Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09UNVIEVIENNA328
2009-07-09 16:01:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
UNVIE
Cable title:  

IAEA BUDGET TALKS DISINTEGRATE AS EURO "HAWKS"

Tags:  AORC PREL KNNP IAEA UN 
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VZCZCXYZ0002
OO RUEHWEB

DE RUEHUNV #0328/01 1901601
ZNR UUUUU ZZH
O 091601Z JUL 09
FM USMISSION UNVIE VIENNA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9808
INFO RUEHII/VIENNA IAEA POSTS COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
RUEHRL/AMEMBASSY BERLIN PRIORITY 0888
RUEHLO/AMEMBASSY LONDON PRIORITY 1245
RUEHFR/AMEMBASSY PARIS PRIORITY 1101
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY
RHEBAAA/DOE WASHDC PRIORITY
RUEANFA/NRC WASHDC PRIORITY
UNCLAS UNVIE VIENNA 000328 

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

FOR ISN, IO; DOE FOR NA-24, NA-25, NA-21; NSC FOR
SCHEINMAN, CONNERY; NRC FOR DOANE, SCHWARTZMAN

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: AORC PREL KNNP IAEA UN
SUBJECT: IAEA BUDGET TALKS DISINTEGRATE AS EURO "HAWKS"
PLUG THEIR EARS

REF: UNVIE 320

UNCLAS UNVIE VIENNA 000328

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

FOR ISN, IO; DOE FOR NA-24, NA-25, NA-21; NSC FOR
SCHEINMAN, CONNERY; NRC FOR DOANE, SCHWARTZMAN

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: AORC PREL KNNP IAEA UN
SUBJECT: IAEA BUDGET TALKS DISINTEGRATE AS EURO "HAWKS"
PLUG THEIR EARS

REF: UNVIE 320


1. (SBU) Summary: The European position on the IAEA budget
increase has hardened. They no longer describe funding for
Safeguards and Security as "priorities," but merely
"desirable." The G8 process has had no affect on their zero
growth position. If anything, the "budget hawks" have gained
momentum while the G-77 twists in the wind, unable to believe
that local European diplomats have successfully held out
against U.S. efforts to secure an increase. Mission will
continue to support the current budget proposal for an 8.5
percent increase and appreciates Washington's continuing
efforts to find a political solution to the deadlock. We
have the remainder of July to achieve an increase, thereby
contributing to President Obama's non-proliferation
commitments in Prague and L'Aquila. If the Board Vice
Chairman's current proposal is unattainable, it would be
politically sensible to accept a token increase above
inflation to avoid further disunity among traditional allies
while achieving a base of Regular Budget support for Nuclear
Security. End Summary.


2. (SBU) Four hours of budget talks on July 8 ended in
deadlock, with a hardening of European positions against an
increase. New (and unwelcome) to the discussion was the
assertion by Germany and France that the IAEA is well and
adequately resourced. Germany and France also denied that
anchoring Nuclear Security in the regular budget was a
priority, reducing it to the level of merely "desirable," as
long as it did not entail an overall budget increase. "Our
only priority," they declared, "is a zero growth budget."
The UK and Canada then joined the other two in asserting that
the Safeguards program had more money than it needed. All
four of them, in addition to Italy, Spain, Mexico, Ireland
and others, emphasized zero growth. Of the OECD states, only
the U.S. and Australia indicated explicit support for an
increase. Japan awaited guidance pending the G-8 Summit.


3. (SBU) Representatives of the G-77, for their part, were in
disarray. Argentine Ambassador Eugenio Curia appeared
surprised to hear that so many major contributors had so
little interest in anything but zero growth. His efforts to
raise the issues of shielding and technical cooperation were
dismissed by the Europeans, and he never, in his capacity as
G-77 representative, managed to express broad support for a
budget increase. A South African diplomat candidly observed
that five G8 members had rejected the budget increase - a
likely predictor of the final outcome.


4. (SBU) Mission has lobbied other Member States vigorously
in favor of the current budget proposal on the table, which
envisions an 8.5 - 9 percent nominal increase for 2010 (real
increase of 5 - 6 percent plus a price adjustment). The
proposal addresses top U.S. priorities in Safeguards, Nuclear
Security and Safety. It also provides enough additional
growth in the promotion of peaceful uses of nuclear energy to
appease the G-77. As hopes for achieving this increase
dwindle, Mission will continue to work toward one broad goal
for the negotiation process: To shatter the glass ceiling of
"zero real growth" in order to demonstrate the singular role
of the IAEA in protecting our global security.


5. (SBU) Following the disastrous negotiations July 8,
Romanian Vice Chair Cornel Feruta dropped the idea of holding
further budget talks the following week. He did, however,
investigate the possibility of holding a Special Meeting of
the Board on or near July 30 to approve the budget - in
whatever condition it may be. (UNVIE agrees with Feruta and
the IAEA Secretariat that prolonging the acrimonious
negotiations risks greater instability in Member State
relations; this would threaten the U.S. agenda for other,
high-profile issues we will take up in the fall.)

Comment
--------------


6. (SBU) The Europeans are not budging from the zero growth
position and the tone of negotiations is deteriorating
steadily. OECD supporters of the U.S. position - including
the Netherlands, Finland and now Australia - are seen as
dupes of U.S. demarches. Russia and China continue their

silence and/or absence. With the G8 summit winding down and
the G-77 directionless, budget talks are on the shoals.
Mission is committed to working through July for the adoption
of the current budget proposal, and encourages Washington's
continuing efforts to push for a political solution to the
budget debate (see talking points in reftel). If there is no
breakthrough in the next few days, Mission will likely advise
a fallback of accepting a token, real increase along the
lines of 1 - 2 percent above inflation. This will at least
demonstrate that the IAEA's issues are too important to
subject to the strait jacket of zero growth, while reserving
as much as possible for critical safeguards investments and a
modest foundation of regular budget funding for Nuclear
Security.
PYATT