Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09USOSCE9
2009-01-23 16:34:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Mission USOSCE
Cable title:  

CFE/JCG: 20 JANUARY PLENARY--RESTATING POSITIONS

Tags:  KCFE OSCE PARM PREL 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO3896
PP RUEHSK
DE RUEHVEN #0009/01 0231634
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
P 231634Z JAN 09
FM USMISSION USOSCE
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 6159
INFO RUCNCFE/CONVENTIONAL ARMED FORCES IN EUROPE
RUEAIIA/CIA WASHDC
RUEKJCS/DIA WASHDC
RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC
RUEASWA/DTRA ALEX WASHINGTON DC//OSAE
RUESDT/DTRA-OSES DARMSTADT GE
RHMFISS/CDR USEUCOM VAIHINGEN GE
RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC//J5-DDPMA-IN/CAC/DDPMA-E//
RUEAHQA/HQ USAF WASHINGTON DC//XONP//
UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 USOSCE 000009 

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR VCI/CCA, EUR/RPM
NSC FOR MIKE HAYES
JCS FOR J5 NORWOOD
OSD FOR ISA (PERENYI)

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: KCFE OSCE PARM PREL
SUBJECT: CFE/JCG: 20 JANUARY PLENARY--RESTATING POSITIONS

REF: STATE 004933

Sensitive but Unclassified; please protect accordingly. Not
for Internet.

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 03 USOSCE 000009

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR VCI/CCA, EUR/RPM
NSC FOR MIKE HAYES
JCS FOR J5 NORWOOD
OSD FOR ISA (PERENYI)

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: KCFE OSCE PARM PREL
SUBJECT: CFE/JCG: 20 JANUARY PLENARY--RESTATING POSITIONS

REF: STATE 004933

Sensitive but Unclassified; please protect accordingly. Not
for Internet.


1. (SBU) Summary: The Joint Consultative Group convened its
opening plenary of 2009 on 20 January. In response to the
U.S. opening statement, Russia objected strenuously to any
wrong-doing on its part and tried to place all responsibility
for a way forward on CFE at our doorstep. Russia indignantly
insisted it would not "fragment" the parallel actions package
by ending its "suspension." It also called again for
accelerating the pace of negotiations by meeting more often,
supported by dealing with some issues in Vienna. Germany
offered a lengthy statement taking stock of finding a way
forward. Italy and the U.S. called out Russia on CFE
inspection refusals and were supported by a number of Allies.



2. (SBU) As is an annual rite, several Allies made brief
statements preserving their positions on disputes in the
context of the December 2008 data exchange: Spain and the UK
over Gibraltar; and Turkey and Greece over certain islands.
Also, Azerbaijan, Armenia and Russia went three rounds with
dueling accusations around Azeri concerns about Russian CFE
Treaty-limited equipment transshipped through Armenia into
Nagorno-Karabakh. Meanwhile, at the first OSCE Permanent
Council meeting on January 15, several Allies had expressed
support for the CFE Treaty and the parallel action plan as a
way out of the impasse, calling on Russia to end its
"suspension." All are patiently awaiting next steps from the
incoming U.S. team. End Summary.

2008 -- "lost year..."
--------------


3. (SBU) At the 20 January plenary meeting of the Joint
Consultative Group (JCG) 2009 winter session, the U.S.
(Neighbour) kicked off the meeting with the presentation of
the U.S. opening of round statement (text reftel, also see
Journal). Allies had welcomed receipt of courtesy copies of
the U.S. statement at the JCG-T meeting the day prior.
Russia (Ulyanov) responded swiftly and predictably, rejecting
all U.S. accusations of non-compliance addressed to Russia in
the U.S. statement. Ulyanov claimed that all parties
understand the reasons for the crisis: Washington,s alleged

refusal to implement the Istanbul Commitments, failure to
ratify the a/CFE, and the fact that the U.S. coerced its
Allies to support this approach. Further, Russia,s
so-called noncompliance with the Treaty is actually required
by Russian legislation, and Russia was forced to take this
step. There will be no inspections in Russia or Russian data
provided until a solution is found to this problem. Russia
indignantly insisted it would not "break apart" the parallel
actions package by ending its "suspension." Ulyanov also
called again for accelerating the pace of bilateral talks on
the parallel package by meeting more often supported by
negotiating some issues in Vienna.


4. (SBU) Ulyanov continued that the U.S. seems to be
committed to the CFE Treaty based on its words, a positive
signal. Russia intends to cooperate actively to restore
vitality to the Treaty. It is premature to bury the Treaty.
There is serious and active work to do - it is not sufficient
to imitate such efforts with words only. 2008 was lost to
this cause thanks to the U.S. Russia calls on all,
especially the U.S. partner, to engage in real work. Russia
hopes the passive nature of 2008 dialogue is overcome - if
all are successful, it could lead to restoring the full
Treaty.


5. (SBU) Germany (Richter) began its statement by
highlighting the first meeting of 2009 as an opportunity to
take stock and mull over the key elements of: cooperation,
predictability, confidence and stability. We cannot overlook
the security concerns of others, we need to take into account
the practical concerns. There is a need for discretion on
when to hold back, avoid new arms races, especially close to

USOSCE 00000009 002 OF 003


borders. Only comprehensive cooperation between states can
cope with massive changes since the end of the Cold War,
including the enlargement of NATO. At the beginning of 2009
- reality is sobering given the positions just heard from the
U.S. and Russia. Ten years after the significant signature
of the a/CFE it is still not in force.


6. (SBU) Germany is concerned about the ongoing impasse and
crisis in the JCG, and agreed with Russia that 2008 was a
"lost" year. Germany acknowledges the need for a new
beginning in arms control to counter future erosion of
European security architecture. It will play its part by
hosting high-ranking experts in early summer per Foreign
Minister Steinmeier,s pending invitation. Germany believes
events in Georgia last year showed us that conflicts with
conventional equipment are not a thing of the past. We need
to build on the agreements we have. 2009 could be a historic
year of decisions. Conventional arms control needs the
priority it deserves. Without the Steinmeier meeting, there
is a risk the crisis will be ongoing. Germany will try to
come up with something constructive on the basis of the
parallel action package. Germany also hopes the JCG can play
a role in such dialogue. (See Journal)

Compliance: 2009 Inspection refusals begin
--------------


7. (SBU) Italy announced that its notified CFE inspection in
Russia on 13 January was refused by Russia on 7 January.
Italy remains convinced of the fundamental importance of CFE,
and urged Russia to accept inspections in the spirit of
cooperation. (See Journal) The U.S. supported Italy,s
announcement, and followed with a similar statement of our
own concerning Russia,s refusal on 8 January of our
inspection planned for 12 January. (See Journal) Romania
led a chorus of Allies (Turkey, UK, France, Netherlands, and
Portugal) in support of the Italian and U.S. statements,
expressing concern with Russia,s continued non-compliance
with the Treaty.


8. (SBU) Ulyanov disingenuously admitted having difficulty in
working with NATO colleagues on this and a whole host of
other issues. If NATO states endorse the parallel actions
package, then object to refused inspections, that would not
be in line with reality. How can NATO states insist that
Russia accept inspections when that is not consistent with
the parallel actions package? Russia understands that it
should resume receiving inspections only after the package
has been mutually agreed. NATO should work out a clear
position and stick with it.


9. (SBU) The UK (Gare) and U.S. (Neighbour) swiftly countered
that reaching agreement on the package is certainly not a
precondition to Russia,s receiving inspections. Further, if
Russia returned to compliance it would greatly help on many
issues. Neighbour added that Russia had exacerbated the
impasse though its unilateral "suspension," a step which made
everything harder and had wide-ranging negative
ramifications.


10. (SBU) Seeking the last word, Ulyanov again said Russia
is against any attempts to "fragment" the package. There are
no grounds for Russia to resume inspections since none of the
reasons that caused its suspension in the first place have
been addressed yet. The only path to resumption runs through
dialogue and willingness to compromise. Russia understands
if partners are not yet ready. Russia will wait - when the
time is right we will begin the negotiating process. Russia
will be gratified when the U.S. grasps the fact that it all
hinges on U.S. readiness to engage.


11. (SBU) Comment: The Russian rhetoric at this opening
meeting was familiar, and there were no new substantive
elements raised. Russia continues to place all
responsibility for a way forward at our doorstep. At the
January 19 JCG-T, USDel had briefed Allies verbally on the
results of the December A/S Fried and Russia MFA Antonov
meeting, noting further discussion was expected in January on

USOSCE 00000009 003 OF 003


when the next bilateral would take place. Allied support for
active engagement on the basis of the parallel actions
package remains high, and continued on the eve of the new
Administration. Clearly, all are patiently awaiting next
steps from the incoming team. End Comment.

Proverbial Data Exchange Statements
--------------


12. (SBU) Spain and the UK exchanged statements, as has been
done in previous years, regarding information the UK reports
on its equipment located in Gibraltar. Spain emphasized that
it has not altered its position since 1992 on the status of
the dispute over control of the territory. The UK recalled
that neither had its position changed as previously noted,
and that information on its forces in Gibraltar was submitted
per CFE Treaty data exchange obligations. (see Journal for
both statements).


13. (SBU) Turkey also made a statement regarding the practice
of Greece, since the signing of the Treaty, to include
information in its data exchange for its military forces
present on certain islands. Turkey considers this a breach
of Greece,s obligation to demilitarize such islands.
Implementation of CFE data exchange requirements does not
prejudice the obligations of other agreements according to
the a/CFE Treaty signed on 15 November 1999. (See Journal)


14. (SBU) Greece replied by saying the Turkish statement
introduces again a well known issue that has no basis in
international law. The Turkish comments have no relevance to
present discussion. Greece has repeatedly replied to the
Turkish statement previously in the JCG and other places.
Greece implements all its obligations and encourages all
others to do the same. (See Journal)

Azeri-Armenia-Russia round robin
--------------


15. (SBU) Azerbaijan made a lengthy statement regarding a
chart disseminated through the media on a large number of
weapons and ammunition shipped by Russia through Armenia into
N-K. Azerbaijan distributed an unclassified document to OSCE
delegations describing the issue and with the chart in
English and Russian (see SEC.DEL/14/09 and 14/09/Add 1 of 16
January). In this JCG meeting, Azerbaijan focused its
remarks on the numbers of CFE Treaty-limited types of
equipment with respect to CFE data exchange information
provided in December 2008, including battle tanks, armored
combat vehicles (ACVs),and artillery over 100 mm.


16. (SBU) Armenia disputed the authenticity of the document
in question and denied any wrong-doing claiming this was yet
another propaganda stunt by Armenia to unsettle the Minsk
Group peace process. Russia also challenged the validity of
the document and claimed no wrong-doing. (see Journal for
Azeri and Armenian statements). Septel will report fuller
details on this exchange.
SCOTT