Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
93SEOUL2885
1993-03-25 09:15:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Seoul
Cable title:  

DPRK ANNOUNCES END OF "SEMI-WAR" STATE

Tags:  PREL KNNP PARM KS KN 
pdf how-to read a cable
R 250915Z MAR 93
FM AMEMBASSY SEOUL
TO SECSTATE WASHDC 3676
INFO AMEMBASSY TOKYO
AMEMBASSY BEIJING
AMEMBASSY MOSCOW
USMISSION USVIENNA
USMISSION USUN NEW YORK
CHJUSMAG SEOUL KS
COMUSKOREA SEOUL KS//CJ-CC/BJ-CM-H/SJS/EJ-J/PAJ//
SA CINCUNC KS
USCINCPAC HONOLULU HI//FPA//
JOINTSTAFF WASHDC
SECDEF WASHDC
USCINCUNC SEOUL KS//UNCMAC//
C O N F I D E N T I A L SEOUL 02885 


E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL KNNP PARM KS KN
SUBJECT: DPRK ANNOUNCES END OF "SEMI-WAR" STATE

REF: (A) FBIS SK2403053393, (B) FBIS OW2403125093

C O N F I D E N T I A L SEOUL 02885


E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL KNNP PARM KS KN
SUBJECT: DPRK ANNOUNCES END OF "SEMI-WAR" STATE

REF: (A) FBIS SK2403053393, (B) FBIS OW2403125093


1. C - ENTIRE TEXT.


2. ON MARCH 24, DPRK SUPREME COMMANDER KIM JONG IL ISSUED
AN ORDER LIFTING THE "SEMI-WAR STATE" (REF A) THAT HAD
BEEN INSTITUTED MARCH 9 IN RESPONSE TO THE BEGINNING OF
TEAM SPIRIT. ACCORDING TO THE MOFA INTER-KOREA POLICY
DIVISION, THIS IS THE FIRST TIME THE DPRK HAS OFFICIALLY
ANNOUNCED SUCH A STEP AFTER THE CONCLUSION OF A TEAM
SPIRIT EXERCISE. (COMMENT: WE NOTE THAT IT IS THE FTX
PORTION OF TEAM SPIRIT '93 WHICH HAS CONCLUDED. END
COMMENT.) MOFA ANALYSTS BELIEVE THAT IN TAKING THIS
ACTION THE NORTH HAS LINKED ITS "SEMI-WAR STATE"
SPECIFICALLY TO TEAM SPIRIT, SEPARATING IT CLEARLY FROM
THE NORTH'S WITHDRAWAL FROM THE NPT. WHETHER INTENDED OR
NOT, KIM JONG IL'S ORDER IS ALSO VIEWED BY SOUTH KOREANS
AS A SIGNAL THAT THE DPRK MAY BE INTERESTED IN IMPROVING
THE CLIMATE FOR RESOLVING THE IAEA IMPASSE. IN ADDITION,
MOFA ANALYSTS SUGGEST THAT THE DPRK NEEDS TO GET ITS
WORKERS BACK ON THE JOB, AND BY ISSUING A PUBLIC ORDER
THIS GOAL IS QUICKLY ACCOMPLISHED.


3. THERE HAVE ALSO BEEN REPORTS (REF B) THAT VISA
ISSUANCE WILL QUICKLY RETURN TO NORMAL. JIM GROEN OF THE
WORLDWIDE LEADERSHIP COUNCIL TOLD POLOFF MARCH 23 THAT HE
WILL ESCORT A U.S. CHRISTIAN MUSICAL GROUP TO THE DPRK FOR
A 12 DAY SERIES OF CONCERTS AND PROGRAMS BEGINNING APRIL

6. GROEN SAID THE DPRK MISSION IN NEW YORK HAD ASSURED
HIM THAT THERE WOULD BE NO PROBLEM GETTING THEIR VISAS.
GROEN ADDED THAT PARENTS OF THE GROUP MEMBERS HAVE BEEN
PARTICULARLY CONCERNED ABOUT THE "SEMI-WAR STATE"
ANNOUNCED BY THE NORTH. THE DPRK MISSION INDICATED TO
GROEN THAT THE SECURITY SITUATION WOULD CAUSE THEM NO
DIFFICULTIES.


4. THE ROK NATIONAL UNIFICATION BOARD TOLD US THAT THE
SOUTH HAS REQUESTED A MEETING OF LIAISON OFFICERS AT
PANMUNJOM THE MORNING OF MARCH 26 TO PASS AN INVITATION
LETTER FROM THE HEAD OF THE SOUTH KOREAN CHONDO CHURCH
(CHONDOISM IS A NATIVE RELIGION WITH A MODEST FOLLOWING IN
KOREA) TO HIS COUNTERPART IN THE NORTH. THE LETTER
INVITES THE HEAD OF THE NORTH KOREAN CHONDO CHURCH TO
ATTEND A CHONDO CONFERENCE IN THE SOUTH. NUB OFFICIALS
REPORTED LATE MARCH 25 THAT THE DPRK HAS NOT AGREED TO
ACCEPT THE LETTER, SAYING THAT SUCH INVITATIONS DO NOT
IMPROVE THE ATMOSPHERE OF N/S DIALOGUE AT THIS TIME. THIS
REQUEST FOR A MEETING IS THE FIRST INTER-KOREAN LIAISON
OFFICE CONTACT SINCE THE RETURN OF LI IN MO ON MARCH 19.


5. COMMENT: WITH THE CONCLUSION OF THE FTX PORTION OF THE
EXERCISE, THE DPRK HAS TONED DOWN ITS PUBLIC POSTURING ON
TEAM SPIRIT. KIM JONG IL HAS DECLARED VICTORY TO HIS
DOMESTIC AUDIENCE AND SAID IN EFFECT THAT NORTH KOREANS
CAN GET BACK TO WORK. DESPITE ROKG EFFORTS TO FOSTER
PEOPLE-TO-PEOPLE CONTACTS INDEPENDENT OF OTHER FACTORS IN
THE N/S EQUATION, THE NORTH IS NOT YET WILLING TO MOVE
FORWARD IN THIS AREA.


BURGHARDT