EASTERN DRC NOTES - FEBRUARY 3

UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 02 KINSHASA 000108

SENSITIVE
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: PGOV PREL MOPS PHUM PREF KPKO CG
SUBJECT: EASTERN DRC NOTES - FEBRUARY 3

REFS: A) Kinshasa 98 B) Kinshasa 92 C) Kinshasa 85



1. (U) The items contained in this report consist principally of
spot information from various sources. This report is not
exhaustive, nor can all the information contained therein be
confirmed at this time.


Human Rights Watch on Bosco
--------------


2. (SBU) In a February 1 open letter to President Kabila (emailed
to AF/C and DRL),Human Rights Watch (HRW) called on the GDRC to
extradite CNDP renegade Bosco Ntaganda to the ICC. HRW criticized
the GDRC for its recent open collaboration with Bosco, including his
appointment as the deputy commander of the DRC-Rwandan joint
operations. HRW maintained that peace and justice "should be seen
as complementary, not contradictory," as President Kabila had
implied in a January 31 press conference (ref A). HRW noted that,
in May 2007, the DRC reportedly asked MONUC for assistance in
arresting Bosco.


DRC-Rwandan Joint Operations
--------------


3. (SBU) Despite its frustrations with the Joint Operations Center
(JOC),MONUC reported that the JOC was useful to corroborate field
information with the FARDC. For example, MONUC and the FARDC concur
that approximately 800-1,000 FDLR troops are present at Kashabere,
northwest of Masisi; 1,200-1,500 FDLR soldiers are at Katoyi, south
of Masisi; two FDLR battalions totaling 700-800 are deployed at
Bushalinga, west of Kanyabayonga; and another FDLR battalion is
southwest of Ishasha. MONUC sources reported a possible firefight
in the Virunga Park, west of Rugari. After several days of
remaining stationary, RDF forces are on the move again, with one
group bypassing Masisi heading towards Walikale.


4. (SBU) Despite earlier doubts about CNDP willingness to integrate
into the FARDC (refs B and C),MONUC reported significant numbers of
CNDP troops reporting for integration: approximately 600 CNDP at
Rutshuru; and 366 CNDP and 111 Pareco at Rumangabo. CNDP officers
reportedly refused to present child soldiers for demobilization,
allegedly threatening to withdraw from the integration program if
MONUC insisted on including the child soldiers in the process.


5. (SBU) MONUC has been unable to verify media reports that the
FDLR killed 36 civilians in villages between Masisi and Walikale.
The FDLR announced that it "has never committed a single abuse
against civilians in the DRC." An FDLR website reportedly claimed
that the majority of the RDF soldiers participating in the joint
operations are FDLR members who defected through the DDRRR process.
There were also unconfirmed allegations of an FDLR reprisal attack
against civilians at Minova in South Kivu, as well as allegations of
an RDF attack on villagers between Rutshuru and Ishasa.


6. (SBU) According to UNHCR, approximately 5,000 people fled
Makobola, south of Uvira in South Kivu, after Mai Mai militia
blocked a road. Fearing possible fighting, an estimated 1,300
Congolese crossed into Uganda January 26-30, bringing the total
refugee flow to Uganda to 4,500 in January. UNHCR reported that
approximately 40,000 Congolese have fled to Uganda since the latest
round of fighting erupted in August 2008.


DDRRR Process Continues
--------------


7. (SBU) MONUC reported that increasing numbers of FDLR troops have
surrendered. Fifty combatants surrendered to MONUC at Nyabiondo,
northwest of Masisi, and smaller groups have reportedly trickled in
at other North Kivu locations. DDRRR Head of Office Bruno Donat
told the International Facilitation (IF) team that his office did
not have enough trucks to handle the flow. Donat noted that, if
current trends continue, the numbers could be in the "thousands"
this month. (Note: Prior to the operations, DDRRR repatriations
averaged about 150 per month. End Note.) The DDRRR office has
printed flyers in various languages, indicating where the nine
repatriation centers in North Kivu are and informing FDLR troops and
dependents that they can repatriate without fear. According to
Donat, Rwandan CHOD James Kabarebe fully supports the DDRRR program,
but DRC National Security Advisor Prince Lafunda Kaumba, who handles
DDRRR issues, is reportedly less enthusiastic.


8. (SBU) Most of the people arriving at DDRRR sites are dependents,

KINSHASA 00000108 002 OF 002


although Donat opined that some may indeed be ex-combatants in
civilian clothes. Technically, UNHCR has responsibility for
civilians, so Donat has contacted ICRC and UNHCR for assistance.
However, Donat told the IF team that he does not want to screen the
ex-combatants "too closely." Donat appealed to the international
community for resources, particularly transport, arguing that the
time was propitious to "kick DDRRR efforts into full gear."


9. (SBU) Donat said he accompanied six RUD ex-combatants back to
Kisiki following a one-week visit to Rwanda. In Donat's view, the
group appeared reassured and open to the idea of repatriating.
However, another source told Goma PolOff that the Rwandans had
tightly controlled the visit, raising doubts as to whether the
ex-combatants would actually agree to repatriate.


10. (SBU) In a January 17 statement, North Kivu tribal leaders
(Mwamis) called for a sensitization campaign, with Mwami
involvement, to encourage the peaceful repatriation of Rwandan
combatants and their dependents.


Comment
--------------


11. (SBU) Donat undoubtedly has a motive to tout DDRRR successes,
but the program is unarguably a key component for long-term peace in
the East. Repatriation efforts appear to be working hand-in-hand
with the threat of military operations. With President Kabila
proclaiming that Rwandan forces must leave the DRC by the end of
February, there may be a limited window of opportunity to use the
carrot-and-stick approach to promote DDRRR.

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