Identifier | Created | Classification | Origin |
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05ISLAMABAD17835 | 2005-12-01 12:57:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Islamabad |
1. (C) SUMMARY: GOP officials took Ref B demarche points on the Iran-Pakistan-India pipeline under consideration but had no immediate reply. Petroleum Secretary Waqar met with Iranian officials in Tehran November 16-17 in what was termed a "confidence building" meeting that discussed routing options, gas quality, and price for the proposed Iran-Pakistan-India gas pipeline. The meeting follows the Government of Iran's passing a terms sheet on the proposed pipeline similar to one that it gave to the Government of India on September 10. Waqar will visit India in mid-December, and a tripartite meeting in Tehran is expected to follow. The GOP also will attend a January meeting in Ashgabat on the Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) pipeline, while the visits of two Chinese energy delegations to Pakistan reflect China's growing interest in the region. END SUMMARY. Pakistan Petroleum Secretary's Nov 16-17 Visit to Tehran ============================================= =========== 2. (C) On November 14, Deputy Econ Counselor met Pakistan Petroleum Additional Secretary Shawkat Durrani and delivered Washington's Ref B points, which Durrani took under consideration. Durrani reported that after a two-month delay (Ref A), the Government of Iran in early November had passed the Government of Pakistan (GOP) a terms sheet that he believed was similar to one that Iran had given to the Government of India on September 10. Durrani indicated that Iran has offered to sell gas from its South Pars fields, but his frustration with Iranian interlocutors was evident. He described his Iranian counterparts as "very cunning and mercantile....They place no value on time and are willing to discuss all but the price." 3. (C) Duranni expressed concerns about Iran's insistence that all aspects of any pipeline arrangement be made "according to Iranian law." Specifically, he said that the Iranians were insisting on a "buyback scheme," requiring that any gas purchased under a pipeline deal be sold to the National Iranian Gas Company and resold to the government/consortium purchasing the gas. As he saw it, a private company developing the Pars Gas Field would sell the gas to the Iranian Government, which would then sell it to new GOP-owned Interstate Gas Company. (Interstate is the new GOP-owned entity that the GOP has tasked with working on the Iran pipeline). Interstate would then sell the gas to the Sui North and Sui South gas companies (both currently being privatized). The Sui companies then would sell to the end-user customers. Regulatory, commercial, legal, and financial issues under Iran's framework were also concerns. Durrani noted that India had hired a financial advisor for the project and the GOP hoped to select its own advisor by the mid-December. 4. (C) At a November 25 follow-up meeting with Durrani, he confirmed that he had shared the Washington talking points with Petroleum Secretary Waqar but that Waqar had made no comment on the points, describing the Iran pipeline discussions as "a long process." Durrani related that at the Tehran meetings Waqar had discussed pipeline routing options, gas quality-- and price. He informed that Waqar would travel to Canada soon, and in mid-December he would visit India to discuss the Iran pipeline. Durrani said that following Waqar's meeting in India, a tripartite Iran-Pakistan-India meeting would be held, most likely in Tehran. Progress on TAPI and LNG ======================== 5. (C) Regarding the proposed Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) pipeline, Durrani indicated that Petroleum Secretary Waqar would attend a January meeting in Ashgabat, and Petroleum Minister Amanullah Khan Jadoon might also attend. He confirmed that the Government of Turkmenistan had not confirmed quantity or availability of gas from its Dovelatabad reserves, and he speculated that GOT might finally disclose information on the reserves at the meeting. For the GOP to proceed, however, Durrani indicated that the GOP would need reassurances about the security of a pipeline running through Afghanistan. 6. (C) On liquified natural gas (LNG), Durrani confirmed that a financial advisor resident in Karachi had been selected and the GOP was hoping to get an initial set of suggestions for setting up a GOP regulatory policy framework shortly (though he reiterated that LNG would not be sufficient to meet all of Pakistan's growing energy needs). He stressed that the GOP was continuing its efforts to completely privatize the natural gas sector and due diligence continued apace in preparation for privatization of the Sui North and South Gas companies. Growing Chinese Interest in Pakistan's Energy Sector ============================================= ======= 7. (C) Asked about press reports that the GOP was considering establishing a Pakistan-China Energy Forum, Durrani confirmed that a six-member delegation of the China Development and Reform Commission, led by Zhang Yuquing, had just visited Pakistan to explore investment opportunities in the oil and gas sector. Durrani described the commission as one of China's highest decision-making bodies for energy policies, and said that the visit was an outgrowth of Prime Minister Aziz's 2004 visit to Beijing. He said that the delegation had good discussions, including on the proposed Iran pipeline, and the delegation then visited India. Durrani said that the Chinese had expressed interest in becoming a partner in building pipelines, refineries, and fuel transport. Durrani added that the Chinese National Chemical Engineering Group Corporation (CNEGC) was expected to visit Pakistan November 29 to discuss working in the energy sector, including developing the Thaar coal fields, constructing a refinery/oil storage facility along Pakistan's coast, and installing an LNG facility near Karachi (Pakistan is simultaneously pursuing multiple pipeline/LNG options. While LNG will help, LNG cannot fully meet Pakistan's growing energy needs). Minimal Earthquake Damage to Pakistan's Natural Gas Network ============================================= ============== 8. (C) Durrani reported that earthquake damage to Pakistan's 64,000 KM natural gas network was minimal because most pipelines are built in the southern part of the country, stopping short of Abbottabad, about an hour's drive south of where the most severe damage occurred. Damage was mostly to Liquid Propane Gas (LPG) shops and petrol pumps. As part of the national relief effort, public and private gas companies had donated approximately 430 million rupees (approximately $7.3 million). CROCKER |