Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09STATE70077
2009-07-07 17:16:00
SECRET//NOFORN
Secretary of State
Cable title:  

(C/NF) VENEZUELAN FOREIGN POLICY WITHIN LATIN

Tags:  PINR EPET ETRD PREL VE 
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VZCZCXYZ0031
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHC #0077 1881739
ZNY SSSSS ZZH
R 071716Z JUL 09
FM SECSTATE WASHDC
TO RUEHCV/AMEMBASSY CARACAS 1037
INFO RUEHBE/AMEMBASSY BELMOPAN 3030
RUEHBO/AMEMBASSY BOGOTA 3345
RUEHBR/AMEMBASSY BRASILIA 3421
RUEHGE/AMEMBASSY GEORGETOWN 4602
RUEHKG/AMEMBASSY KINGSTON 9453
RUEHLP/AMEMBASSY LA PAZ JUL MANAGUA 9294
RUEHMN/AMEMBASSY MONTEVIDEO 2811
RUEHBH/AMEMBASSY NASSAU 4822
RUEHPO/AMEMBASSY PARAMARIBO 5312
RUEHPU/AMEMBASSY PORT AU PRINCE 8533
RUEHSN/AMEMBASSY SAN SALVADOR 3555
RUEHSG/AMEMBASSY SANTIAGO 1010
RUEHDG/AMEMBASSY SANTO DOMINGO 7646
RUEHTG/AMEMBASSY TEGUCIGALPA 5224
RUEHUB/USINT HAVANA 6940
S E C R E T STATE 070077 

NOFORN
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/07/2034
TAGS: PINR EPET ETRD PREL VE
SUBJECT: (C/NF) VENEZUELAN FOREIGN POLICY WITHIN LATIN
AMERICA (C-AL9-01405)

Classified By: SUZANNE MCCORMICK, DIR., INR/OPS. REASON: 1.4(C).

S E C R E T STATE 070077

NOFORN
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/07/2034
TAGS: PINR EPET ETRD PREL VE
SUBJECT: (C/NF) VENEZUELAN FOREIGN POLICY WITHIN LATIN
AMERICA (C-AL9-01405)

Classified By: SUZANNE MCCORMICK, DIR., INR/OPS. REASON: 1.4(C).


1. (C/NF) WASHINGTON ANALYSTS APPRECIATE THE WIDE BODY OF
REPORTING OVER MANY YEARS ON THE PUBLIC AND COVERT TOOLS
VENEZUELAN PRESIDENT CHAVEZ USES TO GAIN INFLUENCE IN LATIN
AMERICA. US POLICYMAKERS AND ANALYSTS REMAIN INTERESTED IN
THIS TOPIC AND, AS TIME AND RESOURCES PERMIT, WOULD
APPRECIATE ANY REPORTING ON CHAVEZ'S ONGOING FOREIGN POLICY
TOOLS WITHIN LATIN AMERICA GIVEN THE CURRENT OIL PRICES AND
LESSONS VENEZUELA HAS LEARNED FROM ITS FOREIGN POLICY
SUCCESSES AND SETBACKS OVER THE YEARS.


A. (C) WHAT ARE CHAVEZ'S TOP REGIONAL SPENDING PRIORITIES
FOR 2009? IN POST'S ESTIMATION, WILL HE MAKE CUTBACKS IN
REGIONAL SPENDING GIVEN LOWER OIL PRICES, OR WILL HE CONTINUE
SPENDING DESPITE HAVING FEWER RESOURCES?


B. (C) WHICH COUNTRIES IS CHAVEZ MOST LIKELY TO LOBBY THE
MOST AGGRESSIVELY TO JOIN PETROCARIBE OR ALBA, AND WHAT, IF
ANY, STRATEGIES DOES HE PLAN TO USE OR INCENTIVES DOES HE
PLAN TO OFFER?


C. (C) WHAT IS THE STATUS OF ONGOING VENEZUELAN-SPONSORED
SOCIAL WELFARE PROGRAMS IN LATIN AMERICA? HOW DOES THE
PUBLIC IN VENEZUELA VIEW THE PROGRAMS? TO WHAT EXTENT ARE
THEY SUCCESSFUL IN BOLSTERING CHAVEZ'S IMAGE IN THE REGION?


D. (C) WHAT ARE CHAVEZ'S PLANS WITH REGARD TO UPCOMING
REGIONAL ELECTIONS? WE WOULD SPECIFICALLY APPRECIATE
REPORTING ON VENEZUELAN GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS' VIEWS TOWARD
THE UPCOMING ELECTIONS IN HONDURAS, BOLIVIA, COLOMBIA,
URUGUAY, CHILE, AND BRAZIL (IN 2010). WHAT IS CHAVEZ DOING,
IF ANYTHING, TO INFLUENCE REGIONAL EVENTS FROM BEHIND THE
SCENES?


E. (C) WE WOULD APPRECIATE ANY REPORTING ON PUBLIC REACTION
TO CHAVEZ'S REGIONAL FOREIGN POLICY. HOW IS THE POPULATION
REACTING IN THOSE COUNTRIES THAT BENEFIT FROM HIS FOREIGN
INITIATIVES? HOW IS THE VENEZUELAN POPULATION REACTING?
CLINTON