Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09MEXICO826
2009-03-20 20:43:00
UNCLASSIFIED//FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY
Embassy Mexico
Cable title:  

MEXICO VIEWS TIMING OF PRESIDENT OBAMA'S FIRST

Tags:  PGOV PREL KCRM SNAR ECON MX 
pdf how-to read a cable
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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MEXICO 000826 

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR WHA/MEX, INR

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL KCRM SNAR ECON MX
SUBJECT: MEXICO VIEWS TIMING OF PRESIDENT OBAMA'S FIRST
TRIP TO LATIN AMERICA AS OPPORTUNE

REF: MEXICO 0131

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 MEXICO 000826

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

STATE FOR WHA/MEX, INR

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL KCRM SNAR ECON MX
SUBJECT: MEXICO VIEWS TIMING OF PRESIDENT OBAMA'S FIRST
TRIP TO LATIN AMERICA AS OPPORTUNE

REF: MEXICO 0131


1. (SBU) SUMMARY: Reaction to the announcement of President
Barack Obama's first official visit to Mexico scheduled for
April 16-17 has been generally positive. Media commentators
expect Obama's meeting with President Felipe Calderon to
focus on shared efforts to confront organized crime, economic
challenges and illegal immigration. Some take Mexico's being
the first country Obama will visit in Latin America as a
signal of the importance the U.S. assigns Mexico; others
conjecture the visit comes out of recent tension over
security and trade. END SUMMARY.

Positive Reaction to the Announcement
--------------


2. (SBU) Reaction among the political class to President
Obama's upcoming travel to Mexico has been generally
optimistic. Silvano Aureoles Conejo, a Senate caucus leader
for the opposition Democratic Revolution Party (PRD),called
the visit "a good sign for Mexico" that suggests a "change in
posture" from the White House. PAN Senator Cesar Augusto
Leal of the Foreign Relations Commission told Poloff that
President Obama is wildly popular in Mexico and such a high
profile visit would go a long way to cement a relationship
that has come under some "short-term stress." Jorge Montano,
former Ambassador of Mexico to the U.S., remarked that a
visit within one month by the USG's two most senior officials
-- the President and the Secretary of State -- reflects U.S.
"special treatment" for Mexico.

Recent Tension in the Relationship
--------------


3. (SBU) Many analysts quoted by media outlets highlighted
recent hand-wringing in the U.S. over Mexico's struggle with
growing violence. Jose Luis Valdes Ugalde of the Center of
Investigation on North America characterized the U.S.-Mexico
relationship as "in chaos" and said the visits of Clinton and
Obama were designed to get it back on track. El Universal
cited Andrew Selee, Director of the Woodrow Wilson Center's
Mexico Institute, describing the urgency for dialogue before
crises begin to drive the relationship. Lorenzo Meyer
(Reforma) said that Obama was assuming the mode of past U.S.
Presidents in paying attention to Mexico only because of its
political failures. Jose Carreno Figueras (El Milenio)
presented a more balanced view that the purpose of the visit
was to support Calderon's war on drugs. He expressed
surprise the visit had been scheduled so soon, especially
since Secretary Clinton would be visiting before the end of
the month. However, he speculated, tension and recent
recrimination left Obama no choice but to schedule the
meeting on the eve of his participation in the upcoming
Summit of the Americas in Trinidad and Tobago.


4. (SBU) Rodrigo Ivan Cortes, foreign policy advisor to PAN
Senator Adriana Gonzalez, told Poloff that the visit posed
high stakes for President Calderon. While President Obama's
visit demonstrates a desire for genuine partnership, Calderon
will need to press him for concrete measures to address
outstanding security and trade concerns, such as arms
trafficking and the recent trucking dispute. Mexico's
president has the opportunity to demonstrate strength, but
risks attack by the opposition if he appears incapable of
obtaining meaningful commitments from his U.S. counterpart.

Mexico Visit First to Region
--------------


5. (SBU) While focused on elements of bilateral tension, most
commentators also injected a note of pride that Mexico would
be the first country in Latin America President Obama visits.
Few lost sight of the fact that Brazilian President Luiz
Inacro Lula was the first Latin American leader to be
received by President Obama, with some reports suggesting
that Lula had tried to convince Obama to visit Brazil before
any other Latin American country.


6. (SBU) COMMENT: Reaction in Mexico to the visit so soon in
the new U.S. president's administration has been generally
optimistic. President Obama is already popular with the
public and in political circles. His decision to visit

MEXICO 00000826 002 OF 002


Mexico early on in his administration only reinforces the
positive view of him. Analysts and officials alike seem more
than willing to give him the benefit of the doubt regarding
any perceived lack of experience in the region, and express
hope that the visit will move the relationship beyond recent
rhetorical tension. END COMMENT.

Visit Mexico City's Classified Web Site at
http://www.state.sgov.gov/p/wha/mexicocity and the North American
Partnership Blog at http://www.intelink.gov/communities/state/nap /
BASSETT