Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09PARIS375
2009-03-13 15:30:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Paris
Cable title:  

FRENCH PREVIEW OF GAERC: BALKANS, BELARUS, SUDAN

Tags:  PREL PHUM KPAL KWBG EUN FR BK MW BO SU IS 
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DE RUEHFR #0375/01 0721530
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
O 131530Z MAR 09
FM AMEMBASSY PARIS
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 5769
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 PARIS 000375 

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/13/2019
TAGS: PREL PHUM KPAL KWBG EUN FR BK MW BO SU IS
SUBJECT: FRENCH PREVIEW OF GAERC: BALKANS, BELARUS, SUDAN

Classified By: Acting Political Minister-Counselor William Jordan for r
easons 1.4 b and d.

C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 PARIS 000375

SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/13/2019
TAGS: PREL PHUM KPAL KWBG EUN FR BK MW BO SU IS
SUBJECT: FRENCH PREVIEW OF GAERC: BALKANS, BELARUS, SUDAN

Classified By: Acting Political Minister-Counselor William Jordan for r
easons 1.4 b and d.


1. (C) Summary: The EU's March 16-17 General Affairs
Council will focus on economic stimulus measures and
preparation for the March 19-20 European Council rather than
external relations, according to Mathieu Carmona, Deputy Head
of the MFA's Common Foreign and Security Policy Office. In a
March 13 preview, he advised that Bosnia, Belarus, Sudan, the
U.S.-EU Summit and the Middle East will all be discussed
briefly, as well as Sri Lanka, Ukraine and Durban. Several
topics will be further developed at, or have been postponed
until, the March 26-27 informal Gymnich ministerial. End
summary.


2. (C) Western Balkans: The ministers will touch briefly on
Bosnia and Herzegovina, Carmona advised, with confirmation of
the Austrian candidate for High Representative and EU Special
Representative expected today (following the lifting of U.S.
reservations). Montenegro will be referred to the Gymnich,
continuing last month's agenda item of whether to submit
Montenegro's application for EU membership to the Commission,
which must evaluate the application before the Council
formally designates Montenegro as a candidate. Like most
member-states, France prefers the Council move forward on the
submission, viewing the question as administrative. The
German chancellery, however, has blocked submission thus far,
fearing that moving Montenegro's application forward would
encourage other applications (such as one from Albania),
which in turn could cause EU expansion to become a hot issue
for this fall's German elections. According to Carmona, the
Montenegrin application should not be held hostage to German
elections more than six months in advance; Carmona said that
treating the question as an administrative matter would
ensure it remains low-profile. The ministers will informally
discuss this strategy at the Gymnich, rather than formally at
the GAERC.


3. (C) Belarus: The ministers will discuss strategy

regarding sanctions and Belarus. Carmona said the overall EU
view is that, while Lukashenko is manipulative, as time
passes, liberty still grows in Belarus and new generations
with higher expectations take hold. Thus, although each
positive step seems to be accompanied by a setback, the EU
wishes to maintain a long-term policy of constructive
engagement. Carmona said that most nations, including
France, wish to prolong the suspension of sanctions on key
individuals for another 6 months. The UK prefers a
higher-pressure tactic of extending the sanctions formally
for another year while maintaining their temporary
suspension. Carmona noted that U.S. and European policy on
Belarus was closely coordinated and generally in sync.


4. (C) Sudan: Carmona said that France and the UK are
pushing for the EU to encourage African states and the
African Union to call on the government of Sudan to mitigate
the impending humanitarian crisis following the expulsion of
NGOs. He noted that neither the UN nor the government of
Sudan can fill the void, noting that the French embassy in
Khartoum has characterized the Sudanese minister for
humanitarian aid as unable to respond at all. In addition to
extreme concern over the humanitarian situation, Carmona
noted that France is worried about Libyan President Qaddafi's
call for African states to withdraw from the Rome Statute.
He noted that public opinion in sub-Saharan Africa is
somewhat sympathetic to the anti-corruption and
accountability aspects of the Bashir case but that public
opinion in North Africa is hardened against the indictment,
viewing it as evidence of a double standard vis-a-vis the
Arab world and the Gaza crisis specifically.


5. (C) Other topics of discussion:

- U.S.-EU Summit Preparations: Carmona noted that
preparations for the U.S.-EU summit will be discussed over
lunch, mainly its agenda items, with energy/climate change
and Afghanistan among the priorities (Carmona noted with mild
amusement the Czech EU presidency's use of the term "between
the Caspian and the Mediterranean" to discuss the regional
zone of interest for summit discussions.)

- Middle East: Also slated for discussion at the lunch,
Carmona noted that the situation on the ground has not
evolved dramatically since last month's GAERC, so discussion
is likely to be similar.

- Durban: Germany requested this item be placed on the
agenda following Italy's withdrawal from conference
preparations. France shares Germany's view that EU unity is
necessary in the preparatory phase to influence the
conference's development effectively. Carmona said some
progress has been made, such as text on defamation of
religions, but that for any country to withdraw now is

PARIS 00000375 002 OF 002


premature. He noted that "no stigmatization of Israel" is a
shared principle and that participation in the preparatory
phase does not prejudge participation in the conference
itself. Carmona noted this subject would be discussed
further at the Gymnich.

- Sri Lanka and Ukraine will also be discussed briefly.

PEKALA