Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
95TELAVIV10344
1995-06-28 09:25:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Tel Aviv
Cable title:  

HAMAS ARRESTS: THE POLITICS OF PRESSURE

Tags:  PREL KWBG KPAL IS 
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P 280925Z JUN 95
FM AMEMBASSY TEL AVIV
TO SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 9036
INFO AMCONSUL JERUSALEM
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 TEL AVIV 010344 


E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL KWBG KPAL IS
SUBJECT: HAMAS ARRESTS: THE POLITICS OF PRESSURE

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 TEL AVIV 010344


E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL KWBG KPAL IS
SUBJECT: HAMAS ARRESTS: THE POLITICS OF PRESSURE


1. SUMMARY: PALESTINIAN MILITARY LEADERS DESCRIBED
THE JUNE 26 ARREST OF 40 HAMAS ACTIVISTS AS A
NECESSARY STEP TO FORCE HAMAS TO CEASE VIOLENT
ACTIVITIES IN GAZA AND ENTER THE POLITICAL PROCESS.
THE ARRESTS, AUTHORIZED BY PLO CHAIRMAN ARAFAT AT A
LATE NIGHT JUNE 25 "SECURITY COUNCIL" MEETING, WERE
IN REACTION TO HAMAS LEAFLETS CLAIMING
RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE JUNE 25 DONKEY CART SUICIDE
BOMBING (WHICH SLIGHTLY GRAZED THREE ISRAELI
SOLDIERS). CHARGES WILL NOT BE BROUGHT AGAINST MOST
OF THOSE DETAINED, ACCORDING TO OUR SOURCES, AND
MOST WILL BE RELEASED "WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS."
END SUMMARY.


2. ON JUNE 27, EMBOFF MET SEPARATELY WITH CHIEF OF
PALESTINIAN SECURITY FORCES NASSER YUSIF AND
CIVILIAN POLICE CHIEF GHAZI JABALI TO DISCUSS THE
ARRESTS OF HAMAS ACTIVITIES EARLY ON JUNE 26. WHILE
THEIR VIEWS SOMETIMES DIVERGE WIDELY, IN THIS
INSTANCE THEIR COMMENTS WERE SIMILAR: IN PLO
CHAIRMAN ARAFAT'S EYES, HAMAS' CLAIM OF
RESPONSIBILITY (DISAVOWED LATER IN A SECOND LEAFLET)
FOR THE JUNE 26 DONKEY CART SUICIDE BOMBER NEAR KHAN
YUNIS WAS PROOF OF THE VIOLATION OF THE UNWRITTEN
UNDERSTANDING BETWEEN THE PA AND HAMAS TO REFRAIN
FROM VIOLENT ACTS WITHIN GAZA. ARAFAT FELT HE HAD
TO TAKE A STAND. IN A "SECURITY COUNCIL" MEETING
LATE JUNE 25, ARAFAT ISSUED THE ORDER TO ARREST 40
MEMBERS OF HAMAS, WHICH WAS CARRIED OUT BY ALL
BRANCHES OF THE PALESTINIAN ARMED FORCES EARLY JUNE

26.

PA SECURITY CHIEF ON HAMAS ARREST
--------------

3. OF THE 40 ARRESTED, YUSIF DESCRIBED 18 OF THEM
AS THE BULK OF THE GAZA-BASED POLITICAL LEADERSHIP
OF HAMAS (INCLUDING AHMED BAHER, MAHMOUD ZAHAR, AND
MUHSEN ABU EITA); THE REST WERE VARIOUS ACTIVISTS
ON WHAT SOUNDS LIKE A LIST OF "USUAL SUSPECTS."
BOTH SOURCES TOLD US THAT ARAFAT PERSONALLY CHOSE TO
CONCENTRATE ON THE POLITICAL RATHER THAN MILITARY
LEADERSHIP OF HAMAS, ALTHOUGH YUSIF SAID THAT HE HAD
COUNSELED ARAFAT TO ARREST THE MILITARY LEADERS
INSTEAD. BOTH JABALI AND YUSIF BELIEVE THAT HAMAS
CARRIED OUT THE DONKEY CART INCIDENT AND THAT THE
BELATED DENIALS WERE MERELY IN REACTION TO THE
PRESSURE OF THE ARRESTS.

POLICE CHIEF VIEWS
--------------

4. JABALI SAID THAT THE ARRESTS WERE A "POLITICAL"
STEP. THE ATTORNEY GENERAL AND OTHER CIVILIAN
AUTHORITIES HAD NOT BEEN INVOLVED. NO CHARGES HAD
BEEN BROUGHT AGAINST THE DETAINEES. HE PREDICTED
THAT MOST -- BUT NOT ALL -- WOULD BE RELEASED WITHIN
48 HOURS, A VIEW SECONDED BY YUSIF. JABALI
DISMISSED THE RUMORS OF IRREGULAR TREATMENT OF THE
HAMAS ACTIVISTS IN HIS CUSTODY, SAYING THAT HIS
POLICE HAD MORE IMPORTANT THINGS TO WORRY ABOUT THAN
"SHAVING THE BEARD OF SHEIKH AHMED" (BAHER). "BUT I
CAN'T SPEAK FOR THOSE BEING DETAINED BY THE SECRET
POLICE," HE ADDED.

POLITICAL IMPACT OF ARAFAT'S STEP
--------------

5. YUSIF CRITICIZED HOW THE ARRESTS WERE MADE,
SAYING THAT LEGAL WARRANTS COULD HAVE BEEN ISSUED
AND CHARGES BROUGHT, BUT HE AGREED WITH JABALI THAT
THE ARRESTS THEMSELVES WERE A NECESSARY STEP. BOTH
PREDICTED THAT BECAUSE OF THE PRESSURE HAMAS WOULD
BE MORE FLEXIBLE IN ONGOING NEGOTIATIONS WITH THE
PA. BOTH NOTED THAT HAMAS HAD NOT CUT OFF TALKS IN
RESPONSE TO THE ARRESTS.


6. RESPONDING TO EMBOFF'S QUESTIONS, JABALI
COMMENTED THAT HE HAD TO BE PREPARED FOR A POSSIBLE
BACKLASH FROM HAMAS, BUT HE EXPECTED THAT THE IMPACT
OF THE ARRESTS WOULD MOSTLY BE POSITIVE, RATHER THAN
NEGATIVE. JABALI AND YUSIF SAID THAT THE TIMING HAD
NOTHING TO DO WITH THE JULY 1 "DEADLINE" FOR
REDEPLOYMENT NEGOTIATIONS, AND BOTH PREDICTED THAT
GAZA WOULD REMAIN CALM IF THAT "DEADLINE" WERE
MISSED, SINCE THE PA IS IN FIRM CONTROL OF THE
SECURITY SITUATION. JABALI EXPESSED MORE CONCERN
ABOUT WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN IN THE WEST BANK, WHERE
HAMAS ACTIVITISTS ARE UNDER LESS PA CONTROL AND
PRESSURE.

A DISSENTING VIEW
--------------

7. SAMIR SIKSEK, YUSIF'S DEPUTY, EARLIER OFFERED AN
INTERPRETATION OF THE ARRESTS WHICH DIVERGED GREATLY
FROM THAT OF HIS BOSS AND OF JABALI. IN HIS VIEW,
ARAFAT HOPED TO GOAD HAMAS INTO A VIOLENT REACTION
TO PROVIDE AN EXCUSE FOR THE ISRAELIS TO SLOW
NEGOTIATIONS. THAT WAY, ACCORDING TO SIKSEK, IF
WHAT THE PALESTINIANS CONSIDER THE "DEADLINE" OF
JULY 1 IS MISSED, ARAFAT COULD BLAME HAMAS AND
PRESERVE HIS OWN POPULARITY. SIKSEK ARGUED THAT THE
ARRESTS WERE ANOTHER EXAMPLE OF ARAFAT'S ARBITRARY
AND AUTOCRATIC RULE WHICH SHOULD CONCERN THE UNITED
STATES, IF THE USG IS STILL PROMOTING PALESTINIAN
DEMOCRACY. (COMMENT: IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT
SIKSEK RARELY MISSES AN OPPORTUNITY TO CRITICIZE
ARAFAT AMD THAT HE DID NOT EXPRESS THESE VIEWS IN
FRONT OF YUSIF. END COMMENT.)