MEDIA REACTION CHAVEZ' INFLUENCE ON LATIN

UNCLAS BUENOS AIRES 000940 SIPDIS STATE FOR INR/R/MR, I/GWHA, WHA, WHA/PDA, WHA/BSC, WHA/EPSC CDR USSOCOM FOR J-2 IAD/LAMA SIPDIS E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: KPAO OPRC KMDR PREL MEDIA REACTION SUBJECT: MEDIA REACTION CHAVEZ' INFLUENCE ON LATIN AMERICA ARGENTINE ECONOMY BOLIVIAN COCAINE DEATH PENALTY 04/26/06 ¶1. SUMMARY STATEMENT Today's key international stories include President Bush's investigation into oil price abuses; Presidents Lula and Kirchner's reaction to Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez's increasing influence in Latin America; the increasing amount of Bolivian cocaine entering Argentina; and Argentina's economic situation. Leading "Clarin" carries an editorial against the imposition of death penalty all over the world. ¶2. OPINION PIECES AND KEY STORIES - "Bush intervenes to lower the price of oil and increase his popularity ratings" Ana Baron, Washington-based correspondent for leading "Clarin," writes (04/26) "... Aware that his popularity is declining as quickly as the price of oil increases, Bush announced yesterday a four-point plan to stop the escalation of oil prices. First, he launched an investigation into oil price abuses, which will be carried out by the US Federal Trade Committee... 'We will not accept market manipulation.' Secondly, Bush decided to suspend new additions to the national strategic oil reserve... Third, he spoke about Americans' addiction to oil and the need to reward the use of alternative energy. "Lastly, Bush decided to reduce environmental demands imposed on oil corporations, which could serve to reduce costs and lower oil prices." "... Bush's announcement had a positive impact. Wholesale prices on futures, for the month of June, recorded an eight-cent reduction per gallon." - "Chavez, the partner Kirchner and Lula wanted, has become a dilemma for both of them" Eduardo van der Kooy, political columnist of leading "Clarin," comments (04/26) "... There are regional and international issues related to President Chavez that raise concern in both Buenos Aires and Brasilia... The Venezuelan government has defended Iran's nuclear program and stated that every country has the right to access nuclear technology with peaceful purposes. Venezuela, Cuba and Syria are against the referral of the Iranian case to the UN Security Council. "Last year, Caracas and Tehran signed trade, industrial and agricultural cooperation deals... Argentina and Brazil do not question this rapprochement; however, they do object to Venezuela's support for the (Iranian) nuclear program, the final goal of which, according to them, is not clear. "Kirchner and Lula were also worried when Chavez threatened to bomb oil wells last week. Truly enough, Chavez conditioned said decision to a hypothetical US invasion. But, the Venezuelan president's gesture disturbed Argentine and Brazilian diplomats, who allegedly act as moderators of Chavez in the eyes of Washington. "... Also, Venezuela's decision to get out of the Andean Community of Nations dealt a severe blow to Colombia, and sent a direct message to Peru. The two countries have just ended negotiations with the US to conclude FTAs... "Chavez prefers to be closer to Mercosur than to the Andean Community of Nations... (due to Mercosur's higher trade volume)... But there is also a political interpretation. The Venezuelan president's moves symbolize power in an unstable region and also in the lurking eyes of Washington." - "Chavez and the crisis in the region" Business-financial, center-right "InfoBae" carries an opinion piece by Rosendo Fraga, prestigious political analyst, who writes (04/26) "The meeting in Asuncion among the presidents of Venezuela, Paraguay, Uruguay and Bolivia made obvious the crisis among regional groups. The fact that the two largest Mercosur countries were not invited reveals the difficulties they have with Uruguay and Paraguay. Chavez used the meeting to show that he is becoming the key political actor in South America, in detriment to Lula and Kirchner. "Chavez announced that the Andean Community of Nations is pointless now that Colombia and Peru negotiated FTAs with the US... "... The two smallest Mercosur partners are holding bilateral trade negotiations with the US... "During their meeting this week, Lula and Kirchner will try to contain Chavez's regional influence... The two of them have underestimated Chavez's influence on South America, which is increasing as the price of oil increases. "Both will attempt to prevent the Mercosur crisis, then limit the free action of Chavez in the region and lastly, review regional energy plans to be developed with Venezuela. "... Simultaneously, Chavez is developing intense activity in the strategic field. During his encounter with Lula and Kirchner, he will attempt to seek their support to obtain a non permanent chair at the UN Security Council... "Also, election processes in the region reveal Chavez's growing influence. To the public support he is giving to Ortega in Nicaragua, one should add the support he is giving to Ollanta Humala in Peru." - "If it works, don't fix it" Michael Soltys, executive editor of liberal, English- language "Buenos Aires Herald," writes (04/26) "... Victory is said to have many fathers while defeat is an orphan - the Kirchner administration is certainly not shy about claiming the credit for the current glut of positive economic data. "Yet Argentina is not the only example of growth within the region or indeed a world which has been growing at a record five-plus percent. Indeed high growth and populist government are almost a vicious circle within a region that seems to have concluded that if neither a Kirchner here nor a Hugo Chavez in Venezuela nor an Evo Morales in Bolivia can interrupt the good times, then why not an Ollanta Humala in Peru? "Yet should increasingly active states take the credit? To answer this question, we should identify the sectors with the most spectacular growth and the strongest investment. In the case of Argentina those sectors would appear to be construction, tourism and mining... "Fortunately, the government has yet to pay any serious attention to construction, tourism or mining - the ideal recipe for economic success would thus be if the government could devote all its energies to fretting about the price of, say, artichokes, thus leaving all the important activities to flourish undisturbed. "... The exchange rate is also worth watching... A three-peso dollar continues to be this government's convertibility - even if the government fails to recognize the exchange rate's role in fuelling an inflation which a sturdy fiscal surplus should be averting." - "US: Argentina is receiving more Bolivian cocaine than in the past" Business-financial "Ambito Financiero" (04/26) "According to US Assistant Secretary for International Narcotics and Law Enforcement Affairs Anne W. Patterson, the US is concerned about the 'explosive increase in the coca leaf crops in Bolivia,' whose surplus feeds cocaine factories. "Patterson expressed her concern during a press conference after having met with Bolivian President Evo Morales... "The USG official argued that said concern over the increase in Bolivian coca leaf crops is based on studies revealing that 'Some 30,000 hectares were cultivated last year out of which only 7,000 were used for traditional consumption.'" ¶3. EDITORIALS - "Prevalence of death penalty" An editorial in leading "Clarin" reads (04/26) "While the human rights culture has notably increased ever since the Second World war, many governments continue implementing sanctions that are incompatible with the respect for the dignity and life of people. "In this way, the death penalty is still in force in several countries... "According to Amnesty International, China is the State that most resorts to the death penalty... Iran, Saudi Arabia and the US follow it in order of importance. Then death penalty is also imposed on minors of 18 years in Iran and the US. "Multiple reasons justify the rejection of the death penalty. Its role as a deterrent has not been proved, and this is why its use has not managed to reduce crime rates... It resembles a form of retaliation rather than a punishment that has been established based on reasonable and humanistic ethic values." To see more Buenos Aires reporting, visit our classified website at: http://www.state.sqov.gov/p/wha/buenosaires GUTIERREZ