Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09STATE44184
2009-04-30 20:30:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Secretary of State
Cable title:  

(C) KUDOS AND FOLLOW-UP QUESTIONS ON TURKISH

Tags:  PINR PGOV PHUM PREL PTER TU 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXYZ0005
RR RUEHWEB

DE RUEHC #4184 1202049
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
R 302030Z APR 09
FM SECSTATE WASHDC
TO RUEHAK/AMEMBASSY ANKARA 8180
RUEHIT/AMCONSUL ISTANBUL 2851
C O N F I D E N T I A L STATE 044184 

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/30/2034
TAGS: PINR PGOV PHUM PREL PTER TU
SUBJECT: (C) KUDOS AND FOLLOW-UP QUESTIONS ON TURKISH
DOMESTIC POLITICAL REPORTING (C-RE9-00520)

REF: A. ANKARA 000323

B. ISTANBUL 000081

C. ISTANBUL 000075

D. ANKARA 000281

E. ANKARA 000205

F. ANKARA 000125

G. ANKARA 000064

Classified By: SUZANNE MCCORMICK, DIR., INR/OPS. REASON: 1.4(C).

C O N F I D E N T I A L STATE 044184

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 04/30/2034
TAGS: PINR PGOV PHUM PREL PTER TU
SUBJECT: (C) KUDOS AND FOLLOW-UP QUESTIONS ON TURKISH
DOMESTIC POLITICAL REPORTING (C-RE9-00520)

REF: A. ANKARA 000323

B. ISTANBUL 000081

C. ISTANBUL 000075

D. ANKARA 000281

E. ANKARA 000205

F. ANKARA 000125

G. ANKARA 000064

Classified By: SUZANNE MCCORMICK, DIR., INR/OPS. REASON: 1.4(C).


1. (C) WASHINGTON ANALYSTS GREATLY APPRECIATE POST,S
INSIGHTFUL REPORTING ON INTERNAL TURKISH POLITICAL DYNAMICS
(REFS A-G). ANALYSTS HAVE USED THE REPORTING IN AN ARRAY OF
CURRENT PRODUCTION AND BRIEFINGS. THERE IS INCREASED
POLICYMAKER INTEREST IN THE MARCH 29 LOCAL ELECTIONS AND
STATUS OF INVESTIGATION IN ERGENEKON. WE APPRECIATE ANY
FURTHER INFORMATION ON THE BELOW QUESTIONS, AS TIME AND
RESOURCES PERMIT. MANY THANKS, AND REGARDS FROM WASHINGTON.


A. (C) DOES THE AKP HAVE A LAST-MINUTE STRATEGY OR ELECTION
PUSH PLANNED BEFORE MARCH 29? IF SO, WHAT DOES IT INCLUDE?


B. (C) WHAT IS THE CHP'S STRATEGY IF IT LOSES LOCAL
ELECTIONS? WHAT PROSPECT DO ANY POTENTIAL BAYKAL CHALLENGERS
HAVE?


C. (C) IN WHAT WAYS AND THROUGH WHICH VENUES DOES THE
OPPOSITION PLAN TO CONDUCT CHALLENGES TO THE AKP AFTER
THEELECTIONS (E.G. IN PARLIAMENT, THROUGH THE COURTS, OR
OTHER MEANS)?


D. (C) HOW WILL THE CONTINUING ERGENEKON INVESTIGATION
AFFECT THE AKP AND OPPOSITION PARTIES BEFORE AND AFTER THE
ELECTION? ARE THERE SIGNS THAT THE CASE IS FALLING APART? TO
WHAT EXTENT IS THERE PRESSURE, FROM ANY DIRECTION, ON THE
PROSECUTION OR THE JUDGES? WHAT REACTION IS THERE TO
RECURRENT REPORTS OF LEAKED CONVERSATIONS OBTAINED THROUGH
WIRETAPS? WHAT IS THE ATTITUDE OF THE MILITARY TOWARD THE
INVESTIGATION, AND WHAT DIVISIONS MIGHT THERE BE WITHIN THE
MILITARY?


E. (C) PER REF A, ANALYSTS WOULD APPRECIATE MORE
CLARIFICATION REGARDING ISTANBUL POLITICIAN MUSTAFA SARIGUL'S
POLITICAL PROSPECTS.


2. (U) PLEASE CITE C-RE9-00520 IN THE SUBJECT LINE OF
REPORTING IN RESPONSE TO THE ABOVE QUESTIONS.
CLINTON