Identifier | Created | Classification | Origin |
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05ANKARA1953 | 2005-04-05 11:25:00 | CONFIDENTIAL | Embassy Ankara |
This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available. |
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 03 ANKARA 001953 |
1. (C) Summary: Having arrived from Iraq, USNAVEUR and Joint
Forces Command-Naples Commander ADM Michael Mullen provided an upbeat assessment of the situation there to Turkish naval (TNFC) and general staff (TGS) leaders during his visit to Turkey March 22-24. The CHOD and DCHOD expressed cautiously optimistic views of Iraq. On the Black Sea, CHOD GEN Ozkok stated that while he was not opposed to NATO's expansion into the Black Sea per se, he feared such a move could damage NATO's relations with Russia and maybe Ukraine. TGS appeared unaware of the extent of the problems American firms see in the current attack helicopter tender. All of ADM Mullen's interlocutors congratulated him for his nomination to be CNO, while both TNFC and TGS leaders acknowledged that no CNO has visited Turkey in 16 years. The Turks and the Mission appreciated the visit as another step in improving US-Turkey mil-mil relations. End Summary. 2. (C) In Ankara on March 22, Naval Forces Europe (USNAVEUR) and NATO Joint Forces Command-Naples (JFC-N) Commander ADM Michael Mullen attended a dinner hosted by Turkish Naval Forces Commander ADM Ozlem Ornek, and on March 23 made an office call on DCHOD GEN Ilker Basbug and met with CHOD Hilmi Ozkok who also hosted lunch. March 23-24, ADM Mullen called on Turkish naval commanders in Istanbul and on the Aegean coast, and visited JFC-N's air component in Izmir. This message reports the Admiral's meetings in Ankara. -------------------------- Iraq -------------------------- 3. (C) ADM Mullen told his interlocutors that his visit to Iraq just before arriving in Turkey left him much more optimistic than his last trip there in October 2004. The January 30 elections had had a more profound impact than he had understood previously, he continued. The Iraqi security forces were much more motivated now. And surprisingly, the Iraqi people view the armed forces as they have for the past 80 years, as their protectors. ADM Mullen was confident that the ISF would succeed. 4. (C) Basbug said having an ISF that was "sufficient and efficient" was important for success in Iraq. ADM Mullen responded that LTG Petraeus, the MSTC-I commander, reported that the ISF is fighting much better with the coalition and even carrying out their own operations. In many places, CF now provides back-up for ISF. Another factor important for success, Basbug added, would be for the new ITG to be respected and accepted by the people, and govern efficiently. ADM Mullen and the Charge provided an update, noting that the Iraqis were close to an agreement. Regarding the status of Kirkuk, Basbug noted that everyone cites Transitional Administrative Law Art 58 (on returns), but one should not forget Art 53 (defining the KRG area and creating a special status for Kirkuk and Baghdad), he declared. 5. (C) Basbug credited this turn around to training. ADM Mullen noted that, under his NATO hat, he was responsible for the NATO Training Mission-Iraq. He expressed appreciation to both Basbug and Ozkok for Turkey's recently increasing its contribution to NTM-I. The mission was doing well, he observed, with the UK running basic officer training program and the military academy's resuming instruction. The new Iraqi commandant of the academy was enthusiastic about networking his institution with the outside world, something impossible under Saddam. Basbug noted that Turkey had offered leadership training for Iraqis in Turkey. ADM Mullen undertook to check on the status on these offers, but observed that Iraqis preferred to train in Iraq. Basbug acknowledged that no Iraqi decision on out-of-country training was likely before the new government was in place. -------------------------- Bilateral Relations -------------------------- 6. (C) Ozkok observed that American initiatives in the Middle East were "winning." "Your success is our security," he declared. Despite the Mar. 1, 2003 parliamentary vote preventing US troops from transiting Turkey to open a northern front in Iraq (which Ozkok termed a "parliamentary accident"), Turkey supported the US, such as with air space access (including for cruise missiles, two of whom landed in Turkey). "We shouldn't allow this (Mar. 1) to overshadow our relations," he declared. We cannot only focus on the problems when there are many good elements of our relations. The political leadership was trying to focus on the good, he observed. He thought military relations were generally good, with "only one incident" providing a cloud (the July 4, 2003 arrest of Turkish military personnel in Suleymania), "and even that is fading," he said. ADM Mullen agreed that it was time to focus on ways to move forward in the relationship. 7. (C) ADM Mullen mentioned to Ozkok that a USN vessel would participate in the Marmaris festival in April. Ozkok was appreciative, noting that ship visits are useful economically and they demonstrate to the public that the bilateral relationship is sound. He also noted that public opinion was increasingly hard to control. 8. (C) At lunch, ADM Mullen, the Charge and ODC-T Chief MajGen Sutton all raised the recently released attack helicopter tender with Ozkok, Basbug and TGS/J5 LtGen Babaoglu, noting the considerable problems that American companies have voiced and that have resulted in one manufacturer's, Bell Helicopter, droping out of the competition. They averred ignorance of the procurement process, which is handled by a civilian procurement agency. (Comment: Subsequently, Babaoglu invited MajGen Sutton to a March 28 meeting to review the American companies' issues with the tender.) -------------------------- Russian and the Black Sea -------------------------- 9. (C) ADM Mullen noted that Russia had recently sent two ships to participate in OAE and was deploying vessels to the North Atlantic in numbers not seen for a long time. Ozkok said that he had insufficient information to make a definitive judgment about Russia, but that Ankara was cautiously trying to cooperate with Moscow. In the Black Sea, the risks were fewer than during the Cold War, but Russia has yet "to live up to its commitments." (Comment: Ozkok did not elaborate, but this is likely a reference to Russia's Istanbul Commitments to reduce forces in the Caucasus and Moldova.) He was generally cautious on Russia, noting that Turkey wants to be friendly, but within limits. In fact, there were not many bilateral military connections between Russia and Turkey, with most of their contact coming through the NATO-Russia Council. Bilateral relations were mainly economic, he said. 10. (C) While NATO and the NRC are useful channels, NATO cannot do everything, Ozkok continued. That was why Turkey views regional cooperation as important. However, regional cooperation should proceed in a manner that Russia does not see as harming its interests. In the Black Sea, where there is intelligence that smuggling is occurring, Turkey began Operation Black Sea Harmony and is now inviting other littorals to join. BLACKSEAFOR is growing and shows promise. Turkey wants to create a secure environment in the Black Sea. It is not opposed to NATO's eventually expanding into the Black Sea, but does not want to damage the fragile confidence Russia and the Ukraine have in the NRC and the NUC. 11. (C) ADM Mullen noted that SACEUR was anxious to support Turkey's strategy of countering trafficking and smuggling in the region through regional engagement. Turkey should lead the effort, he said. NATO could help. OAE has been effective in the Mediterranean. Expanding OAE to the Black Sea was one possible approach. He invited Ozkok to let him know how he could help, either as the JFC-N commander or as CDR USNAVEUR. 12. (C) Ozkok observed that the Black Sea is the only region where Russia still has the capability to maintain constant operations. As OAE is an Article 5 operation, its expansion into the Black Sea might be seen as insulting to Moscow -- an indication that the Alliance has no confidence in Russian forces. 13. (C) ADM Mullen observed that both Romania and Bulgaria were anxious to have NATO expand its presence into the Black Sea as quickly as possible. Ukraine was coming around to the same view. Ozkok changed the subject, commenting that Turkey's aim is to have a democratic region that would yield stability and predictability. Georgia and Ukraine have evolved in a democratic manner; Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan have even had some positive movement toward democracy. Nothing would be better for Turkey's security. -------------------------- NATO -------------------------- 14. (C) ADM Mullen praised Turkey's support for NATO, both in the quality of the officers it sends to NATO HQ positions as well as its contribution to NATO missions, such as in the Balkans where the Alliance has made a real difference. Ozkok observed that in Kosovo, the international community needed to find a way to transition to a permanent resolution. ADM Mullen agreed that Kosovo was only "one incident away from a disaster" politically, although the military situation was good. "Time is the enemy," he said. 15. (C) ADM Mullen and Ozkok agreed on the need to better educate Alliance political leaders on the new command structure. They also agreed that the NRF concept was good. ADM Mullen noted, however, that of the 18,000 troops under his NATO command, only about 33% were available to respond to a crisis. -------------------------- Moving On/Coming Back -------------------------- 16. (C) All the Turks congratulated ADM Mullen on his nomination to be the next CNO. Both sides were perplexed that no CNO had visited Turkey in 16 years. ADM Mullen thanked them and said he intended to come to Turkey again. 17. (C) Comment: ADM Mullen's Turkish counterparts were pleased with his visit and especially with the opportunity to develop a rapport with someone they expect to be a member of the Joint Chiefs soon. They clearly were interested in putting past difficulties over Iraq behind us and moving forward cooperatively. They, and we, saw this visit as another step in moving our bilateral military relations to a more positive footing. End Comment. EDELMAN |