Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09LUSAKA987
2009-12-31 08:04:00
CONFIDENTIAL
Embassy Lusaka
Cable title:  

VICE PRESIDENT KUNDA - BANDA'S GO-TO FALL GUY?

Tags:  PGOV PINR KCOR ZA 
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VZCZCXRO8816
RR RUEHBZ RUEHDU RUEHMR RUEHRN
DE RUEHLS #0987 3650804
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
R 310804Z DEC 09
FM AMEMBASSY LUSAKA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 7537
INFO RUCNSAD/SOUTHERN AF DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY COLLECTIVE
RHMFISS/HQ USAFRICOM STUTTGART GE
C O N F I D E N T I A L LUSAKA 000987 

SIPDIS

STATE FOR AF/S LAYLWARD

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/31/2019
TAGS: PGOV PINR KCOR ZA
SUBJECT: VICE PRESIDENT KUNDA - BANDA'S GO-TO FALL GUY?

REF: A. LUSAKA 654

B. LUSAKA 684

C. LUSAKA 985

D. 08 LUSAKA 1183

Classified By: Charge d'Affaires, a.i. Michael Koplovsky for reasons
C O N F I D E N T I A L LUSAKA 000987

SIPDIS

STATE FOR AF/S LAYLWARD

E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/31/2019
TAGS: PGOV PINR KCOR ZA
SUBJECT: VICE PRESIDENT KUNDA - BANDA'S GO-TO FALL GUY?

REF: A. LUSAKA 654

B. LUSAKA 684

C. LUSAKA 985

D. 08 LUSAKA 1183

Classified By: Charge d'Affaires, a.i. Michael Koplovsky for reasons 1.
4 (b,d)


1. (C) Zambian Vice President George Kunda has become a
strident and confrontational voice in the Banda Cabinet.
Over the last few months, he has announced the GRZ decision
not to appeal former President Frederick Chiluba's acquittal
(ref A),levied accusations on and threatened local diplomats
(ref B),and most recently, unveiled his own draconian,
oppressive media regulation bill (ref C). On two of these
occasions (but unfortunately not on the Chiluba appeal),
Kunda's government colleagues subsequently retreated from
these forward-leaning positions, climbing down. President
Banda may be putting Kunda up to these stunts -- letting a
loyal (but expendable) deputy take the flack as he floats
aggressive and risky trial balloons, or Kunda may be flying
solo without an approved flight plan. In either case,
despite his participation in discussion among hard-line Banda
confidants like the Ministers of Information, Home Affairs,
and Public Works, Kunda is doubtful calling the shots or
hatching schemes. A doleful Bassett hound has unexpectedly
emerged as a clumsy pit-bull in the Banda administration.


2. (C) During a December 21 radio interview, Kunda attacked
the press, civil society and political opposition for
carrying out "a calculated scheme" masterminded by
independent newspaper The Post Editor Fred M'membe to weaken
and undermine public confidence in the Banda government.
Kunda claimed that the scheme is a treasonable act against
the Penal Code and asserted that the press, civil society and
the opposition "want to control State power so they can
choose who (sic) to prosecute for them to make money." The
following day, Kunda sent a controversial draft media
regulation bill reportedly rejected by the Ministry of
Information (ref C). President Rupiah Banda did not publicly
comment on Kunda's actions while on vacation at his Eastern
Province ranch.


3. (C) This episode is only the latest example of Kunda's
strident comments that seem to get out in front of the
adminstration. Kunda has repeatedly stirred up controversy
during Banda's frequent absences with public attacks against
the press, civil society, political opposition, and even the
diplomatic community. His public diatribes indicate either
that he has become the Banda's point person for delivering
harsh messages or that he is prone to wander off the
reservation. In either case, we are dubious that he is
calling the shots.


4. (C) Kunda was an unexpected and uninspired choice when
President Banda named him VP in November 2008 (ref D).
Considered lethargic (possibly ill) and semi-competent, Kunda
is an unimpressive interlocutor whose personal views are
unclear. Many believe Banda chose him because he posed
little political threat. In 2009, Kunda ostensibly joined
Banda's inner circle by allying himself with outspoken MMD
hardliners: Minister of Information and Broadcasting
Services Ronnie Shikapwasha; Home Affairs Minister Lameck
Mangani; and Minister of Works and Supply and acting MMD
spokesperson Mike Mulongoti. Kunda may be in a tenuous
position as a weaker member of this clique given his recent
capitulation on his proposed media bill (ref C),and he may
at some point be deemed "expendable" by hardliners vying for
the political inside lane.


5. (C) Bottom line: Kunda holds little weight in the
Cabinet, and Banda may replaced him before the 2011 election
with someone Banda needs to neutralize or use to secure
important constituencies. While Kunda's public statements
could claim a measure of credibility, his power and prospects
are limited.
KOPLOVSKY