Identifier
Created
Classification
Origin
09KAMPALA687
2009-07-01 13:25:00
CONFIDENTIAL//NOFORN
Embassy Kampala
Cable title:  

UGANDAN REBEL GROUP: MAKING MOUNTAINS OUT OF

Tags:  PGOV PREL PHUM UG 
pdf how-to read a cable
VZCZCXRO3687
RR RUEHRN RUEHROV
DE RUEHKM #0687 1821325
ZNY CCCCC ZZH
R 011325Z JUL 09
FM AMEMBASSY KAMPALA
TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 1554
INFO RUCNIAD/IGAD COLLECTIVE
RUEHXR/RWANDA COLLECTIVE
RHMFISS/HQ USAFRICOM STUTTGART GE
C O N F I D E N T I A L KAMPALA 000687 

NOFORN
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/01/19
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM UG
SUBJECT: UGANDAN REBEL GROUP: MAKING MOUNTAINS OUT OF
MOLEHILLS

REF: A. KAMPALA 679

B. KAMPALA 595

C. KAMPALA 587

Classified By: P/E Chief Kathleen FitzGibbon for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d
).

C O N F I D E N T I A L KAMPALA 000687

NOFORN
SIPDIS

E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/01/19
TAGS: PGOV PREL PHUM UG
SUBJECT: UGANDAN REBEL GROUP: MAKING MOUNTAINS OUT OF
MOLEHILLS

REF: A. KAMPALA 679

B. KAMPALA 595

C. KAMPALA 587

Classified By: P/E Chief Kathleen FitzGibbon for reasons 1.4 (b) and (d
).


1. (SBU) Summary: Ugandan media attention to the arrests of
low-level participants in a nascent rebel group in northern
Uganda continues to spin out of control, more an indication
of lack of government coordination and poison politics than
any real threat to national security. Government officials
continue to assure us that Ugandan diaspora based in Kenya,
Canada, the United States, and the United Kingdom remain
their primary target, not locally-based politicians.
However, the independent media cannot resist stirring the
proverbial pot and the Government, now in reactive mode, is
taking the bait due to its lack of an overall strategy or
strong investigative techniques. We expect this story to
continue to take unnecessary twists and turns, largely
because the key players distrust each other and are too
short-sighted and politicized to take steps to diffuse the
confusion. End Summary.


2. (C) Post previously reported on the discovery of weapons
caches associated with a diaspora-backed nascent rebel group
in reftels. The Government learned of the group after
picking up one of its low- level operatives for other
suspected criminal activities. He confessed to being part of
the new group and implicated others. Further interviews
resulted in the uncovering of caches of weapons and supplies.
As previously reported, the security services had planned to
use the low-level participants to publicly "out" various
members of the Acholi diaspora for continuing to support the
overthrow of the government. The government was forced to
charge the participants with treason after the wife of one
suspect obtained a court order for him to be produced in
court. The government, now off whatever game plan it had,
began reacting to press inquiries through its Army Spokesman
rather than having a well-thought out public strategy.


3. (C) For its part, the press, including the salacious and
politically-motivated Red Pepper tabloid, have taken liberty
with the facts, playing on the extreme mistrust between the
government and northerners to stoke the political angles of
the issues. The Government-owned New Vision also joined the
fray. One of its reporters, allegedly an employee of the
External Security Organization, leaked information linking a
prominent Catholic bishop and Gulu District Chairman Norbert
Mao to the rebel group. Mao, who had been out of the country
for almost a month, arrived in Kampala to see his name linked
to the group in the press. Mao decided to use his weekly
column to "be above board" on the issue. (Note: The column
appeared in the New Vision on June 29. End Note.) He told
P/E Chief on June 30 that he had not been contacted by any
government or security service official about the alleged
plot. He decided to go public with what he knows about the
group. He said he may title his next column "There is no
room for insurgency in northern Uganda." Mao added that
unfortunately other "politicians hide behind politics" and
while they oppose armed insurgency, they dislike Museveni to
the extent that they would never condemn rebellion. (Note:
Mao was referring to the Acholi Parliamentary Group members,
which rushed to the press to declare their innocence when
they had not been accused of involvement. End Note.)


4. (C) Comment: We expect this saga to continue, stoked by
media houses, poorly-informed "investigative" reporters, and
an uncoordinated government message. The media feeding
frenzy, combined with poor coordination within the security
service and opportunism, has resulted in the incident to be
blown out of proportion for political purposes with no one in
control of its path. If past patterns hold, the eleven
low-level operatives will pay the price in a lengthy, and
unnecessary, court case while political wrangling diverts
attention from the original focus of the investigation: the
diaspora. Stay tuned.
BROWNING