ISRAEL MEDIA REACTION

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 07 TEL AVIV 000348 SIPDIS STATE FOR NEA, NEA/IPA, NEA/PPD WHITE HOUSE FOR PRESS OFFICE, SIT ROOM NSC FOR NEA STAFF JERUSALEM ALSO FOR ICD LONDON ALSO FOR HKANONA AND POL PARIS ALSO FOR POL ROME FOR MFO E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: IS KMDR MEDIA REACTION REPORT SUBJECT: ISRAEL MEDIA REACTION -------------- SUBJECTS COVERED IN THIS REPORT: -------------- ¶1. Prospect for Second Bush Administration ¶2. Mideast -------------- Key stories in the media: -------------- All media reported that the diplomatic-security cabinet decided on Wednesday to give PA Chairman Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) a few days to take action to stop the firing of Qassam rockets and mortars from the Gaza Strip. Leading media quoted FM and Deputy PM Silvan Shalom as saying that the GOI's boycott of Abbas has been successful. At the same time, the ministers approved in principle a military operation to take control of the areas in the northern Strip from which the firing has been taking place, in the event that the PA fails to take action and the attacks on Israeli communities continue. Israel Radio reported that this morning PM Sharon will update Ambassador Daniel Kurtzer on the cabinet's decision. Yediot reported that for the first time since the beginning of the Intifada, paratroopers will join the IDF fighters in the Gaza Strip, bolstering the forces there. Yediot highlighted the cabinet's warning to Syria that Israel would from now on respond harshly to Hizbullah's attacks. Leading media reported that Israeli and Palestinian security officials met Wednesday night at the Erez Crossing to coordinate security steps aimed at preventing Qassam rocket fire. Among the participants in the meeting, which was held at the request of the Palestinians, were Gaza security chief Musa ARAFAT and the IDF's Gaza division commander, Brig. Gen. Aviv Cochavi. ARAFAT presented Cochavi with the PA's plan to deploy its security forces in Gaza Strip areas from which militants have launched rockets and mortar shells. According to the Palestinian plan, hundreds of Palestinian police will take up positions in the areas from where Qassam rockets and mortar shells are fired. The plan follows a series of meetings between Abbas and the heads of the security branches in the Gaza Strip. Jerusalem Post reported that Abbas has ordered Maj. Gen. Sa'eb el-Ajez, head of the Palestinian police force in Gaza, to deploy his 8,000-man force for this purpose. Maariv reported that Abbas is expected to ask Israel to release 4,000 prisoners, and to say that this is the only thing that can save him. Jerusalem Post cited an interview with President Bush that CNN broadcast on Tuesday, in which the President, when asked about Natan Sharansky's latest book, The Case For Democracy, replied: "He's now an Israeli official who talks about freedom and what it means and how freedom can change the globe. And I agree with him." Ha'aretz reported that the Sharon government implemented the Absentee Property Law in East Jerusalem last July, contrary to Israeli government policy since Israeli law was extended to East Jerusalem after the Six Day War. The law means that thousands of Palestinians who live in the West Bank will lose ownership of their property in East Jerusalem. The newspaper notes that GOI officials estimate the assets total thousands of dunams (one dunam equals 0.22239 acres),while other estimates say they could add up to half of all East Jerusalem property. Maariv quoted IDF Intelligence chief Maj. Gen. Aharon Zeevi-Farkash as saying Wednesday that Secretary of State-designate Condoleezza Rice will not want to see a large-scale IDF operation in the Strip immediately after she is confirmed to her post. The newspaper also cited NSA Rice as saying Wednesday before the Senate's Foreign Relations Committee: "It's really hard to find common ground with a government that thinks Israel should be extinguished." Rice was referring to Iran. Ha'aretz noted that Democratic Senators John Kerry and Barbara Boxer voted against Rice's nomination. Leading media reported that on Wednesday, two Palestinians affiliated with Fatah were killed when they tried to infiltrate Kibbutz Nahal Oz, next to the Gaza Strip. Two IDF soldiers were wounded in the clash. Maariv reported that some figures in the religious Zionist movement have suggested that their public disengage from the State of Israel, give up Israeli citizenship and withhold recognition of Israel. Jerusalem Post reported that academics, educators, and human rights activist met at Givat Haviva, an educational dialogue center run by Yahad's kibbutz movement, to map out a range of new ways in which Israelis and Palestinians do -- or soon will be able to -- communicate on-line. The media cited projections by the GOI's Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) that in 2025 the Muslim population of Israel will grow by 80 percent -- from 1.1 million today to 2 million. The CBS announced Wednesday that Muslims now represent 16 percent of Israel's population. Maariv quoted leading Israeli demographer Sergio Della Pergola as saying before the Knesset's Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee Wednesday that research led by right-wing political consultant Yoram Ettinger, according to which Arab demography does not threaten Israel, is contradicted by other findings that predict a 52-percent Arab majority between the Mediterranean and the Jordan River in ten years. The media extensively cited the findings of Ettinger's team. Yediot reported that Majid Rauf, a young Iraqi from Kirkuk, arrived in Israel several days ago to undergo open-heart surgery at Petah-Tikva's Schneider Hospital. Rauf thanked Israel for its help. A pro-Israel British- American Christian group, Shevet Ahim ("brothers dwelling together"),connected Rauf with the hospital. Yediot and Ha'aretz's web site quoted UN Secretary- General Kofi Annan as saying Wednesday at a news conference: "Every generation must be on its guard, to make sure that such a thing [the Holocaust] never happens again. " Ha'aretz reported that, in its discussion on the suitability of American economist Stanley Fischer as the next governor of the Bank of Israel, the Bach Committee on Senior Civil Service Appointments has found no conflict of interest in Fischer retaining his American citizenship. Jerusalem Post cited the police as saying that four Americans studying in Jerusalem yeshivas were arrested Tuesday on suspicion of selling drugs to dozens of American yeshiva students in the city over the last several months. Yediot also reports on the case. -------------- ¶1. Prospect for Second Bush Administration: -------------- Summary: -------------- Independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz editorialized: "Expectations in the Middle East are for practical steps that will make tangible that Bush and Rice understand the severity of the situation and the urgency of dealing with it." Conservative, independent Jerusalem Post editorialized: "It is the job of George W. Bush from the inaugural podium today not only to convince the American people that accomplishing their mission in Iraq is well worth the sacrifices being asked of them, but that success in Iraq alone is not enough to win this war." Senior op-ed writer Akiva Eldar commented in Ha'aretz: "It may be assumed that the senior echelons of the State Department, which tried their hand at artificial respiration of the peace process, will either leave or form a new line, on the right." Liberal op-ed writer Ofer Shelach opined in mass- circulation, pluralist Yediot Aharonot: "Religion will be the main concern of the second Bush administration.... [The Americans] may have elected a president in their own image, who will change America's face in the next four years." Block Quotes: -------------- ¶I. "The Middle East Awaits Rice" Independent, left-leaning Ha'aretz editorialized (January 20): "The most important appointment in [Bush's] new team is the promotion of Condoleezza Rice from national security advisor to secretary of state.... Rice's testimony to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee in the hearings this week show that the Middle East, after September 11, 2001, will continue to be the focus of American foreign and defense policy. Seemingly that is good news for those who believe that active involvement by the administration is necessary, expressed in energetic personal involvement by the president and secretary of state, in an effort to calm the tensions between Israel and the Arabs in general and the Palestinians in particular.... The equation Rice waved about in front of the senators and the rulers and nations of the region was 'justice, dignity and a viable, independent and democratic state for the Palestinians; peace and security for Israel.' As an overall vision that is reasonable, but the test will be in its fulfillment as the two states move toward concessions on their mutual demands regarding territories and borders, enabling them to establish thriving societies and economies with a demographic balance. Rice evaded the issue of appointing a presidential envoy to the region. She is aware of her responsibility, along with the president's, to prevent neglect and a deterioration of the situation. Expectations in the Middle East are for practical steps that will make tangible that Bush and Rice understand the severity of the situation and the urgency of dealing with it." II. "A Mission to Accomplish" Conservative, independent Jerusalem Post editorialized (January 20): "The decision to invade Iraq was the most decisive act of the President's first term; his success in bringing security and freedom to its people will begin the deciding verdict of his second term. It is hard to imagine Iraqi democracy succeeding, however, if the Iranian mullocracy achieves a nuclear umbrella.... In the post-9/11 world, securing Iraq may be the linchpin of the administration's efforts to drain the swamps of despotic regimes in Muslim countries where radical Islamic fundamentalism has been allowed to fester, but America does not have the luxury of dealing with region one country at a time.... It is the job of George W. Bush from the inaugural podium today not only to convince the American people that accomplishing their mission in Iraq is well worth the sacrifices being asked of them, but that success in Iraq alone is not enough to win this war. His success in doing so will be crucial to the future freedom and security of the United States, and for the fates of free and unfree people all over the world." III. "The White House Won't Be Changing Its Colors" Senior op-ed writer Akiva Eldar commented in Ha'aretz (January 20): "Insiders at the Foreign Ministry in Jerusalem also assess that the rose-by-any-other-name evolution of the national security adviser to secretary of state will not generate any change in Ms. Rice's views and in what are termed as the three main elements of foreign policy in the Middle East: democracy, democracy, and democracy. It may be assumed that the senior echelons of the State Department, which tried their hand at artificial respiration of the peace process, will either leave or form a new line, on the right. Departing Secretary of State Colin Powell once admitted to his colleague Silvan Shalom that basically, he didn't really intend to push the President into our swamp. Powell said he was fed up with receiving a phone call every morning from yet another European foreign minister offering solutions to the Israeli- Palestinian crisis. Formation of the quartet and the road map, he said, were inventions that were intended to silence the Europeans." IV. "The Most Important Thing Bush Will Do" Liberal op-ed writer Ofer Shelach opined in mass- circulation, pluralist Yediot Aharonot (January 20): "Religion will be the main concern of the second Bush administration. The result of the elections will justify that: after all, almost one quarter of the Americans said that they voted for [Bush] because of 'moral issues' ... and not because of the war in Iraq or the success of his economic policy.... Religion will be behind the most important step in the next four years, in the view of many Americans -- neither Middle East peace, nor preventing the dissemination of nuclear weapons, but the nomination of up to four new Supreme Court Justices.... This will sadden those who, justly or unjustly, look up to America as a beacon of human freedom: some people -- whether Americans or others -- find this freedom hard to bear. Even in a situation when the Constitution and many other institutions guarantee freedom, they may choose religion as an answer to their fears. They may have elected a president in their own image, who will change America's face in the next four years." -------------- ¶2. Mideast: -------------- Summary: -------------- Former editor-in-chief Moshe Ishon asserted in nationalist, Orthodox Hatzofe: "Not only is [Abbas's policy] not leading to progress toward peace, but it is going in the other direction -- the continuation of terrorist activity." Middle East affairs commentator Guy Bechor, a lecturer at the Interdisciplinary Center, wrote in mass- circulation, pluralist Yediot Aharonot: "Arafat is dead, but he managed to leave behind him tens of thousands of successors who sanctify the slogan that he first aired four decades ago: 'the armed struggle.'" Block Quotes: -------------- ¶I. "Abu Mazen Is Looking For a 'Hudna'" Former editor-in-chief Moshe Ishon asserted in nationalist, Orthodox Hatzofe (January 20): "The policy been conducted by Abu Mazen, which is based on 'dialogue' with the terrorist organizations, has been flawed from the very beginning. Not only is it not leading to progress toward peace, but it is going in the other direction -- the continuation of terrorist activity. One should assume that Abu Mazen is aware of that. He is not a 'new face' on the Palestinian political scene. Not long ago, he was Yasser Arafat's prime minister. Thus, there is no justification for claims that he should be granted at least 'one month of mercy' as he starts his term, so that he can learn the issues challenging him.... Should his soft policy vis-a- vis the terror organizations continue, Abu Mazen will find out he is a president by name only, while facing a Palestinian parliament dominated by Palestinian terror organizations. The question is how the Israeli government relates to Abu Mazen's moves." II. "Teach Us, Students of Gaza" Middle East affairs commentator Guy Bechor, a lecturer at the Interdisciplinary Center, wrote in mass- circulation, pluralist Yediot Aharonot (January 20): "A new generation has come of age in the last decade in the territories, the fruits of the defiance and hatred that ARAFAT brought here with him in the framework of the Oslo accords, and this generation now is the generation of fighters: it is young, impudent, violent and uncompromising, since it grew up and was raised on absolute truths of demands for justice. This generation is disdainful of the ageing Palestinian politicians, of the idea of diplomacy, negotiations and compromise; it was nurtured on either Palestinian nationalism or political Islam, two worldviews that do not accept the concept of compromise. ARAFAT is dead, but he managed to leave behind him tens of thousands of successors who sanctify the slogan that he first aired four decades ago: 'the armed struggle.' Like then, anti-Israel violence today is a platform for a Palestinian changing of the generational guard. Perhaps, here and there, we will find someone who is prepared to agree to a hudna [truce] arrangement, for tactical purposes, but those tools are regarded as things of the past." KURTZER