Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09MUNICH24
2009-02-11 15:10:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Consulate Munich
Cable title:  

MUNICH SECURITY CONFERENCE - FOCUS ON

Tags:  PREL PGOV NATO GM AF 
pdf how-to read a cable
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O 111510Z FEB 09
FM AMCONSUL MUNICH
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RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4653
INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
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RUEHZG/NATO EU COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE
RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC IMMEDIATE
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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MUNICH 000024 

WHITE HOUSE FOR OVP
H FOR CODEL MCCAIN

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PGOV NATO GM AF
SUBJECT: MUNICH SECURITY CONFERENCE - FOCUS ON
AFGHANISTAN

REF: A) MUNICH 19, B) MUNICH, 20 C) MUNICH 21, D) MUNICH 22

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MUNICH 000024

WHITE HOUSE FOR OVP
H FOR CODEL MCCAIN

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PREL PGOV NATO GM AF
SUBJECT: MUNICH SECURITY CONFERENCE - FOCUS ON
AFGHANISTAN

REF: A) MUNICH 19, B) MUNICH, 20 C) MUNICH 21, D) MUNICH 22


1. (SBU) Afghanistan was a primary focus of the February 6-8 Munich
Security Conference (MSC). Criticism of Afghan President Karzai was a
major theme in the statements and questions of conference
participants. For his part, Karzai put a positive spin on
developments in Afghanistan and ascribed the remaining challenges to
shortcomings in Western engagement. In his remarks to the conference
and in subsequent media interviews, Karzai criticized the West for
civilian casualties and inadequate development and civilian
assistance. Many conference participants spoke out in favor of a
stronger regional approach, and several suggested that more troops
were needed on the ground. Special Representative Holbrooke was
widely quoted as saying that the challenges in Afghanistan were "much
tougher than in Iraq." At a pre-conference event for German and
American participants (held under Chatham House rules),the focus was
also on Afghanistan. The discussion was somber, with a clear
recognition of negative developments and the significant challenges
facing the international community. End Summary.

Karzai Lauds Progress but Criticizes West
--------------


2. (U) At the MSC meeting devoted to Afghanistan, President Karzai
opened his remarks by recounting the successes in Afghanistan since
the fall of the Taliban, including expanded transportation,
educational, and health care opportunities. A large part of the
vision for Afghanistan had already been achieved, he asserted. He
argued that it was outsiders who had destroyed Afghanistan and
therefore the international community had a moral responsibility to
assist in Afghanistan's reconstruction. Karzai argued that the
international community had not moved swiftly enough after 2001 to
support Afghanistan, and this presented an opportunity for the
Taliban to regroup and threaten peace and stability in Afghanistan
today.


3. (U) Karzai argued that Afghanistan was not a "narco-state" because
the Afghan state did not receive revenues from the drug economy.
Karzai predicted a decline of 20-30 percent in poppy production this
year. Asked about alternative livelihoods to poppy production, he
reported that cultivation of roses and fruits were options but he
added that the most important component in combating counternarcotics
was to give Afghans "confidence for their future." On corruption,
Karzai reported that the issue is being worked on, but he offered no
substantive policies or goals.

REGIONAL APPROACH REQUIRED
--------------


4. (U) Welcoming a regional approach to the Afghanistan problem,
Karzai said that Pakistan, India, and Afghanistan are all faced "with
the same struggle," and needed to work together along with China and
Russia to fight terrorism. Special Representative Holbrooke described
the situation as a "long, difficult struggle." He emphasized that
Afghanistan and Pakistan had many common problems that could only be
solved together.

COORDINATION MUST IMPROVE
--------------


5. (U) Karzai strongly criticized the lack of international
coordination as one of the reasons why reconstruction efforts have
been showing little progress. National Security Advisor General
Jones said "we cannot afford failure in Afghanistan" and suggested
that past efforts Afghanistan had been too focused on military
security. Germany's DefMin Jung complained that it took until 2008
for NATO to approve a joint strategy for Afghanistan, even though
NATO had been leading the ISAF operation since 2003.

ADDITIONAL TROOPS NEEDED?
--------------


6. (U) German Defense Minister Jung argued that troop levels in
Afghanistan were sufficient, because according to a joint assessment
with the Afghan government there were only 1500 violent insurgents in
Afghanistan. On the other hand, non-German participants on the stage
stressed the need for more combat troops. UK's DefMin John Hutton

MUNICH 00000024 002 OF 002


expected the additional U.S. forces to have a positive effect, but
emphasized that the Alliance needed to deliver on the reconstruction
side. Hutton stressed that "we are kidding ourselves if we think"
that troops other than combat troops are necessary now. Sikorski
chimed in to say (as he has in previous years at the MSC) that "one
who gives without caveats gives twice." Canadian Defense Minister
Peter MacKay also welcomed additional troops. He recommended using
the "common sense approach" instead of the "comprehensive approach,"
which includes networked security and a regional approach. He also
suggested tapping other countries' resources for more reconstruction
assistance. Finally, NATO Secretary General de Hoop Scheffer called
on NATO allies to consider providing additional resources to the
Afghanistan mission.

NELSON