Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
98ISLAMABAD2617
1998-04-06 12:15:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Islamabad
Cable title:  

PAKISTAN TESTS "GHAURI" MISSILE

Tags:  PARM PREL PK 
pdf how-to read a cable
O 061215Z APR 98
FM AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 5470
INFO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI 
AMCONSUL KARACHI 
AMCONSUL PESHAWAR 
AMEMBASSY MOSCOW 
AMEMBASSY BEIJING 
AMEMBASSY LONDON 
AMEMBASSY PARIS 
AMEMBASSY TASHKENT 
AMEMBASSY ASHGABAT 
AMEMBASSY ALMATY 
AMEMBASSY BISHKEK 
AMEMBASSY DUSHANBE 
AMEMBASSY DHAKA 
AMEMBASSY COLOMBO 
AMEMBASSY KATHMANDU 
USCINCCENT MACDILL AFB FL
USCINCPAC HONOLULU HI//FPA J5//
SECDEF WASHINGTON DC
NSC WASHDC
AMCONSUL LAHORE
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ISLAMABAD 002617 


C O R R E C T E D COPY (PARAGRAPH MARKINGS)

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/06/03
TAGS: PARM PREL PK
SUBJECT: PAKISTAN TESTS "GHAURI" MISSILE

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ISLAMABAD 002617


C O R R E C T E D COPY (PARAGRAPH MARKINGS)

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/06/03
TAGS: PARM PREL PK
SUBJECT: PAKISTAN TESTS "GHAURI" MISSILE


1. (U) CLASSIFIED BY CDA ALAN EASTHAM, 1.5D.


2. (C) SUMMARY: FOREIGN SECRETARY SHAMSHAD AHMAD SUMMONED P-5 CHIEFS
OF MISSION ON A HALF-HOUR'S NOTICE APRIL 6 TO INFORM US OF THE
"SUCCESSFUL TEST" OF THE "INDIGENOUS" GHAURI MISSILE, WHICH HE SAID
HAD A 1,500 KM RANGE FOR A 700 KG PAYLOAD. HALF HIS PRESENTATION
WAS ON THE MISSILE; THE OTHER HALF WAS AN INDIA-CENTRIC
JUSTIFICATION FOR MISSILE TESTING. CHARGE' OFFERED AN INFORMAL
IMMEDIATE REACTION IN PRIVATE, NOTING THAT THE TEST WAS
INCONSISTENT WITH THE SUGGESTION FOR RESTRAINT MADE IN THE
SECRETARY OF STATE'S LETTER OF MARCH 20 TO THE PRIME MINISTER. END
SUMMARY.


3. (U) FOREIGN SECRETARY SHAMSHAD AHMAD CALLED IN THE AMBASSADORS
OF RUSSIA, U.K. AND FRANCE AND THE CHINESE AND AMERICAN CHARGES ON
APRIL 6. FOLLOWING IS A DIGEST OF HIS PRESENTATION:

-- I HAVE ASKED YOU TO COME TO INFORM YOU THAT AS A PART OF
PAKISTAN'S INTEGRATED MISSILE RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM,
TODAY WE HAVE SUCCESSFULLY FLIGHT-TESTED THE SURFACE-TO-SURFACE
"GHAURI" MISSILE IN THE HATF SERIES. (COMMENT: AN ACCOMPANYING
PRESS RELEASE CALLS THIS MISSILE THE "HATF-FIVE" (ROMAN NUMERAL
HATF-V).

-- THIS MISSILE HAS A RANGE OF 1,500 KM AND A PAYLOAD OF 700KG.

-- THIS TEST REPRESENTS A STEP FORWARD IN OUR INDIGENOUS MISSILE
AND SATELLITE LAUNCH PROGRAMS. WE HAVE ACHIEVED THIS INDIGENOUS
CAPABILITY THROUGH THE COMMITMENT OF PAKISTANI SCIENTISTS AND
ENGINEERS.

-- WE DO NOT HAVE TO REFRESH YOUR MEMORY REGARDING INDIAN FLIGHT
TESTS. INDIA HAS CONDUCTED 16 TESTS OF THE PAKISTAN-SPECIFIC
PRITHVI MISSILE AND HAS ALREADY DEPLOYED IT ALONG OUR BORDERS.
INDIA HAS ALSO TESTED THE AGNI MISSILE FOUR TIMES.

-- IN SPITE OF THE INDIAN PROVOCATIVE TESTS IN THEIR NUCLEAR AND
BALLISTIC MISSILE PROGRAMS, WE HAVE EXERCISED EXTREME RESTRAINT.
BUT WE CANNOT AFFORD TO BE COMPLACENT ABOUT PAKISTAN'S SECURITY.

-- LET ME REITERATE THAT PAKISTAN WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW RESTRAINT.
WE DO NOT WANT TO SPARK A NUCLEAR AND MISSILE ARMS RACE IN SOUTH
ASIA.

-- WE HAVE ALREADY MADE FORMAL PROPOSALS TO INDIA FOR MUTUAL AND
EQUITABLE RESTRAINT IN THE NUCLEAR AND MISSILE AREA WITHOUT
RECEIVING ANY RESPONSE. WE ARE PREPARED TO ENTER INTO DISCUSSIONS
WITH INDIA ON NUCLEAR AND BALLISTIC MISSILE ISSUES AS AN INTEGRAL
PART OF OUR BILATERAL DIALOGUE, WHICH AS YOU KNOW REMAINS

STALEMATED BECAUSE OF PROCEDURAL DIFFICULTIES.

-- ON OUR PART WE ARE DOING OUR BEST TO OVERCOME THESE PROCEDURAL
DIFFICULTIES; WE HOPE WE WILL BE ABLE TO RESUME IN THE NEAR
FUTURE.


4. (C) THE BRITISH HIGH COMMISSIONER ASKED WHERE THE TEST HAD
BEEN CARRIED OUT; THE FS SAID "IN PAKISTAN, ON LAND." SUBSEQUENT
QUESTIONS FROM THE GROUP REVOLVED AROUND THE DIALOGUE WITH INDIA,
WITH THE FOREIGN SECRETARY OFFERING NOTHING NEW. ACCOMPANYING
PRESS RELEASE (FAXED TO SA/PAB) ADDS NOTHING TO WHAT IS REPORTED
ABOVE.


5. (C) FOLLOWING THE GROUP SESSION, THE FOREIGN SECRETARY ASKED
TO SEE CHARGE' PRIVATELY TO DISCUSS ANOTHER MATTER. IN HIS OFFICE,
CHARGE' SAID THAT NEWS OF THIS TEST MAY BE TAKEN BADLY IN
WASHINGTON, SINCE IT DIRECTLY CONTRADICTS THE SUGGESTIONS IN THE
SECRETARY OF STATE'S LETTER OF MARCH 20 TO THE PRIME MINISTER. THE
U.S. BELIEVES THE DECISION TO TEST A NEW MISSILE COULD HAVE BEEN
POSTPONED IN ORDER TO LET THE NEW INDIAN GOVERNMENT ESTABLISH
ITSELF. HOW THE NEW INDIAN GOVERNMENT WILL REACT IS UNPREDICTABLE.


6. (C) THE FOREIGN SECRETARY RESPONDED BY REITERATING THE POINTS
CITED ABOVE ON INDIAN TESTS, ADDING THAT "NO ONE EVER SAID
ANYTHING" ABOUT INDIAN MISSILE TESTING. CHARGE' SAID THAT OF COURSE
IT WAS UP TO PAKISTAN HOW PAKISTAN TOOK CARE OF ITS OWN SECURITY,
BUT FROM HIS RECOLLECTION IT HAD BEEN SEVERAL YEARS SINCE THE
INDIANS HAD COMPLETED THE "TECHNOLOGY DEMONSTRATION" PHASE OF AGNI
TESTING. THE DIFFICULTY OF MISSILE SYSTEMS WAS THEIR DESTABILIZING
EFFECT IN TIMES OF TENSION. ADDITIONAL SECRETARY TARIQ ALTAF
QUICKLY ADDED THAT THE BJP PLATFORM CALLED FOR "INDUCTING" NUCLEAR
WEAPONS TO INDIA'S FORCES, A POINT WHICH THE FOREIGN SECRETARY
QUICKLY ENDORSED. CHARGE' CLOSED THE SESSION BY SAYING THAT AS THE
SECRETARY HAD SUGGESTED IN HER LETTER AND THE FOREIGN MINISTER HAD
ACCEPTED IN HIS REPLY, THIS WOULD CERTAINLY BE A SUBJECT FOR
DISCUSSION DURING THE VISIT OF AMBASSADORS RICHARDSON AND
INDERFURTH AND MR. RIEDEL.


7. (C) COMMENT: WE BELIEVE THE DEPARTMENT SHOULD USE AMBASSADOR
KHOKHAR'S CALL ON ASSISTANT SECRETARY INDERFURTH TODAY TO CONVEY
MORE FORMAL REGRETS ABOUT PAKISTAN'S DECISION TO TEST THIS MISSILE,
ESPECIALLY IN VIEW OF THE SECRETARY'S LETTER SPECIFICALLY
REQUESTING RESTRAINT IN MISSILE TESTING. (FYI, WE HAD A SUGGESTION
FROM ANOTHER SENIOR PAKISTANI OVER THE WEEKEND THAT SOME AT LEAST
THINK PAKISTAN DID EXERCISE RESTRAINT IN NOT TESTING BEFORE MARCH
23 AND IN NOT DISPLAYING THE MISSILE THAT DAY DURING THE PAKISTAN
DAY PARADE.)


8. (C) NOTE ALSO THAT THIS IS DESCRIBED AS A "FLIGHT TEST," AND
NOT/NOT AS INDUCTION OF THE MISSILE INTO PAKISTAN'S ARMED FORCES.
THE PAKISTANIS VIEW THIS AS CATCHING UP TO THE INDIANS,
SPECIFICALLY WITH REGARD TO AGNI, AND NOT AS LEAPFROGGING THEIR
MISSILE CAPABILITIES. THE TIMING IS CLEARLY RELATED TO THE
ARRIVAL OF THE BJP GOVERNMENT IN INDIA AND EXTREME PAKISTANI
NERVOUSNESS ABOUT BJP PRONOUNCEMENTS IN THE NUCLEAR AREA,
SPECIFICALLY THE DECLARATIONS OF THE INTENTION TO "INDUCT" NUCLEAR
WEAPONS. THE PAKISTANIS DECIDED TO LAY DOWN A FIRM MARKER BOTH TO
THE INDIANS AND THE PAKISTANI PUBLIC THAT PAKISTANI CAPABILITIES IN
THIS FIELD ARE NOT INSIGNIFICANT. THIS TEST WILL PRESENT THE BJP-
LED GOVERNMENT IN INDIA WITH A SIGNIFICANT CHALLENGE IN THE
SECURITY FIELD AT THE MOMENT IT IS ESTABLISHING ITSELF IN DELHI.


EASTHAM