboff. Shrestha claimed to
Political/Economic Chief to have received the documents that
day from Sujata, who had received them through her family
contacts. Shrestha told P/E Chief that he had not informed
Sujata he was sharing the documents with the Embassy but
planned to inform her upon returning to his office.

Documents Describe Maoist Plan
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3. (C/NF) The first document, which is entitled "In the
Context of CPN Maoist," is a two-page summary of Maoist plans
over the coming weeks. The plan calls for a "city-centered
people's revolution" starting in the third week of the Nepal
month of Kartik (November 1-7). The main strategy appears to
be to create dissent in the ranks of the security forces so
the Maoists can take power in the city of Kathmandu.
According to the document, the Maoists have decided not to be
confined to temporary cantonments, which, according to the
document, was their previous plan. The idea is "to capture
central power" by mobilizing "all revolutionary fronts" to
attack the Royal Palace, Singha Durbar (the seat of the Prime
Minister, the Parliament and many ministries),and the Nepal
Army Headquarters. The document goes on to say that the
People's Liberation Army is to be deployed after thousands of
people have been killed. Although the document mentions
"confronting" American and Indian interests, there is no
direct threat against Americans.


4. (C/NF) Post is currently in the process of translating the
second 10-page document and will report on it septel.

Comment
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5. (C/NF) Embassy has no means to confirm the document's
credibility, but the alleged plan contained in the document
is consistent with what post has been hearing from other
sources. We are reporting on the documents to provide
additional context on Maoist thinking. On closer inspection,
the first document appears to be the work of a non-Maoist
observer at the recent Maoist Central Committee meeting in
Kavre, near Kathmandu. The November 1-7 time-frame falls
only days after the Government of Nepal-Maoist cease-fire is
scheduled to expire on October 27.

Text of Maoist Document
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6. (C/NF) Post's unofficial translation of the document
follows:

BEGIN TEXT

In the context of CPN Maoist
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The meeting of the CPN-Maoist's Central Committee in Kavre
Kamidhada decided to stage a city-centric people's revolution
from 3rd week of Kartik;

Concluding that as long as no revolution takes place in the
Army or Police, no central power can be seized. In this
regard, a strategy has been made to incite revolution within
the Nepal Police to facilitate the process of capturing
central power;

Canceling the previous plan to remain in temporary camps, the
CPN-Maoist's Central Committee's meeting has issued an order
directing cadre to concentrate on stirring up urban
revolution;

In order to prepare for urban-concentrated revolution, all
people-based organizations have been directed to initiate
trainings;

In the course of the Maoist-prepared urban revolution in the
form of an "April Thesis", Chairman Prachanda has prepared a
short strategy note. Lenin has prepared a similar note
before February revolution;

The details of the "April Thesis" have been kept with central
members of the party. It has been classified as highly
confidential;

SIPDIS

A six-point action plan is drawn under the "April Thesis" in
which various action plans and trainings are mentioned
regarding urban revolution. The bottom line of the plan is
to incite revolution in Police and Army so that central power
can be grasped;

In accordance with the action plan laid down in the "April
Thesis" to capture central power, all revolutionary fronts
will be mobilized in a consolidated form to attack the Royal
Palace, Singha Durbar and Army Headquarters. The People's
army will come in for retaliation only after hundreds,
thousands are killed;

Maoist leaders have issued directions to their people-based
organizations, workers, and cadre stating that the urban
revolution is the final and decisive action and that they all
are asked to be ready to become martyrs if needed. Moreover,
they have been instructed not to bow to American imperialism
and Indian expansionism but to confront them;

A special training will be provided to the Maoist army to
fight against government side, country and foreign countries
power if they come to suppress their action, and recruitment
has been started;

The CPN-Maoist's Central Committee members have decided to
keep the People's Army intact and not to join the interim
government in the current situation;

The CPN-Maoists have drawn up important conclusion saying
election for constituent assembly is impossible in the
current environment;

A strategy has been prepared to confront the army and
non-army after the urban revolution turns to escalation;

Looking at the recent policy adopted by Maoists at their
central committee meeting in Kavre, the plan of the "April
Thesis", preparation for urban revolution and special
training for the PLA and issues of ammunition supplies,
including collection of funds etc., CPN-Maoists appeared to
be in the preparation to sever their understanding with Seven
Party Alliance to wage an urban warfare to seize power at the
center;

According to their plans, Maoists have already set off on
their second strategic offensive move. This is in the last
phase of their offensive move.

Points of the "April Thesis" prepared by Prachanda
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Political Target:
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Intensify and spread out the revolt against the King with the
cooperation from all like-minded forces by raising slogans of
constituent assembly;

Improve the regional republic government;

Prepare policies and values for the betterment of the
proletariat and ensure effective enforcement of such policies;

Intensify ideological struggle of the party by increasing
international initiatives;

Try to increase political, organizational and strategic
preparations for grabbing at any opportunity for mass
revolution;

Military Target:
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Train and specialize the People's Liberation Army (PLA) for
taking suitable actions in the capital and urban areas;

Add divisions to the PLA;

Develop armed revolution through centralized and forceful
activities;

Take planned initiatives to increase the role of PLA;

5-point workplan:
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Mobilize the masses in favor of CPN-Maoist's political and
action plan (from central to district);

Prepare work plan for "proletariatization" of the party;

Leadership should take complete responsibility for making
policies, rules and plans;

Prepare a work plan against imperialism and expansionism
through the international department of the party;

Prepare a solid work plan for the military targets of the
urban revolution.

END TEXT
MORIARTY