MINISTERIAL COMMITTEE FOR NATIONAL SECURITY

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 04 BAGHDAD 000344 SIPDIS SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 02/05/2016 TAGS: PGOV PINS PTER MOPS ENRG EPET IZ SUBJECT: MINISTERIAL COMMITTEE FOR NATIONAL SECURITY DISCUSSES SECURITY AND INFRASTRUCTURE INTEGRITY Classified By: AMBASSADOR ZALMAY KHALILZAD FOR REASONS 1.4 (A),(B),an d (D). ¶1. (C//REL GBR AUS) SUMMARY: The Iraqi Ministerial Committee for National Security (MCNS) met on February 3 and addressed the following: -- The MCNS acknowledged the work of the Joint Committee to Transfer Security Responsibility (JCTSR) and directed that its Working Group continue steps toward implementation. -- Both the Ministers of Defense and Interior reported that the overall security situation in Iraq is improving. -- The Prime Minister ordered a close examination of the security plan for Ashura as well as a publicity campaign that: warns Iraqis of the possibility of violence during celebrations of this Shia holiday; calls for nonviolence during this period; and states that many who attack Iraq are foreign. -- The Prime Minister directed the Minister of Interior to study allegations reported to the PM by private sources of security problems in Ba'qubah and to come up with a plan to deal with them. -- Concerning critical infrastructure integrity, the PM's staff maintained that DPM Chalabi has been given additional authorities over the energy ministries as discussed at the last MCNS meeting. -- A proposed security plan for al-Anbar Province was briefed by the Minister of Defense, and it was agreed that the PM will meet this week with Anbar notables to respond to their concerns. -- The Prime Minister tasked Deputy Prime Minister Jaburi with studying and addressing allegations of complaints by Sunni leaders about heavy-handed Coalition Force (CF) and Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) raids; -- GEN Casey expressed concern about the recent shift of authority over the National Joint Operations Center (NJOC) and the Provincial Joint Coordination Centers (PJCCs) from the Ministry of the Interior (MOI) to the Minister of State for National Security Affairs. END SUMMARY. ¶2. (C//REL GBR AUS) Prime Minister Ibrahim Ja'afari convened the MCNS at his residence on the evening of February ¶3. Committee members present included Minister of Interior Bayan Jabr, Minister of Defense Saadoun Dulime, National Security Advisor Mowwafak al-Rubaie, MNF-I Commanding General Casey, Ambassador Khalilzad, and British Ambassador Patey. ;MNF-I Deputy Commanding General Houghton and PM's chief of staff also were present. Minister of State for National Security Affairs Karim al-Anzi was absent. Ambassador Khalilzad had to depart early due to a previously scheduled engagement. -------------- TRANSFER OF SECURITY RESPONSIBILITY -------------- ¶3. (C//REL GBR AUS) The MCNS agreed to acknowledge the work done to date by the JCTSR, and it directed that the committee's Working Group continue to develop an implementation plan. Later in the meeting, it was noted that Memoranda of Agreement have been prepared among MNF-I and the Ministries of Defense and Interior pertaining to command and control relationships once the transfer of security responsibility begins. -------------- GENERAL SECURITY SITUATION -------------- ¶4. (C//REL GBR AUS) Minister of Defense Dulime said that in his view the security situation nationwide is improving. According to him, attacks are down, intelligence capabilities are improving, and Iraqi Security Force (ISF) defenses and counterattacks on insurgents are becoming more effective. In Baghdad, he noted, raids, checkpoints, and searches have improved security. In addition, Dulime reported, intelligence-based operations conducted against insurgents in areas other than Baghdad have had an impact on the enemy's ability to carry out operations in the capital. Dulime said BAGHDAD 00000344 002 OF 004 that the level of cooperation among MOD, MOI, and MNF-I forces is excellent and getting better all the time. With regard to trouble spots, Dulime reported that the area on the Tigris near Taji remains a problem because there are no security forces operating there and insurgents who have been forced out of other regions are fleeing there. ¶5. (C//REL GBR AUS) Minister of Interior Jabr agreed with Dulime that ISF now have the initiative. Jabr repeated the plan that he described at the last MCNS meeting to fortify fixed checkpoints in Baghdad, and he reported that operations against insurgents have increased following a lull during the election period. It had been hoped, he said, that the number of attacks on police would decrease as insurgents turned increasingly to the political process, but this did not happen. ¶6. (C//REL GBR AUS) National Security Advisor Rubaie said that he believes attacks are down because the 80 percent of the insurgents who are rejectionists are beginning to play a more active role in politics, leading to fewer people bearing arms against the ISF and Coalition Forces (CF). British Ambassador Patey agreed with Rubaie's assessment, cautioning that as more rejectionists join the political process it is important that continuing security measures do not inadvertently undermine the political progress. All present agreed that although attacks by rejectionists seem to be declining, attacks by the terrorists and Saddamists on the fringes result in the most casualties. ¶7. (C//REL GBR AUS) The PM agreed that progress has been made on security since the Iraqi Transitional Government (ITG) took office in May. However, he said, major security challenges remain, especially attacks on critical infrastructure and assassinations of political, governmental, and academic personalities. The PM directed that a plan be prepared within the next five days to deal with the situation in the Taji area and elsewhere. -------------- ASHURA SECURITY PLAN -------------- ¶8. (C//REL GBR AUS) Ja'afari said he remains concerned about the potential for violence directed at religious pilgrims and gatherings related to the upcoming Ashura observances. He pointed out that more than two million pilgrims will come to Karbala, mostly on foot. Suicide vest bombers, car bombs, and indirect fire attacks on large crowds of people should be anticipated, he said. Repeating a concern he raised at the last MCNS meeting, the PM said he remains worried that the insurgents may try to poison the food and water sold to marchers. Rubaie stated that reports indicate an increase in the number of foreign fighters who have been entering Iraq, mainly from Syria. The worst-case scenario must be considered, he warned, and until these reports are proven false it must be assumed that foreign fighters are entering Iraq to carry out attacks during Ashura. ¶9. (C//REL GBR AUS) The MOI has prepared a security plan, which was passed to Rubaie with directions from Ja'afari to study it and report back. In the meantime, it was agreed that a publicity campaign should be launched to sensitize the public to the threat of attack during the celebration and to ask for cooperation in spotting and reporting suspicious persons or circumstances. GEN Casey suggested that Ja'afari call on the leaders of all factions to join with him to call publicly for a peaceful Ashura and to emphasize the message that an attack against anyone during this period is an attack on Iraq. GEN Casey explained that this will put the terrorists in a lose-lose situation: they lose if they are prevented from launching attacks, and they lose if they launch attacks that are universally condemned by all sectors of Iraqi society. He added that foreign fighters who have been captured entering Iraq with the intent to attack Ashura celebrations must be put on television so that Iraqis will see that these attacks come from outside Iraq. Ja'afari agreed to work with the Sunni Waqf to make a common appeal for nonviolence, and he directed Rubaie to coordinate. -------------- BA'QUBAH -------------- ¶10. (C//REL GBR AUS) Ja'afari said that he had received a "very important report" prepared by private sources on people BAGHDAD 00000344 003 OF 004 and places in Ba'qubah that are involved in the insurgency. The PM turned this report over to Jabr with instructions to review it and to come up with a plan to respond. -------------- ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE -------------- ¶11. (C//REL GBR AUS) Ja'afari asked if there have been any recent developments with regard to the energy infrastructure problems discussed at the last meeting. GEN Casey and Ambassador Patey said that they understand that DPM Chalabi has not yet been given the added authorities over the energy ministries agreed upon at the last meeting, and that the GOI therefore has taken no significant actions to address this problem. Chief of Staff Tamimi reported that the order giving Chalabi extra authorities had been signed and delivered to him within the past day or two. -------------- ANBAR PROVINCE -------------- ¶12. (C//REL GBR AUS) Ja'afari asked about the status of replies to the petitions he received during his visit last month to Anbar province, noting that he owes a response. Dulime reported he has been working with GEN Casey on formulating a security plan for the province in response to the petitions. It was agreed that the governor and other notables from the province would be called to Baghdad on February 7 to discuss the plan with Ja'afari. Dulime reported on the plan's outline to the group, which is based on five basic principles and has sections that address the police, the army, and detainees as they relate to Anbar. (NOTE: The basic principles are that everyone will agree to condemn terrorism and violence; all will work to find solutions that are acceptable to the people of the province; all will work to create the conditions whereby the ISF will be capable of taking responsibility for the security of the province; that when this occurs CF will withdraw from the cities to bases in unpopulated areas; and that a committee will be formed of all interested parties to agree on a proposed timeline to implement the plan. END NOTE.) At Ja'afari's request, GEN Casey agreed to assist with contacting the governor and transporting him and other members of the delegation to Baghdad. -------------- COALITION OPERATIONS -------------- ¶13. (C//REL GBR AUS) Ja'afari said that he recently has heard complaints about the conduct of CF during raids and other operations. The PM directed that a committee headed by DPM Abed Mutlaq al-Jaburi be formed to study and respond to these complaints. Ja'afari also expressed displeasure concerning a recent operation in Sadr City that resulted in the death of a woman and child, complaining that he knew nothing about it and was embarrassed when it came up during a press conference. GEN Casey explained that the raid was a well-planned operation targeting known Ansar al-Sunna terrorists who had come to Sadr City from Mosul. When the operation commenced, people from two nearby houses opened fire on the soldiers and return fire was necessary. It was regrettable that innocent lives had been lost, GEN Casey noted, but the targets of the raid were successfully captured. (NOTE: Ja'afari has been reminded in the past that he should rely on his Situation Room staff to keep him fully briefed on military operations of this nature. END NOTE.) -------------- CONTROL OVER NJOC AND PJCCs -------------- ¶14. (C//REL GBR AUS) GEN Casey raised the subject of who controls the National Joint Operations Center (NJOC) and the network of Provincial Joint Coordination Centers (PJCCs) that report to it. These bodies had always fallen under the control of the MOI, but two weeks ago, GEN Casey said, he learned that authority over them had been transferred to Minister of State for National Security Affairs al-Anzi. Ja'afari played this down, first claiming that this arrangement dated back to the Allawi administration and then saying that the current government only has a short time left and that it would be embarrassing to al-Anzi to remove the BAGHDAD 00000344 004 OF 004 NJOC and PJCCs from his control. GEN Casey replied that the MOI official who had overseen the NJOC and PJCCs was fired two weeks ago and only then did he learn that al-Anzi was exercising control. Ambassador Patey further objected that the realignment of responsibilities for such important institutions was inconsistent with the actions of a caretaker government, and he urged that whatever changes had taken place in the last few weeks be undone. Ja'afari said (without much conviction) that he would "take care of this issue." KHALILZAD