CHORUS OF VOICES SINGING SEND CAFTA-DR TO THE

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 SAN JOSE 001720 SIPDIS SENSITIVE WHA/CEN EB FOR WCRAFT E FOR TSMITHAM WHA FOR WMIELE WHA/EPSC FOR KURS H FOR JHAGAN STATE PASS TO USTR FOR JYOUNG, CPADILLA, AMALITO E.O. 12958: N/A TAGS: ETRD ECPS ECON PREL PGOV SOCI CS SUBJECT: CHORUS OF VOICES SINGING SEND CAFTA-DR TO THE COSTA RICAN ASSEMBLY REF: A. (A) SAN JOSE 01713 ¶B. (B) SAN JOSE 01636 ¶C. (C) SAN JOSE 01455 ¶1. (U) Summary. The second day after the U.S. Congress approved the CAFTA-DR implementing legislation, many Costa Ricans are expressing the urgent need for President Pacheco to send the agreement to the Costa Rican Legislative Assembly for ratification (Ref A). Those asking the administration to hasten the process include many of the 57-member Assembly, including its president, Gerardo Gonzalez, at least four candidates in the upcoming presidential election, representatives of business, and many members of the President,s own party, the Social Christian Union Party (PUSC). Statements from the administration remain consistent with its previous position; that the President will send CAFTA-DR for ratification at the time he deems appropriate. End Summary. ¶2. (U) The amount of media coverage given to the status of CAFTA-DR in Costa Rica has increased since the U.S. Congress approved it on July 27, 2005 (local time). This coincides with a definite growing intensity of the debate about the status of CAFTA-DR ratification. Local media coverage has shifted its focus from the vote in the U.S. to the GOCR,s plan and timetable to ratify CAFTA-DR. The daily La Nacion not only placed this issue on the front page but also dedicated its first 8 pages to it. The call for President Pacheco to send the agreement to the Assembly as soon as possible was the common theme of many articles. Those advocating this position, among many others, include, Gerardo Gonzalez, a PUSC Assembly member (deputy) and President of the Assembly, Oscar Arias, ex-president of the country and front-runner in the next presidential election, and Alberto Trejos, the ex-Minister of Foreign Trade (COMEX). Of course, there are still those who oppose the agreement and who have made their opinions known in the media. -------------- --- THE CHORUS SINGS SEND CAFTA-DR TO THE ASSEMBLY -------------- --- ¶3. (U) On July 28, deputies from the National Liberation Party (PLN),the Libertarian Movement Party (ML),and the National Renovation (RN) Party requested the president to send CAFTA-DR to the Assembly so that the deputies could start studying it in preparation for the ratification process. The PLN, in a letter to the President wrote, we find ourselves in a critical situation where the country cannot delay a decision on this issue. You cannot continue to ignore Costa Rican society,s right to debate and decide its future on an issue this important(. The PLN representatives specifically stated that they would like President Pacheco to introduce CAFTA-DR by August 1, 2005. Rolando Lacle, a PUSC deputy who is President of the Assembly,s International Relations Commission, recommended that President Pacheco not delay in this matter because the country could suffer consequences. ¶4. (U) Gerardo Gonzalez, the PUSC Assembly President, believes that this issue is so important that he is exploring Assembly rules and regulations to determine if it is possible for a deputy to introduce CAFTA-DR to the Assembly if President Pacheco will not. Gonzalez stated that if it is permitted, he will present the agreement in September 2005. (Note: Most political observers and legal scholars agree that only the President can introduce a treaty for ratification.) ¶5. (U) Five of the top presidential candidates in the next election, including front-runner Oscar Arias (PLN),Ricardo Toledo (PUSC),Otto Guevara, (ML),Antonio Alvarez Desanti(UPC),and Jose Manuel Echandi (UN),also expressed the need for President Pacheco to take action. Oscar Arias stated, I call upon the Administration and Assembly to start discussions of CAFTA-DR as soon as possible. Ricardo Toledo, the PUSC presidential candidate and a fellow party-member of President Pacheco, stated that the country is lagging behind, and he is worried because the necessary legislation to prepare for CAFTA-DR has not been presented. ¶6. (U) Ex-Minister of COMEX, Alberto Trejos, warns that it would be devastating for the country to remain outside CAFTA-DR. When asked what he would recommend to President Pacheco, he stated that he would recommend that he send the agreement to the Assembly immediately. The President is the author of this agreement, he gave instructions on its negotiation, he authorized the initiation of the negotiations. He was consulted and gave recommendations; it was presented to him. We have an excellent agreement because of this; he played his role. ¶7. (U) Local business leaders are concerned that they may begin to lose their competitive edge because of the GOCR,s delay in the CAFTA-DR ratification process. The many business chambers are looking for ways to increase pressure on the Administration, the Assembly, and the Commission of Eminent Persons (Ref B),all of whom are to make decisions about CAFTA-DR. Jack Liberman, the manager of Costa Rican Mills, said that there is a lot at stake here and the only forum in which to discuss this issue democratically is in the Assembly. Samuel Yankelewitz, president of UCAAEP, an association of business chambers, and General Manager of the plastics company Yanber, said that the discussions about CAFTA-DR will be a long process ) they will last a minimum of six or 8 months in the Assembly. For this reason, it is urgent to send the agreement now in order to have an adequate debate. ¶8. (U) In an official press release, the pro- CAFTA-DR, Costa Rican-business-backed group, Por Costa Rica, stated the 13,886 partners of our organization are convinced that the time has arrived to have a serious and responsible debate about CAFTA-DR. The Coalition for Development Initiatives (CINDE) made clear its position regarding implications of the current situation on foreign direct investment (FDI): Our relation with the United States is vital. In 2004 more that seventy percent of total FDI ($446.3 million or $617.3 million) came from U.S. sources. Even more, in the last three years 78.9 percent of new business in Costa Rica originated with investment from the U.S. -------------- THE BEAT OF A DIFFERENT DRUMMER -------------- ¶9. (U) Those who oppose even sending CAFTA-DR to the Assembly continue to voice their opinions. Albino Vargas, President of the approximately 15,000-member National Association of Private and Public Employees (ANEP),stated that if the agreement is sent to the Assembly, it would be taken as a declaration of war. We will use all of our available resources, including those that we have never used before, to defeat CAFTA-DR. Prominent trade union leader Fabio Chavez was equally emphatic: If CAFTA-DR goes to the Assembly, there will be a general strike, marches, and civil disobedience never before seen in this country. Otton Solis, the presidential candidate for the left leaning Citizens, Action Party (PAC) still pursues the idea of renegotiating CAFTA-DR. He said that (this agreement is not good for Costa Rica and we should renegotiate bilaterally. It shouldn,t be sent to the Assembly until after it is renegotiated. -------------- THE ADMINISTRATION,S VOICE -------------- ¶10. (U) President Pacheco maintains his lukewarm support for the agreement by saying that we will move at a slow but sure pace on CAFTA-DR. He further stated that I will not decide to approve or reject (CAFTA-DR). I will send it to the Assembly at the right moment which is my duty as President. In an interview with La Nacion, Manuel Gonzalez, the Minister of Foreign Trade (COMEX),admitted that Costa Rica is the country farthest behind in the ratification process of CAFTA-DR, but he goes on to say that what is most important is that those who have to make the decision to approve or reject CAFTA-DR are the deputies who need to weigh the consequences of saying yes or no to the agreement. I, at least, am doing an analysis, and see the balance much more in favor of yes. ¶11. (U) When asked if he had spoken with the President about this issue since the U.S. House of Representatives, vote, Gonzalez stated that he had, and that the President,s position is that the approval in the U.S. was expected and is a positive and important step. Minister Gonzales further stated that my objective is to present CAFTA-DR to the Assembly, let them discuss it and approve it. When asked if this was also the Government,s objective, Minister Gonzalez reportedly laughed and said, I believe that it is, and it continues to be an aspiration of the Executive branch. It is the goal that I have always shared with the President, and I have never received any indication otherwise, nor have I received any instruction to work in another direction(. -------------- COMMENT -------------- ¶12. (SBU) The U.S. House of Representative,s vote approving the CAFTA-DR implementing legislation was heard loud and clear by those who support CAFTA-DR and those who do not. The tone of the discussions about the status in Costa Rica has definitely sharpened. The strength of voices of those in favor of sending CAFTA-DR to the Costa Rican Assembly is growing, with support from Assembly members, business people, and presidential candidates. The Administration of President Pacheco is maintaining its go-slow approach, still fearful of the threats from CAFTA-DR opponents. KAPLAN