Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
95ZAGREB2007
1995-05-24 16:36:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Zagreb
Cable title:  

WESTERN SLAVONIA: INFORMATION GAP, PART I

Tags:  HR NOTAG 
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This record is a partial extract of the original cable. The full text of the original cable is not available.
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ZAGREB 002007 

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VIENNA ALSO FOR BOSNIA; USVIENNA ALSO FOR USDEL CSCE

BRUSSELS ALSO FOR USEU

E.O. 12356: 5/24/00
TAGS:
SUBJECT: WESTERN SLAVONIA: INFORMATION GAP, PART I
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PAGE 02 ZAGREB 02007 01 OF 02 241545Z

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SUMMARY AND COMMENT
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C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 ZAGREB 002007

SIPDIS


VIENNA ALSO FOR BOSNIA; USVIENNA ALSO FOR USDEL CSCE

BRUSSELS ALSO FOR USEU

E.O. 12356: 5/24/00
TAGS:
SUBJECT: WESTERN SLAVONIA: INFORMATION GAP, PART I
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PAGE 02 ZAGREB 02007 01 OF 02 241545Z

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SUMMARY AND COMMENT
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1. (C) A RECENT GOVERNMENT REPORT PROVIDED SOME LONG-
AWAITED STATISTICS ON DETAINEES, KIA, AND CIVILIANS
FROM THE MAY 1-2 SECTOR WEST BATTLES. IT APPEARS,
HOWEVER, STILL TO LEAVE OPEN QUESTIONS FOR THE
INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY AND FOR THE AREA'S SERB
POPULATION. THE MAIN CASUALTY OF THE GOC'S INADEQUATE
AND UNTIMELY EFFORTS TO PROVIDE NUMBERS ON CASUALTIES
AND REFUGEES IS THUS, IRONICALLY, ITS OWN CREDIBILITY.
END SUMMARYCOMMENT.
-
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GOC ISSUES A STATISTICAL REPORT
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2. (U) ON MAY 22, DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER KOSTOVIC
RELEASED A STATEMENT CONTAINING STATISTICAL INFORMATION
ON PEOPLE IN SECTOR WEST AFFECTED BY THE MAY 1-2 WAR
THERE. THE RELEASE OFFERS THE FOLLOWING DATA:

-- A "CENSUS" TAKEN APPARENTLY ON MAY 4 SHOWED 2922
CIVILIANS REMAINING AROUND PAKRAC AND ABOUT 500 TOTAL
IN OKUCANI, STARA GRADISKA, AND JASENOVAC.

-- BETWEEN MAY 8 AND 19, 1719 PEOPLE LEFT AND WENT TO
B-H. 6-7000 CIVILIANS WERE ESTIMATED TO HAVE FLED THE
AREA AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING TROOPS. OF THE REMAINING
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SERB POPULATION, 675 HAVE BEEN GRANTED CROATIAN
CITIZENSHIP CERTIFICATES; 1070 HAVE APPLIED FOR SUCH
CERTIFICATES.

-- 188 BODIES WERE FOUND AFTER THE FIGHTING. 127 OF
THESE HAVE BEEN IDENTIFIED. 20 IDENTIFIED AS CIVILIANS
WERE KILLED "IN CROSSFIRE CAUSED BY PARAMILITARY
UNITS," AS WERE ANOTHER 34 WHO "ARE ASSUMED POSSIBLY
NOT TO HAVE BEEN MEMBERS OF PARAMILITARY UNITS." THESE
BODIES WERE BURIED "IN SEVERAL GRAVES" BY RELEVANT
AUTHORITIES; RELATIVES MAY MAKE INDIVIDUAL INQUIRIES TO
THE CROATIAN RED CROSS.

-- 1494 "MILITARILY CAPABLE" MEN WERE PROCESSED IN
"RECEPTION CENTERS." 917 OF THESE WERE RELEASED
WITHOUT INITIATION OF INVESTIGATORY PROCESS. OF THE
REMAINDER WHO WERE INVESTIGATED, 188 ARE STILL BEING
HELD IN "INVESTIGATION CENTERS."

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DATA LEAVES MANY OPEN QUESTIONS
--------------


3. (LOU) THE GOVERNMENT'S "REPORT" AT LEAST DEFINES
THE PARAMETERS, BUT IT LEAVES OPEN AS MANY QUESTIONS AS
IT ANSWERS. WE NOTE THE FOLLOWING SHORTCOMINGS:
-- NO FIGURE IS PROVIDED FOR WOUNDED-IN-ACTION.


-- IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO DETERMINE HOW MANY CIVILIANS
REMAIN IN THE AREA, AS THE TOTAL ATTRIBUTED TO A MAY 4
RED CROSS CENSUS (3422) CANNOT BE SQUARED WITH THE
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PAGE 04 ZAGREB 02007 01 OF 02 241545Z
(APPARENTLY LATER) CUMULATIVE FIGURES FOR THOSE WHO
LEFT (1719) AND THOSE WHO REMAIN (POSSIBLY 1745).

-- THE FIGURES ON DETAINEES LEAVE AN ADDITIONAL 391
PERSONS UNACCOUNTED FOR.


4. (C) IN A CONVERSATION MAY 23 WITH ASSISTANT
MINISTER OF INTERIOR FOR POLICE JOSKO MORIC, POLOFFS
(WHO AT THE TIME HAD ONLY PRESS ACCOUNTS OF THE
"REPORT") ASKED MORIC ABOUT THE LAST DISCREPANCY
ESPECIALLY. HE CLAIMED THE MATTER WAS PROBABLY UNCLEAR
"BECAUSE OF INCOMPLETE MEDIA TRANSCRIPTION" (COMMENT:
ON OUR RETURN TO ZAGREB WE FOUND THE PRESS ACCOUNT WAS
A FULL RENDERING OF THE GOVERNMENT'S PRESS RELEASE, AND
NO MORE COMPLETE REPORT HAS BEEN GIVEN TO THE UN.)
MORIC SAID THE NUMBER NOT ACCOUNTED FOR REPRESENTED
PERSONS NOT CHARGED WITH WAR CRIMES BUT OTHER "NORMAL"
CRIMES SUCH AS THEFT. (COMMENT: IF SO, THIS WOULD
VIOLATE THE SPIRIT AND LETTER OF THE GOC'S AGREEMENT
WITH THE UN.)

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PAGE 01 ZAGREB 02007 02 OF 02 241545Z
ACTION EUR-01

INFO LOG-00 AID-00 CIAE-00 SMEC-00 OASY-00 DODE-00 EB-01
H-01 TEDE-00 INR-00 IO-08 L-01 ADS-00 M-00
NSAE-00 NSCE-00 OIC-02 OMB-01 PA-01 PM-00 PRS-01
P-01 SCT-00 SP-00 SS-00 STR-01 TRSE-00 T-00
USIE-00 PMB-00 PRME-01 DRL-09 G-00 /029W
-------------- C8F704 241545Z /38
P 241636Z MAY 95
FM AMEMBASSY ZAGREB
TO SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 5900
INFO NATO EU COLLECTIVE
AMEMBASSY BELGRADE
AMEMBASSY BUDAPEST
AMCONSUL MUNICH
USLO SKOPJE
USMISSION USUN NEW YORK
USMISSION GENEVA
AMEMBASSY LJUBLJANA

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 02 OF 02 ZAGREB 002007

SIPDIS


VIENNA ALSO FOR BOSNIA; USVIENNA ALSO FOR USDEL CSCE

BRUSSELS ALSO FOR USEU

E.O. 12356: 5/24/00
TAGS:
SUBJECT: WESTERN SLAVONIA: INFORMATION GAP, PART I
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PAGE 02 ZAGREB 02007 02 OF 02 241545Z

CREDIBILITY IS A PROBLEM
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5. (C) IN ADDITION TO THE DISAPPOINTING INCOMPLETENESS
OF THE REPORT, ITS TONE AND OMISSIONS ALSO CALL INTO
QUESTION ITS CREDIBILITY. SP
ECIFIC POINTS:

-- MORIC ALSO CLAIMED FULL REPORTS, INCLUDING LISTS OF
THE NAMES OF DEAD, DETAINEES, AND OTHERS, HAD BEEN
PROVIDED TO THE ICRC AND UN. WE FOUND, HOWEVER, THAT
AS OF MIDDAY MAY 23, NEITHER ICRC NOR UN OFFICIALS IN
WESTERN SLAVONIA OR ZAGREB HAD ANYTHING BUT THE PRESS
RELEASE SUMMARIZED ABOVE. (ICRC PEOPLE MAKING THE
ROUNDS OF KEY SERBS IN PAKRAC AREA MAY 23 HAD ONLY THE
LIST THAT THE HEAD OF THE BJELOVAR DETENTION CENTER HAD
GIVEN U.S. POLOFFS MAY 18).

-- THE GOVERNMENT HAS MADE NO ATTEMPT TO RECONCILE THE
NUMBER OF KIA (188) IN THIS REPORT WITH THE MUCH LARGER
NUMBER (450) CITED A WEEK AGO BY DEFMIN SUSAK.
ALTHOUGH SUSAK'S STAFF TOLD DATT HE PULLED THAT FIGURE
OUT OF THIN AIR, IT IS IN THE PUBLIC DOMAIN AND OUGHT
TO HAVE BEEN TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT. (WESTERN SLAVONIA
SERB LEADER VELJKO DZAKULA, TO WHOM WE SHOWED THE
NEWSPAPER ACCOUNT OF THE REPORT, PICKED UP IMMEDIATELY
ON THIS DISCREPANCY, OFFERING IT AS EVIDENCE THAT THE
GOC WAS HIDING SOMETHING.)

-- THE GOC ATTEMPTS TO BLAME ALL THE CIVILIAN DEATHS ON
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"PARAMILITARY UNITS," I.E., THE SERBS.

-- THE REFERENCE TO BURIAL OF THE DEAD IN "SEVERAL
GRAVES" MAY -- OR MAY NOT -- EXPLAIN RECENT PRESS
REPORTS OF "MASS GRAVES" IN OKUCANI AND ELSEWHERE. BUT
IT IS NOT CLEAR WHY THESE BODIES WOULD HAVE BEEN BURIED
IN MASS GRAVES, OR WHY (APPARENTLY) SOME UNIDENTIFIED
BODIES WERE BURIED.

GALBRAITH





















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