Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09NDJAMENA500
2009-10-31 12:39:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Ndjamena
Cable title:  

CHADIAN ELECTORAL PROCESS: FRANCOPHONIE PUSHES

Tags:  PREL PREF PHUM CD CT 
pdf how-to read a cable
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O 311239Z OCT 09
FM AMEMBASSY NDJAMENA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 7383
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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 NDJAMENA 000500 

SIPDIS

STATE FOR AF/C
STATE ALSO FOR S/USSES
NSC FOR GAVIN
LONDON FOR POL - LORD
PARIS FOR POL -- BAIN AND KANEDA
ADDIS ABABA ALSO FOR AU

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PREF PHUM CD CT
SUBJECT: CHADIAN ELECTORAL PROCESS: FRANCOPHONIE PUSHES
FOR BETTER IC ORGANIZATION

REF: A. NDJAMENA 152

B. NDJAMENA 318

C. NDJAMENA 458

D. NDJAMENA 441

E. NDJAMENA 410

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 NDJAMENA 000500

SIPDIS

STATE FOR AF/C
STATE ALSO FOR S/USSES
NSC FOR GAVIN
LONDON FOR POL - LORD
PARIS FOR POL -- BAIN AND KANEDA
ADDIS ABABA ALSO FOR AU

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PREF PHUM CD CT
SUBJECT: CHADIAN ELECTORAL PROCESS: FRANCOPHONIE PUSHES
FOR BETTER IC ORGANIZATION

REF: A. NDJAMENA 152

B. NDJAMENA 318

C. NDJAMENA 458

D. NDJAMENA 441

E. NDJAMENA 410


1. (SBU) The representative to Chad of the Organisation
Internationale de la Francophonie, Hacen Lebatt, called on
Ambassador Nigro October 30 to express concern that technical
matters including the question of whether to hold a biometric
census risked setting back Chad,s electoral timetable.
Lebatt, whose organization played an important and positive
role in resolving earlier disagreements between the Chadian
government and opposition over electoral preparations (Ref
A-B),advised Ambassador that the biometric census issue did
not seem to have been put to rest by President Deby,s
announcement in Paris October 20 that legislative elections
would go forward in 2010 and presidential elections in 2011
without resort to biometrics. Labatt pointed out that the
August 13 Accords seemed to call for a biometric census, and
that some opposition figures including Saleh Kebzabo had
noted this, calling Deby,s pronouncement extra-legal.


2. (SBU) According to Lebatt, who has been consulting
informally with members of the Independent National Electoral
Commission (CENI) and Electoral Reform Committee (Comite de
suivi; ERC) over the past week, some in the Deby government
had concluded that a biometric census might indeed be
necessary, and so were currently focused on how to do one as
quickly and inexpensively as possible. Others were hoping to
rule out biometrics on grounds of cost, considering Chad,s
current IFI-stipulated budgetary strictures. Even a
relatively simple biometric census might take two and a half
years, which meant that those in the Deby administration
eager to press on with elections were looking for a way out,
whereas those -- including a number of prominent opposition
figures -- interested in holding off on a vote that President
Deby looked likely to win were calling for biometrics. The
CENI was now divided over the issue, said Lebatt, although
the "electoral climate" on the ERC was relatively calm, as
that entity pursued its civics education projects in the

countryside.

3. (SBU) Should the Deby administration conclude that it
would have to undertake some sort of a biometric census,
continued Lebatt, the soonest that legislative elections
could occur would be mid-2011, right up against the
constitutionally-mandated timing for the presidential vote in
August 2011. Deby of course hoped for a separation between
the two contests, so that he could use the results of the
first to establish a strategy for the second.

4. (SBU) Meanwhile, both the CENI and ERC were consumed
with their own financial troubles. Neither body had the sort
of budget or physical plant that it thought it deserved, and
neither was familiar with procedures for international
grant-seeking, Lebatt lamented.

5. (SBU) Lebatt said he had concluded that representatives
of the international community, consisting of the UNDP ResRep
Falavigna and Ambassadors with observer seats on the ERC,
should get together as a group to consider how to offer
assistance so that the electoral process would not bog down.
The first meeting would be hosted by the French Embassy on
November 2. He pointed out that the OIE was committed to
consensus, and that points on which he thought there was
currently consensus among members of the CENI and ERC
included that renewed threats of electoral boycotts would be
undesirable, as would dismissal or resignation of current
members of the two bodies.

6. (SBU) Lebatt said that some fixed circumstances -- such
as constitutional provisions about electoral timing -- would
have to be accepted as such. Other seeming blockages might
be resolvable through training or mediation. Some processes
(e.g., the activities of the CENI and ERC) could go along
simultaneously, if disagreements persisted on which had
authority for what, or how to sequence respective projects.
Basically, the international community needed to work quickly
and well if elections were to take place in 2010 and 2011.

7. (SBU) Ambassador Nigro stressed that the U.S. sought
credible, as opposed to perfect, elections -- the
legislative and municipal contests in 2010 and the
presidential vote in 2011. We wanted to avoid biometrics
altogether, or if that were not possible, to pursue the

NDJAMENA 00000500 002 OF 002


simplest approach to a biometric census. We agreed that the
international community needed to speak with one voice so as
not to exacerbate divisions within the Chadian body politic.
COMMENT

8. (SBU) We support the Francophonie initiative to increase
international coordination on Chad's electoral process.
Questions we hope to address at the November 2 meeting
include whether and how to support the CENI and ERC,
including financially; how to use our observer seat on the
ERC most effectively, assuming that the body has reasons to
continue to operate; what sort of public and/or
behind-the-scenes strategy to pursue with respect to debate
on the biometric census; whether and how to weigh in publicly
and privately on electoral timing; how the IC can reach out
in an organized fashion to the opposition and dissidents; how
the IC can better help with public education prior to
elections; and how the IC can help create a climate of free
and fair debate in advance of elections, so as to encourage a
free and fair vote as well. It is worth noting that Lebatt's
current academic interest -- he is a political scientist with
considerable knowledge of Middle Eastern and African
political systems -- is power-sharing, which he believes
offers untried opportunities in both Africa and the Middle
East.
NIGRO