(C/NF) AFTERMATH OF PRESIDENT ZELAYA'S RETURN TO

S E C R E T STATE 102923

NOFORN
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 10/02/2034
TAGS: PINR PGOV PINS PREL BR CS HO VE
SUBJECT: (C/NF) AFTERMATH OF PRESIDENT ZELAYA'S RETURN TO
HONDURAS (C-AL9-02049)

REF: A. TEGUCIGALPA 000944

B. TEGUCIGALPA 000945

C. TEGUCIGALPA 000946

Classified By: MICHAEL P. OWENS, ACTING DIR, INR/OPS. REASON: 1.4(C).


1. (S) WASHINGTON ANALYSTS APPRECIATE COVERAGE OF THE
ONGOING CRISIS RELATED TO PRESIDENT ZELAYA'S RETURN TO
HONDURAS. WE ARE PARTICULARLY INTERESTED IN THE PROSPECTS OF
VIOLENCE OCCURRING BETWEEN ZELAYA SUPPORTERS AND HONDURAN
SECURITY FORCES. AS TIME AND RESOURCES ALLOW, WE WOULD
WELCOME POSTS' INSIGHTS INTO THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS. MANY
THANKS FROM WASHINGTON.


A. (U) HONDURAS

1) (C/NF) WHAT HAS BEEN THE REACTION OF THE PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATES, PARTICULARLY PEPE LOBO AND ELVIN SANTOS,
CONCERNING ZELAYA'S RETURN?

2) (C/NF) TO WHAT EXTENT ARE ZELAYA'S SUPPORTERS
MOBILIZING? IS THE RESISTANCE MOVEMENT GROWING SINCE
ZELAYA'S RETURN?


B. (U) BRAZIL

1) (C/NF) WHAT HAS BEEN THE REACTION OF SENIOR BRAZILIAN
OFFICIALS, INCLUDING PRESIDENT LULA, TO ZELAYA'S RETURN? WHAT
KIND OF INTERNATIONAL PRESSURE, IF ANY, IS THE BRAZILIAN
GOVERNMENT RECEIVING?


C. (U) VENEZUELA

1) (C/NF) WHAT HAS BEEN THE REACTION OF SENIOR VENEZUELAN
OFFICIALS, INCLUDING PRESIDENT CHAVEZ, TO ZELAYA'S RETURN?


D. (U) COSTA RICA

1) (C/NF) HOW IS COSTA RICAN PRESIDENT ARIAS RESPONDING TO
ZELAYA'S RETURN? WHAT DOES HE ENVISION IS HIS ROLE IN THE NEW
PHASE OF THE SITUATION? HAS HIS SUPPORT OF THE SAN JOSE
ACCORDS CHANGED SINCE ZELAYA'S RETURN, IF SO HOW?


2. (U) PLEASE CITE C-AL9-02049 IN THE SUBJECT LINE OF
REPORTING IN RESPONSE TO THE ABOVE QUESTIONS.
CLINTON