Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09MONROVIA119
2009-02-06 17:00:00
UNCLASSIFIED
Embassy Monrovia
Cable title:  

LIBERIA: GOL ANNOUNCES PRICE CUTS AND TAX CUTS

Tags:  EFIN PGOV ECON EAGR LI 
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R 061700Z FEB 09
FM AMEMBASSY MONROVIA
TO SECSTATE WASHDC 0770
INFO ECOWAS COLLECTIVE
DEPT OF TREASURY WASHDC
DEPT OF COMMERCE WASHDC
NSC WASHDC
UNCLAS MONROVIA 000119 


E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: EFIN PGOV ECON EAGR LI
SUBJECT: LIBERIA: GOL ANNOUNCES PRICE CUTS AND TAX CUTS

REF A)MONROVIA 90; B) 08 MONROVIA 629; C)08 MONROVIA 647


UNCLAS MONROVIA 000119


E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: EFIN PGOV ECON EAGR LI
SUBJECT: LIBERIA: GOL ANNOUNCES PRICE CUTS AND TAX CUTS

REF A)MONROVIA 90; B) 08 MONROVIA 629; C)08 MONROVIA 647



1. SUMMARY: The Liberian Ministry of Commerce lowered price ceilings
on rice, petroleum and cement on January 29. The cuts come three
days after the President announced a decrease in business and
personal tax rates during her annual "State of the Nation" address
January 26 (ref A). The President also announced that the GOL will
end the monopoly on rice imports, and described a $1 million
facility at the Central Bank to ensure continuous supply of both
imported and locally produced rice. These initiatives continue the
GOL efforts to buffer Liberian consumers from the impact of the
global financial crisis and the trend towards more market-based
responses to price fluctuations, but fall short of removing
restrictions on sale of "strategic" commodities. END SUMMARY.


Taxes Down
--------------


2. In her annual "State of the Nation" address to the legislature on
January 26 (ref A),President Sirleaf previewed the revised Revenue
Code by revealing plans to reduce business and personal income taxes
from 35% to 25%; and to reduce the presumptive tax on business with
turnovers exceeding LD$201,000 ($3,190) from 4% to 2% of their gross
quarterly income. This fiscal reform follows an increase in the
civil service minimum salary (to $70 a month, in the July 2008
budget). Ref B reported waiver of taxes on salaried income of $70
and below in August 2008, a more fiscally sound way than the
traditional price caps to address the surge in food and fuel prices
than.

Prices Down
--------------


3. (U) The GOL attempts to control the price of "sensitive"
commodities such as rice, fuel and cement, but responded to last
summer's surge in prices by acknowledging market forces and raising
prices. There had since been criticism that the price ceilings were
not dropping in conjunction the reduction in world market prices.
On January 29, the Ministry of Commerce released new price ceilings,
with an 8.5% reduction in the retail price of a 50kg bag of butter
rice. Below is the new price structure:

Product Former Price New Price
Butter Rice $35.00 $32.00
Cement 10.50 9.50
Gasoline (PMS) 2.75 2.50
Diesel (AGO) 3.30 3.00


4. MOCI promised further price decreases if world prices decline.

(Note: The GOL eliminated the tariff on rice prices in 2008 to help
control price increases, with forgone revenue of $9 million, and has
taken other steps to boost food production and ease import of basic
machinery and agricultural equipment. End note.)


5. MOCI and Liberia's monopoly wholesale cement company (CEMENCO)
also reduced the retail price of cement to $9.50 (from $10.50) a 50
kg bag. Cement has been in the news recently as MOCI cracked down on
distributors who were selling short-weight bags, and CEMENCO ran ads
encouraging firms to have a reliable agent accompany bags from the
factory to the store to avoid siphoning off of cement en route.


6. The 25-cent reduction in the price of gasoline and 30-cent
reduction in diesel fuel take effect February 6 and mark the sixth
round of price cuts in petroleum products, since the peak in
mid-2008.

Markets Opened
--------------


7. The GOL has not only controlled rice prices, it has restricted
imports (and retail distribution, which is still limited to Liberian
firms only.) In 2006, the GOL gave the monopoly on rice importing
to the Liberian-owned Sinkor Trading Company. (Comment: which may
not have had the financial strength for the task. End comment.)
Prior to that, imports had been dominated by Lebanese merchants.


8. In a recent meeting of the Economic Revitalization Committee that
comprises GOL, foreign partners, civil society and private sector
representatives, there was lively debate on the validity of price
ceilings for rice. Rice has a tradition of political sensitivity
and conventional wisdom holds it was an underlying cause of Samuel
Doe's 1980 coup. At the ERC, a Deputy Minister of Labor said it was
time to look beyond rice as a cause of the coup, and lift price
controls. It was agreed the topic merited fuller discussion.


9. In her speech, the President also announced a $1 million facility
at the Central Bank to purchase paddy rice from local producers and
stimulate production in the coming planting season. The GOL will
also launch a pilot program (Note: suggested by the Ambassador.
End note) to provide land to ten citizens of each county (except
Montserrado) who are currently living in Monrovia but are willing to
return to farming. Those selected will be provided five acres of
land in their home county, with seeds and cuttings to plant food and
cash crops.


10. Comment: The decrease in the prices of "strategic" commodities
is a relief for consumers. Ultimately, however, the GOL's efforts
to control basic commodities leaves the economy more vulnerable to
temporary supply and price anomalies. Nascent discussion on a
longer-term move to more completely liberalize markets and prices in
these sectors is a welcome development.

THOMAS-GREENFIELD